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Global Briefing

Agricultural Commodities – Part 2: Present Performance and Future Prospects

Jun 2011

Price: US$2,000

About this Report

About this Report

Agricultural commodity prices have been rising steadily since mid-2010 and are once again creating concern over the stability of retail food prices. This second part of a two-part report on agricultural commodities examines present and future prices for key food inputs like wheat, corn, rice, cocoa, sugar, soy and milk. Recent developments will also be used to predict prices longer term. What, if anything, can the industry do to mitigate potentially catastrophic price volatility for food inputs?


What this report includes

  • Up-to-the minute analysis of the latest trends in the industry
  • New product development, forecasts and other themes
  • Unique graphics and illustrated case studies
  • Most recent brand and company news
  • New insight into the size and shape of the market

Why buy this report

  • Clear, concise powerpoint format makes it easy to digest
  • Leading industry opinion keeps you abreast of latest news and trends
  • Forward-looking outlook on a category, market or issue affecting the industry
  • Latest five year forecasts assess how the market is predicted to develop
  • Understand the competitive environment, the leading players and brands

Delivery format

PDF/PPT
Downloadable from MyPages

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Introduction

Scope

Objectives of global briefing

Key drivers in global commodity trading

Commodity prices driven by supply and demand...

...As well as market speculation

Global food commodity prices picking back up

Key findings

Cereals

Global wheat prices surge in second half of 2010

More wheat consumption, less production

Wheat supply and demand outlook in 2011

Middle East political uncertainty drives up wheat demand

Global bakery retail volume prospects by region

Short-term futures factor in political instability

Short-term trading for wheat impacted by several factors

Greater focus on biofuels places upward pressure on wheat

Timeline: Key events impacting wheat prices in 2010-2011

Global corn prices surpass mid-2008 levels

Corn supply and demand outlook in 2011

HCFS, ethanol and cattle feed drive demand for corn

Short-term corn futures escalate in January and February

Short-term trading prospects for corn in Q1 2011

Timeline: Key events impacting corn prices in 2010-2011

Global rice prices stable on the back of strong production

Moderate price rises during second half of 2010

Rice supply and demand outlook in 2011

Rise in global retail volumes offset by greater rice output

March 2011 shows slight downturn in upward price trend

Short-term trading prospects for rice

Timeline: Key events impacting rice prices in 2010-2011

Cocoa

Cocoa bean prices surge in 2011 after general 2010 decline

Short-term fluctuations belie general price stability in 2010

Cocoa bean supply and demand outlook in 2011

Global chocolate confectionery retail prospects by region

Ivory Coast unrest spurs speculation, boosts prices in 2011

Short-term trading prospects for cocoa beans

Cocoa hedging against a price surge

Timeline: Key events impacting cocoa prices in 2010-2011

Sugar

Sugar prices rise sharply during 2010

Concerns for Brazilian and Russian output drive up prices

Sugar supply and demand outlook in 2011

Sugar prices start coming back down in February 2011

Short-term trading prospects for sugar

Significant price volatility should continue throughout 2011

Timeline: Key events impacting sugar prices in 2010-2011

Soybeans

Soybean prices appreciate significantly in 2010

Price stability in H1 gives way to increases in H2 2010

Soybean supply and demand outlook in 2011

Demand for cattle feed drives soybean consumption in 2011

Chinese meat consumption increasing significantly

Wheat and corn demand boosts volatility for soybean futures

Short-term trading prospects for soybeans

Timeline: Key events impacting soybean prices in 2010-2011

Milk

Skim milk powder prices once again on the rise in 2011

Larger EU milk deliveries on the back of higher prices

Lower allocations for powder milk production across the EU

Higher demand for chocolate ice and cream drive SMP prices

Forecast

Commodity forecasting: Supply, demand ... and distortions

Methodology for forecasting fluctuations in commodity prices

Forecast methodology example: Wheat

Wheat price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Corn price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Rice price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Cocoa price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Sugar price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Soybeans price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Milk powder price forecast: April 2011-March 2012

Where now for agricultural commodities?

Report Definitions

Data parameters

Report terminology and definitions

Packaged food versus fresh food

Product category definitions

Samples

Agricultural Commodities Part 2.jpg

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