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Country Report

Alcoholic Drinks in Serbia

Feb 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Crisis not yet over

The negative trend of the last three years continued in 2011. Although the rate was significantly lower than in 2010, alcoholic drinks volume sales continued to fall during 2011. As expected, a slightly lower decline was recorded on-trade than off-trade given that Serbian people like to spend their time in on-trade outlets. In addition to the economic crisis that has caused a decline in employment and personal income, ?the prohibition on selling alcoholic beverages after 22:00hrs or 23:00hrs in off-trade channels in a number of cities (including Belgrade and Novi Sad) has also put pressure on sales. Furthermore, sales are also being limited by the restriction of cafe opening hours to 24:00hrs in residential areas.

Arrest of Ratko Mladic brings Serbia closer to joining EU

One of the most important conditions for the continuation of Serbia’s European integration was met in May 2011 following the arrest of General Ratko Mladic, who is suspected of war crimes. This will allow faster candidate status for EU membership and thus speed up reforms and create a better climate for investment. As a result of these developments, consumer purchasing power is expected to rise and there will be further market liberalisation, especially regarding goods from EU countries. The real effects of these changes within alcoholic beverages can be expected to be seen in 2012.

Beer players lead sales

Beer, which is highly concentrated, is the most dynamic alcoholic beverages area in Serbia. In addition to the three popular standard domestic brands, which accounted for 60% of alcoholic drinks total volume sales in 2011, the popularity of famous brands (Amstel, Beck’s, Tuborg, etc.) - which have started to be produced in Serbian factories acquired by leading global players Anheuser-Busch InBev NV, Carlsberg and Heineken – is also increasing. Also, it should be noted that new niches such as non-alcoholic, flavoured low-alcoholic and wheat beer are also emerging.

Expansion of large discounters

Widespread distribution and lower prices have caused an increase in the popularity of larger retail formats such as supermarkets and hypermarkets. Until now, Serbia has lacked large discount chains. However, there have been announcements that this may change soon. Despite registering in Serbia in late 2010, famous discounter Lidl has not yet started operating, with the company’s first Serbian outlet not expected to open before 2012. It is expected that the arrival of discounters will significantly improve competition and result in a general drop in prices.

Further segmentation

The strong segmentation seen within beer could spread to other areas over the forecast period. As a result of the introduction of stricter drink driving legislation, it is expected that there will be a shift towards lower alcoholic drinks. On the other hand, the prohibition of the sale of alcoholic beverages after 22:00hrs introduced in the largest Serbian cities could affect off-trade sales, especially within beer, wines and RTDs.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Serbia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Serbia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Serbia for free:

The Alcoholic Drinks in Serbia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Alcoholic Drinks in Serbia?
  • What are the major brands in Serbia?
  • Have there been any alcoholic drinks legislative changes over the past 12 months?
  • How is the alcoholic drinks industry affected by the recession?
  • What is consumed more; beer, wine or spirits?
  • What have been the key trends seen in new product developments?
  • Do alcoholic drinks consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Alcoholic Drinks in Serbia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Crisis not yet over

Arrest of Ratko Mladic brings Serbia closer to joining EU

Beer players lead sales

Expansion of large discounters

Further segmentation

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

  • Table 1 Number of On-trade Establishments by Type 2006-2011

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 2 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 3 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 4 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011 (Jelen pivo 0.5L, Apatinska pivara doo)
  • Table 5 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011 (Vranac, Agrokombinat 13 Jul ad)
  • Table 6 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/parallel trade

KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES

  • Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 16 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 17 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Published data comparisons

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Alcoholic Drinks in Serbia - Company Profiles

BIP Beograd ad in Alcoholic Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Rubin AD in Alcoholic Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Tim 99 doo in Alcoholic Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Vinoprodukt-Coka doo in Alcoholic Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Beer in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the economic crisis and the large decline in beer consumption since 2009, the area remains very dynamic, with major players fighting intensively for sales share. Given that standard lager beer is near maturity, leading companies are beginning to focus on niche areas such as non-alcoholic beers, low-alcoholic beers, dark beers and flavoured beers by investing more and more resources in marketing activities.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Apatinska pivara continued to lead beer sales in 2011, recording a total volume share of 54% and sales of 263 million litres. The company’s leading Jelen pivo brand recorded sales of 155 million litres and led sales with a total volume share of 32%. Apatinska pivara is also the largest beer exporter in Serbia, with 25% of its total production leaving the country in 2010. Jelen is mainly exported to neighbouring countries but also some ‘exotic’ destinations such as Cuba. Carlsberg Srbija sold 122 million litres of beer in 2011 and ranked second within the area. The company’s main brand is its standard lager Lav. After the joint venture between Heineken and Efes Srbija in Ujedinjene Srpske Pivare in 2008, two breweries in Pancevo and Zajecar were incorporated into the new company, with production capacity increasing from 150 to 300 million litres.

PROSPECTS

  • Given the latest developments in the industry, especially key new launches, it is clear that beer is becoming increasingly differentiated, with a growing number of new niche products being introduced. On the other hand, a growing number of international premium brands are now produced in Serbia and more and more resources are being invested in their promotion. As a result, a continuation of the premiumisation trend can be expected over the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Lager price band methodology

  • Summary 11 Lager by Price Band 2011
  • Table 23 Number of Breweries 2006-2011

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Beer: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Beer by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Company Shares of Beer by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 35 Brand Shares of Beer 2008-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Cider/Perry in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although sales remain negligible, since being launched in March 2011 Somersby has become recognisable as a summer party drink and is especially popular among female consumers.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As an area which mainly targets young urban consumers, RTDs/high-strength premixes was strongly affected by the economic crisis and resulting high unemployment. The largest area, wine-based RTDs, recorded a 6% decline in on-trade volume sales and an 8% decline in off-trade volume sales in 2011 while spirit-based RTDs sales fell by 7% and 1% respectively. It is obvious that significantly higher on-trade spirit-based RTDs prices are forcing consumers to turn towards off-trade channels.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic producer Vinoprodukt-Coka entered RTDs/high-strength premixes with its wine-based RTD Di Luna Sangria in 2003. Although several producers appeared in the last three years, Di Luna Sangria still dominates sales, recording a total volume share of 64% in 2011. However, the brand is in decline, partly due to rising competition and partly due to the growing popularity of other areas and global players.

PROSPECTS

  • As a new area which attracts interest from young consumers, RTDs/high-strength premixes will play a more significant role within alcoholic drinks over the coming years. However, sales will remain limited during the forecast period. Growth will be fuelled by rising consumer purchasing power, with spirit-based RTDs and wine-based RTDs having respective forecast period total volume CAGRs of 3% and 2%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 45 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 46 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 47 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 49 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 50 Brand Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes 2008-2011
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Spirits in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After three years of decline (2008, 2009 and 2010), spirits is showing the first signs of recovery. Although sales in most areas continued to decline in 2011, overall total volume and total current value sales increased by 1% and 9% respectively as a result of the strong rise in demand for fruit-based spirits (other spirits) and bitters, which accounted for more than half of spirits sales in 2011 (12 million litres).

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • As a result of their excellent distribution and marketing strategies, which are oriented primarily towards the on-trade segment, SI&SI Group led spirits sales in 2011, recording a total volume share of 22%. The company’s success can be attributed to the popularity of its Gorki list bitters brand, which recorded a total volume share of 78%. Rubin, which produces the traditional Vinjak brand, ranked second in 2011 with a total volume share of 19%. Vinjak recorded a total volume share of 78% in 2011. Once by far the most popular brand within spirits, Vinjak’s sales are now in decline, partly because of poor marketing and partly because of the general decline in the popularity of brandy, which is now highly mature and considered a drink for older consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The post-crisis recovery will differ within all areas over the coming years. Sprits has a projected total volume CAGR of 2%. In addition to other spirits (fruit-based spirits) and whiskies, which each have a projected total volume CAGR of 4%, rum and gin also have strong potential thanks to the growing popularity of mixed drinks and cocktails. On the other hand, brandy has reached a high level of maturity and has a total volume CAGR of -2%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Spirits Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Brandy & Cognac Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Gin Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Liqueurs Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 67 Vodka Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Other Spirits Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Company Shares of Spirits by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 70 Company Shares of Spirits by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 71 Brand Shares of Spirits 2008-2011
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Wine in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Many years without investment in wine and economic isolation means that Serbian wines tend to be of low quality. In addition, wine consumption is declining and stood at just 6 litres per capita in 2011. Although the state has subsidised the renovation of vineyards and the establishment of new wineries, this has had no significant impact on the popularity of wine and consumption.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Multinational companies are not very strong within wine. Much stronger competition comes from regional wines, which are of good quality and competitively priced. The biggest threat to domestic wines is the availability of good quality and lower priced wine from Macedonia. As one of the main Macedonian export products, wine enjoys strong support from the government as a result of lower taxation for farmers (from 18% to 5%), production subventions (EUR 1 per kilo of grapes) and unlimited imports in Serbia. The biggest producers are Skovin and Vinarska Vizba Tikveš.

PROSPECTS

  • A growing number of small Serbian wineries are making premium wines with good export potential. Podrum Vina Aleksandrovic, Vinarija Kovacevic, Kuca Vina Zivkovic and Podrum Radovanovic are some of the most famous wineries in the country and represent a new approach to wine production. The fact all of these wineries are located in traditional wine regions is important for their image and popularity. Although they still suffer from bad economic conditions and strong competition, these wineries represent a good base for future production and the first good results can be expected towards the end of the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 76 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 83 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Wine Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Alcoholic Drinks
    • Beer
      • Dark Beer
        • Lager
          • Premium Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
          • Standard Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
          • Economy Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Lager by Origin
          • Domestic Lager
            • Domestic Premium Lager
            • Domestic Standard Lager
            • Domestic Economy Lager
          • Imported Lager
            • Imported Premium Lager
            • Imported Standard Lager
            • Imported Economy Lager
        • Low/Non- Alcohol Beer
          • Low Alcohol Beer
          • Non-Alcoholic Beer
        • Stout
      • Cider/Perry
      • RTDs/High-Strength Premixes
        • High-Strength Premixes
        • RTDs
          • Malt-Based RTDs
          • Spirit-Based RTDs
          • Wine-Based RTDs
          • Other RTDs
      • Spirits
        • Brandy and Cognac
          • Brandy
          • Cognac
        • Liqueurs
          • Bitters
          • Cream-Based Liqueurs
          • Other Liqueurs
        • Rum
          • Dark Rum
          • White Rum
        • Tequila (and Mezcal)
        • Whiskies
          • Bourbon/Other US Whiskey
          • Canadian Whisky
          • Irish Whiskey
          • Japanese Whisky
          • Blended Scotch Whisky
            • Blended Malt Scotch Whisky
            • Other Blended Scotch Whisky
          • Single Malt Scotch Whisky
          • Other Whiskies
        • White Spirits
          • Gin
            • English Gin
            • Dutch Gin
          • Vodka
        • Other Spirits
        • Wine
          • Fortified Wine and Vermouth
            • Non-Grape Wine
              • Sparkling Wine
                • Champagne
                • Other Sparkling Wine
              • Still Light Grape Wine
                • Still Red Wine
                • Still Rosé Wine
                • Still White Wine

          Statistics Included

          Statistics Included

          For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

          From Passport

          • Market sizes
          • Company shares
          • Brand shares
          • Distribution
          • Distribution
          • Exports by country - value
          • Exports by country - volume
          • Imports by country - value
          • Imports by country - volume
          • Off-trade vs on-trade
          • Pricing
          • Products by ingredient
          • Products by ingredient
          • Trade statistics - value
          • Trade statistics - volume

          Market size details:

          • Off-trade volume
          • Off-trade volume % growth
          • Off-trade volume per capita
          • On-trade volume
          • On-trade volume % growth
          • On-trade volume per capita
          • Total volume
          • Total volume % growth
          • Total volume per capita
          • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
          • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price % growth
          • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
          • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
          • Off-trade rtd volume
          • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
          • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
          • On-trade rtd volume
          • On-trade rtd volume % growth
          • On-trade rtd volume per capita
          • Total rtd volume
          • Total rtd volume % growth
          • Total rtd volume per capita
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
          • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita

          Methodology

          Methodology

          Global insight and local knowledge

          With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

          This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

          Industry specialists

          Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

          Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

          The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

          Country and regional analysts

          Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

          In-country research network

          To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

          Research Methodology

          Our research methods

          Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

          Desk research

          With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

          • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
          • National and international trade press
          • National and international trade associations
          • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
          • Company financials and annual reports
          • Broker reports
          • Online databases
          • The financial, business and mainstream press

          Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

          Store checks

          Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

          • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
          • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
          • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
          • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

          Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

          Trade survey

          Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

          Trade surveys allow us to:

          • Fill gaps in available published data per company
          • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
          • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
          • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

          In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

          Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

          Company analysis

          At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

          At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

          Forecasts

          Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

          Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

          Data validation

          All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

          The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

          Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

          Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

          Market analysis

          Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

          Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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