New Frontiers: Strategy Briefing on the Next Eight Emerging Economies
Euromonitor International's New Frontiers: Strategy Briefing on the Next Eight Emerging Economies Strategy Briefings is a series of reports that alert you to global trends predicted to influence consumer markets. They offer insight to changing market conditions and the opportunities and challenges companies need to consider to maintain a competitive advantage
Chapters: 2 | Tables: 20 | Publication date: Jan 2010
Why buy this report
- Get insight into trends in market performance
- Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change
- Identify market and brand leaders and understand the competitive environment
Regional coverage
Western Europe; Eastern Europe; North America; Latin America; Asia-Pacific; Oceania; Africa and the Middle East
Table of contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
OVERVIEW
Summary 1 Opportunities and Threats
INTRODUCTION
Chart 1 The New Frontier Markets
Table 1 Overview of GDP and Population 2008
The rise of the G20
GLOBAL SNAPSHOT
Chart 2 G20: GDP (2008 US$ billion)
Chart 3 G20: GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 2008 (US$ trillion)
Chart 4 G20: GDP per Household (2008 US$’000)
The crash (or not)
Table 2 G20: GDP Growth 2007-2011 (% growth)
The rise of the developing economies
The market opportunity
Chart 5 New Frontier Markets: Consumer Expenditure as a % of GDP (2008)
Spending priorities
Chart 6 New Frontier Markets: Share of Consumer Expenditure 2008 (%)
Summary 2 Common Themes Uniting New Frontier Markets
Increasing gap between rich and poor
Chart 7 New Frontier Markets: Gini Index (2008)
Chart 8 New Frontier Markets: Savings Ratio 2008 (% Income Saved)
Urbanisation – gap between city and country
Chart 9 New Frontier Markets: Urban and Rural Population (%) 2008
Table 3 New Frontier Markets: Trends in Urbanisation 1980-2020
Emerging middle class in emerging markets
Table 4 New Frontier Markets: Household Average Annual Income by Decile 2008
The global and local middle classes
Table 5 New Frontier Markets: % of the Population by Personal Income Band 2008
The first global generation – the impact of the Millennials
Delaying commitment for career
Chart 10 New Frontier Markets: % of the Population Aged Under 25 Years 2008
Youth unemployment
Table 6 New Frontier Markets: Youth Unemployment (% Unemployed by Age Group) 2008
NEW FRONTIER MARKET SNAPSHOTS
ARGENTINA
Political/economic context
Table 7 Argentina: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 11 Argentina: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
Chart 12 Argentina: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 13 Argentina: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Consumer spending
Chart 14 Argentina: Spending by Category – Trend (2004-2008 % CAGR) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
INDONESIA
Political/economic context
Table 8 Indonesia: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 15 Indonesia: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
A degree is no guarantee of employment
Chart 16 Indonesia: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 17 Indonesia: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Consumer spending
Chart 18 Indonesia: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008 ) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
MEXICO
Political/economic context
Table 9 Mexico: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 19 Mexico: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
Upgraded lifestyles
Chart 20 Mexico: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Techno transformation
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 21 Mexico: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
On-line shopping does not deliver sociability
Consumer spending
Chart 22 Mexico: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
POLAND
Political/economic context
Table 10 Poland: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 23 Poland: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
Chart 24 Poland: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 25 Poland: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Consumer spending
Chart 26 Poland: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
SAUDI ARABIA
Political/economic context
Table 11 Saudi Arabia: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 27 Saudi Arabia: Demographic Profile 2008
Miss Beautiful Morals
Daily life
Chart 28 Saudi Arabia: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
The battle for health
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 29 Saudi Arabia: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Consumer spending
Chart 30 Saudi Arabia: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
SOUTH AFRICA
Political/economic context
HIV/AIDS continues to hit life expectancy
Table 12 South Africa: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Poverty plus aspiration equals urbanisation
Chart 31 South Africa: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
Chart 32 South Africa: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Mobile phones in more households than colour TV
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 33 South Africa: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
e-B2B
Consumer spending
Chart 34 South Africa: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
SOUTH KOREA
Political/economic context
Table 13 South Korea: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Social/demographic context
Chart 35 South Korea: Demographic Profile 2008
An extra day to play
Daily life
Chart 36 South Korea: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
“Generation one metre”
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 37 South Korea: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Luxury still appeals
Consumer spending
Chart 38 South Korea: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
TURKEY
Political/economic context
Table 14 Turkey: Economic Indicators 2004-2008
Falling FDI
Social/demographic context
Chart 39 Turkey: Demographic Profile 2008
Daily life
Chart 40 Turkey: Household Structure and Ownership of Durables 2008
Changing coffeehouse culture
Consumption infrastructure
Chart 41 Turkey: Grocery Retailers – % Share of Total Grocery Spending 2008
Consumer spending
Chart 42 Turkey: Spending by Category – Trend (% CAGR 2004-2008) and Recessionary Impact (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) (%)
FUTURE OUTLOOK
Key drivers of change
Table 15 New Frontier Markets: GDP Growth Rates 2009-2013
Rising “South-South” investment
Table 16 New Frontier Markets: Unemployment Rates 2009-2013
Table 17 New Frontier Markets: Inflation Rates 2009-2013
Table 18 New Frontier Markets: Consumer Expenditure – Year-on-Year Growth 2008-2013
Jobless economies