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Country Report

Baby Food in Canada

Price: US$900

About this Report

Executive Summary

TRENDS

  • In 2012, retail sales of baby food are set to increase by 1% in current value terms, to reach C$532 million. With Canada’s latest census data from 2011 showing an 11% increase between 2006 and 2011 in the toddler population (aged four and under), it is not surprising that demand for baby milk formula and prepared food remains solid. According to 2011 census data, more Canadians are having children across all provinces, with the national birth rate slightly rising from 1.59 in 2006 to 1.67 in 2009 (latest figure available). Experts point to two factors contributing to this growth in the birth rate. First, as the children of baby boomers reach their late 20s and early 30s, Canada is seeing more women aged 20 to 34 – traditional child-rearing years – planning to start their own families. Secondly, these women are more confident about their decision to have children, in part because there are more government policies available to support families, such as parental leave and day care programmes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Baby food in Canada is largely led by three global manufacturers – Nestlé Canada, Mead Johnson Nutrition and Abbott Laboratories – which are expected to account for a combined 68% share of retail value sales in 2012. Nestlé Canada is expected to remain in the lead with a 25% value share, followed by Mead Johnson with 22% and Abbott Laboratories with 21%. Nestlé Canada continues to dominate standard milk formula; expected to account for a 36% share of value sales in 2012, thanks to its leading brand Nestlé Good Start. It is also expected to hold the second highest share in follow-on milk formula, reaching 36% in 2012.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period retail sales of baby food are projected to increase by a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms, reaching C$563 million in 2017. Despite a surprising increase in the birth rate between 2006 and 2011, trade sources anticipate that women (as well as men) in their late 20s and early 30s may hold off starting families of their own for a while, amidst growing financial constraints, in light of ongoing economic instability both within and outside of Canada. The latest economic data show that more and more young professionals are choosing to live at home with their parents in an effort to pay off their debts (such as student loans), whilst also saving up for big expenses (such as a car or a house). Such circumstances often push marriage further down the list, making having a family even more of a distant “to do” item. Consequently, demand for baby food is likely to slow down over the next few years, with sales largely sustained by current new mothers whose children are reaching toddler age.

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Baby Food industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Baby Food industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Baby Food in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Baby Food in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • How are latest breastfeeding rates impacting retail performance?
  • Are government initiatives to promote breastfeeding constraining market performance?
  • What are market opportunities for higher priced functional, organic and ethically sourced baby food?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Baby Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2012
  • Table 6 Baby Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 7 Baby Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 8 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Packaged Food in Canada - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

As recovery remains slow discounting in foods is rampant

Private label reaching for luxury

Product development and marketing in highly competitive environment

Grocery retailers continue to re-invent themselves

Modest growth ahead

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic recovery is slower than anticipated

Competition among retailers intense and price wars not always an answer

Private label is experimenting with super premium and luxury segment

Many grocery retailers doubt benefits of e-commerce

Health and wellness remains on the agenda

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 15 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 18 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 19 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 20 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 21 Company Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2008-2012
  • Table 22 Brand Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2009-2012
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 28 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 29 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 30 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 31 Company Shares of Meal Solutions 2008-2012
  • Table 32 Brand Shares of Meal Solutions 2009-2012
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Company Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2008-2012
  • Table 42 Brand Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2009-2012
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MARKET DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 48 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 49 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 51 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 52 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 53 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2009-2012
  • Table 54 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2007-2012
  • Table 55 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 56 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Baby Food
    • Dried Baby Food
    • Milk Formula
      • Standard Milk Formula
        • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
        • Powder Standard Milk Formula
      • Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
      • Toddler Milk Formula
        • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
        • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
      • Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
    • Prepared Baby Food
    • Other Baby Food

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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