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Country Report

Consumer Foodservice in Canada

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer foodservice displays positive growth

In 2011, consumer foodservice experienced a recovery. Growth was driven by a confluence of several major trends: the economic uncertainty was improving, consumer confidence was growing, and therefore the categories of consumer foodservice that had suffered the most during the downturn (such as full-service restaurants and street stalls/kiosks) witnessed a return of sales. Additional drivers for sales growth included the health and wellness trend which caused most establishments to develop their healthier menus, and the increased demand for speciality coffee products – which many of the major players added to their menus in 2011/2012.

Independent locations witness return of sales growth

During the review period, independents outlets were hit harder by the economic uncertainties than chained – and that was due to the fact that consumers were unwilling to spend money on an uncertain dining experience, opting instead for the known quantity of a chained establishment. Now that consumer confidence is slowly returning, so is the adventurous spirit – as the growth in independent foodservice value sales ended higher than what was recorded for the entire review period.

Tim Hortons tops foodservice value share in 2011

Unlike many other global markets, where McDonald’s is the leader in fast food sales, in Canada fast food is led by the domestic brand Tim Hortons. The iconic Canadian chain also ranked first in overall consumer foodservice in terms of value sales, outlets and transaction volume in 2011. Its edge over the other fast food establishments is that it the dominant coffee player in Canada. In 2011, Tim Hortons launched new healthier breakfast items, such as oatmeal and an all egg white sandwich on whole grain muffins, as well as a new line of speciality coffees – both of which tap into major foodservice trends – health and wellness and the growing demand for speciality coffees in Canada.

Standalone is leading location

The type of restaurant location with the greatest value share in Canada is standalone. Standalone restaurants tend to be in core urban and suburban locations, featuring restaurants in all formats – from full-service to fast food and cafés. In 2011, the standalone format witnessed strong growth in value terms, mostly due to growth in 100% home delivery and in fast food. The fastest growth in 2011 was consumer foodservice through travel. The travel industry was hit hard by the downturn in the economy – however, as the economy is slowly improving, tourism is making a comeback. Very closely behind travel locations, consumer foodservice through retail also witnessed strong growth in 2011. As is the case with travel, returning consumer confidence drove the spending of shopping dollars, and of course shopping goes hand-in-hand with eating at the food court.

Projected growth tops review period performance

It is projected that constant value sales growth for consumer foodservice during the forecast period will outpace that of the review period. The same trends that made 2011 a banner year for sales will continue to drive growth during the forecast period. The economic environment is projected to continue to improve year-on-year – and the corresponding consumer confidence will drive sales across the board – which is especially beneficial for the categories that were the hardest hit by the economy – full-service restaurants and street stalls/kiosks. The category with the highest projected rate of growth is cafés/bars – and that is due to the high demand for speciality coffee products, as well as a high demand for juice/smoothie bars.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Foodservice by Location industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Foodservice by Location industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Consumer Foodservice by Location in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Foodservice by Location in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • How are economic or demographic factors impacting the foodservice industry in #Country»?
  • How are multinational and local operators expanding in #Country»?
  • How have consumer lifestyle trends and eating habits influenced foodservice in #Country»?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Consumer Foodservice market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Foodservice in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer foodservice displays positive growth

Independent locations witness return of sales growth

Tim Hortons tops foodservice value share in 2011

Standalone is leading location

Projected growth tops review period performance

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Ethnic food integration drives growth of consumer foodservice

Positive changes in economic environment drive return of sales growth

Urbanisation increasing in Canada

Well-established health and wellness trends are evolving

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Foodservice by Independent Vs Chained Outlets: Units/Outlets 2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Foodservice by Eat in Vs Takeaway 2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Foodservice by Food Vs Drinks Split 2011
  • Table 6 Sales in Consumer Foodservice by Location 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Leading Chained Consumer Foodservice Brands by Number of Units 2011
  • Table 8 Chained Consumer Foodservice Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 9 Chained Consumer Foodservice Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

  • Table 12 Consumer Expenditure on Consumer Foodservice 2006-2011

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Foodservice in Canada - Company Profiles

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 A&W Foodservices of Canada Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Boston Pizza International Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Boston Pizza International Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Cara Operations Ltd in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Cara Operations Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Pizza Pizza Ltd in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Pizza Pizza Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Tim Horton's Inc in Consumer Foodservice (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Tim Horton’s Inc: Competitive Position 2011

100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 100% home delivery/takeaway consists mainly of pizza 100% home delivery/takeaway with 72% value share, with the remainder (28%) made up of other 100% home delivery/takeaway. This ratio remained relatively stable throughout the review period. In 2011, sales grew by 8% in current value terms (the highest rate of growth during the entire review period), for a total size of C$2 billion. In addition, in 2011 outlet numbers grew by 4% and transaction numbers grew by 5%, with the total number of outlets reaching 3,248.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 100% home delivery/takeaway sales in Canada are divided between a number of foreign-based (mostly US) and domestic operators, with the majority of sales coming from pizza operators. In terms of value share, Domino’s Pizza led sales in 2011, with 12% of sales. Between 2007 and 2009, the leader in this category was Pizza Hut Express; however, due to the effects of the recession and slow recovery, leading to tighter budgets for most Canadian consumers, the cheaper menu of Domino’s seemed more cost-effective, giving it a boost.

PROSPECTS

  • Home delivery/takeaway is projected to grow by a 4% constant value CAGR to reach C$2.4 billion by 2016, with projected transaction and outlet CAGRs of 3% each. Successful marketing strategies will continue to include value menus and food items that encourage consumers to believe that they are getting value-for-money. It was the case historically that throughout the forecast period, chained establishments would grow at a faster rate than independent outlets; however as consumer confidence returns, there be a return to independent establishments, with chained outlets growing at a constant value CAGR of 4% and independents at 3%. This shift is taking place because a tighter budget will no longer be the main parameter of restaurant choice – consumers during the forecast period will be able to also focus on other deciding factors, such as taste, healthier options, and a more diverse menu. Chained establishments will still be better able to provide cost effective bargains (due to the greater amount of funds available for marketing and economies of scale), but Canadian consumers will also be willing to take more chances with their dining dollars.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 14 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 15 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2007-2011
  • Table 20 Brand Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2008-2011
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Cafés/Bars in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, cafés/bars grew by 4% in terms of current value, to reach sales of C$4.7 billion. The category is comprised of bars/pubs (43% value share), specialist coffee shops (37%), juice/smoothie bars (15%) and cafés (5%). The most popular location for cafés/bars in 2011 was standalone (at 71%) followed by the lodging location (at 9%). The number of outlets grew by 2% in 2011 to reach 8,496 – which compares to a CAGR of 3% outlet growth during the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, Starbucks Coffee Canada Inc ranked first with 15% value share to total C$686 million in sales. Starbucks also ranked first in terms of number of outlets (13% share) with 1,120. The company’s strength lies in its strong lead in specialist coffee shops, where it accounted for 39% value share and 36% share of transactions. In 2011, Starbucks reported a food/drink split of 25%/75%. In 2012, the company launched two new speciality coffee products – two new flavours of Frappuccino iced coffee - Mocha Cookie Crumble and Chocolate Cookie Crumble Crème. The driver for this launch is the exact opposite of the health and wellness trend – the trend for ‘once in a while’ affordable luxuries. The demand for speciality coffee is growing (especially after McDonald’s and Tim Hortons began introducing speciality coffee products to the masses), and most coffee outlets in Canada feature some kind of iced coffee beverage for the summer months.

PROSPECTS

  • During the forecast period, cafés/bars is projected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 5% and a 4% CAGR in transactions, while the numbers of outlets is projected to grow by an annual average of 3%. In 2016 sales for café/bars will thus amount to approximately C$5.9 billion in constant value terms. Economic recovery as well as legislative changes will continue to shape the performance of café/bars.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Brand Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The type of restaurant location with the greatest value share in Canada is standalone at 72%. Standalone restaurants tend to be in core urban and suburban locations, featuring restaurants in all formats – from full-service to fast food and cafés. In 2011, the standalone format witnessed 4% growth in value terms, mostly due to 8% growth in 100% home delivery and 6% growth in fast food through standalone. The growth in both of these segments is the highest it has been throughout the review period. The majority of 100% home delivery establishments are at standalone locations, and therefore an increase here equates an increase for standalone locations. The increase of 100% home delivery through standalone is driven by several factors – the chief amongst which are price and the increasingly popular decision to entertain at home. Many home delivery establishments aggressively targets catering for large gatherings - Canadian 2 for 1 Pizza, for example, promotes what it calls “Crowd Pleasers” which are deals for two small/medium/or large pizzas – and its tagline is “Caution: For Serious Appetites Only”.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The highest growth location in 2011 was consumer foodservice through travel. Within travel, airports in particular try to source the most well-known brands in order to increase the amount of spending by consumers during travel. A look at the establishments that are located in major airports reads like a who’s who of well-known places to eat. At Toronto’s Pearson airport for example the list includes: Pizza Pizza, Tim Hortons, A&W, Subway, Starbucks and Wolfgang Puck. In Calgary, the roster also contains most of the Canadian favourites: A & W, Tim Hortons, Dairy Queen, Starbucks, Orange Julius, Edo Japan, Manchu Wok, Second Cup, Subway, Swiss Chalet Express, Harvey’s, Kelsey’s and Taco Time. The point is that travel locations do tend to seek out the most well-known foodservice brands, but there is some room for Provincial flair – in Calgary it is the Calgary Connection Bar & Café. In Vancouver, it is Rice Tales and Wok n’ Roll Toshi Teppanyaki, while in Montreal it is Boulangerie de Montréal Cie and Brûlerie St-Denis.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, consumer foodservice through standalone is projected to record a constant value CAGR of 2%. The economic environment becomes more stable, consumers will return to dining at full-service restaurants, which constitute the largest proportion of standalone locations. The segment of consumer foodservice that is projected to see the highest growth in terms of standalone locations is cafés/bars with a constant value CAGR of 4%. This is not an isolated growth rate however, because cafés/bars will show strong growth amongst all of the location types: leisure, retail at 6%, lodging at 5%, and travel at a 4% constant value CAGR.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 41 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 78 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 79 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 89 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 90 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 91 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 96 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 97 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 98 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 99 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 100 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 101 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 108 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 109 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 110 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 111 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 112 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Fast Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fast food comprises eleven segments, of which bakery products fast food and burger fast food account for the bulk value share (41% and 33% respectively). The share of bakery products fast food increased during the review period, while burger fast food remained relatively stable. The segments that declined (to the benefit of bakery products fast food) include chicken fast food and ice cream fast food.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unlike many other global markets, where McDonald’s is the leader in fast food sales, in Canada fast food is led by the domestic brand Tim Hortons. The iconic Canadian chain ranked first in terms of value sales, outlets and transaction volume in 2011. In value terms, Tim Hortons accounted for 25% share of sales in 2011. McDonald’s ranked second in terms of value share with 11%, and Subway captured 6% value share. These top three positions remained in place for the duration of the review period, with all three gaining share at the expense of smaller chains.

PROSPECTS

  • Fast food is predicted to grow by a constant value CAGR of 2% during the forecast period to reach sales of C$23.6 billion by 2016. It is also projected that the number of outlets will increase by a CAGR of 2% during this time period to reach 37,804 by 2016. It is projected that independent fast food locations will grow marginally faster than chained locations (3% versus 2% in constant value terms). This growth of independents is a continuation of the trend started in 2011 - during the review period, the independents were hit harder by the economic uncertainties than chained – and that was due to the fact that consumers were unwilling to spend money on an uncertain dining experience, opting instead for the known quantity of a chained establishment. Now that consumer confidence is slowly returning, so is the adventurous spirit – as the growth in independent foodservice sales was higher in 2011 than it has been during the entire review period – and this trend is projected to continue during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 113 Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 114 Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 115 Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 116 Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 117 Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Sales of Bakery Products Fast Food by Type 2008-2011
  • Table 120 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Fast Food 2007-2011
  • Table 121 Brand Shares of Chained Fast Food 2008-2011
  • Table 122 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 123 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 124 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Full-Service Restaurants in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Within full-service restaurants in Canada, North American full-service restaurants account for 28% value share, followed by Asian full-service restaurants at 18%, and pizza full-service restaurants at 12%. In 2011, current value sales grew by 2% overall, to reach sales of C$20.8 billion. During the review period, growth in this category reached an average of 1% in current value terms, while in 2009 and 2010 growth was negative. This was a result of the difficult economic environment and the fact that Canadian consumers were ‘trading down’ from more expensive full-service restaurants to relatively less expensive fast food, and 100% delivery/takeaway. In 2011 however, current value growth was positive, indicating that as the economy slowly improves, consumers are also slowly regaining their confidence, and are returning to full- service restaurants once again.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Similarly to most other consumer foodservice categories, sales through full-service restaurants are highly fragmented. Boston Pizza, Swiss Chalet, St Hubert and Pizza Hut brands remained in the lead in 2011, together accounting for just 12% value share.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, full-service restaurants is projected to record a constant value CAGR of 2%, to reach C$22.7 billion in 2016. Modest growth (1% for both parameters) in outlets and transaction volume is also expected over the period. Economic recovery and the recovery of consumer spending on meals away from the home are expected to help support sales growth. During the forecast period, both chained and independents restaurants are projected to grow by 2% constant value CAGRs and the driver for this trend is that in 2011 and 2012 consumers began to return to full-service restaurants as consumer confidence edged its way back up; however consumers did not want to take a chance on an independent establishment when the chained variety was so much more consistent. During the forecast period, when the economy is projected to further improve, and consumer confidence climbs higher, consumers will once again be more likely to take a chance on meals at independent restaurants.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 128 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 129 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 130 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2007-2011
  • Table 135 Brand Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2008-2011
  • Table 136 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 140 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 141 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Self-Service Cafeterias in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, self-service cafeterias witnessed 4% growth in current value terms to reach sales of C$601 million. Within self-service cafeterias, 72% value share is comprised of chained establishments, while 28% is independent. The growth of 4% in 2011 compares very favourably to a current value CAGR of 2% during the review period. In 2011, the number of outlets grew by less than 1%, and the number of transactions grew by a little over 1%, indicating that the growth in sales was due to the growth in transaction numbers. The standalone location is the most prevalent location for self-service cafeterias – although the share of that location type decreased throughout the review period – to the benefit of retail locations – a location type that witnessed steady growth in share.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Culture’s, operated by MTY Food Group, held the highest value share of self-service cafeterias in 2011with 5%. Its share hovered around the 5% mark for the duration of the review period. The number of Culture’s outlets grew by 8% in 2011 to reach 59 which helped to drive sales. Additionally, Culture’s places great emphasis on freshness, health and variety, featuring ingredients that are not often found in fast food or other quick service options, such as its new wraps with chilli lime tilapia and mango salsa. Its outlets have a clean, modern look, are brightly lit and are designed to convey the message of freshness and high quality.

PROSPECTS

  • During the forecast period, self-service cafeterias in Canada is projected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 2%, while the number of outlets is also projected to record a CAGR of 2%. Independent operators will see somewhat slower growth rates compared to chained establishments.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 142 Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 144 Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 145 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 146 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 147 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 148 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2007-2011
  • Table 149 Brand Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2008-2011
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 151 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 152 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 153 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 155 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Street Stalls/Kiosks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, sales of street stalls/kiosks grew by 3% in current value terms to reach a total of C$464 million, and independent vendors grew at a faster pace than chained in terms of outlet and transactions. Street stalls/kiosks is fragmented; hence the growth of independent vendors. Sales experienced a downturn during parts of the review period; however there is evidence that there is a resurgence of interest in this category, driven by a healthier economy, regulatory changes, and the slow return of tourism, which of course drives demand for street vendor fare. For example, in September of 2010, The Star newspaper ran a piece stating that “there is a mobile food truck revolution that is sweeping North America.” The article states that consumers are drawn to recession-friendly prices and chef prepared meals sourced from local providers. In a way – the new wave of street vendors may provide the type of high-end cuisine (at lower- end prices) that Canadian consumers missed during the economic downturn. The successful street stalls/kiosks of 2011 feature a diverse cuisine, many with ethnic twists.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Street stalls/kiosks is fragmented in Canada, although there are several chained brands that have captured share. The leading brand of 2011 was BeaverTails with 8% value share. The chain focuses on a popular Canadian pastry – fried dough served hot and shaped in the form of a beaver tail, with a choice of toppings. The most popular variety of Beaver Tail served by the company is said to be the one with cinnamon sugar and chocolate hazelnut spread topping. Its share decreased during the review period, perhaps due to the increased focus on healthier eating, as well as the troubled economy. Canadian consumers do want more street vendors; however, there is a strong demand for healthier food as well as for a more diverse menu.

PROSPECTS

  • Street stalls/kiosks is projected to grow during the forecast period by a constant value CAGR of 2%, to reach C$524 million in 2016. Independent street vendors are predicted to record a faster rate of growth than chained in constant value terms: 3% versus 2%. The reason for the growth of independents is that Canadian consumers demand something more than the traditional street vendor fare (which is what BeaverTails, Mr Tube Steak and Willy Dog serve). Therefore, opportunities do exist in the category – Canadian consumers are demanding more cultural diversity in street vendor menus – street stalls/kiosks still tend to offer mostly traditional fare – such as hot dogs, hamburgers and bar-b-cues. Canadians want more gourmet style street food, including ethnic diversity.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 156 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 157 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 158 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 159 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 160 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 161 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 162 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2007-2011
  • Table 163 Brand Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2008-2011
  • Table 164 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 165 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 166 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Foodservice
    • Consumer Foodservice by Type
      • Chained Consumer Foodservice
      • Independent Consumer Foodservice
      • 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Independent 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
      • Cafés/Bars
        • Chained Cafés/Bars
        • Independent Cafés/Bars
        • Bars/Pubs
          • Chained Bars/Pubs
          • Independent Bars/Pubs
        • Cafés
          • Chained Cafés
          • Independent Cafés
        • Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Chained Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Independent Juice/Smoothie Bars
        • Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Independent Specialist Coffee Shops
      • Full-Service Restaurants
        • Chained Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Full-Service Restaurants
        • Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants
        • European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent European Full-Service Restaurants
        • Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
        • North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants
        • Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
      • Fast Food
        • Chained Fast Food
        • Independent Fast Food
        • Asian Fast Food
          • Chained Asian Fast Food
          • Independent Asian Fast Food
        • Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Chained Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Independent Bakery Products Fast Food
        • Burger Fast Food
          • Chained Burger Fast Food
          • Independent Burger Fast Food
        • Chicken Fast Food
          • Chained Chicken Fast Food
          • Independent Chicken Fast Food
        • Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Chained Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Independent Convenience Stores Fast Food
        • Fish Fast Food
          • Chained Fish Fast Food
          • Independent Fish Fast Food
        • Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Chained Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Independent Ice Cream Fast Food
        • Latin American Fast Food
          • Chained Latin American Fast Food
          • Independent Latin American Fast Food
        • Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Chained Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Independent Middle Eastern Fast Food
        • Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
        • Other Fast Food
          • Chained Other Fast Food
          • Independent Other Fast Food
        • Fast Casual Dining
      • Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Chained Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Independent Self-Service Cafeterias
      • Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Independent Street Stalls/Kiosks
      • Pizza Consumer Foodservice
        • Chained Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
    • Consumer Foodservice by Location
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Standalone
        • Cafés/Bars Through Standalone
        • Fast Food Through Standalone
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Standalone
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Standalone
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Standalone
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Leisure
        • Cafés/Bars Through Leisure
        • Fast Food Through Leisure
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Leisure
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Leisure
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Leisure
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Retail
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Retail
        • Cafés/Bars Through Retail
        • Fast Food Through Retail
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Retail
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Retail
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Retail
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Lodging
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Lodging
        • Cafés/Bars Through Lodging
        • Fast Food Through Lodging
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Lodging
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Lodging
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Lodging
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Travel
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Travel
        • Cafés/Bars Through Travel
        • Fast Food Through Travel
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Travel
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Travel
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Travel

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Analysis by type
  • Chained vs independent
  • Eat-in vs take-away sales
  • Food vs drink sales
  • Pricing
  • Sales by location

Market size details:

  • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Units/outlets
  • Units/outlets % growth
  • Units/outlets per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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