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Country Report

Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Sep 2010

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Cigarettes industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Cigarettes industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports, and exports of finished cigarettes
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What are the major brands in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What is the legislative environment like in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What are the rates of cigarette taxation in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Do premium, mid-price or economy cigarettes dominate in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What is the rate of illicit trade in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • How many smokers are there in the country?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • New law on excises which came into effect on 1 July 2009 was a crucial event for cigarettes that year. It is likely to continue affecting the market strongly during the forecast period as well, as it projects a mandatory tax hike. The law introduced a specific excise tax which will be increased by at least BAM7.5 per 1,000 sticks each January, until cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina reach those of other EU countries.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina is not organised as a monopoly. There are three domestic cigarettes manufacturers. Fabrika Duhana Mostar dd has not operated for several years now. An attempt to privatise it fell through in 2009, when Bulgarian investors backed out of the project, claiming they were not getting what they bought. Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad was privatised in 2005 – its majority shareholder being a domestic distributor of FMCGs – Antonic Trade doo. Antonic Trade is also an exclusive distributor for TDR brands in Republika Srpska. Finally, the largest domestic cigarettes manufacturer, Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd is still controlled by the state, or rather the entity – Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina.

PROSPECTS

  • The recently adopted law on excise tax will have the strongest influence on cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina during the forecast period. The law has set a rule for a tax hike which is likely to increase average cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina by at least 50% by 2014. Such a strong price increase will inevitably affect the demand for cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Furthermore, increased public revenues from excises will provide funds for the implementation of a stricter anti-smoking policy.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • New law on excises which came into effect on 1 July 2009 was a crucial event for cigarettes that year. It is likely to continue affecting the market strongly during the forecast period as well, as it projects a mandatory tax hike. The law introduced a specific excise tax which will be increased by at least BAM7.5 per 1,000 sticks each January, until cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina reach those of other EU countries.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina is not organised as a monopoly. There are three domestic cigarettes manufacturers. Fabrika Duhana Mostar dd has not operated for several years now. An attempt to privatise it fell through in 2009, when Bulgarian investors backed out of the project, claiming they were not getting what they bought. Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad was privatised in 2005 – its majority shareholder being a domestic distributor of FMCGs – Antonic Trade doo. Antonic Trade is also an exclusive distributor for TDR brands in Republika Srpska. Finally, the largest domestic cigarettes manufacturer, Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd is still controlled by the state, or rather the entity – Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 1 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The recently adopted law on excise tax will have the strongest influence on cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina during the forecast period. The law has set a rule for a tax hike which is likely to increase average cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina by at least 50% by 2014. Such a strong price increase will inevitably affect the demand for cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Furthermore, increased public revenues from excises will provide funds for the implementation of a stricter anti-smoking policy.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 2 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Company Profiles

Fabrika Duhana Mostar dd - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd: Competitive Position 2009

Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad: Competitive Position 2009

Philip Morris doo - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Summary  Philip Morris doo: Competitive Position 2009

Rovita doo - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Rovita doo: Competitive Position 2009

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Drop in illicit trade boosts sales

New law on excises

Domestic producers maintain their good performance

Convenience drives distribution

Tax hike impacts future growth in sales

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 17 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 31 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2004-2009
  • Table 32 Number of Smokers by Gender 2004-2009

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 33 Death by Cause 2004-2009

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 34 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 35 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2009

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 36 Production/Imports/Exports 2004-2009
  • Table 37 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 18 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Cigarettes
    • High Tar Cigarettes
    • Mid Tar Cigarettes
    • Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit Trade Penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit Trade Volume
  • Illicit Trade Volume % growth
  • Illicit Trade Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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