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Country Report

Alcoholic Drinks in Macedonia

Feb 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Continued steady recovery of alcoholic drinks in Macedonia

After experiencing sharp volume decline in 2009 and slow recovery in 2010, alcoholic drinks in Macedonia in 2011 continued steady recovery in both volume and value terms. Limited retail hours continue to influence sales of alcoholic drinks in Macedonia, while the slow economic recovery helped all alcoholic drinks categories remain in positive growth territory, except for RTDs/high-strength premixes. Wine achieved highest total value growth, while beer championed in total volume terms.

Alcoholic drinks retain on-trade customer base despite harsh regulations

Several government-imposed measures were introduced in 2010, which heavily influenced and to date continue to influence sales and performance of the alcoholic drinks market in Macedonia. Smoking in public areas is now completely banned and the Law on Protection against Smoking is fully enforced. The ban covers both the HoReCa and public sectors. Immediately with the introduction of this legislation, HoReCa representatives began reporting huge losses in their business results and a significantly reduced number of customers and visits. This led to the alcoholic drinks market losing part of its on-trade customer base, driving sales down, compared to previous years. However, 2011 showed that the peak impact of these measures and legislation has already occurred and that the alcoholic drinks market is now less susceptible to their negative impact.

Domestic companies lead sales of alcoholic drinks

The alcoholic drinks market in Macedonia continues to be dominated by domestic manufacturers and brands that seem to best cater to the needs of domestic consumers and their preferences. Domestically-manufactured beer and wine are the largest categories within the alcoholic drinks market. Several domestic manufacturers in both the beer and wine categories are the top-ranked manufacturers in terms of market share. With the exception of the spirits category, international players have a limited role in the Macedonian market, facing fierce competition from domestic Macedonian companies which maintain centuries-old traditions of local beer- and wine-making at quite affordable prices and with exceptional quality. The leading beer- and wine-making companies sold the largest volumes of alcoholic drinks in Macedonia in 2011.

Supermarkets and retail chains lead volume sales

Retail chains were the dominant sales force for alcoholic drinks in Macedonia. The share of on-trade consumption in total volume sales declined slightly in 2011, indicating a slight decline in the desire for outdoor drinking among Macedonian consumers. The HoReCa sector continued losing its attractiveness as a result of the anti-smoking regulations and strict enforcement of the legal drinking age regulations. Store retailers made good use of the increased demand for alcoholic drinks in the off-trade channel. Supermarkets/hypermarkets continue to dominate off-trade sales and increased their sales share in 2011.

Slow, yet positive growth forecast for alcoholic drinks

Alcoholic drinks are expected to maintain slow, yet steady positive growth over the forecast period. The future of most alcoholic drinks categories will be dependent on a combination of how fast consumers’ purchasing power in Macedonia among the legal drinking population increases and how effectively anti-drinking culture spreads among increasingly health-conscious Macedonian consumers. Demographic factors will have a lesser impact on future growth. However, increased inbound tourism in Macedonia is expected to play a positive role in the growth of the alcoholic drinks market.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Macedonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Macedonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Macedonia for free:

The Alcoholic Drinks in Macedonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Alcoholic Drinks in Macedonia?
  • What are the major brands in Macedonia?
  • Have there been any alcoholic drinks legislative changes over the past 12 months?
  • How is the alcoholic drinks industry affected by the recession?
  • What is consumed more; beer, wine or spirits?
  • What have been the key trends seen in new product developments?
  • Do alcoholic drinks consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Alcoholic Drinks in Macedonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Continued steady recovery of alcoholic drinks in Macedonia

Alcoholic drinks retain on-trade customer base despite harsh regulations

Domestic companies lead sales of alcoholic drinks

Supermarkets and retail chains lead volume sales

Slow, yet positive growth forecast for alcoholic drinks

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 1 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 2 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-Trade Mark-Ups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 3 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011
  • Table 4 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011
  • Table 5 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES

  • Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 15 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Alcoholic Drinks in Macedonia - Company Profiles

Prilepska Pivarnica ad in Alcoholic Drinks (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Prilepska Pivarnica ad: Competitive Position 2011

Tikveš AD in Alcoholic Drinks (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Beer in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After the sharp volume sales decline in 2009, and the slow recovery the following year (2010), beer continued its growth as a category, although it failed to achieve pre-global crisis volume levels in 2011. One of the reasons for this is the continued effects of the recent amendments to the Trade Law which limit retail hours of sale for alcohol products (including beer).

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The undisputed leader of the beer category in Macedonia is Pivara Skopje ad with a 62% share of total beer volume sales in 2011, 80% volume share in standard lager with its leading brand Skopsko and 45% in economy lager (ranking it second), with its economy brand Gorsko. Pivara Skopje ad is a company with a long tradition and excellent distribution infrastructure.

PROSPECTS

  • Beer is forecast to post a CAGR of 2% in both total volume and total constant value terms and is expected to reach a value of MKD7.8 billion in 2016. This is slightly more optimistic growth and performance than that experienced during the review period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Lager price band methodology

  • Summary 7 Lager by Price Band 2011
  • Table 23 Number of Breweries 2007-2011

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Beer: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Beer by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Company Shares of Beer by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 35 Brand Shares of Beer 2008-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Cider/Perry in Macedonia - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • The cider/perry category has no significant presence in Macedonia in 2011.

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The RTDs/high-strength premixes category has not gained mass popularity within the review period in Macedonia. Total volume sales declined in 2011 further marginalising this category compared to the rest of its counterparts within the alcoholic drinks market. Supply and availability is inconsistent and consumption is highly seasonal. The 2009 global financial crisis and reduced purchasing power among Macedonian consumers have put pressure on this category and contributed to the decline in demand for these products.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Within RTDs/high-strength premixes in 2011, two major players were prominent with narrow and limited product offerings. Bacardi & Co Ltd and Diageo Plc are the category leaders with 36% and 35% shares of total volume sales, respectively.

PROSPECTS

  • RTDs/high-strength premixes is will remain underdeveloped over the forecast period with the majority of products being spirit-based RTDs. Due to limited consumer interest and the relative failure of existing RTDs on the market, products in other segments of RTDs/high-strength premixes are unlikely to be introduced in the near future. The average Macedonian consumer is expected to continue his/her preference for higher (stronger) alcohol content drinks as a result of the cultural milieu. This trend will particularly remain strong among young consumers. Even the harsh measures and regulations imposed by the government have failed to discourage underage alcohol consumption and reduce the appetite of local consumers for strong alcoholic drinks which are subject to restricted hours of sale.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 45 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 46 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 47 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 49 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 50 Brand Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes 2008-2011
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Spirits in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The spirits category achieved modest 1% growth in total volume terms and 3% growth in total value terms in 2011. In value terms, the spirits category performed better in the off-trade while in volume terms it performed better in the on-trade in 2011. The category’s full market growth potential continues to be hampered by the reduced purchasing power of the Macedonian consumer, but also by the over-regulation of the on-trade channel in terms of protection against smoking and underage alcoholic drinks sale and alcohol abuse.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Croatian spirits manufacturer Badel 1862 dd led the spirits category with a 28% share of total volume sales in 2011. The domestic company Vinarska Vizba Tikveš ad ranked second with just 7% of total volume sales, followed by Diageo Plc with a 6% share in Macedonia. The top-ranking companies maintain reputable portfolios, consisting of strong brands in the mass segments such as brandy, whiskies and other spirits.

PROSPECTS

  • The spirits category is expected to post a 2% CAGR in both total volume and total constant value terms over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Spirits Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Company Shares of Spirits by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Spirits by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Spirits 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Wine in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Wine consumption in Macedonia has a long tradition, dating back almost five millennia. However, more recently a new kind of wine culture has been developed and cultivated which includes establishing various on-site wine-bars and wine clubs, located throughout the most important wine-making regions of Macedonia. These events have positively influenced wine consumption over the review period and introduced new exciting concepts for wine tasting and wine consumption.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Over 80 active local wineries exist in Macedonia in 2011, with a total annual production capacity of around 120 million litres, with the majority intended for export. As a result, the huge local production of Macedonian wine is dominated by domestic manufacturers.

PROSPECTS

  • Local wine producers will continue and intensify efforts to further enhance the wine culture in the country through proper wine education of the various target groups. The slow recovery and the forecast slowdown in the growth of the wine category will limit possibilities for more elaborate development of new products. Wine sophistication and diversification will remain an exclusive domain and a privilege only for the smaller and wealthier consumer segment in Macedonia.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 71 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Alcoholic Drinks
    • Beer
      • Dark Beer
        • Lager
          • Premium Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
          • Standard Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
          • Economy Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Lager by Origin
          • Domestic Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
          • Imported Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Low/Non- Alcohol Beer
          • Low Alcohol Beer
          • Non-Alcoholic Beer
        • Stout
      • Cider/Perry
      • RTDs/High-Strength Premixes
        • High-Strength Premixes
        • RTDs
          • Malt-Based RTDs
          • Spirit-Based RTDs
          • Wine-Based RTDs
          • Other RTDs
      • Spirits
        • Brandy and Cognac
          • Brandy
          • Cognac
        • Liqueurs
          • Bitters
          • Cream-Based Liqueurs
          • Other Liqueurs
        • Rum
          • Dark Rum
          • White Rum
        • Tequila (and Mezcal)
        • Whiskies
          • Bourbon/Other US Whiskey
          • Canadian Whisky
          • Irish Whiskey
          • Japanese Whisky
          • Blended Scotch Whisky
            • Blended Malt Scotch Whisky
            • Other Blended Scotch Whisky
          • Single Malt Scotch Whisky
          • Other Whiskies
        • White Spirits
          • Gin
            • English Gin
            • Dutch Gin
          • Vodka
        • Other Spirits
        • Wine
          • Fortified Wine and Vermouth
            • Non-Grape Wine
              • Sparkling Wine
                • Champagne
                • Other Sparkling Wine
              • Still Light Grape Wine
                • Still Red Wine
                • Still Rosé Wine
                • Still White Wine

          Statistics Included

          Statistics Included

          For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

          From Passport

          • Market sizes
          • Company shares
          • Brand shares
          • Distribution
          • Distribution
          • Exports by country - value
          • Exports by country - volume
          • Imports by country - value
          • Imports by country - volume
          • Off-trade vs on-trade
          • Pricing
          • Products by ingredient
          • Products by ingredient
          • Trade statistics - volume

          Market size details:

          • Off-trade volume
          • Off-trade volume % growth
          • Off-trade volume per capita
          • On-trade volume
          • On-trade volume % growth
          • On-trade volume per capita
          • Total volume
          • Total volume % growth
          • Total volume per capita
          • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price % growth
          • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade rtd volume
          • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
          • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
          • On-trade rtd volume
          • On-trade rtd volume % growth
          • On-trade rtd volume per capita
          • Total rtd volume
          • Total rtd volume % growth
          • Total rtd volume per capita
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita

          Methodology

          Methodology

          Global insight and local knowledge

          With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

          This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

          Industry specialists

          Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

          Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

          The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

          Country and regional analysts

          Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

          In-country research network

          To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

          Research Methodology

          Our research methods

          Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

          Desk research

          With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

          • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
          • National and international trade press
          • National and international trade associations
          • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
          • Company financials and annual reports
          • Broker reports
          • Online databases
          • The financial, business and mainstream press

          Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

          Store checks

          Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

          • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
          • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
          • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
          • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

          Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

          Trade survey

          Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

          Trade surveys allow us to:

          • Fill gaps in available published data per company
          • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
          • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
          • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

          In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

          Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

          Company analysis

          At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

          At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

          Forecasts

          Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

          Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

          Data validation

          All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

          The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

          Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

          Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

          Market analysis

          Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

          Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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