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Country Report

Consumer Foodservice in Canada

Aug 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Foodservice industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Foodservice industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Consumer Foodservice in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Foodservice in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • How are economic or demographic factors impacting the foodservice industry in #Country»?
  • How are multinational and local operators expanding in #Country»?
  • How have consumer lifestyle trends and eating habits influenced foodservice in #Country»?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Consumer Foodservice market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Foodservice sales return to slow yet positive growth

In 2010, the overall consumer foodservice market once again returned to positive growth, albeit slight. During the review period, the industry saw low to mid single-digit growth in terms of foodservice value sales, until 2009 when the effects of the economic recession became widely felt, and growth ventured into negative territory. Slow recovery, however, stood behind still cautious consumer spending, and the weak performance of operators like full-service restaurants reflected this trend.

Canadian consumers are getting used to living on a budget

The effects of the recession are far from over (many Canadians still have concerns regarding job safety, the price of commodities and oil, as well as the growing value of the Canadian dollar) and consumer confidence is far from prerecession levels. Many Canadians seem to be getting used to living on a budget as they settle back into routines which involve the return of demand for drivers such as the convenience of and the desire for dining out. Hence, in 2010 coupons, discounts and promotions remained at the heart of marketing strategies used by many consumer foodservice operators seeking to attract budget-conscious Canadians.

Alcohol sales further weakened as drink-driving fines increase

In the past two years, many Canadian provinces have instituted penalties for drink-driving that are much stiffer than the laws that preceded them. It has now become the case that many Canadian consumers stay at home to drink instead of going out to a full-service restaurant or bar, and drink less when going out. This has caused many bars to change their focus more towards bar food and full meals, and both restaurants and bars noted slower demand for alcohol in 2010.

In most cases chained is still the way to go

As the effects of the recession linger, many Canadian consumers, when they decide to go out for a meal, are choosing to dine out at a branded establishment. This is due to the fact that as the incidence of dining out has declined for many consumers, the demand for a known quantity has increased. Canadian consumers do not want their dining experience to include surprises of any kind, and thus prefer consistency over novelty. Additionally, larger chained operators possess more resources to offer promotions and attractive menu pricing to Canadians, which has contributed to a stronger performance by chained outlets compared with independents.

A slow return to growth in sales

Over the forecast period, the Canadian consumer foodservice market is expected to see positive growth in value terms, with stronger sales growth expected towards the end of the period, as the recovery in the economy and in consumer spending strengthens. Establishments that suffered during the recession, such as full-service restaurants, will return to growth, although it is the fast food operators that are expected to remain the best performing.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Foodservice in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Foodservice sales return to slow yet positive growth

Canadian consumers are getting used to living on a budget

Alcohol sales further weakened as drink-driving fines increase

In most cases chained is still the way to go

A slow return to growth in sales

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Restaurant spending returns but at a decreased rate

Canadians still demand healthier menus, but there are exceptions

Culturally aware Canadians open to exotic cuisines and menus

HST and new drink-drive laws have an immediate negative effect on sales

“Geek chic” trend ensures that “indie café culture” is on the rise

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Consumer Foodservice by Independent Vs Chained Outlets: Units/Outlets 2010
  • Table 4 Consumer Foodservice by Eat in Vs Takeaway 2010
  • Table 5 Consumer Foodservice by Food Vs Drinks Split 2010
  • Table 6 Sales in Consumer Foodservice by Location 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Leading Chained Consumer Foodservice Brands by Number of Units 2010
  • Table 8 Chained Consumer Foodservice Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 9 Chained Consumer Foodservice Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 10 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

National Consumer Expenditure

  • Table 12 Consumer Expenditure on Consumer Foodservice 2005-2010

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Franchising

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Foodservice in Canada - Company Profiles

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 A&W Foodservices of Canada Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Boston Pizza International Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Boston Pizza International Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Cara Operations Ltd in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Cara Operations Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Pizza Pizza Ltd in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Pizza Pizza Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Tim Horton's Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Tim Horton’s Inc Competitive Position 2010

100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The recession and only slow recovery caused many Canadians to get into the frame of mind of living on a budget. This trend affected the consumer foodservice industry to the extent that while most Canadians still favoured dining out, there was a shift in terms of trading down from higher priced establishments to more cost effective dining experiences. This was the case in 2009 and continued to be the case in 2010, although to a lesser degree, as the country entered the recovery stage.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 100% home delivery/takeaway sales in Canada are divided between a number of foreign-based (mostly US) and domestic operators, with the majority of sales coming from pizza operators. In terms of value share, Domino’s Pizza led sales in 2010, with 11% of sales. In the years 2007 to 2009, the leader in this category was Pizza Hut; however, due to the effects of the recession and slow recovery, leading to tighter budgets for most Canadian consumers, the cheaper menu of Domino’s seemed more cost-effective, giving Domino’s a boost. Additionally, to capitalise on the tendency towards digital/on-line ordering and to offer extra convenience, in mid-2010 Domino Pizza introduced a new mobile application in Canada available for Palm and Android devices. The new application allows users to locate their nearest store and receive exclusive daily coupons and flyers specific to the chosen location. The application also provides directions for pick-up as well as a direct phone number to order. Each Domino’s Pizza mobile application download received an exclusive offer of C$4.00 off a large pizza.

PROSPECTS

  • The home delivery/takeaway category is projected to grow by a 3% CAGR in constant value between 2010 and 2015, with projected transaction growth and outlet growth of 2% annually. Successful marketing strategies will continue to include value menus and food items that encourage consumers to believe that they are getting a bargain. Throughout the forecast period, it will continue to be the case that chained establishments will be frequented more than independent outlets, as people are still observing their budget restrictions and will continue to prefer establishments that provide a known quantity and consistency, and are able to offer better deals.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 14 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 15 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 16 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 18 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2006-2010
  • Table 20 Brand Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2007-2010
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Cafés/Bars in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Overall, in 2010 cafés/bars grew by 5% in value terms from the previous year, with the number of transactions increasing by close to 8%. The numbers of outlets grew by 7%. Although, as during the recession, during the economic recovery many consumers had to give up their big dinners or evenings out, many people still lined up to buy their coffees. While dinner outings at high-end full-service restaurants declined, at many cafés demand for meals like pizza and sandwiches went up. However, the performance of cafés/bars varied by category, and the pace of economic recovery was not the only factor affecting consumer demand and sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Starbucks led sales in 2010, with a 12% share of value within the total café/bars category, and a 21% share of transactions. The company’s strength lies in its strong lead in coffee specialists, where it accounted for 38% of value sales and 35% of transactions. The company’s closest competitor in coffee specialists remained the Second Cup brand, operated by Dinecorp Hospitality. The Second Cup, however, continued to struggle, losing share of sales not only to competitors like Starbucks but also due to competitive pressure coming from cafés. In order to revitalise its business, Second Cup has been making changes to the company structure, as well as planning outlet growth to boost its presence across Canada. Additionally, the company is seeking to feature more fair trade coffee, which is likely to draw more consumers, as Canadians have been paying closer attention to fair trade practices and welcome products and businesses that are fair trade certified. It remains to be seen whether these changes will help Second Cup to reverse its fortunes in the coming years.

PROSPECTS

  • During the forecast period, cafés/bars are projected to grow by a CAGR of 3% in terms of constant value and transaction volume, while the numbers of outlets is projected to grow by an annual average of 2%. In 2015 sales for café/bars will thus amount to approximately C$5.7 billion at constant 2010 prices. Economic recovery as well as legislative changes will continue to shape the performance of the café/bars category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Brand Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The type of restaurant location with the greatest market share in Canada is standalone. Standalone restaurants tend to be in core urban and suburban locations, featuring restaurants in all formats – from full-service to fast food and cafés. However, in 2010 the standalone format registered only marginal growth in value sales, chiefly due to the still weak operating environment and weak sales at full-service restaurants, which dominate standalone foodservice in Canada. However, standalone cafés/bars grew by 6%, supported by the successful expansion of both chained and independents, and driven by the growing café and gourmet coffee culture in Canada.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • While many of the major foodservice companies (including Tim Horton’s, Burger King and Subway) have established a solid presence within retail locations, such as malls and their food courts, there are also many chains that initially became successful within the retail environment that have recently launched standalone locations. The major Asian fast food chains, including Edo Japan, Made in Japan Teriyaki Experience and Manchu Wok have all launched standalone locations.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, standalone foodservice locations are projected to see positive CAGR of 3% in constant value, as economic recovery and rising consumer spending are expected to revitalise dining establishments, including full-service restaurants, which constitute the largest proportion of standalone locations.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 41 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 61 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 67 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 72 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 73 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 77 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 78 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 79 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 80 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 81 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 82 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 85 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 86 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 87 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 88 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 89 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 90 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 91 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 92 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 93 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 94 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 95 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 96 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 97 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 98 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 99 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 100 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 101 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 102 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 103 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 104 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 105 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 106 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 107 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 108 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 109 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 110 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 111 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Fast Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, fast food restaurants in Canada saw an increase of 2% in current value, to C$20 billion. Transaction volume and outlet growth saw positive growth as well, representing an improvement on the previous year. Although fast food establishments did not suffer to the same extent as, for example, full-service restaurants during the recession, as fast food is a value option for those still seeking to dine out, the recession did not leave fast food entirely unscathed. Nonetheless, 2010 saw increased consumer traffic, new menu items appeared, and plans for new outlet openings came to life once again.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unlike many other markets globally, where McDonald’s is the leader in fast food sales, in Canada fast food is led by the domestic company Tim Horton’s. The iconic Canadian chain ranked first in terms of value sales, outlets and transaction volume in 2010. In value terms, the Tim Horton’s chain accounted for a 26% share of sales in 2010. McDonald’s achieved second place in terms of value share, with 15%, and Subway captured 6% of category sales. These positions of first second and third were in place for the duration of the review period, with all three gaining share at the expense of smaller chains.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the fast food category in Canada is projected to grow, and successful marketing strategies will continue to include value menus and food items that allow consumers to believe that they are getting a bargain. Throughout the forecast period, it will continue to be the case that chained establishments will be frequented more than independents, as consumers are still observing their budget restrictions and will continue to gravitate towards establishments that provide a known quantity and consistency, as well as better value. During the forecast period, sales at fast food restaurants are projected to see a CAGR of 5% in constant value, to reach a total of approximately C$26 billion at constant 2010 prices, while the number of outlets is projected to grow by an annual average of just under 3%. Chained establishments are expected to continue to see stronger increases in all parameters – value, transactions and outlets – than independents. Chained operators will also continue to account for the lion share of sales, accounting for nearly 84% of value sales in 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 112 Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 113 Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 114 Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 115 Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 116 Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 117 Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 118 Sales of Bakery Products Fast Food by Type 2007-2010
  • Table 119 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Fast Food 2006-2010
  • Table 120 Brand Shares of Chained Fast Food 2007-2010
  • Table 121 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 122 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 123 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 124 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Full-Service Restaurants in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • While Canada did not experience the recession as deeply as many other countries around the world, it did have the effect of causing many Canadians to get into the frame of mind of living on a budget. The slow pace of economic recovery in 2010 continued to affect consumer spending unfavourably. While most Canadians still liked to dine out, there was a shift in terms of trading down from higher priced establishments to more cost effective dining experiences. This resulted in the fact that in terms of sales, full-service restaurants continued to see a decline in 2010, declining by 1% in current value and transaction volume, as well as by nearly 2% in the number of outlets.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Similarly to most other consumer foodservice categories, sales through full-service restaurants are highly fragmented. The Boston Pizza, Swiss Chalet, St Hubert and Pizza Hut brands remained in the lead in 2010, together accounting for an 11% share of value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, full-service restaurants are expected to grow by a 2% CAGR in constant value, to C$22 billion at constant 2010 prices in 2015. Modest growth in outlets and transaction volume is also expected over the period. Economic recovery and the recovery of consumer spending on meals away from home are expected to help support sales growth between 2010 and 2015. However, certain hurdles on the way to recovery in growth will remain, including HST, which is expected to continue to affect the amount spent on dining out, as well as stricter drink-driving laws. In 2011, Nova Scotia is joining the major Canadian jurisdictions that have adopted tougher drink-driving laws, which are expected to affect demand for alcohol to some extent. However, it is expected that, with time, Canadian consumers will get used to the new HST and its effect on sales will wear off somewhat, compared to the stronger initial impact it had when the new tax came into effect.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 127 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 128 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 129 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 130 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 131 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 132 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 133 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2006-2010
  • Table 134 Brand Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2007-2010
  • Table 135 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 136 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 140 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Self-Service Cafeterias in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • While self-service cafeterias remain relatively small within the Canadian foodservice market, the category has been seeking to benefit from many of the current foodservice trends, including increased demand for convenience, portability and health and wellness, as well as, in 2009 and 2010, the restricted household budgets of many recession-hit Canadians.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Cultures, operated by MTY Food Group, achieved the highest share in self-service cafeterias, of 6%, which was up by one percentage point on 2009. Culture’s opened new outlets in shopping malls in 2010, which helped to drive sales. Additionally, Culture’s places great emphasis on freshness, health and variety, featuring ingredients that are not often found in fast food or other quick service options, such as its new wraps with chilli lime tilapia and mango salsa. Culture’s outlets have a clean, modern look, are brightly lit and are designed to convey the message of freshness and high quality. The outlet’s signage shows photos of healthier options, such as smoothies, juice, sandwiches and soups, to further highlight the idea of healthier nutrition.

PROSPECTS

  • During the forecast period, sales at self-service cafeteria in Canada are projected to grow by a CAGR of 2% in constant value, while the number of outlets in this category is projected to see a CAGR during the same period of 1%. Independent operators will see somewhat slower growth rates compared to chains.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 141 Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 142 Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 143 Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 144 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 145 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 146 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 147 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2006-2010
  • Table 148 Brand Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2007-2010
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 151 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 152 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 153 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Street Stalls/Kiosks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The incidence of obesity in Canada is rising, and this is one of the main drivers for the health and wellness trend that is now becoming mainstream. In addition, the ageing of the Canadian population is also causing an increase in medical conditions such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes. Due to these factors, many Canadians already have or are in the process of adopting a healthier lifestyle, characterised by an increase in exercise regimens as well as healthier eating. Many establishments point out that consumers are becoming increasingly knowledgeable about healthy food items, encouraging outlets to be more transparent in terms of the raw materials and the cooking processes used.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The BeaverTails brand captured the largest share of sales in 2010, with 9% of category value. The chain focuses on a popular Canadian pastry – fried dough served hot and shaped in a form of a beaver tail, with a choice of toppings. The company has been in operation since 1978, and the famous dessert came into the spotlight at the inauguration of President Obama, who sampled it on his visit to Ottawa. Additionally, the co-owner of the BeaverTails served the dessert at the Canadian embassy in Washington on the occasion of the president’s inauguration. The most popular variety of Beaver Tail served by the company is said to be the one with cinnamon sugar and chocolate hazelnut spread topping. While its products are still fairly popular, the company is facing an increasingly difficult environment in Canada, not least due to the health and wellness trend. To take the company further, including growth outside Canada, the company sold a controlling share to the owners of Moozoo, which supplies fresh juices, frozen yoghurt and gelato wholesale throughout Quebec to convenience stores and some BeaverTails outlets. It remains to be seen whether a shift in menu assortment and a stronger emphasis on healthier options will work in favour of BeaverTails.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales through street stalls/kiosks are projected to decline during the forecast period, by an annual average of 5% in constant value, while the number of outlets is projected to decline at a similar rate. Total sales are expected to stand at approximately C$296 million at constant 2010 prices in 2015. While there will still be some demand for these quick food options, in general, the wide availability of other quick meal solutions that offer more variety and are more nutritious will continue to affect sales of street stall/kiosks unfavourably.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 155 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2005-2010
  • Table 156 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2005-2010
  • Table 157 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2005-2010
  • Table 158 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 159 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 160 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 161 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2006-2010
  • Table 162 Brand Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2007-2010
  • Table 163 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2010-2015
  • Table 164 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2010-2015
  • Table 165 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2010-2015
  • Table 166 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Foodservice
    • Consumer Foodservice by Type
      • Chained Consumer Foodservice
      • Independent Consumer Foodservice
      • 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Independent 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
      • Cafés/Bars
        • Chained Cafés/Bars
        • Independent Cafés/Bars
        • Bars/Pubs
          • Chained Bars/Pubs
          • Independent Bars/Pubs
        • Cafés
          • Chained Cafés
          • Independent Cafés
        • Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Chained Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Independent Juice/Smoothie Bars
        • Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Independent Specialist Coffee Shops
      • Full-Service Restaurants
        • Chained Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Full-Service Restaurants
        • Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants
        • European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent European Full-Service Restaurants
        • Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
        • North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants
        • Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
      • Fast Food
        • Chained Fast Food
        • Independent Fast Food
        • Asian Fast Food
          • Chained Asian Fast Food
          • Independent Asian Fast Food
        • Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Chained Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Independent Bakery Products Fast Food
        • Burger Fast Food
          • Chained Burger Fast Food
          • Independent Burger Fast Food
        • Chicken Fast Food
          • Chained Chicken Fast Food
          • Independent Chicken Fast Food
        • Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Chained Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Independent Convenience Stores Fast Food
        • Fish Fast Food
          • Chained Fish Fast Food
          • Independent Fish Fast Food
        • Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Chained Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Independent Ice Cream Fast Food
        • Latin American Fast Food
          • Chained Latin American Fast Food
          • Independent Latin American Fast Food
        • Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Chained Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Independent Middle Eastern Fast Food
        • Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
        • Other Fast Food
          • Chained Other Fast Food
          • Independent Other Fast Food
        • Fast Casual Dining
      • Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Chained Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Independent Self-Service Cafeterias
      • Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Independent Street Stalls/Kiosks
      • Pizza Consumer Foodservice
        • Chained Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
    • Consumer Foodservice by Location
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Standalone
        • Cafés/Bars Through Standalone
        • Fast Food Through Standalone
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Standalone
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Standalone
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Standalone
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Leisure
        • Cafés/Bars Through Leisure
        • Fast Food Through Leisure
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Leisure
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Leisure
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Leisure
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Retail
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Retail
        • Cafés/Bars Through Retail
        • Fast Food Through Retail
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Retail
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Retail
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Retail
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Lodging
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Lodging
        • Cafés/Bars Through Lodging
        • Fast Food Through Lodging
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Lodging
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Lodging
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Lodging
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Travel
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Travel
        • Cafés/Bars Through Travel
        • Fast Food Through Travel
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Travel
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Travel
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Travel

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Analysis by type
  • Chained vs independent
  • Eat-in vs take-away sales
  • Food vs drink sales
  • Pricing
  • Sales by location

Market size details:

  • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Units/outlets
  • Units/outlets % growth
  • Units/outlets per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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