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Country Report

Alcoholic Drinks in Belarus

Jan 2012

Price: US$1,900

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sharp devaluation in the Belarusian rouble

On 24 May 2011 the National Bank of Belarus (NBB) announced the devaluation of the official exchange rate of the Belarusian rouble against foreign currencies. The value of the national currency decreased by 56% compared with the rate on 23 May. Thus, the Belarusian rouble had fallen against a basket of currencies by 42% since the beginning of the year. The boundaries of permissible fluctuations remain at the level of plus/minus 12% relative to the set of central values. NBB had taken the first attempt towards a devaluation of the national currency on 19 April, announcing the lifting of restrictions on the formation of exchange rates on the OTC market for legal entities. On 11 May 2011 NBB lifted restrictions on exchange transactions for buying and selling foreign currency among the public. The devaluation affected not only private businesses, but also state employees, whose salaries were reduced more than half in the dollar equivalent. Prices for all goods rose and are likely to rise further due to inflationary expectations. The weak rouble and high inflation was thought likely to lead to a slowdown in sales of alcoholic beverages, especially imported alcoholic beverages, in 2011.

Alcoholic drinks regulations

The alcoholic drinks market remained highly regulated in Belarus in 2011, as it had been in the review period as a whole. The production of spirits and wines in Belarus is regulated by quotas. Production quotas are set annually and are based on consumption in previous years and the targets of state programmes designed to combat alcoholism. In terms of imports of strong alcoholic drinks, the “Institution of Special Importers”, which was introduced in 2008, still remains in place – state companies approved by the state implement the special state right to import alcoholic beverages. In 2010 and in the first quarter of 2011, the rights to import strong alcoholic drinks had been granted to 23 companies. As a result of state control over imports, local manufacturing of grape wine and licensed bottling of imported spirits (brandy, whiskies, gin) kept increasing. Imports of alcoholic drinks with an alcohol content of over 7% were declining, as the prices of imported brands remained very high. Production and imports of alcoholic drinks with alcohol content lower than 7% are not regulated in Belarus. As a result, imported brands of beer accounted for some 30% of beer retail sales in 2010.

Excise duties rising in 2011

In 2011, on most types of alcoholic beverages the excise rates increased on average by 8-18%, compared with 2010. Differentiated rates of excise duties were introduced on RTDs, with the rate depending on the kind of product. Using different excises the state is aiming to change consumption patterns in this category from spirit-based RTDs to natural malt- or wine-based RTDs or cider. To achieve this goal the excise duties on spirit-based RTDs were increased by almost three times in 2011, while cider enjoys zero excise duty. The sharp increase in excises for spirit-based RTDs forced the producers of products to revise their product portfolios by removing spirit-based RTDs and switching to cider or malt-based RTDs manufacturing. This is expected to change the category’s landscape in 2011 as well as the medium-term forecast period.

Alcoholic drinks will see more local brands

The performances in alcoholic drinks are expected to show contrasting trends. Spirits is expected to increase in terms of the number of operators licensed to bottle brandy, whiskies, rum, gin and tequila, fulfilling the programme of “Manufacturing of Import Replacement Products”. The elimination of import taxes for the highest-priced spirits is expected to be seen in the forecast period. Volume sales and production of non-grape wine will be constrained by the government, which plans to reduce non-grape wine consumption at a rate of 7-10% per year. Beer is expected to record positive growth throughout the forecast period. However, the government programmes will be focused on cutting the share of imported brands and replacing them with locally-made products. In addition, more investment in beer is expected from local and foreign investors over the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Belarus with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Belarus, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belarus for free:

The Alcoholic Drinks in Belarus market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Alcoholic Drinks in Belarus?
  • What are the major brands in Belarus?
  • Have there been any alcoholic drinks legislative changes over the past 12 months?
  • How is the alcoholic drinks industry affected by the recession?
  • What is consumed more; beer, wine or spirits?
  • What have been the key trends seen in new product developments?
  • Do alcoholic drinks consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Alcoholic Drinks in Belarus - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sharp devaluation in the Belarusian rouble

Alcoholic drinks regulations

Excise duties rising in 2011

Alcoholic drinks will see more local brands

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

  • Table 1 Number of On-trade Establishments 2006-2009

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 2 Excise Duties for Alcoholic Drinks 2011 (From January 2011)
  • Table 3 Import Duties for 2011
  • Table 4 Alcoholic drinks output quotas for 2010 and 2011
  • Table 5 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 6 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011 – Olivariya Desiatka
  • Table 7 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011 – Ambassador Merlot
  • Table 8 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011 – Kristall

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/parallel Trade

Duty Free

Cross-border/private imports

KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES

  • Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 9 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 18 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 19 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Published data comparisons

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Alcoholic Drinks in Belarus - Company Profiles

Belalco (Brestsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 Belalco (Brestsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Belalco (Brestsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Gomelsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Gomelsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Gomelsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Klimovichsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Klimovichsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Klimovichsky Likerovodochny Zavod RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Krinitsa OAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 17 Krinitsa OAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 Krinitsa OAO: Competitive Position 2011

Lidskoe Pivo OAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 21 Lidskoe Pivo OAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 22 Lidskoe Pivo OAO: Competitive Position 2011

Minsk Kristall RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 25 Minsk Kristall RUP: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 26 Minsk Kristall RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Minski Zavod Bezalcoholnyh Napitkov ZAO (MZBN) in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 29 Minski Zavod Bezalcoholnyh Napitkov ZAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 30 Minski Zavod Bezalcoholnyh Napitkov ZAO: Competitive Position 2011

Minski Zavod Igristyh Vin OAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 33 Minski Zavod Igristyh Vin OAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 34 Minski Zavod Igristyh Vin OAO: Competitive Position 2011

Minski Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin ZAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 37 Minski Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin ZAO: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Nemanoff (Grodnensky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 40 Nemanoff (Grodnensky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 41 Nemanoff (Grodnensky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Olivariya OAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 43 Olivariya OAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 44 Olivariya OAO: Competitive Position 2011

Pivovarni Heineken IZAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 46 Pivovarni Heineken IZAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 47 Pivovarni Heineken IZAO: Competitive Position 2011

Pridvinye (Vitebsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP in Alcoholic Drinks (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 50 Pridvinye (Vitebsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 51 Pridvinye (Vitebsky Likerovodochny Zavod) RUP: Competitive Position 2011

Beer in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • National currency devaluation slowed down the volume sales performance in beer in 2011. A shortage of foreign currency has been observed in Belarus since March 2011, but the official exchange rate of the National Bank of Belarus (NBB) remained unchanged until May 2011. On 24 May 2011 the NBB announced the devaluation of the official exchange rate of the Belarusian rouble against foreign currencies. The value of the national currency decreased by 56%. The devaluation caused unit prices to increase and consumers’ purchasing power to decline, which slowed down sales in beer.
  • Table 25 Beer Production by Type of Packaging 2008-2010
  • Table 26 Beer Production by Type of Packaging, January-April 2011

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

  • Table 27 Beer Production of Leading Companies 2008-2010
  • Table 28 Beer Production by Leading Companies, January-April 2011
  • Table 29 Beer Imports to Belarus 2006 – 2010 (volume and value)
  • Table 30 Beer Imports to Belarus, January-March 2010 and 2011 (volume and value)
  • Table 31 Beer Exports by Leading Companies, 2008-2010
  • Table 32 Beer Exports by Leading Companies, January-April 2010 and 2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Krinitsa, together with its subsidiary Polotskoye Pivo, led beer sales in 2010, recording a total volume share of more than 23%. Despite recording a decline in its volume share of more than five percentage points in 2010, the company remained the largest beer producer in the country in this year. However, the company kept losing share in January-April 2011, with its full-year share in 2011 expected to be 19%.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume and value sales are expected to increase during the forecast period due to the fact that problems with the high cost and low quality of local raw materials are expected to be resolved and also because local manufacturers have the production capacity to fuel the growth.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Lager price band methodology

  • Summary 52 Lager by Price Band 2011
  • Table 33 Number of Breweries 2006-2011

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 34 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Beer: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Company Shares of Beer by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 44 Company Shares of Beer by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 45 Brand Shares of Beer 2008-2011
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Cider/Perry in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The key trend in both 2010 and in 2011 was a vast increase in volume sales of cider. Cider/perry was not available in Belarus until the end of May 2009, when the first cider brand, Apple Jack, was launched by the leading local company in still grape wine, Minski Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin. The second cider manufacturer, the company Pervaya Distilyarnya, entered the market in September 2009. However, the biggest player in this category in Belarus is Lidskoe Pivo OAO, which started cider manufacturing in December 2010, by launching the first batch of its cider brand Fizz. Cider output became possible as a result of zero excise duty for the products, as well as because of the availability of raw materials for its manufacturing. Introduction by the government of limits for non-grape wine manufacturing also provides significant potential for the production of apple cider by other manufacturers.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading company in 2010 was Minski Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin ZAO, when its brand Apple Jack accounted for an 83% share of total volume sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Cider is expected to perform well in the forecast period, recording a CAGR of 8% in volume terms. Such a high growth rate is forecast due to the still low cider consumption in Belarus in 2010, the natural product image and favourable environment for category development.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2009-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2009-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2009-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2009-2011
  • Table 54 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: Volume 2009-2011
  • Table 55 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: Value 2009-2011
  • Table 56 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: % Volume Growth 2009-2011
  • Table 57 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: % Value Growth 2009-2011
  • Table 58 Cider/Perry Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Cider/Perry Imports by Country of Origin: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Cider/Perry Imports by Country of Origin: Total Value 2005-2010
  • Table 61 Cider/Perry Exports by Country of Destination: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Cider/Perry Exports by Country of Destination: Total Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Company Shares of Cider/Perry by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 64 Company Shares of Cider/Perry by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Brand Shares of Cider/Perry 2008-2011
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RTDs/High-strength premixes are considered to be low-alcohol drinks by Belarusian legislation as they have an alcohol content of less than 7%. Most RTDs/high-strength premixes have an alcohol content of 6% and are sold in 500ml or 1-litre PET bottles. Sales of RTDs/high-strength premixes to individuals under the age of 18 are prohibited in Belarus. Sales are also restricted in cultural and health buildings, cinemas, schools, universities, sports facilities, building sites, state buildings, canteens, children’s cafés, and via vending machines.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Minski Zavod Bezalcoholnyh Napitkov ZAO led sales within RTDs/high-strength premixes in 2010, recording a total volume share of 42%. In 2011, the company is expected to increase its share to 75% because a few other key players stopped manufacturing spirit-based RTDs – the main product type on the market – due to the vast increase in excise on these products.

PROSPECTS

  • Big changes are expected in RTDs/high-strength premixes in the forecast period due to the big differences in excise duties for the various categories. Total volume sales are expected to decline by a CAGR of 14% over the forecast period, because of a volume sales decline in spirit-based RTDs of 25% in CAGR terms. The unhealthy image of spirit-based RTDs and high excise duties will hamper sales. In addition, press articles concerning consumption restrictions and major reductions in the production of spirit-based RTDs are also having a negative impact on investment levels within the area. Malt-based RTDs are forecast to demonstrate a volume sales increase of 8% in CAGR terms, benefiting from difficulties experienced by spirit-based RTDs.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 70 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 74 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 75 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 76 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Spirits in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Excise duties on spirits for 2011 were increased by 18% compared with the rate in 2010. However, in spite of excise levels generally being set on an annual basis, another increase in excise is expected in mid-2011. The excise duty increase was being planned by the government due to the high inflation rate in Belarus, aimed at “protecting the state budget against inflation”. The increase is expected to be high; the projected new excise duties are already being prepared by the Cabinet of Ministers.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

  • Table 85 Spirits Output Quotas for 2010 and 2011
  • Table 86 Vodka, Liqueurs and Other Spirits Production by Leading Companies, 2009-2010
  • Table 87 Spirits Imports for 2007-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Minsk Kristall RUP was the leading player within spirits in 2010, recording a total volume share of 33%; this share is expected to edge up slightly in 2011. The company benefits from being the largest alcoholic drinks producer in Belarus and also has a strong reputation for quality. Minsk Kristall’s most significant brand, Minsk Kristall, is available within brandy and vodka, with the bulk of sales being made within vodka. The company uses silica filtered water to produce its alcoholic drinks – a technique that creates a high level of purity and a clear flavour.

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period spirits is expected to decline in volume terms by a CAGR of less than -1% because the government will continue to tackle the problem of excessive alcohol consumption in Belarus. The main measures to regulate spirits are lower output quotas and higher excise duties. Possible measures that may also be taken include increasing the minimum age for the consumption of alcoholic drinks with an alcohol content greater than 7% from 18 to 21 years. Strong educational campaigns and restrictions on spirits advertising will be carried out throughout forecast period. As a result of such measures, spirits is expected to experience a marginal decline in volume terms during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 88 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 91 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 92 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 93 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 94 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Spirits Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 97 Rum Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 98 Vodka Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 99 Whiskies Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 100 Company Shares of Spirits by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 101 Company Shares of Spirits by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 102 Brand Shares of Spirits 2008-2011
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Wine in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Excise duties on wine for 2011 were set at the end of 2010. The increase depends on the particular wine subcategory – excise on non-grape wine and still light grape wine increased by 18%, compared with excise levels in 2010, while excise on sparkling wine increased by 8%. However, in spite of the fact that excise levels are generally set on an annual basis, another increase in excise was expected in mid-2011. The excise duty increase was being planned by the government due to the high inflation rate in Belarus, and is expected to protect the state budget against inflation. The new excise duties are already being prepared by the Cabinet of Ministers.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

  • Table 107 Wine output quotas for 2010 and 2011
  • Table 108 Still Grape Wine Production by Leading Companies 2008-2010
  • Table 109 Apparent Wine Consumption in 2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Two companies were in the lead in still light grape wine in 2010 – Minski Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin (brand Ambassador) had a 24% share of total volume sales, followed by Yubileiny Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin (brand Garsia) with 23% of total volume sales. Both are local manufacturers, with popular inexpensive products. Both companies increased their production in 2010 compared with 2009, but the biggest increase in share in 2010 was demonstrated by Yubileiny Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin, from 8% in 2009 to 23% in 2010. The company BelVinGroup COOO purchased Yubileiny Zavod Vinogradnyh Vin in 2008; before that BelVinGroup was among the leading grape wine importers. The total investment in the factory was US$4 million before the first production was started in March 2009. The company has exclusive rights to bottle wines of famous manufacturers, such as Peter Mertes (Germany), Rudolf Keller (Italy), Felix Solis (Spain), Grape Valley (Moldova), Vina Komrata (Moldova) and Massandra (Ukraine).

PROSPECTS

  • Non-grape wine is expected to record a decline in total volume sales during the forecast period with a projected CAGR of -9%. This is in line with the government strategy of lowering non-grape wine production and consumption in order to reduce alcoholism and improve the health of the nation. Some non-grape wine manufacturers will shift towards producing still light grape wine, fruit/vegetable juice, or canned/preserved goods over the forecast period. The decline in volume sales of non-grape wine over the coming years will depend on government decisions and the availability of investment for helping non-grape wine manufacturers to produce other goods.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 110 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 113 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 114 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 115 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 116 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 117 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 119 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 120 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 121 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Alcoholic Drinks
    • Beer
      • Dark Beer
        • Lager
          • Premium Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
          • Standard Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
          • Economy Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Lager by Origin
          • Domestic Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
          • Imported Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Low/Non- Alcohol Beer
          • Low Alcohol Beer
          • Non-Alcoholic Beer
        • Stout
      • Cider/Perry
      • RTDs/High-Strength Premixes
        • High-Strength Premixes
        • RTDs
          • Malt-Based RTDs
          • Spirit-Based RTDs
          • Wine-Based RTDs
          • Other RTDs
      • Spirits
        • Brandy and Cognac
          • Brandy
          • Cognac
        • Liqueurs
          • Bitters
          • Cream-Based Liqueurs
          • Other Liqueurs
        • Rum
          • Dark Rum
          • White Rum
        • Tequila (and Mezcal)
        • Whiskies
          • Bourbon/Other US Whiskey
          • Canadian Whisky
          • Irish Whiskey
          • Japanese Whisky
          • Blended Scotch Whisky
            • Blended Malt Scotch Whisky
            • Other Blended Scotch Whisky
          • Single Malt Scotch Whisky
          • Other Whiskies
        • White Spirits
          • Gin
            • English Gin
            • Dutch Gin
          • Vodka
        • Other Spirits
        • Wine
          • Fortified Wine and Vermouth
            • Non-Grape Wine
              • Sparkling Wine
                • Champagne
                • Other Sparkling Wine
              • Still Light Grape Wine
                • Still Red Wine
                • Still Rosé Wine
                • Still White Wine

          Statistics Included

          Statistics Included

          For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

          From Passport

          • Market sizes
          • Company shares
          • Brand shares
          • Distribution
          • Distribution
          • Exports by country - value
          • Exports by country - volume
          • Imports by country - value
          • Imports by country - volume
          • Off-trade vs on-trade
          • Pricing
          • Products by ingredient
          • Products by ingredient
          • Trade statistics - volume

          Market size details:

          • Off-trade volume
          • Off-trade volume % growth
          • Off-trade volume per capita
          • On-trade volume
          • On-trade volume % growth
          • On-trade volume per capita
          • Total volume
          • Total volume % growth
          • Total volume per capita
          • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price % growth
          • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade rtd volume
          • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
          • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
          • On-trade rtd volume
          • On-trade rtd volume % growth
          • On-trade rtd volume per capita
          • Total rtd volume
          • Total rtd volume % growth
          • Total rtd volume per capita
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita

          Methodology

          Methodology

          Global insight and local knowledge

          With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

          This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

          Industry specialists

          Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

          Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

          The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

          Country and regional analysts

          Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

          In-country research network

          To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

          Research Methodology

          Our research methods

          Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

          Desk research

          With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

          • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
          • National and international trade press
          • National and international trade associations
          • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
          • Company financials and annual reports
          • Broker reports
          • Online databases
          • The financial, business and mainstream press

          Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

          Store checks

          Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

          • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
          • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
          • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
          • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

          Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

          Trade survey

          Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

          Trade surveys allow us to:

          • Fill gaps in available published data per company
          • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
          • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
          • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

          In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

          Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

          Company analysis

          At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

          At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

          Forecasts

          Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

          Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

          Data validation

          All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

          The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

          Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

          Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

          Market analysis

          Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

          Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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