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Country Report

Consumer Finance in Ukraine

Nov 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Card payment culture evolving but not strong yet

In 2012, Ukrainians showed greater interest in payments via cards and other modern payment devices, mobile phones and tablets. In view of the increasingly hectic pace of modern life and easier to access payment tools, consumers are embracing convenient payment instruments. In addition, in 2012 the country hosted the UEFA European Championships and the arrival of a large number of tourists from countries where paying with cash is not so popular also fuelled payment transaction volume and value growth. However, overall, in spite of the development of the culture of card and other electronic payments, Ukraine still remains a “cash” culture. Many Ukrainians prefer “hard” currency due to limited literacy in modern payment instruments, unwillingness to pay bank fees and concerns over fraud.

Financial cards swell in number during 2012

The number of financial cards in circulation in Ukraine (58 [Q: 40] million in 2012) exceeds the country’s population. However, many cards are not actually used as banks issue them to consumers who have no real need for them. This is particularly true of credit cards, which are frequently issued to clients as a free supplement to debit cards. The number of cards actually in use (at least once per year) is thus lower, standing at less than 35 million in 2012. Card ownership rates continue to increase as banks look to target underserved and unbanked populations. In addition, the number of card payments continues to rise despite the fact Ukraine is traditionally known as a “cash” culture.

PrivatBank KB PAT – strong leadership in Ukraine

In Ukraine, banks shape the performance of financial cards and payments overall, with the presence of non-banking cards remaining marginal. PrivatBank KB PAT is the leading banking player, nearly monopolising the market, and recorded further growth in card numbers at the end of the review period. Leading banks can boast of good consumer outreach due to their development of a nationwide chain of branches and ATMs. Being at the forefront of innovations and targeting mobile payments are other competitive tools of leading banks. Within pre-paid cards, gift cards and transportation cards (especially those of Kyivskyi Metropoliten KP) are among the most developed products.

National Bank of Ukraine regulates sector with respect to crisis

The National Bank of Ukraine continues to regulate the banking sector in a number of areas, including consumer credit and financial payments and is controlling operations in accordance with the recent crisis. Within financial payments, the regulator pays due attention to market players in order to ensure the widespread acceptance of financial cards. There is a requirement to have POS terminals installed in all retail outlets in cities and towns with a population of over 25,000 inhabitants in a bid to combat the unofficial economy as well as to make it comfortable for Euro 2012 guests to pay for purchases the way they are used to rather than by relying on cash.

Financial cards and payments – positive future prospects in Ukraine

Financial cards and payments is expected to be a growth area in Ukraine throughout the forecast period. Considering drawing cash was the primary use of banking cards at the end of the review period, there is widespread scope to increase the use of cards as a major payment tool. Cards are forecast to grow in number as well as in transaction volume and value terms over the coming years. Modern payment types (eg mobile payments) will be another growth area in the future in Ukraine.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Finance industry in Ukraine with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Finance industry in Ukraine, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Ukraine for free:

The Consumer Finance in Ukraine market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Finance in Ukraine?
  • What are the major operators and issuers in Ukraine?
  • What is the current state and expected evolution of consumer payment preference?
  • What payment instrument offers the highest growth potential?
  • What strategies and positioning have consumer finance companies utilized to win in the market?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Finance in Ukraine, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 80 countries and globally.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Finance in Ukraine - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Card payment culture evolving but not strong yet

Financial cards swell in number during 2012

PrivatBank KB PAT – strong leadership in Ukraine

National Bank of Ukraine regulates sector with respect to crisis

Financial cards and payments – positive future prospects in Ukraine

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Recovering economy fuelling payment growth

POS terminals a must have despite slow penetration thus far

Innovations – a winning tool

Consumer carelessness fuelling amount lost to fraud

Banks dominate financial cards and payments in Ukraine

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Number of POS Terminals 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Number of ATMs 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Value Lost to Fraud 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Card Expenditure by Location 2012
  • Table 5 Card Expenditure by Category 2012
  • Table 6 Financial Cards in Circulation by Type: % Number of Cards 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Domestic versus Foreign Spend 2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Consumer Payments: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Consumer Payments: Number of Transactions 2007-2012
  • Table 10 Financial Cards: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 11 Financial Cards Transactions: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 12 Financial Cards: Number of Transactions 2007-2012
  • Table 13 Financial Cards: Number of Accounts 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Financial Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 15 Financial Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Financial Cards: Card Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 17 Financial Cards: Card Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 18 Consumer Payments Forecast: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Consumer Payments Forecast: Number of Transactions 2012-2017
  • Table 20 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 21 Financial Cards Forecast: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 22 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Transactions 2012-2017
  • Table 23 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Accounts 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Finance in Ukraine - Company Profiles

Nadra KB PAT in Financial Cards and Payments (Ukraine)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Nadra KB PAT: Competitive Position 2011

PrivatBank KB PAT in Financial Cards and Payments (Ukraine)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 PrivatBank KB PAT: Competitive Position 2011

Prominvestbank PAT in Financial Cards and Payments (Ukraine)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Prominvestbank PAT: Competitive Position 2011

Raiffeisen Bank Aval PAT in Financial Cards and Payments (Ukraine)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Raiffeisen Bank Aval PAT: Competitive Position 2011

Sberbank Rosii AT in Financial Cards and Payments (Ukraine)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Sberbank Rosii AT: Competitive Position 2011

ATM Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The use of ATM cards for card payments continues to increase in Ukraine due to rising demand for convenience and the offering of bonuses (such as discounts and cash-back). However, cash continues to dominate payments and ATM cards are still mainly used for cash withdrawal. The number of cards in circulation will increase by 10% in 2012 to reach 38 million – a major improvement compared with the review period CAGR of -1%. Transaction numbers are also increasing (+12%) while current value transactions will rise by 19% in 2012. This growth can be attributed to the recovery of the economy and the return to pre-crisis payment levels.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Since the number of banking cards nearly equals the number of ATM cards (38 million ATM cards vs. 40 million financial cards in circulation), banks are indisputable leaders in this area, with the biggest players being PrivatBank KB PAT, Raiffeisen Bank Aval PAT and Oschadbank AT - all of which boast wide branch and ATM networks throughout the country. Ukrainians usually opt for such banks which are easy to reach and make use of outlets in close vicinity.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, it is unlikely that the importance of cash payments will decline significantly due to deeply rooted cultural traditions and underdeveloped levels of bank services, including not always transparent card services and charges. However, there will be efforts to educate consumers to pay with cards (eg incentives, discounts and cash-back) while the developing payment infrastructure will make it easier to pay with cards. As a result, ATM card transaction volume and value growth will be lower than during the review period. Consequently, constant transaction value within the area will increase at an average annual rate of 7% over the forecast period – a decline compared with the review period average of 9%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 ATM Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 25 ATM Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 26 ATM Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 27 ATM Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 28 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 29 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 30 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 31 ATM Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017

Charge Card Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Charge cards have yet to be introduced in Ukraine

Credit Card Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Credit cards are popular in Ukraine amongst consumers looking to borrow small amounts. Such cards are easy to use and consumers are only required to go to a bank once to receive them and can then freely borrow against the pre-approved line of credit. In addition, the fact banks also offer clients interest-free periods also helped to boost the popularity of credit cards at the end of the review period. Overall, in 2012 the number of credit cards in circulation will increase by 17% – a major improvement in comparison with the review period CAGR of -1%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The credit cards landscape is shaped via the activities of a number of banks, the largest of which include PrivatBank KB PAT, Delta Bank AT, Raiffeisen Bank Aval PAT, Nadra KB PAT and Prominvestbank PAT (in terms of cards in circulation). The largest share in 2011 was held by PrivatBank KB PAT (93%), which is present in both the commercial and personal credit cards areas. The bank is noted for its aggressive expansion strategy as well as actively attracting business clients for corporate servicing, including credit cards. However, in 2011 PrivatBank recorded the largest decline in share (half percentage point) due to increasing competition.

PROSPECTS

  • In the future, credit cards will be one of most dynamic growth areas considering the potential of the currently underdeveloped commercial segment and still limited caps on personal credit cards. The number of cards in circulation is expected to increase by 27% between 2012 and 2017 – a major improvement compared with the review period average of -1%. With the economy set to recover over the coming years, especially by the end of the forecast period, consumer demand for products which allow for borrowing and making payments is set to increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Credit Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 33 Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 34 Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 35 Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 37 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Commercial Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 42 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 43 Personal Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 44 Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 45 Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 47 Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 48 Commercial Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 49 Commercial Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 50 Commercial Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 51 Commercial Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Personal Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Personal Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Personal Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Personal Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 57 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 61 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 62 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 63 Commercial Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 64 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 65 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 66 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 67 Personal Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017

Debit Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Debit cards has enjoyed another year of positive growth following the decline over 2008-2010 during the peak of the crisis. The number of debit cards in circulation in Ukraine will increase by 9% in 2012 to reach 29 million. However, the main story within debit cards is the rise in the use of such cards for payment at the expense of cash. The number of transactions within the area will increase by 29% in 2012 while current transaction value will increase by 26%. Further expansion of POS terminals all over Ukraine is fuelling card payments while the culture of card use (card convenience valued by young and middle-aged consumers in particular) continues to drive the area.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Of all debit cards issuers in Ukraine, PrivatBank KB PAT is the largest, accounting for 40% of debit cards in circulation in 2011. The bank’s share has steadily increased from 28% in 2007 due to its nationwide expansion strategy and investment in innovation. The company performed particularly well in 2011, when it recorded the largest increase in cards in circulation share. The bank’s success can be partly attributed to its presence in a wide range of locations throughout the country. In addition, encouraging employees to focus on offering cards to underserved clients (eg people who visit the bank only to pay communal services) is also fuelling growth.

PROSPECTS

  • Debit cards is a prospective growth area within financial cards and payments in Ukraine considering the underdeveloped culture of card payments at the end of the review period. The development of the POS terminals system and rising demand for the convenience offered by card payments will fuel debit card growth over the coming years. Between 2012 and 2017, the number of debit cards in circulation is projected to rise by 19% - a major improvement compared with the 7% decline over the review period. The number of transactions is projected to increase by a total of 41% by 2017 – a major decline from the 605% recorded over the review period which can be attributed to increasing saturation.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 68 Debit Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 69 Debit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 70 Debit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 71 Debit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 72 Debit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 73 Debit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 74 Debit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 75 Debit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 76 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 77 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 78 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 79 Debit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017

Pre-Paid Card Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, the consumer base for pre-paid cards widened due to the issuing of student cards which can be used to pay for the Kiev subway. In addition, the state’s introduction of a Kiev citizen card also helped to boost growth. The launch of these cards will result in the number of open-loop prepaid cards increasing by 267% while the total number of pre-paid cards will increase by 112%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local player Kyivskyi Metropoliten KP dominated pre-paid cards in 2011, accounting for 63% of all cards in circulation. Remaining card share is distributed amongst a wide range of different players, especially within gift cards. However, in value terms the company’s position was weaker (40%) as the unit price of a ticket in the metro was UAH2 in 2011 while payments via gift cards and other pre-paid cards were much higher.

PROSPECTS

  • Pre-paid cards have good growth prospects in Ukraine considering the underdeveloped nature of the area, with the choice of cards by type remaining limited in 2012. The number of cards in circulation is projected to increase by 79% between 2012 and 2017 and growth would be further fuelled by the introduction of new product types. Making the nature of pre-paid cards more universal rather than binding them to specific cities and companies would help to increase the appeal of the product amongst Ukrainian consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 80 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 81 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2007-2012
  • Table 82 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 83 Pre-paid Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 84 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 85 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 86 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2007-2012
  • Table 87 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 88 Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 89 Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 90 Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 91 Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 92 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 93 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 94 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 95 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Operator 2007-2011
  • Table 96 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2007-2011
  • Table 97 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 98 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2012-2017
  • Table 99 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 100 Pre-paid Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 101 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 102 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 103 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2012-2017
  • Table 104 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2012-2017

Store Card Transactions in Ukraine - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • In 2012, the availability of store cards remained very limited in Ukraine as co-branded cards are still preferred by retailers

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Finance
    • Financial Cards and Payments
      • Financial Cards in Circulation
        • ATM Function
        • Charge Card Function
          • Commercial Charge Cards
          • Personal Charge Cards
        • Credit Function
          • Commercial Credit Cards
          • Personal Credit Cards
        • Debit Function
        • Pre-Paid Function
          • Closed Loop Pre-Paid Function
          • Open Loop Pre-Paid Function
        • Store Cards
      • Transactions
        • Total Cards Transactions
          • ATM Transactions
          • Card Payment Transactions
            • Charge Card Transactions
              • Commercial Charge Card Transactions
              • Personal Charge Card Transactions
            • Credit Card Transactions
              • Commercial Credit Card Transactions
              • Personal Credit Card Transactions
            • Debit Transactions
            • Pre-Paid Card Transactions
              • Closed Loop Pre-Paid Card Transactions
              • Open Loop Pre-Paid Card Transactions
            • Store Card Transactions
        • Consumer Payment Transactions
          • Card Payment Transactions (Excl Commercial)
          • Electronic Direct/ACH Transactions
          • Paper Payment Transactions
            • Cash Transactions
            • Other Paper Payment Types
    • Consumer Lending
      • Consumer Credit
        • Card Lending
        • Auto Lending
        • Durables Lending
        • Education Lending
        • Home Lending
        • Other Personal Lending
      • Mortgages/Housing

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Analysis by type
  • Card expenditure by location
  • Card expenditure by sector
  • Consumer credit by type
  • Domestic vs foreign spend
  • Non-performing vs others loans
  • Other personal lending by type

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Number of cards
  • Number of cards % growth
  • Number of cards per capita
  • Number of accounts
  • Number of accounts % growth
  • Number of accounts per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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