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Country Report

Breakfast Cereals in India

Price: US$900

About this Report

Executive Summary

TRENDS

  • Manufacturers started offering breakfast cereals in small sachets available at just Rs10 in 2011 and 2012. This improved the affordability and widened the consumer base. This also helped the manufacturers move beyond urban areas to make breakfast cereals affordable to price-sensitive consumers in small towns. There was an increasing drive to introduce products that appeal more to Indian tastes. Such localised flavours will help companies reach out to those consumers who are not willing to compromise on taste. The other key trend was that oats within hot cereals and muesli were increasingly gaining market share in 2012. New product offerings appeared more in these two segments. Seeing growth in oats, several new players launched their products. In 2011, Marico launched Saffola Oats in 2011 and GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare launched Horlicks Oats, looking to capitalise on potential opportunities that this product offers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg India maintained its lead in breakfast cereals and was expected to account for a value share of 40% in 2012. However, the company has been losing value share every year for at least a decade. This is because Kellogg mainly offers flakes products, whilst much of the action in India has been taking place in muesli and oats. Kellogg did have a presence in muesli and in oats, although it was Bagrry’s India which led the muesli sector. Within oats, Frito-Lay held the leading share of value sales in 2012 with its long-established Quaker brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Breakfast cereals is expected to maintain high growth rate between 2012 and 2017. Oats and muesli will further gain a share of consumers’ wallets. This is on account of two reasons. One, oats and muesli suit Indian taste more than cornflakes do. Two, there is a growing awareness that oats are healthy and good for the heart. The trend that oats and muesli are more acceptable now is visible from the fact that almost half of the shelf space given to breakfast cereals in modern retail is taken up by oats and muesli, whilst the other half is flakes. This clearly suggests that modern retail is pushing oats and muesli.

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Breakfast Cereals industry in India with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Breakfast Cereals industry in India, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Breakfast Cereals in India market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Breakfast Cereals in India?
  • What are the major brands in India?
  • How will increasingly volatile wheat commodity prices impact retail prices and sales performance?
  • What are the market opportunities for high fibre products?
  • Given mounting concerns over childhood obesity, what does the future hold for children’s breakfast cereal?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Breakfast Cereals in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 6 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 7 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Packaged Food in India - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Growth recovers from a slight slowdown in 2011

Health and wellness takes a hold in multiple categories

Domestic players take an aggressive stance against multinationals

Traditional channels, supermarkets and hypermarkets maintain dominance

Packaged food promises huge growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Growth in consumer foodservice influences sales of packaged food

Manufacturers continue to increase prices across categories

Consumers look at packaging for healthy ingredients

Private label strengthens its foothold

Multinationals attract consumers with local flavours

TERRITORY KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

East and Northeast India

North India

South India

West India

RURAL VS URBAN KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 12 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 13 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 15 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 17 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 18 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 19 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 20 Company Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2008-2012
  • Table 21 Brand Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2009-2012
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 27 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 28 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 29 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 30 Company Shares of Meal Solutions 2008-2012
  • Table 31 Brand Shares of Meal Solutions 2009-2012
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 37 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Company Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2008-2012
  • Table 41 Brand Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2009-2012
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MARKET DATA

  • Table 46 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 47 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 48 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 49 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales of Packaged Food by Region: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Sales of Packaged Food by Region: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 52 Sales of Packaged Food by Rural-Urban % Analysis 2012
  • Table 53 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 54 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 55 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2009-2012
  • Table 56 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2007-2012
  • Table 57 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 58 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Breakfast Cereals
    • Hot Cereals
    • RTE Cereals
      • Children's Breakfast Cereals
      • Family Breakfast Cereals
        • Flakes
        • Muesli
        • Other RTE Cereals

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • In-store bakery sales
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Urban vs rural

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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