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Country Report

Beauty and Personal Care in New Zealand

Sep 2012

Price: US$2,400

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Value sales surge, while volume growth remains marginal

Value sales growth of the beauty and personal care market in New Zealand during 2011 increased in line with the review period value growth, showing that innovation within the industry continued during 2011. Volume sales, however, increased to a much lesser extent, thereby demonstrating the still cautious behaviour of consumers as they continued to face discretionary spending pressures during 2011. Age compression (where children are growing up quicker than previous generations demanding adult products at an earlier age) and the grey market impacted beauty and personal care during 2011, changing the marketing focus of manufacturers and resulting in price discounting within fragrances.

Innovation remains key with trends towards prevention and natural ingredients

During 2011 innovation remained crucial to driving growth within beauty and personal care in New Zealand. New product development was seen across all beauty and personal care categories, with the introduction of higher SPF sun care products and the launch of New Zealand’s first Blemish Balm (BB) cream by Garnier. Furthermore, beauty and personal care manufacturers became more deeply focused on prevention. This was seen in skin care through even more sophisticated anti-ageing products. Lastly, there was an observed shift towards incorporating natural ingredients within beauty and personal care products during 2011. This was clearly demonstrated within hair care, with the arrival of argan oil through products such as Moroccan oil and Elixir Ultime by Kerastase.

Consolidation closes the gap between the two top players

Procter & Gamble continued to lead in beauty and personal care during 2011. Unilever followed close behind, exhibiting a positive increase in value share due to the company’s acquisition of several Alberto-Culver brands during 2011. Consequently, Alberto-Culver lost share during 2011 as a result of its divestment. Unilever’s acquisition decreased the gap between itself and leading player Procter & Gamble during 2011.

Supermarkets reign supreme

Store-based retailing continued to dominate value sales in beauty and personal care during 2011, accounting for a majority share. Supermarkets represented the top performers, holding steady with just under half the market, while internet retailing sales grew slightly. Chemists/pharmacies and departments stores continued to represent the second and third most popular distribution channels during 2011.

Sustained price competition expected to result in moderate forecast growth

Beauty and personal care constant value sales are expected to increase slightly over the forecast period, in line with constant value review period growth. Price competition in fragrances and colour cosmetics is expected to remain high, however new product development and innovation across all beauty and personal care categories are expected to drive value growth over the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Beauty and Personal Care industry in New Zealand with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Beauty and Personal Care industry in New Zealand, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in New Zealand for free:

The Beauty and Personal Care in New Zealand market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Beauty and Personal Care in New Zealand?
  • What are the major brands in New Zealand?
  • How are sales of mass versus premium beauty products evolving?
  • What are the key shifts in retail channel distribution?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Beauty and Personal Care market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Beauty and Personal Care in New Zealand - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Value sales surge, while volume growth remains marginal

Innovation remains key with trends towards prevention and natural ingredients

Consolidation closes the gap between the two top players

Supermarkets reign supreme

Sustained price competition expected to result in moderate forecast growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Demand for anti-ageing products increases in line with the ageing population

The grey market continues to threaten traditional distribution channels

Burgeoning demand for natural and organic products

Leading companies clamber to appeal to the male market

Age compression results in increased demand from teenagers and “tweens”

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of Premium Cosmetics by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales of Premium Cosmetics by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Beauty and Personal Care Company Shares by NBO 2007-2011
  • Table 6 Beauty and Personal Care Company Shares by GBO 2007-2011
  • Table 7 Beauty and Personal Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 8 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Category and by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Beauty and Personal Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Premium Cosmetics by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Premium Cosmetics by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Beauty and Personal Care in New Zealand - Company Profiles

API Consumer Brands NZ Ltd in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 API Consumer Brands: Competitive Position 2011

Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Ltd in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Cancer Society of New Zealand Inc in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Cancer Society of New Zealand Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Lush (New Zealand) Ltd in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

INTERNET STRATEGY

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 12 Lush (New Zealand) Ltd: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Lush (New Zealand) Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Mix Ltd in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Mix Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Red Seal Natural Health Ltd in Beauty and Personal Care (New Zealand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Red Seal Natural Health Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Baby and Child-specific Products in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baby and child-specific products in New Zealand increased in value by 6% during 2011 while volume sales across most of the category also experienced positive growth. This was despite a decrease in birth rates across the country during 2011. The number of live births increased from 62,543 in 2009 to 63,897 in 2010. However the number of live births decreased to 61,403 in 2011. Consequently volume sales of baby and child-specific products have been less robust than value sales during 2011. Value sales have also been driven in part by the increase in Goods and Services Tax (GST) which took place in October 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Johnson & Johnson remained the leading player in baby and child-specific products in New Zealand during 2011 with a value share of 27%. Following the trend seen over the review period, there were few beauty and personal care products aimed specifically at children and babies available in New Zealand during 2011, and the majority of these products were positioned exclusively for babies.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of baby and child-specific products in New Zealand are expected to increase by a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms over the forecast period. This is compared with review period constant value CAGR of 3%. This suggests that while a certain number of consumers are demanding more premium products, over the forecast period unit price movement is expected to be negative for certain categories. Unit prices of medicated baby and child-specific products are expected to increase at a constant CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. Similarly, baby and child-specific sun care unit prices are expected to increase at a constant CAGR of less than 1% over the forecast period. Conversely, unit prices of other baby and child-specific products are predicted to decrease at a forecast constant CAGR of 1%. It is expected that due to continuing discretionary spending issues, certain consumers will remain price conscious during the forecast period. Furthermore, supermarket discounting is expected to take place over the forecast period and given the weight supermarkets lend to this category, this will have a considerable impact on baby and child-specific products during this period. Discounting strategies are not expected to be extended, rather promotional deals are anticipated to be short yet frequent over the forecast period, in an attempt to draw consumers into outlets.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Baby and Child-specific Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Baby and Child-specific Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Baby and Child-specific Products Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Baby and Child-specific Products Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 19 Baby and Child-specific Products Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 20 Baby and Child-specific Products Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 21 Baby and Child-specific Skin Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 22 Baby and Child-specific Sun Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Baby and Child-specific Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Baby and Child-specific Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Baby and Child-specific Products Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016

Bath and Shower in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value sales of bath and shower increased by 4% during 2011. This was in line with review period CAGR of 4%. Innovation and product line extension characterised 2011 with new product developments taking place across several categories within bath and shower. Reckitt Benckiser launched the Dettol No Touch Hand Wash System Stainless Steel Look with aloe vera, vitamin E and moisturisers and the Dettol Healthy Touch Moisturising Hand Sanitiser (in both 50ml and 200ml packaging) during May 2011. The Dettol No Touch range was initially launched in August 2010 and the stainless steel variant was developed by the company for consumers to use in the kitchen. Furthermore the Moisturising Hand Sanitiser is a two-in-one product that sanitises hands and moisturises at the same time. Mix launched two new bath and shower ranges under its Dominate and Primal Earth banners. The company launched the new Dominate shower gel range named Don’t Just Stink, Dominate Your Stink during 2011. The product is available in fresh and musk scents and retailed at NZ$5.99. Furthermore, Mix launched a new organic body wash range under Primal Earth which was comprised of a shower gel, shower cream and shower scrub. Some 96% of the ingredients are derived from natural sources and the bottle has a convenient hook. Primal Earth does not contain parabens, SLS, ethoxylates or phthalates.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever led bath and shower sales during 2011 with a value share of 29%. The company the lead from Colgate-Palmolive during 2011 as a result of its acquisition of the Radox, St Ives and Simple brands from Alberto-Culver. Unilever’s value sales increased by 52% during 2011 as a result of this purchase. In addition to its recently acquired Alberto-Culver brands the company owns Dove and Lux. Unilever distinguishes its Dove brand from its rivals in bar soap and body wash by its addition of a moisturising cream. Furthermore Unilever releases a limited edition Dove Pink body wash/shower gel and bar soap every year to raise funds for the New Zealand Breast Cancer Foundation. The Dove brand is regularly advertised on New Zealand television, however, advertising is focused on the Dove skin care range, rather than Dove bath and shower products. Recently Unilever introduced a new range of Lux body washes including the following scents: Lux Magical Spell; Lux Secret Bliss; Lux Shea Exfoliating Scrub; Lux Tropical Sunset; Lux Tahitian Escape Exfoliating; Lux Indulge; and Lux Luminous Touch.

PROSPECTS

  • Bath and shower sales are expected to increase by a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period, compared to a constant value review period CAGR of 1% over the review period. This suggests that value sales will continue to increase partly as a result of growing unit price movement. Unit prices of bar soap, bath additives, liquid soap and talcum powder are expected to rise by a forecast CAGR of 1% in constant terms. On the other hand body wash/shower gel unit prices are expected to remain somewhat static over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Sales of Bath and Shower by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Bath and Shower by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Bath and Shower Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Bath and Shower Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Bath and Shower Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Bath and Shower Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Bath and Shower by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Bath and Shower by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Bath and Shower Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016

Colour Cosmetics in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value sales of colour cosmetics grew by 3% during 2011. This was compared with value sales growth of 4% from 2009 to 2010. While colour cosmetics’ value sales were still positive during 2011, mass brand price discounting led to lower growth when comparing 2011 with the previous year. Unit price movement for colour cosmetics was also positive, however, this was primarily due to premium brands holding their price points during 2011. Premium colour cosmetics accounted for 42% of colour cosmetic value sales during 2011. Examples of premium brands include Elizabeth Arden, Estée Lauder, Lancôme, Clinique, Clarins, Sei Bella and Shiseido. Mass brands include Maybelline, Cover Girl, Revlon and L’Oréal Perfection.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • L’Oréal was the leading player in colour cosmetics during 2011 with a value share of 24%. The company experienced a 3% increase in value sales between 2010 and 2011 on the back of its highly successful brands Maybelline, Lancôme, L’Oréal Perfection and The Body Shop. The company dominated all four categories of colour cosmetics, ranking first across eye make-up, facial make-up, lip products and nail products. In terms of brand positioning, Maybelline is the company’s lower-end mass colour cosmetics brand, while L’Oréal Perfection and the Body Shop hold a mid-price position within mass. Lancôme is L’Oréal’s flagship premium brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of colour cosmetics are expected to increase by a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. Mascara is expected to be the highest growth category over the forecast period with a constant value CAGR of 2%. Blusher/bronzer/highlighter constant value sales are also expected to rise by a forecast CAGR of 2%. Foundation/concealer is also expected to achieve positive forecast growth with constant value sales increasing by a CAGR of 1%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Colour Cosmetics by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Colour Cosmetics by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Colour Cosmetics Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Colour Cosmetics Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 39 Colour Cosmetics Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 40 Eye Make-up Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 41 Facial Make-up Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 42 Lip Products Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 43 Nail Products Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Colour Cosmetics Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Colour Cosmetics by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Colour Cosmetics by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Deodorants in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Overall current value sales of deodorants increased by 2% in 2011 to reach NZ$55 million, however, this was higher than the CAGR of 1% for the review period with value sales growth during 2011 largely stemming from inflationary pressures over the year.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever was the leading player in deodorants during 2011 and held a value share of 64%. The company is present in all deodorant categories (besides pumps) and markets several brands, including Lynx, Dove, Rexona and Impulse. Value sales of the company increased by 2% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of deodorants are expected to decrease by a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. In terms of volume sales, all deodorant categories (with the exception of deodorant sprays) are expected to experience negative CAGRs of between 1% and 5%. This is because deodorants are considered everyday beauty and personal care products and therefore consumer demand is relatively inelastic. Forecast constant value CAGR of -1% is expected to be higher than the constant value review period CAGR of -2%. This reflects the fact that unit prices are expected to decrease at a slower rate over the forecast period, when compared with the review period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Deodorants by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Deodorants by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Deodorants Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Deodorants Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 51 Deodorants Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 52 Deodorants Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of Deodorants by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of Deodorants by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Deodorants Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016

Depilatories in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • New packaging, different delivery systems and quicker removal times have driven depilatories sales since 2010. New packaging regulations have resulted in manufacturers taking more care and being more explicit with regard to warnings and directions of use on-pack. This has led to hair remover/bleach brands, such as Marzena and Nads, updating their packaging.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Procter & Gamble continued to lead in depilatories in 2011, with a value share of 36%. However, over 2010/2011 all of the Gillette women’s razors and blades products (with the exception of the disposable Gillette Daisy brand) were absorbed under the Gillette Venus brand, which has meant some brand deletions and consolidation. However, despite this, Procter & Gamble continued to dominate in both women’s razors and blades with a value share of 61% and in women’s pre-shave with a value share of 75%. The company does not operate in hair removers/bleaches.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that manufacturers will continue to target more specific needs in depilatory products over the forecast period. Examples of specific needs and areas include bikini wax strips, bikini trim razors and facial hair removers. Products with specific purposes will drive growth in depilatories over the forecast period. Consequently, constant value sales of depilatories are set to increase by a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period reaching NZ$14 million in 2016. Forecast constant value growth is expected to be just below the review period CAGR of 1%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 56 Sales of Depilatories by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Depilatories by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Depilatories Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 59 Depilatories Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Depilatories by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Depilatories by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Fragrances in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Price-conscious consumers shopped around for fragrances searching for lower prices, with other non-grocery retailers, including grey market channels, mass merchandisers and internet retailers, winning out over traditional channels, such as department stores and pharmacies. The former sold similar branded premium fragrances but at lower prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Elizabeth Arden continued to lead fragrances in 2011 with a value share of 14%. The company’s flagship brands Red Door and White Diamonds continued to make up the top five fragrances sold in New Zealand during 2011. Furthermore, the company’s range of Britney Spears Inc brand extensions continued to be popular and a new fragrance called Cosmic Radiance was added to the range in 2011. This brand was popular among younger consumers. Taylor Swift’s new fragrance, Wonderstruck was launched in the latter half of 2011. The fragrance is likely to become more popular as the singer tours New Zealand in the early part of 2012, and promotion of the fragrance is likely to occur around key touring dates. Elizabeth Arden also launched a new men’s range of Rocowear Evolution in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that mass merchandisers and other non-grocery retailers (parallel importing outlets) will continue to engage in competitive pricing strategies for premium fragrances over the forecast period. This will lead to consumer perceptions that some brands are less premium compared to other fragrances that are rarely found through the grey market, such as the Chanel brand. Celebrity fragrances are likely to create a more masstige market over the forecast period, as they have a lower price point than fashion or designer house fragrances.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Fragrances by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Fragrances by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Fragrances Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Fragrances Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 66 Men's Premium Fragrances Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Women's Premium Fragrances Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Fragrances by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Fragrances by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Sales of Fragrances by Concentration: % Value Analysis 2006-2011

Hair Care in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Hair care value sales increased by 4% in 2011, which was in line with the review period CAGR and 2010 value growth. Major trends driving growth within hair care during 2011 included a focus on natural ingredients and nutrients, as well as high performance formulas and hair protection. Manufacturers launched several new product developments throughout the year to attract consumer demand in an increasingly competitive market.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever led hair care sales in 2011 with a value share of 26%. The company’s value sales increased by 69% during 2011 as a result of the company’s acquisition of several beauty and personal care brands from Alberto-Culver. As a result, Unilever ’s company share within hair care increased from 16% in 2010 to 26% in 2011. The brands that were acquired by Unilever included Alberto Balsam, Alberto VO5 and Andrew Collinge.

PROSPECTS

  • Hair care value sales are expected to increase at a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. High levels of innovation and new product development are expected to keep competitive activity high during the forecast period. The forecast CAGR is expected to be in line with the constant value review period CAGR of 1%. This is due to the fact that unit price movement is expected to be moderate over the forecast period across all hair care categories.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 71 Sales of Hair Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of Hair Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Hair Care Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Styling Agents by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Hair Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 76 Hair Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 77 Styling Agents Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 78 Colourants Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 79 Salon Hair Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Salon Hair Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Hair Care Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Hair Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Hair Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Hair Care Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016

Men's Grooming in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value sales of men’s grooming increased by 5% during 2011 to reach NZ$101 million. The 2011 value sales growth was in line with that of the previous year which highlights that there is still room for expansion within this category. Innovation and new product development is a major growth driver for men’s grooming.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Procter & Gamble led men’s grooming in New Zealand during 2011 with a 43% value share. The company was ranked number one in men’s shaving with a 68% value share, however its presence in men’s toiletries was less strong with a mere 5% value share. The company’s dominance within men’s shaving is due to its Gillette brand. Gillette Mach 3 was the top performing men’s shaving brand during 2011, with a 34% brand share. Other Gillette brands include Gillette Series, Gillette Fusion and Gillette Sensor Excel. Procter & Gamble was the leading company in men’s razors and blades during 2011, holding a company share of 73%.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of men’s grooming are expected to increase at a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period. The forecast CAGR will be in line with review period CAGR at 2% and this suggests that growth will be gradual over the forecast period. Forecast growth also reflects the fact that men’s grooming accounts for a small percentage of beauty and personal care overall, and that while men’s shaving represents a developed category, men’s bath and shower and men’s skin care are still at the preliminary stages.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 85 Sales of Men’s Grooming by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Men’s Grooming by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Sales of Men's Razors and Blades by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 88 Men’s Grooming Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 89 Men’s Grooming Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 90 Men's Razors and Blades Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Men’s Grooming by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Men’s Grooming by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Oral Care in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The key trend in oral care during 2011 was the development of more professional products for better maintenance of the teeth and mouth. The strong dental campaign of “brush, floss, rinse” continued while the development of products that replicate professional dental equipment, such as teeth whitening products, inter-dental kits and power brushes gained popularity. Such products were used by consumers in between dental visits.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Colgate-Palmolive remained the strongest oral care company in New Zealand with a value share of 38% in 2011. The company owns leading oral care brand Colgate Total, which held a value share of 21% during 2011. Colgate-Palmolive operates in nearly every category of oral care except for mouth fresheners and denture care. The Colgate Total brand remains strong, dominating in toothpaste. However, other brands within the Colgate-Palmolive portfolio continued to gain share over the review period.

PROSPECTS

  • The forecast trend in oral care will be the ongoing development of convenient disposable products, such as the new Colgate Wisp designed to be used only once and then disposed of. In addition, dental floss picks are now available which are also disposable. Power toothbrushes (known as sonic) although battery operated are now being designed without the need for a replacement head, therefore consumers are expected to purchase a completely new toothbrush unit. This is likely to have a negative impact on the battery replacement head category, which is forecast to demonstrate a negative 1% CAGR in constant value sales over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 93 Sales of Oral Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 94 Sales of Oral Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Sales of Toothbrushes by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Sales of Toothbrushes by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Sales of Toothpaste by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 98 Oral Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 99 Oral Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 100 Toothpaste Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 101 Mouthwashes/Dental Rinses Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Oral Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Oral Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Manual and Power Toothbrushes by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Manual and Power Toothbrushes by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Sales of Manual Toothbrushes by Type: % Value Analysis 2006-2011

Sets/Kits in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although Christmas remained the peak time for the sale of sets/kits in New Zealand, the popularity of travel kits and miniature sets resulted in sales growth at other times of the year during 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • L’Oréal led in sets/kits in 2011 with a value share of 10%. The Body Shop continued to be the strongest brand in L’Oréal’s portfolio of sets/kits. The Body Shop performs well at Christmas time offering a variety of personal care and toiletry gift boxes where customers can hand select products and staff will gift wrap the products as a gift basket. Other brands offering sets/kits included premium skin care and colour cosmetics brand Lancôme, particularly at Christmas time and during promotional times of the year with gift-with-purchase items. Lancôme offered a cross-promotional gift set during Christmas 2011: the Lancôme Hypnose Precious Cells Set consisting of a mascara, a kohl pencil along with the Lancôme Bi-Facil eye cleanser lotion (skin care product). Nonetheless, Christmas 2011 also saw L’Oréal perform well in sets/kits due to its mass range of skin care for both men and women. This included the L’Oréal Age Reperfect Set and the L’Oréal Revitalift Set (containing a day and night cream plus a L’Oréal mascara). L’Oréal offered a similar set/kit for men, with the L’Oréal Men Expert Vitalift Set and the L’Oréal Hydra Energetic Set (containing a cleanser, shaving gel, moisturiser and a sports towel).

PROSPECTS

  • Sets/kits is forecast to grow by a constant value CAGR of 2% reaching NZ$68 million by 2016. Christmas remains the key focus for gift sets, however the growing popularity of travel kits, miniature kits and sample packs will see sets/kits extend beyond festive periods of the year. In addition, these small pack sizes offer a good introduction for new launches, considering consumers are able to purchase such products at more affordable prices and trial them before committing to the purchase of the more expensive larger sized products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 107 Sales of Sets/Kits: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Sales of Sets/Kits: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Sets/Kits Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Sets/Kits Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 111 Sets/Kits Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 112 Sets/Kits Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 113 Forecast Sales of Sets/Kits: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Sets/Kits: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Forecast Sets/Kits Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016

Skin Care in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, masstige products competed against premium lines which resulted in premium skin care demonstrating minor growth in both value and volume terms. As masstige brands, particularly in the anti-ageing category, claim similar benefits to premium brands but at a lower price, many consumers are foregoing expensive brands for cheaper alternatives as spending continued to remain tight within New Zealand’s strained economic environment. In addition, parallel imports of masstige skin care brands have made them extremely competitive against the higher priced premium brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • L’Oréal continued to lead in skin care with a value share of 17% in 2011. Having a range of brands that cover premium, masstige and mass lines, and ranked in the top three in almost all skin care categories, L’Oréal continued to hold the number one position. The Body Shop brand, having a range of stores throughout New Zealand, maintained a 6% brand share and ranked second, while the L’Oréal Dermo-Expertise brand ranked fourth with 5%, and Lancôme, a premium brand, ranked fourteenth overall with a brand share of just under 3% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that the masstige market will continue to threaten the premium skin care market over the forecast period due to better formulations and competitive pricing. Although premium skin care brands are not yet sold through mass merchandisers, they are being sold at lower prices through parallel importers, clearance outlets and internet retailing. If mass merchandisers open the door to parallel imported premium skin care brands, as they have for premium fragrances, it is likely that the value growth of premium brands will decrease and high-end retailers will be forced to compete on price accordingly.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 116 Sales of Skin Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 117 Sales of Skin Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Face Masks: Skin Whitening vs Non-Skin Whitening: % Value Breakdown 2008-2011
  • Table 119 Facial Cleansers: Skin Whitening vs Non-Skin Whitening: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 120 Facial Moisturisers: Skin Whitening vs Non-Skin Whitening: % Value Breakdown 2008-2011
  • Table 121 Anti-Agers: Skin Whitening vs Non-Skin Whitening: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 122 Toners: Skin Whitening vs Non-Skin Whitening: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 123 Skin Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 124 Skin Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 125 Facial Moisturisers Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 126 Anti-agers Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 127 Firming/Anti-cellulite Body Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 128 General Purpose Body Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 129 Skin Care Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 130 Forecast Sales of Skin Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 131 Forecast Sales of Skin Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sun Care in New Zealand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Self-tanning has been seen as less aligned to the sun care category with some companies having opted to depart the category during 2011 and over the review period. Due to these rationalisations by mainly mass self-tanning brands, this has opened the door for premium brands, particularly in artificial preparation self tanning products. However, overall the self-tanning category remained in decline in terms of both value and volume growth, with sales decreasing by 1% respectively in 2011 .

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Cancer Society New Zealand continued to lead in sun care, being the dominant brand in both sun protection and aftersun, with an overall value share of 33%. The Cancer Society remained a trusted brand based on the company’s ethics, namely a not for profit organisation dedicated to reducing the incidence of cancer. Sun burn is linked to skin cancer, particularly melanoma, which is estimated to kill 250 people in New Zealand each year. The Cancer Society New Zealand continued to support Sun Smart, an educational programme run through schools highlighting awareness around children becoming sunburnt. The campaign is said to have reached 102,000 children over the 2010/2011 summer period.

PROSPECTS

  • Sun care is forecast to grow at a constant value CAGR of 2%, reaching a retail value of NZ$29 million by 2016. Sun care continued to be an innovative and dynamic category in terms of product formulation, application and product formats during 2011. The development of this category is expected to continue over the forecast period. New Zealand tends to be an early adopter of new technology in sun care due to consumer awareness and the depletion in the ozone layer, making New Zealanders more susceptible to harmful UV rays.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 132 Sales of Sun Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Sales of Sun Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Sun Care Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 135 Sun Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 136 Sun Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 137 Sun Care Premium Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Sun Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales of Sun Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 140 Forecast Sun Care Premium Vs Mass % Analysis 2011-2016
  • Table 141 Sales of Sun Protection by Formulation: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 142 Sales of Self-Tanning by Formulation: % Value Analysis 2006-2011

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Beauty and Personal Care
    • Baby and Child-specific Products
      • Baby and Child-specific Hair Care
      • Baby and Child-specific Skin Care
      • Baby and Child-specific Sun Care
      • Baby and Child-specific Toiletries
        • Baby Wipes
        • Nappy (Diaper) Rash Treatments
        • Medicated Baby and Child-specific Products
      • Bath and Shower
        • Bar Soap
        • Bath Additives
          • Bath Foam/Gel
          • Bath Oil/Pearls
          • Bath Salts/Powder
          • Other Bath Additives
        • Body Wash/Shower Gel
        • Intimate Hygiene
          • Intimate Washes
          • Intimate Wipes
        • Liquid Soap
        • Talcum Powder
      • Colour Cosmetics
        • Eye Make-Up
          • Eye Liner/Pencil
            • Eye Shadow
              • Mascara
                • Other Eye Make-Up
                • Facial Make-Up
                  • Blusher/Bronzer/Highlighter
                    • Foundation/Concealer
                      • Powder
                        • Other Facial Make-Up
                        • Lip Products
                          • Lip Gloss
                            • Lip Liner/Pencil
                              • Lipstick
                                • Other Lip Products
                                • Nail Products
                                  • Nail Polish
                                    • Nail Treatments/Strengthener
                                      • Polish Remover
                                        • Other Nail Products
                                      • Deodorants
                                        • Deodorant Creams
                                        • Deodorant Pumps
                                        • Deodorant Roll-Ons
                                        • Deodorant Sprays
                                        • Deodorant Sticks
                                        • Deodorant Wipes
                                      • Depilatories
                                        • Hair Removers/Bleaches
                                        • Women's Pre-Shave
                                        • Women's Razors and Blades
                                      • Fragrances
                                        • Premium Fragrances
                                          • Premium Men's Fragrances
                                          • Premium Women's Fragrances
                                          • Premium Unisex Fragrances
                                        • Mass Fragrances
                                          • Mass Men's Fragrances
                                          • Mass Women's Fragrances
                                          • Mass Unisex Fragrances
                                      • Hair Care
                                        • 2-in-1 Products
                                        • Colourants
                                        • Conditioners
                                        • Hair Loss Treatments
                                        • Perms and Relaxants
                                        • Salon Hair Care
                                        • Shampoos
                                          • Medicated Shampoos
                                          • Standard Shampoos
                                        • Styling Agents
                                      • Men's Grooming
                                        • Men's Shaving
                                          • Men's Post-Shave
                                          • Men's Pre-Shave
                                          • Men's Razors and Blades
                                        • Men's Toiletries
                                          • Men's Bath and Shower
                                          • Men's Deodorants
                                          • Men's Hair Care
                                          • Men's Skin Care
                                      • Oral Care
                                        • Dental Floss
                                        • Denture Care
                                          • Mouth Fresheners
                                          • Mouthwashes/Dental Rinses
                                          • Tooth Whiteners
                                          • Toothbrushes
                                            • Manual Toothbrushes
                                            • Power Toothbrushes
                                              • Battery Toothbrushes
                                                • Battery Toothbrush Replacement Heads
                                                • Battery Toothbrush Units
                                              • Electric Toothbrushes
                                                • Electric Toothbrush Replacement Heads
                                                • Electric Toothbrush Units
                                          • Toothpaste
                                        • Oral Care Excl Power Toothbrushes
                                        • Skin Care
                                          • Body Care
                                            • Firming/Anti-Cellulite Body Care
                                              • Premium Firming/Anti-Cellulite Body Care
                                              • Mass Firming/Anti-Cellulite Body Care
                                            • General Purpose Body Care
                                              • Premium General Purpose Body Care
                                              • Mass General Purpose Body Care
                                          • Facial Care
                                            • Acne Treatments
                                              • Premium Acne Treatments
                                              • Mass Acne Treatments
                                            • Face Masks
                                              • Premium Face Masks
                                              • Mass Face Masks
                                            • Facial Cleansers
                                              • Liquid/Cream/Gel/Bar Cleansers
                                                • Premium Liquid/Cream/Gel/Bar Cleansers
                                                • Mass Liquid/Cream/Gel/Bar Cleansers
                                              • Facial Cleansing Wipes
                                                • Premium Facial Cleansing Wipes
                                                • Mass Facial Cleansing Wipes
                                            • Facial Moisturisers
                                              • Premium Facial Moisturisers
                                              • Mass Facial Moisturisers
                                            • Lip Care
                                              • Premium Lip Care
                                              • Mass Lip Care
                                            • Anti-Agers
                                              • Premium Anti-Agers
                                              • Mass Anti-Agers
                                            • Toners
                                              • Premium Toners
                                              • Mass Toners
                                          • Hand Care
                                            • Premium Hand Care
                                            • Mass Hand Care
                                        • Sun Care
                                          • Aftersun
                                            • Self-Tanning
                                              • Sun Protection
                                              • Sets/Kits
                                              • Premium Cosmetics
                                                • Premium Baby and Child-specific Products
                                                • Premium Bath and Shower
                                                • Premium Colour Cosmetics
                                                  • Premium Eye Make-Up
                                                    • Premium Facial Make-Up
                                                      • Premium Lip Products
                                                        • Premium Nail Products
                                                        • Premium Deodorants
                                                        • Premium Fragrances
                                                          • Premium Men's Fragrances
                                                          • Premium Women's Fragrances
                                                          • Premium Unisex Fragrances
                                                        • Premium Hair Care
                                                        • Premium Skin Care
                                                          • Premium Body Care
                                                            • Premium Firming/Anti-Cellulite Body Care
                                                            • Premium General Purpose Body Care
                                                          • Premium Facial Care
                                                            • Premium Acne Treatments
                                                            • Premium Face Masks
                                                            • Premium Facial Cleansing Wipes
                                                            • Premium Facial Moisturisers
                                                            • Premium Lip Care
                                                            • Premium Liquid/Cream/Gel/Bar Cleansers
                                                            • Premium Anti-Agers
                                                            • Premium Toners
                                                          • Premium Hand Care
                                                        • Premium Sun Care
                                                          • Premium Sets/Kits
                                                        • Mass Cosmetics
                                                          • Mass Baby and Child-specific Products
                                                          • Mass Bath and Shower
                                                          • Mass Colour Cosmetics
                                                            • Mass Eye Make-Up
                                                              • Mass Facial Make-Up
                                                                • Mass Lip Products
                                                                  • Mass Nail Products
                                                                  • Mass Deodorants
                                                                  • Mass Fragrances
                                                                    • Mass Men's Fragrances
                                                                    • Mass Women's Fragrances
                                                                    • Mass Unisex Fragrances
                                                                  • Mass Hair Care
                                                                  • Mass Skin Care
                                                                    • Mass Body Care
                                                                      • Mass Firming/Anti-Cellulite Body Care
                                                                      • Mass General Purpose Body Care
                                                                    • Mass Facial Care
                                                                      • Mass Acne Treatments
                                                                      • Mass Face Masks
                                                                      • Mass Facial Cleansing Wipes
                                                                      • Mass Facial Moisturisers
                                                                      • Mass Lip Care
                                                                      • Mass Liquid/Cream/Gel/Bar Cleansers
                                                                      • Mass Anti-Agers
                                                                      • Mass Toners
                                                                    • Mass Hand Care
                                                                  • Mass Sun Care
                                                                    • Mass Sets/Kits

                                                                Statistics Included

                                                                Statistics Included

                                                                For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                                From Passport

                                                                • Market sizes
                                                                • Company shares
                                                                • Brand shares
                                                                • Distribution
                                                                • Analysis by format
                                                                • Analysis by type
                                                                • Premium vs mass
                                                                • Pricing
                                                                • Products by ingredient
                                                                • Products by ingredient
                                                                • Sun protection by factor

                                                                Market size details:

                                                                • Retail volume
                                                                • Retail volume % growth
                                                                • Retail volume per capita
                                                                • Retail value retail selling price % growth
                                                                • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                                • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                                • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
                                                                • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                                • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                                • Retail volume alternative
                                                                • Retail volume alternative % growth
                                                                • Retail volume alternative per capita

                                                                Methodology

                                                                Methodology

                                                                Global insight and local knowledge

                                                                With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                                This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                                Industry specialists

                                                                Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                                Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                                The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                                Country and regional analysts

                                                                Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                                In-country research network

                                                                To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                                Research Methodology

                                                                Our research methods

                                                                Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                                Desk research

                                                                With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                                • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                                • National and international trade press
                                                                • National and international trade associations
                                                                • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                                • Company financials and annual reports
                                                                • Broker reports
                                                                • Online databases
                                                                • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                                Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                                Store checks

                                                                Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                                • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                                • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                                • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                                • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                                Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                                Trade survey

                                                                Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                                Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                                • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                                • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                                • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                                • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                                In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                                Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                                Company analysis

                                                                At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                                At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                                Forecasts

                                                                Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                                Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                                Data validation

                                                                All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                                The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                                Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                                Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                                Market analysis

                                                                Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                                Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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