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Country Report

Consumer Foodservice in Denmark

Nov 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Renewed consumer pessimism slows value growth in 2011

Renewed consumer pessimism sparked by fear of a double-dip recession witnessed consumer foodservice value sales growth slowdown in 2011. However, consumer foodservice did not actually lose customers as the number of transactions grew. The average transaction value however declined, as consumers became more price-sensitive and were for instance less likely to purchase an extra side-order such as a starter, a drink, or dessert with their meal. The slower value growth performance in 2011 succeeded a more positive year of recovery in 2010, and a strong value sales decline during the recession year of 2009.

Strong consumer focus on health and quality

Despite the economic crisis, the Danes remained highly focussed on health and quality when eating out. Many would rather eat or drink less rather than compromise on health and quality, two factors which consumers increasingly view as interlinked. For instance, there is in Denmark a particularly strong perception that industrial and processed foods are generally unhealthy, taste bad, and are linked to a low quality of life. Thus, more wholesome, organic, and natural/unprocessed foods are highly popular and consumer foodservice companies across all categories are increasingly targeting this trend.

Chained competitors gain ground on independents

Chains such as Burger King, 7-Eleven, Sunset Boulevard, Lagkagehuset and Paradis are currently expanding heavily in Denmark with strong outlet growth since 2006. Plus, chained players have so far proven more adapt than independents at addressing the growing consumer focus on health, quality, and value-for-money. Multinational chains such as McDonald’s and Burger King have both adjusted to Danish consumers by for instance introducing wholemeal burger buns. The former did so in 2011. Domestic bakery products fast food chains such as Sunset Boulevard, Lagkagehuset and Emmerys are rapidly gaining shares through offering freshly made-in-front-of-you sandwiches and salads with plenty of wholemeal and homemade options.

Independent cafés remain hugely popular

Despite strong performances by many of its chained players, fast food value sales declined for the third consecutive year in 2011. Independent outlets in Middle Eastern, Pizza, and other fast food struggled tremendously as their menu options of kebabs, pizza, and frozen/processed sausages, hot dogs and burgers were poorly positioned against consumer demand for health and quality. Driven by independent cafés, café/bars was however the most dynamic value growth category in 2011. Independent cafés are numerous and remain hugely popular due to their varied menu offerings stretching from premium Italian style coffee, draft beer and other alcoholic beverages, and quality home-cooked food throughout the day and evening.

Improved value growth performance forecast

Consumer foodservice constant value sales growth is predicted to improve over the forecast period. Economic recovery and retracting consumer price-sensitivity is expected to boost consumer expenditure especially in café/bars and full-service restaurants. Meanwhile, chained players are likely to drive up fast food value sales growth as they increasingly adapt their menus to health and quality-driven consumer demand. In addition, Burger King, Subway, Sunset Boulevard, and Lagkagehuset, amongst others, have announced plans to expand their chains significantly further over the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Foodservice by Location industry in Denmark with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Foodservice by Location industry in Denmark, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Denmark for free:

The Consumer Foodservice by Location in Denmark market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Foodservice by Location in Denmark?
  • What are the major brands in Denmark?
  • How are economic or demographic factors impacting the foodservice industry in #Country»?
  • How are multinational and local operators expanding in #Country»?
  • How have consumer lifestyle trends and eating habits influenced foodservice in #Country»?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Consumer Foodservice market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Foodservice in Denmark - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Renewed consumer pessimism slows value growth in 2011

Strong consumer focus on health and quality

Chained competitors gain ground on independents

Independent cafés remain hugely popular

Improved value growth performance forecast

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Consumer pessimism results in value-for-money emerging as the key trend

Consumers still want premium-priced healthier and better quality food

Strong convenience trend has positive impact on consumer foodservice

Growing tourism boosts foodservice sales

Chained outlets gain ground on independents

CITY KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Copenhagen

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Foodservice by Independent Vs Chained Outlets: Units/Outlets 2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Foodservice by Eat in Vs Takeaway 2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Foodservice by Food Vs Drinks Split 2011
  • Table 6 Sales in Consumer Foodservice by Location 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Leading Chained Consumer Foodservice Brands by Number of Units 2011
  • Table 8 Chained Consumer Foodservice Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 9 Chained Consumer Foodservice Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Units, Transactions and Value Sales in Consumer Foodservice: % Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

National Consumer Expenditure

  • Table 12 Consumer Expenditure on Consumer Foodservice 2005-2010

Trade association statistics

Other published national data source

  • Table 13 Number of enterprises 2003-2008
  • Table 14 Domestic sales 2005-2010

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Franchising

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Foodservice in Denmark - Company Profiles

Baresso Coffee AS in Consumer Foodservice (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

SUPPLIERS

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Baresso Coffee AS: Competitive Position 2011

Danske Koncept Restauranter ApS in Consumer Foodservice (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

SUPPLIERS

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Danske Koncept Restauranter ApS: Competitive Position 2011

Jensen's Bøfhus A/S in Consumer Foodservice (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

SUPPLIERS

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Jensen’s Bøfhus A/S: Competitive Position 2011

Monarch A/S in Consumer Foodservice (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

SUPPLIERS

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Monarch A/S: Competitive Position 2011

Paradis A/S in Consumer Foodservice (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

SUPPLIERS

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Paradis A/S (GBO): Competitive Position 2011

100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite growing convenience driven consumer demand for 100% home delivery/takeaway, the category declined marginally by 0.5% due to increasing competition from other foodservice categories. A growing number of cafés and full-service restaurants are offering takeaway service targeted towards consumer demand for gourmet or better quality takeaway meals. In 2011, full-service restaurants and café/bars value share of eat-out value sales - which comprises of home delivery and takeaway meals - both increased by more than half a percentage point to 15and 5% respectively, while 100% home delivery/takeaway’s share marginally fell to 13%, and fast food declined to 57%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are only two chains present in 100% home delivery/takeaway in Denmark; Domino's Pizza which had 11 outlets and a 6% value share, and Chicago Roasthouse with 7 outlets and a 2% value share in 2011. Chicago Roasthouse is present in chained other 100% home delivery/takeaway and offers a menu of standard quality American-inspired dinner dishes with roasted or barbequed meets, baked potatoes, and salads. The remaining 92% share of value sales in 100% home delivery/takeaway is held by 451 independent outlets, of which 328 are pizza outlets, and 123 are other types of outlets.

PROSPECTS

  • 100% home delivery/takeaway companies face growing competition for take-away sales from cafés and full-service restaurants over the forecast period. The trend is likely to intensify as more cafés and full-service restaurants begin to offer and promote take-away services and consumer demand for gourmet and quality takeaway meals will strengthen further as the economy recovers. Cafés/bars and full-service restaurants’ share of total eat-out (home delivery/takeaway) value sales are both predicted to increase by three percentage points to 7% and 10% respectively by 2016. This will see 100% home delivery/takeaway’s share decline by a point to 12%, while the fast food share is expected to perform marginally better increasing by half a point to 57% by 2016. Streets stalls/kiosks and self-service cafeterias are expected the biggest losers within take-away as consumers increasingly perceive their offerings, such as hot dogs and canteen food, as unhealthy and of poor quality.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 16 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 17 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2007-2011
  • Table 22 Brand Shares of Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway 2008-2011
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 27 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 28 Forecast Sales in 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Cafés/Bars in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Due to the versatility of cafés in terms of menu offerings, café/bars came out strongest through the economic recession and remained the fastest growing consumer foodservice category in 2011. The performance was almost entirely driven by the 2,305 independent cafés which recorded 3% value growth and accounted for 83% share of the overall category’s value sales in 2011. Cafés in Denmark satisfy a very broad consumer group in that they serve both premium Italian style coffees such as caffè lattes and cappuccinos, alcohol including draft beer, and home cooked foods served throughout the day and evening. Thus, they attract customers looking for value-for-money by spending several hours in a café reading the newspaper only with the purchase of a coffee, customers looking for alcoholic drinks, and customers looking for good-quality food which is usually at a mid-range to upper-end full-service restaurant level, yet cheaper and in a casual environment.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The chained cafés/bars competitive environment is very immature due to the lack of investment into chained outlets. Independents accounted for 96% share of cafés/bars’ value sales in 2011, and Baresso Coffee is the only chain of noticeable presence and visibility. Although the specialist coffee shop chain held a 59% value share of chained cafés/bars, it only held 3% value share of cafés/bars overall. Baresso Coffee first opened in 1999 and now has nationwide presence with 42 outlets. In terms of its coffee house concept and product innovation, the chain is very similar to international leaders such as Starbucks, Costa Coffee, and Café Nero. The second and third ranked chained cafés/bars are respectively the juice/smoothie bar chain Joe & The Juice which counted 14 outlets, and the café chain Kong Kaffe with 9 outlets in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Cafés is likely to remain hugely popular and the key value growth driver of cafés/bars over the forecast period. Cafés is furthermore becoming an even more versatile channel, expanding its offerings; a growing number of outlets are for instance boosting revenues by offering gourmet take-away, and developing their menus towards stronger health and wellness positioning by expanding organic and naturally healthy ingredients. A large number of cafés are also expected to sign up to the health label scheme “Nøglehullet” (The Keyhole) which was introduced in consumer foodservice in 2011. Consumers know the Nøglehullet label well as it has been used in grocery retail since 2009. Products, or menu options, carrying the label are approved as calorie-efficient and nutritious to eat and it thus represents a potential competitive advantage for cafés as they will be better able to indicate and advertise healthy choices on the menu.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 29 Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2007-2011
  • Table 36 Brand Shares of Chained Cafés/Bars 2008-2011
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales in Cafés/Bars by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The economic slowdown and renewed consumer pessimism due to fear of a double-dip recession had a negative impact on consumer foodservice as the number of outlets declined by 1% in both standalone and non-standalone locations in 2011. Value growth in consumer expenditure on foodservice slumped to 1%, resulting in many unprofitable outlets close down. The decline in standalone outlets was mostly due to the high share of independents, which were more exposed to the economic downturn than chained outlets, while the decline in non-standalone outlets was down to slowing customer flows in retail, travel and leisure locations as consumers reduced their spending in these areas.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in the three leading non-standalone locations in consumer foodservice in Denmark—travel, leisure and lodging—is dominated by chained outlets, although independents enjoy a stronger presence in leisure locations.

PROSPECTS

  • A continuous shift away from standalone locations – transaction growth forecasted at 1% CAGR over 2011 to 2016 - towards consumer foodservice through retail leisure and travel – forecasted transaction growth of 2%, 2% and 1% CAGR respectively - is expected during the forecast period, while consumer foodservice through lodging is expected to increase the most.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 43 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales by Location: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 89 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 90 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Standalone: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 91 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 96 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Leisure: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 97 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 98 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 99 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 100 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 101 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Retail: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 108 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Lodging: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 109 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 110 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 111 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 112 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 113 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 114 Forecast Consumer Foodservice Sales through Travel: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Fast Food in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Demand for healthier and better quality food had a strong impact on fast food in 2011. Independent outlets selling pizzas, kebabs, frozen/processed burgers and hot dogs were poorly positioned against this trend, and total fast food value sales stagnated as segments such as Middle Eastern fast food, pizza fast food, and other fast food suffered heavy sales declines in 2011. However, a strong substitution effect was also noticeable as consumer preferences are shifting heavily in favour of freshly made-in-front-of-you sandwiches and salads, as well as homemade burgers and other non-processed fast food. Chained outlets have proven much more adept at addressing these trends than independents. Bakery products fast food chains such as Sunset Boulevard and Lagkagehuset, as well as other fast food chain Chilimili for instance, recorded strong value sales growth in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • McDonald's is the leading chain, both in fast food where it held 32% value share, and in consumer foodservice overall where it held 6% value share in 2011. The brand’s most direct competitor, Burger King ranked fourth in fast food with 6% value share on GBO level. The chain expanded heavily in Denmark, where it opened 22 new outlets over the review period where it reached 31 outlets in total. The McDonald’s chain however counted 83 outlets in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Health and quality is expected to have a significant impact on fast food over the forecast period also. Fast food foodservice operators are likely to an increasing extent adapt to or target this consumer trend through extended menu offerings of fresh vegetables, made in front of you foods, and homemade/non-processed meat products. The coming years are therefore also likely to see strong growth in independent outlets and even more in chained sandwich and salad bars. Most noticeably, both Sunset Boulevard and Subway had by early 2012 announced plans to expand heavily to reach 60 to 70 outlet strong chains by 2016. This will see the opening approximately of an additional 80 sandwich bars from these two operators alone. It is expected that, despite the strong similarities in concept and menu offerings between Sunset Boulevard and Subway, the growth in demand for sandwich bars will be strong enough to accommodate both chains expansion plans and that they will mainly take sales from independents in the Middle Eastern, pizza, and other fast food segments, as well as boosting overall fast food value growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 115 Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 116 Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 117 Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 120 Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Sales of Bakery Products Fast Food by Type 2008-2011
  • Table 122 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Fast Food 2007-2011
  • Table 123 Brand Shares of Chained Fast Food 2008-2011
  • Table 124 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 128 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 129 Forecast Sales in Fast Food by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Full-Service Restaurants in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Increasing culture and gourmet tourism boosted full-service restaurant sales in 2011. Since the Copenhagen-based Restaurant Noma in 2010 and again in 2011 was selected as the best restaurant in the world by the well-known British gastronomy magazine Restaurant, Copenhagen and its modern Nordic cuisine has become an attractive destination for gourmet tourists interested in fine dining. Plus, a gastronomy wave is currently sweeping the Danish capital that in the latest Michelin guide “Main Cities of Europe 2012” had a total of 13 Michelin star restaurants which is 4 more than the previous year. Restaurant Noma, which serves modern Nordic cuisine, has firmly underlined this trend and made Copenhagen highly visible on the international gastronomy map. The British newspaper The Guardian furthermore ranked Copenhagen amongst the top ten tourist destinations for couples in summer 2011. Culture and gourmet tourists are typically high spenders and their influx boosted not only Michelin star restaurant sales, but also had a broader positive impact on sales across mid to higher-end full-service restaurants in Copenhagen.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The full-service restaurants competitive environment is heavily dominated by independents which held a 91% value share in 2011. All 72 chained outlets are casual dining concept North American full-service restaurants. The largest chain, Jensen’s Bøfhus had 33 outlets, held a 45% value share of the segment, 4% value share of full-service restaurants, and it ranked second in consumer foodservice overall of which it held a 2% value share in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Full-service restaurants is expected to boost revenues through expanding on services such as offering gourmet take-away, and developing their menus towards stronger health and wellness positioning through more organic and naturally healthy ingredients. A large number of full-restaurants are also expected to sign up to the health label scheme “Nøglehullet” (The Keyhole) which was introduced in consumer foodservice in 2011. Consumers know the Nøglehullet label well as it has been used in grocery retail since 2009. Products, or menu options, carrying the label are approved as calorie-efficient and nutritious to eat and it thus represents a potential competitive advantage for full-service restaurants as they will be better able to indicate and advertise healthy choices on the menu.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 130 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 135 Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2007-2011
  • Table 137 Brand Shares of Chained Full-Service Restaurants 2008-2011
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 140 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 141 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 142 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 143 Forecast Sales in Full-Service Restaurants by Category: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Self-Service Cafeterias in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Self-service cafeterias struggled against current trends in consumer demand for healthier and better quality food, and value-for-money. Self-service cafeterias tends to offer fairly standard and not particularly cheap canteen-style menus of frozen/processed foods such as burgers, battered fish, chips, and various other Danish meat dishes. Consumers are thus increasingly favouring cafés or bakery products fast food which offers more choice in fresh and non-processed foods such as sandwiches, salads, and home-cooked meals. Cafés or bakery products fast food also tends to offer more organics and naturally healthy options.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Denmark’s leading grocery retail groups Coop Danmark (2GO) and Dansk Supermarked (Quick Food, and Bistro) continued to dominate self-service cafeterias in Denmark during 2011 with respective value shares of 25%, 23% and 14%. Both of these players maintain a strong focus on traditional Danish food using frozen/processed ingredients. In recognition of shifting demand patterns, both players are however attempting to position themselves stronger against the health and quality trend by introduce more fresh options such as salads, and also against convenience by offering and promoting more take-away options.

PROSPECTS

  • The leading self-service cafeteria chains operated by Dansk Supermarked and Coop Danmark are expected to adapt increasingly to consumer demand for healthier and better quality foods. Over the forecast period, Quick Food, Bistro, 2GO are likely to introduce more fresh and non-processed menu options such as for instance freshly-made sandwiches, salads, and home-cooked meals.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 144 Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 145 Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 146 Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 147 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 148 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 149 Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 150 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2007-2011
  • Table 151 Brand Shares of Chained Self-Service Cafeterias 2008-2011
  • Table 152 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 153 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 155 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 156 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 157 Forecast Sales in Self-Service Cafeterias: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Street Stalls/Kiosks in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Street stalls/kiosks is poorly positioned against consumer demand for healthier and better quality food. The majority of street stalls/kiosks in Denmark are Pølsevogne (hot dog stands) which are the traditional Danish fast food outlets selling grilled and boiled sausages and hot dogs, French fries, beef and crispy pork burgers. Demand for this type of fast food is however in decline, and the Danish hot dog stands are in addition facing tough competition for their sausage and hot dog sales from convenience stores fast food chains such as 7-Eleven and Statoil which have the advantage of higher customer flows through good locations and broad menu and product selections spanning much beyond sausages and hot dogs.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Paradis ice cream kiosks chain is the leading brand in street stalls/kiosks. The chain has been highly successful with its concept of freshly-made premium ice cream, marketed as being made the same day. It controls its own production, thus only purchases raw ingredients. This concept has sat well with the strong consumer trends in demand for premium ice cream, and non-processed foods. Paradis has expanded rapidly from 12 outlets and a street stalls/kiosks value share of 9% in 2006, to 39 outlets and a value share of 28% in 2011. Its value share of chained street stalls/kiosks was 97% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • The continued impact of health and quality will most likely see slow consumer demand for street stalls/kiosks foodservice products over the forecast period. The independent hot dog stands (Pølsevogne), which account for the majority of value sales, are likely to decline further as they are finding it difficult to adjust to changing consumer behaviour. The two chained street stalls/kiosks players Paradis and Tulip Time Out are strongly positioned against health and quality. The chained value share is therefore predicted to increase by five percentage points to 34% in 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 158 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2006-2011
  • Table 159 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 160 Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2006-2011
  • Table 161 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 162 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 163 Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 164 Global Brand Owner Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2007-2011
  • Table 165 Brand Shares of Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks 2008-2011
  • Table 166 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Units/Outlets 2011-2016
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: Foodservice Value 2011-2016
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Units/Outlets Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Transaction Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales in Street Stalls/Kiosks: % Foodservice Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Foodservice
    • Consumer Foodservice by Type
      • Chained Consumer Foodservice
      • Independent Consumer Foodservice
      • 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Independent 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
      • Cafés/Bars
        • Chained Cafés/Bars
        • Independent Cafés/Bars
        • Bars/Pubs
          • Chained Bars/Pubs
          • Independent Bars/Pubs
        • Cafés
          • Chained Cafés
          • Independent Cafés
        • Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Chained Juice/Smoothie Bars
          • Independent Juice/Smoothie Bars
        • Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Independent Specialist Coffee Shops
      • Full-Service Restaurants
        • Chained Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Full-Service Restaurants
        • Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants
        • European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent European Full-Service Restaurants
        • Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
        • North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants
        • Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
      • Fast Food
        • Chained Fast Food
        • Independent Fast Food
        • Asian Fast Food
          • Chained Asian Fast Food
          • Independent Asian Fast Food
        • Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Chained Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Independent Bakery Products Fast Food
        • Burger Fast Food
          • Chained Burger Fast Food
          • Independent Burger Fast Food
        • Chicken Fast Food
          • Chained Chicken Fast Food
          • Independent Chicken Fast Food
        • Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Chained Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Independent Convenience Stores Fast Food
        • Fish Fast Food
          • Chained Fish Fast Food
          • Independent Fish Fast Food
        • Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Chained Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Independent Ice Cream Fast Food
        • Latin American Fast Food
          • Chained Latin American Fast Food
          • Independent Latin American Fast Food
        • Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Chained Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Independent Middle Eastern Fast Food
        • Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
        • Other Fast Food
          • Chained Other Fast Food
          • Independent Other Fast Food
        • Fast Casual Dining
      • Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Chained Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Independent Self-Service Cafeterias
      • Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Independent Street Stalls/Kiosks
      • Pizza Consumer Foodservice
        • Chained Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
    • Consumer Foodservice by Location
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Standalone
        • Cafés/Bars Through Standalone
        • Fast Food Through Standalone
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Standalone
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Standalone
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Standalone
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Leisure
        • Cafés/Bars Through Leisure
        • Fast Food Through Leisure
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Leisure
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Leisure
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Leisure
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Retail
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Retail
        • Cafés/Bars Through Retail
        • Fast Food Through Retail
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Retail
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Retail
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Retail
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Lodging
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Lodging
        • Cafés/Bars Through Lodging
        • Fast Food Through Lodging
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Lodging
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Lodging
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Lodging
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Travel
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Travel
        • Cafés/Bars Through Travel
        • Fast Food Through Travel
        • Full-Service Restaurants Through Travel
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Travel
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Travel

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Analysis by type
  • Chained vs independent
  • Eat-in vs take-away sales
  • Food vs drink sales
  • Pricing
  • Sales by location

Market size details:

  • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Units/outlets
  • Units/outlets % growth
  • Units/outlets per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

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Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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