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Country Report

Chilled Processed Food in Ireland

Oct 2010

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Chilled Processed Food industry in Ireland with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Chilled Processed Food industry in Ireland, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Chilled Processed Food in Ireland market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Chilled Processed Food in Ireland?
  • What are the major brands in Ireland?
  • As economic prospects improve, are consumers starting to move away from comparatively inexpensive canned food and back to frozen and chilled processed offerings?
  • How are manufacturers leveraging popular restaurant chains to help more austere consumers recreate a restaurant experience at home?
  • Will retail sales suffer as consumers move back to consumer foodservice and spend less time cooking at home?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • Having experienced a decline in demand in 2009 due to the economic crisis, chilled processed food recovered somewhat in 2010 to record growth of 3% in volume sales and 2% in current value sales. This recovery was fuelled by widespread discounting and promotional price offers, which made chilled processed food products a more attractive proposition for consumers who were trying to save money by reducing expenditure on eating out and cooking at home more often. However, volume and current value growth rates were well down on those recorded at the beginning of the review period, as discount offers were not sufficient to discourage many low and middle income consumers from trading down to cheaper alternatives in canned/preserved food and frozen processed food. Chilled fish/seafood and processed meat were worst affected by this latter trend, with both categories recording declines in retail volume sales as their counterparts in frozen and canned/preserved food expanded and diversified their ranges to capitalise on increased price sensitivity among Irish consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kerry Foods remained the clear leader in chilled processed food in 2009 with a sector value share of 27%. The company’s leadership was attributable to the strength of its Denny brand, which ranked first in chilled processed meat and second in chilled ready meals. Earlier in the review period, the company’s attempt to acquire competitor Breeo Foods Ltd was blocked by the Competition Authority. In 2009, however, this decision was reversed, and Kerry Foods was able to acquire Breeo Foods for EUR140 million, a lower price than it would have paid had the deal gone ahead earlier in the review period before the economic downturn hit. This acquisition should enable Kerry Foods to shore up and strengthen its leading position in chilled processed food over the forecast period.

PROSPECTS

  • Chilled processed food looks set to develop positively over the forecast period, with retail volume and constant value sales both expected to grow at a CAGR of 2%. Demand for chilled process food products will remain steady among middle income consumers and busy young professionals who have had to cut spending on eating out due to the recession but are still willing to pay a little extra for high quality and convenient meal solutions. However, faster growth in sector volume and constant value sales will be prevented as some consumers continue to trade down from chilled processed food products to cheaper alternatives in canned/preserved and frozen processed food.

Trends

  • Restaurant and pub closures continued in 2010 reducing their demand for produce, although the continued deflation at least encouraged more consumers to eat out slightly more than the previous year (although nothing like the years of the tiger boom). BordBia’s Periscope 2009 study found just 8% of people said they ate out during the week compared to 18% in 2007. The effects of this can be seen by the 3% decline in frozen processed food that continues to be the most common foodservice item for outside eateries given its longevity.

Competitive Landscape

  • Foodservice providers have been facing a range of challenges in such difficult times. The economic downturn has forced operators to look at their business structures to establish where they can save money. High VAT, high rent and high energy costs were all taking their toll on manufacturers looking to cut costs wherever possible as retailers demand ever cheaper food to sell to consumers.

Prospects

  • If, as is hoped, the economy does start to recover, foodservice will be able to increase its share again to the levels of the mid noughties period. However, foodservice operators should be aware that consumers who have been staying in to eat more will have developed a taste for home cooking and as such need to continue to focus on value and traditional signs of quality such as freshness. Therefore frozen food will continue to decline by a CAGR of 1% between 2010 and 2015.

Trends

  • As the economic downturn continues, the impulse and indulgence products sector nevertheless grows at a slightly higher rate in 2010 than it did in the previous year. Although 2009 had dropped from 2008, nevertheless both years fit in smoothly with growth rates over the 2005-2010 period. The majority of impulse and indulgence products are, perhaps counter-intuitively, proving very robust growth in the face of recession.

Competitive Landscape

  • Cadbury leads in terms of company shares in 2009, followed by Masterfoods and Nestlé in second and third respectively. Their lead comes from their presence in confectionery, which is by far the largest sector by value terms in the impulse and indulgence sector in Ireland.

Prospects

  • Impulse and indulgence products is expected to grow by a CAGR of 1% between 2010 and 2015 as they become more entwined in consumers’ everyday diets, while at the same time excessive growth is undermined by the continuing effects of the economic slowdown and the long road to recovery.

Trends

  • Nutrition/staples suffered from the decline of dairy, bread and oils and fats in 2010. This however is not as surprising as it may first sound as the decline was in value, not volume terms.

Competitive Landscape

  • Glanbia is the leader in nutrition/staples due to its significant presence in dairy, with its Avonmore and Premier brands leading the way. Glanbia is a good example for packaged food as a whole as it has focused on the Irishness of its products and stressed that it is an Irish product, sourced from Ireland and marketed towards Irish people. This has become a significant trend as consumers look to products they think will help their faltering local economy.

Prospects

  • Nutrition/staples is forecast to grow by a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms between 2010 and 2015. Ireland is one of the biggest consumers per capita of dairy and nutrition/staples products and this will not change. However, as brands continue to come under pressure to provide value for money, value will again fail to keep pace with volume growth.

Trends

  • There were three major trends in meal solutions in 2010. The first, macro trend, is the increasing tendency of consumers to eat in rather than go out to restaurants for a meal. Due to cost cutting they are more likely to buy a bottle of wine and have a meal in the house than spend money on meals in restaurants, which will always be more expensive. This trend is further facilitated by consumers’ increasing adeptness at cooking a wide range of dishes from a variety of cuisines

Competitive Landscape

  • Private label led sales in meal solutions in 2009 as consumers looked to save money wherever possible and take advantage of the various offers that supermarkets/hypermarkets give for their products. Clearly brands continue to lead ranges such as frozen processed vegetables but it would be unwise merely to categorise private label as only offering value and little else. The 5% volume increase of fresh cut fruits for example, shows that there are some areas in which private label can lead in innovation, quality as well as cost.

Prospects

  • Meal solutions is expected to grow by a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms between 2010 and 2015 to reach EUR2 billion in 2015. The trends that have encouraged the strong performance of meals solutions will continue throughout the forecast period and, given the recent deflationary activity, it is unlikely that Irish consumers will go back to eating out regularly. As such the cascading effects on the full variety of meal solutions will continue.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Chilled Processed Food in Ireland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Having experienced a decline in demand in 2009 due to the economic crisis, chilled processed food recovered somewhat in 2010 to record growth of 3% in volume sales and 2% in current value sales. This recovery was fuelled by widespread discounting and promotional price offers, which made chilled processed food products a more attractive proposition for consumers who were trying to save money by reducing expenditure on eating out and cooking at home more often. However, volume and current value growth rates were well down on those recorded at the beginning of the review period, as discount offers were not sufficient to discourage many low and middle income consumers from trading down to cheaper alternatives in canned/preserved food and frozen processed food. Chilled fish/seafood and processed meat were worst affected by this latter trend, with both categories recording declines in retail volume sales as their counterparts in frozen and canned/preserved food expanded and diversified their ranges to capitalise on increased price sensitivity among Irish consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kerry Foods remained the clear leader in chilled processed food in 2009 with a sector value share of 27%. The company’s leadership was attributable to the strength of its Denny brand, which ranked first in chilled processed meat and second in chilled ready meals. Earlier in the review period, the company’s attempt to acquire competitor Breeo Foods Ltd was blocked by the Competition Authority. In 2009, however, this decision was reversed, and Kerry Foods was able to acquire Breeo Foods for EUR140 million, a lower price than it would have paid had the deal gone ahead earlier in the review period before the economic downturn hit. This acquisition should enable Kerry Foods to shore up and strengthen its leading position in chilled processed food over the forecast period.

PROSPECTS

  • Chilled processed food looks set to develop positively over the forecast period, with retail volume and constant value sales both expected to grow at a CAGR of 2%. Demand for chilled process food products will remain steady among middle income consumers and busy young professionals who have had to cut spending on eating out due to the recession but are still willing to pay a little extra for high quality and convenient meal solutions. However, faster growth in sector volume and constant value sales will be prevented as some consumers continue to trade down from chilled processed food products to cheaper alternatives in canned/preserved and frozen processed food.

CATEGORY DATA

Chilled Processed Food in Ireland - Company Profiles

Glanbia Plc - Packaged Food - Ireland

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Glanbia Plc: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Glanbia Plc: Competitive Position 2009

Kerry Foods Ltd - Packaged Food - Ireland

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Kerry Foods Ltd: Competitive Position 2009

Packaged Food in Ireland - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The packaged food market just manages to remain positive in the recession

Consumers decide to eat in more often

Domestic packaged food gains favour

Supermarkets/hypermarkets prosper as private label offers a low cost option

Packaged food looks set to increase slowly but surely

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Despite ongoing recession, opportunities exist within packaged food

Consumers look to health and wellness foods to alleviate their problems

Irish consumers stay at home to save money but continue to demand quality

Provenance sells as buying Irish becomes an important trend

Ethnic food remains popular but some old favourites are coming back

MARKET DATA

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Restaurant and pub closures continued in 2010 reducing their demand for produce, although the continued deflation at least encouraged more consumers to eat out slightly more than the previous year (although nothing like the years of the tiger boom). BordBia’s Periscope 2009 study found just 8% of people said they ate out during the week compared to 18% in 2007. The effects of this can be seen by the 3% decline in frozen processed food that continues to be the most common foodservice item for outside eateries given its longevity.

Competitive Landscape

  • Foodservice providers have been facing a range of challenges in such difficult times. The economic downturn has forced operators to look at their business structures to establish where they can save money. High VAT, high rent and high energy costs were all taking their toll on manufacturers looking to cut costs wherever possible as retailers demand ever cheaper food to sell to consumers.

Prospects

  • If, as is hoped, the economy does start to recover, foodservice will be able to increase its share again to the levels of the mid noughties period. However, foodservice operators should be aware that consumers who have been staying in to eat more will have developed a taste for home cooking and as such need to continue to focus on value and traditional signs of quality such as freshness. Therefore frozen food will continue to decline by a CAGR of 1% between 2010 and 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • As the economic downturn continues, the impulse and indulgence products sector nevertheless grows at a slightly higher rate in 2010 than it did in the previous year. Although 2009 had dropped from 2008, nevertheless both years fit in smoothly with growth rates over the 2005-2010 period. The majority of impulse and indulgence products are, perhaps counter-intuitively, proving very robust growth in the face of recession.

Competitive Landscape

  • Cadbury leads in terms of company shares in 2009, followed by Masterfoods and Nestlé in second and third respectively. Their lead comes from their presence in confectionery, which is by far the largest sector by value terms in the impulse and indulgence sector in Ireland.

Prospects

  • Impulse and indulgence products is expected to grow by a CAGR of 1% between 2010 and 2015 as they become more entwined in consumers’ everyday diets, while at the same time excessive growth is undermined by the continuing effects of the economic slowdown and the long road to recovery.

CATEGORY DATA

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Nutrition/staples suffered from the decline of dairy, bread and oils and fats in 2010. This however is not as surprising as it may first sound as the decline was in value, not volume terms.

Competitive Landscape

  • Glanbia is the leader in nutrition/staples due to its significant presence in dairy, with its Avonmore and Premier brands leading the way. Glanbia is a good example for packaged food as a whole as it has focused on the Irishness of its products and stressed that it is an Irish product, sourced from Ireland and marketed towards Irish people. This has become a significant trend as consumers look to products they think will help their faltering local economy.

Prospects

  • Nutrition/staples is forecast to grow by a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms between 2010 and 2015. Ireland is one of the biggest consumers per capita of dairy and nutrition/staples products and this will not change. However, as brands continue to come under pressure to provide value for money, value will again fail to keep pace with volume growth.

CATEGORY DATA

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • There were three major trends in meal solutions in 2010. The first, macro trend, is the increasing tendency of consumers to eat in rather than go out to restaurants for a meal. Due to cost cutting they are more likely to buy a bottle of wine and have a meal in the house than spend money on meals in restaurants, which will always be more expensive. This trend is further facilitated by consumers’ increasing adeptness at cooking a wide range of dishes from a variety of cuisines

Competitive Landscape

  • Private label led sales in meal solutions in 2009 as consumers looked to save money wherever possible and take advantage of the various offers that supermarkets/hypermarkets give for their products. Clearly brands continue to lead ranges such as frozen processed vegetables but it would be unwise merely to categorise private label as only offering value and little else. The 5% volume increase of fresh cut fruits for example, shows that there are some areas in which private label can lead in innovation, quality as well as cost.

Prospects

  • Meal solutions is expected to grow by a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms between 2010 and 2015 to reach EUR2 billion in 2015. The trends that have encouraged the strong performance of meals solutions will continue throughout the forecast period and, given the recent deflationary activity, it is unlikely that Irish consumers will go back to eating out regularly. As such the cascading effects on the full variety of meal solutions will continue.

CATEGORY DATA

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 8 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Chilled Processed Food
    • Chilled Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
    • Chilled Lunch Kits
    • Chilled Noodles
    • Chilled Pizza
    • Chilled Processed Meat
    • Chilled Ready Meals
    • Chilled Soup
    • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
    • Fresh Cut Fruits
    • Prepared Salads

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by Type
  • Per cent share of chilled meat substitute
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Total Volume (Tonnes)
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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