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Country Report

Cider/Perry in Ukraine

Dec 2011

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Cider/Perry industry in Ukraine with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Cider/Perry industry in Ukraine, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Cider/Perry in Ukraine market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market volume shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Cider/Perry in Ukraine?
  • What are the major brands in Ukraine?
  • Is premiumisation expected to continue to be an important driver in cider?
  • Who are the key consumers of cider: men, women, younger or older consumers?
  • Where is cider mainly consumed- at home or away from home?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • Cider is rarely found on the Ukranian market with some bars offering a few brands in the beer menu. The on-trade provides more imported brands, but they are very difficult to find. Some supermarkets/hypermarkets stock cider/perry but even then in very small quantities. Cider is not a traditional product in Ukraine and consumers are not interested in this alcoholic drink. Thus far cider is almost unknown to Ukranian consumers and of those who do know it, remember the old Soviet image of cider as a “drink for children”. The category suffers from insufficient marketing campaigns to break this stereotype and there are legal limitations on alcohol promotion. However, the category could experience a sharp development path in the near future, as consumers become interested in new product categories and more sophisticated in their choice of alcoholic drinks and flavours. On the other hand, if cider becomes widely available, it could struggle from tough competition with other categories. As the traditional beer and the dynamically growing wine categories are very widely consumed, it would be difficult to encourage consumers to switch away from these main categories to cider.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • One of the leading beer producers, Slavutych PAT PBC (Carlsberg group) launched cider production in Ukraine in the second half of 2011. The player will produce the Somersby brand, which is already present in 12 countries. The company has been preparing for this product launch for over four years and Slavutych is planning to invest heavily in the product promotion. The company expects that as a result of such measures, cider sales will reach around 4-5% of the size of the beer market over the forecast period. The company expects cider to face main competition from RTDs/high strength pre-mixes with beer being perceived more as a drink for men. Among the main cider strengths, Slavutych is concentrating on its low alcohol content, which contributes to its relative affordability and makes it a preferential drink option to wine and champagne. Somersby cider will be produced in 0.5 litre glass bottles with an abv of 4.7%. The recommended retail price of the drink will be UAH8 per bottle.

PROSPECTS

  • To encourage consumption manufacturers will have to invest extensively in advertising support in order to build a consumer base for cider in the country. In addition, as consumers will remain price sensitive, cider will be less competitive in comparison with the cheaper drinks with which consumers are familiar. Should Slavutych be successful with its Somersby brand, many local manufacturers may become interested in cider production in the future and could launch their own cider production, possibly as a part of beer range or RTD product group. The availability of a cheaper domestic option would spur consumer interest in cider overall. Indeed, cider is expected to remain highly sensitive to fluctuations from both the demand and supply side in the forecast period, as this product is new to the market and faces competition from other alcoholic drinks. Manufacturers of cider could try to appeal to the younger generations by pitching cider as trendy or a Western-style drink as these demographics tend to follow fashion and Western trends.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Cider/Perry in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cider is rarely found on the Ukranian market with some bars offering a few brands in the beer menu. The on-trade provides more imported brands, but they are very difficult to find. Some supermarkets/hypermarkets stock cider/perry but even then in very small quantities. Cider is not a traditional product in Ukraine and consumers are not interested in this alcoholic drink. Thus far cider is almost unknown to Ukranian consumers and of those who do know it, remember the old Soviet image of cider as a “drink for children”. The category suffers from insufficient marketing campaigns to break this stereotype and there are legal limitations on alcohol promotion. However, the category could experience a sharp development path in the near future, as consumers become interested in new product categories and more sophisticated in their choice of alcoholic drinks and flavours. On the other hand, if cider becomes widely available, it could struggle from tough competition with other categories. As the traditional beer and the dynamically growing wine categories are very widely consumed, it would be difficult to encourage consumers to switch away from these main categories to cider.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • One of the leading beer producers, Slavutych PAT PBC (Carlsberg group) launched cider production in Ukraine in the second half of 2011. The player will produce the Somersby brand, which is already present in 12 countries. The company has been preparing for this product launch for over four years and Slavutych is planning to invest heavily in the product promotion. The company expects that as a result of such measures, cider sales will reach around 4-5% of the size of the beer market over the forecast period. The company expects cider to face main competition from RTDs/high strength pre-mixes with beer being perceived more as a drink for men. Among the main cider strengths, Slavutych is concentrating on its low alcohol content, which contributes to its relative affordability and makes it a preferential drink option to wine and champagne. Somersby cider will be produced in 0.5 litre glass bottles with an abv of 4.7%. The recommended retail price of the drink will be UAH8 per bottle.

PROSPECTS

  • To encourage consumption manufacturers will have to invest extensively in advertising support in order to build a consumer base for cider in the country. In addition, as consumers will remain price sensitive, cider will be less competitive in comparison with the cheaper drinks with which consumers are familiar. Should Slavutych be successful with its Somersby brand, many local manufacturers may become interested in cider production in the future and could launch their own cider production, possibly as a part of beer range or RTD product group. The availability of a cheaper domestic option would spur consumer interest in cider overall. Indeed, cider is expected to remain highly sensitive to fluctuations from both the demand and supply side in the forecast period, as this product is new to the market and faces competition from other alcoholic drinks. Manufacturers of cider could try to appeal to the younger generations by pitching cider as trendy or a Western-style drink as these demographics tend to follow fashion and Western trends.

Alcoholic Drinks in Ukraine - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Gradual recovery of alcoholic drinks shapes Ukraine

Consumer preference for cheaper products

Leading premium brands strengthen their positions

Growth of specialists as consumers shift to off-trade

Positive outlook

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Changes in excise duty level and taxation explain slow industry recovery

  • Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

Specialist Retailers

  • Summary 2 Leading Specialist Retailers 2010

M&A Activity

  • Summary 3 Merger and Acquisition Activity 2010-2011

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

  • Table 1 Number of On-trade Establishments by Type 2006-2011

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 2 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 3 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Sectors 2011
  • Table 4 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011 – Chernigivske Svitle
  • Table 5 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011 - Koblevo (Aligoté) (Still White Wine)
  • Table 6 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011 - Khlibny Dar

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 16 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 17 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Published data comparisons

Sources

  • Summary 4 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Cider/Perry

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Distribution
  • Distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing

Market size details:

  • Off-trade volume
  • Off-trade volume % growth
  • Off-trade volume per capita
  • On-trade volume
  • On-trade volume % growth
  • On-trade volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price % growth
  • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade rtd volume
  • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
  • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
  • On-trade rtd volume
  • On-trade rtd volume % growth
  • On-trade rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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