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Country Report

Baby Food in Canada

Nov 2010

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Baby Food industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Baby Food industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Baby Food in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Baby Food in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • How are latest breastfeeding rates impacting retail performance?
  • Are government initiatives to promote breastfeeding constraining market performance?
  • What are market opportunities for higher priced functional, organic and ethically sourced baby food?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • Overall retail value sales of baby food grew by 2% in current value terms to reach C$515 million in 2010. Although Canada’s declining birth rate largely hampered the performance of baby food throughout the review period, a number of demographic changes as well as shifting consumer trends offset the loss, including an increase in the rate of births in Canada in 2007/2008, bolstered by women over the age of 30 who gave birth more than any other age group. An increase in the number of newborns gave rise to demand for a number of baby-related products, including milk formula and other foods for children.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Baby food in Canada is led by four manufacturers which together accounted for 83% of total retail sales in 2009. Nestlé Canada Inc retained its lead with 24% value share, closely followed by Mead Johnson Nutrition Co, Abbott Laboratories Inc, and HJ Heinz Co of Canada Ltd. A highly consolidated category explains slow share movement between companies and brands from year to year.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall retail sales of baby food are projected to grow at a constant value CAGR of 1%, reaching nearly C$537 million in 2015. Despite Canada’s slow projected birth rate, other demographic changes and shifts in consumer behaviour will likely help support demand and value sales for baby food. In light of continual demand for organic food as well as increasing number of new migrants settling in Canada as well as a reported increase in the number of children with food allergies, product innovation and segmentation will continue to take place as manufacturers seek to cater to different consumer needs and preferences.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Baby Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Overall retail value sales of baby food grew by 2% in current value terms to reach C$515 million in 2010. Although Canada’s declining birth rate largely hampered the performance of baby food throughout the review period, a number of demographic changes as well as shifting consumer trends offset the loss, including an increase in the rate of births in Canada in 2007/2008, bolstered by women over the age of 30 who gave birth more than any other age group. An increase in the number of newborns gave rise to demand for a number of baby-related products, including milk formula and other foods for children.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Baby food in Canada is led by four manufacturers which together accounted for 83% of total retail sales in 2009. Nestlé Canada Inc retained its lead with 24% value share, closely followed by Mead Johnson Nutrition Co, Abbott Laboratories Inc, and HJ Heinz Co of Canada Ltd. A highly consolidated category explains slow share movement between companies and brands from year to year.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall retail sales of baby food are projected to grow at a constant value CAGR of 1%, reaching nearly C$537 million in 2015. Despite Canada’s slow projected birth rate, other demographic changes and shifts in consumer behaviour will likely help support demand and value sales for baby food. In light of continual demand for organic food as well as increasing number of new migrants settling in Canada as well as a reported increase in the number of children with food allergies, product innovation and segmentation will continue to take place as manufacturers seek to cater to different consumer needs and preferences.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 6 Baby Food Company Shares 2005-2009
  • Table 7 Baby Food Brand Shares 2006-2009
  • Table 8 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Packaged Food in Canada - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Slow economic recovery impacts sales

Debates over healthier food choices shape operating environment

Modest gains made by private label

Strength of grocery discounter format

Modest growth in retail and recovery of foodservice ahead

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Mature market and slow pace of economic recovery keep sales in check

Healthier nutrition choices remain in focus

Changing consumer make-up a factor behind new flavours and ingredients

Overall modest gains for private label

Discount retail remains on the agenda

MARKET DATA

  • Table 13 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 18 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 19 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2009
  • Table 20 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2009
  • Table 21 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Baby Food
    • Dried Baby Food
    • Milk Formula
      • Standard Milk Formula
        • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
        • Powder Standard Milk Formula
      • Follow-On Milk Formula
        • Liquid Follow-On Milk Formula
        • Powder Follow-On Milk Formula
      • Toddler Milk Formula
        • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
        • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
      • Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
    • Prepared Baby Food
    • Other Baby Food

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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