Tobacco in Uzbekistan
Euromonitor International's Tobacco in Uzbekistan market report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data, allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be they new product developments, packaging innovations, economic/lifestyle influences, distribution or pricing issues. Forecasts illustrate how the market is set to change.
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Tables: 46 | Publication date: Feb 2008
Why buy this report
- Get insight into trends in market performance
- Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change
- Identify market and brand leaders and understand the competitive environment
Product coverage
Cigarettes; Cigarettes including RYO; Cigars; Smoking tobacco
Executive summary
Further growth in number of cigarette smokers expected
According to research conducted in the last three years by local health services, research agencies and international organisations (eg World Health Organisation, Centre for Economic Research), the number of smokers in Uzbekistan has been steadily increasing, regardless of their social status or financial condition. The increase is evident among young people in particular. The numbers are forecast to grow further, the main reasons being changes in people’s lifestyles and a weak legislative base in the battle against underage smoking. Another reason is that cigarettes in Uzbekistan are much more affordable than they are abroad. Therefore, analysts predict further growth in the social acceptance of smoking. This is particularly true with regard to female smokers, resulting in a negative impact on the birth rate and general health concerns.
Lack of strong legislative base in battle against smoking
Uzbekistan has a weak legislative framework with regard to anti-smoking measures. Uzbekistan did not subscribe to any regional tobacco control treaties during 2006. There is no specified legal age for smoking in Uzbekistan. None of the tobacco-specific laws specify an age limit, only referring to children or teenagers. The government and other health protection bodies do not appear seriously interested in adopting anti-tobacco measures. The government enjoys high levels of tax revenue and increasing investments from BAT’s Uzbekistan plant. In the near future no significant changes in legislation to try and restrict the prevalence of smoking are expected. Consequently, cigarette consumption will increase further. At the same time, BAT Uzbekistan is pushing the government of Uzbekistan for further preventive measures against other producers’ contraband sales. Contraband cigarette sales have been damaging the income projections of BAT Uzbekistan over the past few years.
Increase in variety of cigarette brands
Compared to the early years of independence when there was not a huge variety of cigarette brands, the situation in Uzbekistan today is totally different. As one of the world’s leading tobacco companies, British American Tobacco (BAT) has its own plant in Uzbekistan and in the past few years the supply of locally produced cigarettes has increased the quantity of cigarettes available on the market. This resulted in a decline of legal cigarette sales of other brands - the government of Uzbekistan provides privileges to BAT Uzbekistan; therefore, other legal brands have become expensive, thus inducing the development of contraband from abroad for much lower prices. The largest share of contraband cigarettes comes from Russia, Kazakhstan and South Korea.
Smokers switching from high and mid-tar to low and ultra-low tar cigarettes
Until recently, cigarette smokers mainly preferred high and mid-tar cigarettes to low and ultra-low tar ones. However, over the last few years a tendency to switch to cigarettes with a lower-tar content has been observed. Low and ultra-low tar cigarettes are more popular nowadays. Analysts believe this trend is a result of the increased awareness of smoking on health. Through the media people in Uzbekistan are becoming more educated as to the dangers posed by smoking, such as a greater risk of lung cancer and other respiratory illnesses. On the other hand, this kind of information is not available to the entire population. Moreover, non-government organisations, including United Nations programmes, are not efficient enough to raise awareness among smokers in Uzbekistan.
Cigars and other tobacco products
Cigars and other tobacco products are not particularly popular in Uzbekistan. This is explained by the cultural habits of the local population – Uzbek people have never become used to smoking cigars or cigarillos. However, there are limited supplies of cigars through contraband to satisfy small segments of tobacco and cigar smokers. Legal sales of cigars are only available through the duty-free shops in Tashkent city airport. A significant increase in the consumption of cigars is not expected in the next five years.
Table of contents
TOBACCO IN UZBEKISTAN : MARKET INSIGHT
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Further growth in number of cigarette smokers expected
Lack of strong legislative base in battle against smoking
Increase in variety of cigarette brands
Smokers switching from high and mid-tar to low and ultra-low tar cigarettes
Cigars and other tobacco products
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Smoking Population
Death by Cause
Legislation
Litigation
Taxation and Duty Levies
Table 1 Taxation and Duty Levies
Production/Imports/Exports
Table 2 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes
The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 3 Deaths from Heart Disease 2001-2006
Table 4 Deaths from Lung Cancer 2001-2006
Table 5 Illicit Trade Estimate 2001-2006
MARKET DATA
Table 6 Sales of Tobacco by Sector: Volume 2001-2006
Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Sector: Value 2001-2006
Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Sector: % Volume Growth 2001-2006
Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Sector: % Value Growth 2001-2006
Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2001/2006
Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Sector: Volume 2006-2011
Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Sector: Value 2006-2011
Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Sector: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Sector: % Value Growth 2006-2011
DEFINITIONS
Summary 1 Research Sources
CIGARETTES
Headlines
Trends
Illicit trade (Cigarettes)
Cigarettes: Price Bands
Cigarettes: Filter Splits
Table 15 Slims/superslims Penetration 2006
Cigarettes: Pack Splits
Competitive Landscape
Prospects
SECTOR DATA
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2001-2006
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2001-2006
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2001-2006
Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2001-2006
Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2001-2006
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2001-2006
Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2001-2006
Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter 2001-2006
Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon 2001-2006
Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length 2001-2006
Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size 2001-2006
Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type 2001-2006
Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2002-2006
Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2003-2006
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter 2006-2011
Table 38 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon 2006-2011
Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length 2006-2011
Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size 2006-2011
Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type 2006-2011
CIGARS AND CIGARILLOS
Headlines
Prospects
SMOKING TOBACCO
Headlines
Prospects
BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO UZBEKISTAN PLC
Strategic Direction
Key Facts
Summary 2 BAT Uzbekistan Plc: Key Facts
Summary 3 BAT Uzbekistan: Operational Indicators
Company Background
Production by Factory
Summary 4 British American Tobacco Uzbekistan: Production Statistics by Factory
Competitive Positioning
Summary 5 BAT Uzbekistan Plc: Competitive Position 2006