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Country Report

Consumer Foodservice in Norway

Sep 2010

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Foodservice industry in Norway with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Foodservice industry in Norway, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Norway for free:

The Consumer Foodservice in Norway market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Foodservice in Norway?
  • What are the major brands in Norway?
  • How are economic or demographic factors impacting the foodservice industry in #Country»?
  • How are multinational and local operators expanding in #Country»?
  • How have consumer lifestyle trends and eating habits influenced foodservice in #Country»?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Consumer Foodservice market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn has little impact

Consumer foodservice in Norway continued its positive performance in 2009 as the majority of the categories recorded upward value growth. The growth rates were however slightly slower than compared to the year before as a result of global financial crisis. In general, Norwegian consumers emerged from the global financial crisis with their buying power intact although there appeared to be a psychological factor at play in 2010 as consumers were increasingly aware of the economic difficulties in other European countries; a fact that negatively affected some foodservice categories such as, for example, full-service restaurants.

Health concerns impact foodservice

Better health and nutrition are top priorities for Norwegians. This focus is also set at the highest level in the Norwegian government. This trend fuelled demand for healthier and more nutritious food options in all categories of consumer foodservice, even in those that have traditionally been perceived as unhealthy, such as fast food. The trend has also influenced players in all categories of consumer foodservice to adapt their menus to include healthier options.

Umoe catering, McDonald's Norge and Norgesgruppen in lead

Consumer foodservice in Norway remained fragmented in 2009 as no single operator held over 10% of the market’s total value. However, Umoe Catering AS, McDonald's Norge AS and Norgesgruppen ASA proved to be the strongest players in foodservice in 2009. Their strength comes from having been on the Norwegian market for a long time and thus having a good knowledge of the local market. Their brands manage to attract a broad consumer group as they are present in different segments, they are well known and trusted and often supported with extensive advertising campaigns.

Independents dominate, yet the value growth of chains is faster

Independent outlets dominate the Norwegian foodservice market and they account for about 70% of the number of outlets and of value sales and more than half of the transactions in 2009. However, the value growth among chained operators is far stronger than among independent ones. Stand-alone locations dominate consumer foodservice and also record the strongest value growth in 2009. However, retail locations are expected to see the strongest value growth during the forecast period.

Positive constant value growth expected over the forecast period

The economic situation is projected to continue to improve over the forecast period. With increasing optimism among consumers and businesses the willingness to up spending on foodservice is expected to improve. The result of this will be growth in the number of outlets and transactions, as well as constant value sales. With the last traces of the effects of global financial crisis present, consumers might still trade down to lower priced alternatives. Fast food sales are expected to benefit from this development.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Foodservice in Norway - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn has little impact

Health concerns impact foodservice

Umoe catering, McDonald's Norge and Norgesgruppen in lead

Independents dominate, yet the value growth of chains is faster

Positive constant value growth expected over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic downturn has little impact on foodservice sales

Umoe Catering, McDonald's Norge and Norgesgruppen lead the fragmented market

Health concerns impact foodservice

Convenience and dining out more popular

Café culture driving the growth in cafés/bars

MARKET DATA

APPENDIX

Published Data Comparisons

  • Table 12 Turnover 2005-2008

Trade Association statistics

  • Table 13 Total Turnover and Number of Catering Outlets 2008

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Franchising

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Foodservice in Norway - Company Profiles

Kaffebrenneriet AS - Consumer Foodservice - Norway

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Kaffebrenneriet AS: Competitive Position 2009

Norgesgruppen ASA - Consumer Foodservice - Norway

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Norgesgruppen AS: Competitive Position 2009

Norrein Gruppen AS - Consumer Foodservice - Norway

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Norrein Gruppen AS: Competitive Position 2009

Reitan Service Handel AS - Consumer Foodservice - Norway

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Reitan Service Handel AS: Competitive Position 2009

Umoe Catering AS - Consumer Foodservice - Norway

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Umoe Catering AS: Competitive Position 2009

100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 100% home delivery/takeaway achieved value growth of 3% and growth of 4% in terms of number of outlets in 2009 reflecting increased consumer appreciation for the convenience of 100% home delivery/takeaway services. However, value growth was slower compared to the 5% CAGR recorded over the review period and the 6% value growth of 2008. The financial crisis slowed down the growth in 100% home delivery/takeaway slightly as the main purchasers are younger adults and this is a group that experienced increasing unemployment in 2009.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Pizzabakeren was the leading chain in 100% home delivery/takeaway accounting for 83% of total chained 100% home delivery/takeaway value sales in 2009. The company opened its 76th outlet in 2009, which helped it to maintain its leading position and also to further increase its value share of chained 100% home delivery/takeaway. It had also further expanded its menu and promoted special offers such as a pizza and a 1.5L bottle of carbonated drink for NOK149 which is rather cheap in Norway, to attract more consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Value sales of 100% home delivery/take away are expected to increase by 14% in constant value terms over the forecast period and to reach NOK1.7 billion in 2014. 100% home delivery/take away is expected to benefit from the growing demand for convenience. The continued effects of the global economic slowdown on 100% home delivery/take away will be marginal; consumers are expected to continue to be willing to spend their money on convenient food products.

CATEGORY DATA

Cafés/Bars in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value sales of cafés/bars grew by 3% in 2009, which was slower compared to the 5% growth seen in 2008 or the 4% value CAGR recorded during review period as a whole. The slower growth rate in 2009 was a result of the economic recession, which made consumers more cautious when it comes to spending and cut back on the number of visits to cafés/bars. Thus, the number of transactions also grew at a slower rate in 2009.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape in cafés/bars remains highly fragmented in 2009 with only five players present in chained cafés/bars and the leading chain Kaffebrenneriet AS accounting for only slightly more than 2% of cafés/bars value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Cafés/bars is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms over the forecast period, and to record negative growth of -13% in terms of the number of outlets. The decrease in number of outlets will be mainly due to the closure of independent other cafés/bars. However, the number of chained specialist coffee shop and independent specialist coffee shop outlets are expected to increase.

CATEGORY DATA

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In August 2007, Shell and Reitan Service Handel struck a deal which meant Shell and 7-Eleven will operate together along the Scandinavian roads. Following the acquisition, Reitan Service Handel began to convert 90 of the existing XY outlets into 7-Eleven outlets. By the end of 2009, 114 Shell stations were converted to Shell/7-Eleven outlets. As a result of this strategy, the company has strengthened its position in convenience stores fast food and consumer foodservice as a whole and its position is expected to continue to strengthen over the forecast period. The modernization of 7-Eleven outlets has also set a standard for other players to follow if they wished to gain foodservice value shares in this highly competitive category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in the leading three non-standalone locations - retail, travel and leisure - is dominated by chained outlets, although independents also enjoy a strong presence in leisure locations. Reitan Service Handel A/S and Kaffebrenneriet A/S are the major players within retail, travel and leisure. In line with the trend of increasingly hectic lifestyles, travel proved an increasingly attractive location to chained players in consumer foodservice during the review period, as travel not only includes traditional locations such as bus and train stations, but also domestic and international airports. However, travel locations recorded a slight decrease in current value terms in 2009 mostly as the result of economic downturn which discouraged consumers to travel more.

PROSPECTS

  • The battle for profitable locations will be even more significant when the economy recovers, regardless of type of location. Most major chained companies plan to open new outlets, especially when the economy improves from 2010 onwards, and competition between companies to find strong locations will remain fierce. The overall objective will be to find positions with a high flow of people and which are easy to reach by car, train, and plane or on foot.

CATEGORY DATA

Fast Food in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • By the end of the review period both chained and independent players in fast food were actively promoting their healthier menu choices. Bakery outlets promoted the use of fresh and healthy ingredients, McDonald’s was serving fresh salads and convenience stores such as 7-Eleven, La Baguette and Narvesen all promoted their healthy sandwiches, salads, wraps and wok dishes. The health trend was also visible in 2009, when players continued offering healthier fast food choices, e.g. burger fast food chain JaFs! advertised white meat dishes made from fish and chicken as a healthier alternative to red meat; bakery fast food chain Big Bite promoted wraps with chicken; Statoil introduced its new healthy fast food concept “Made to go”, and McDonald’s added carrots and apples to its menu. According to surveys carried out by research company MMI Spisefakta, many Norwegians moved beyond merely expressing a desire to eat healthy food and actually began to do so at the end of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in fast food remained rather concentrated in 2009. Three players: McDonald’s Norge, Norgesgruppen and Reitan Service Handel accounted for a combined 47% share of fast food value during 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • Fast food is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms over the forecast period, to be worth NOK8.5 billion by 2014, when the number of fast food outlets is expected to reach 3,834. This growth in value sales will be driven by investments in more healthy menus, using more healthy ingredients and by presenting consumers with a new and attractive atmosphere in which food can be eaten or taken away.

CATEGORY DATA

Full-Service Restaurants in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Over the review period, dining out in FSR was no longer reserved for special occasions as more and more consumers chose to meet up with friends or to celebrate an event but also because they simply wanted a higher quality dining experience. Nevertheless, as the global economic downturn struck at the end of 2008, the eating habits of Norwegian consumers changed. Some consumers switched to less expensive foodservice outlets, such as cheaper full-service outlets like pizza full-service or casual dining full-service restaurants or even fast food outlets. Yet the majority still chose to dine out in full-service restaurants, yet cut down on the amount they spent. Whereas prior to the downturn consumers would often opt for a three course meal, when the financial crisis struck, they chose to order drinks and a main course and declined starters, desserts and coffee. Thus, this resulted in lower spend per transaction.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in full-service restaurants remained very fragmented in 2009. No player accounted for a share of more than 6%.

PROSPECTS

  • FSR is expected to see a slow decline of -2% in constant value terms over the forecast period. Chained FSR is set to perform better than independents and record a CAGR of 3% in constant value terms, while independents is predicted to see a CAGR of -1% over the forecast period. In terms of the number of outlets, growth is expected to be negative at nearly -1% over the forecast period, however in terms of number of transactions, growth is expected to be positive over the forecast period, growing at a CAGR of over 1%. These expected developments reflect the increasing level of competition in full-service restaurants combined with increasing costs, which are expected to result in the closure of a number of independent outlets.

CATEGORY DATA

Self-Service Cafeterias in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Self-service cafeterias are usually strategically placed in high-traffic areas such as medium-to-large shopping centres, in large supermarkets and along motorways. For example, Le Café outlets tend to be located in shopping centres, as do Café Opus outlets, while IKEA self-service cafeteria outlets are located inside IKEA retail outlets and By the Way outlets are located along motorways and main roads. They offer quick and reasonably priced meals for families and individuals. This was the main factor for growth in self-service cafeterias in 2009. ?n addition, self-service cafeterias is a good opportunity for consumers who wish to control the food selection and price, but also the amount of time they spend at the restaurant. For most people who visit a shopping centre or drive along the motorway, self-service cafeterias are their most preferred choice.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Umoe Catering AS continued to lead self-service cafeterias in 2009 with a foodservice value share of 16%. Company was also the leading player in chained self-service cafeterias with a foodservice value share of 41% and the largest number of outlets, at 28 Café Opus outlets. Café Opus is the leading brand in chained self-service cafeterias in Norway. Café Opus has a long presence on the Norwegian market and good knowledge of the local market. It has also benefitted from the successful upgrade of its outlets; not only internally but also externally, with a new logo. The newly renovated outlets are highly appealing to Norwegian consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Value sales of self-service cafeterias are expected to grow at a CAGR of 3% in constant value terms over the forecast period. The growth is expected to be driven by the expanding menus offering a healthier and wider selection of food that will appeal to all age groups. The café culture which is very strong in Norway also offers further growth to self-service cafeterias as they might establish another type of meal, such as baked goods and coffee-based beverages.

CATEGORY DATA

Street Stalls/Kiosks in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As in fast food, street stalls/kiosks actually benefitted from the financial downturn. In 2009, street stalls/kiosks grew by 4% in current value terms which was stronger than the 2% current value CAGR recorded over the review period as a whole. Many consumers chose to buy their food at these outlets as they offer food at very competitive prices. The product range and quality also improved during the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are no chained street stalls/kiosks in Norway, despite the opening of Pronto Pronto kiosks.

PROSPECTS

  • Increasingly busy lifestyles and demand for products which can be consumed quickly is expected to be the main factor behind the growth during the forecast period. However, street stalls/kiosks is experiencing increasing competition from other consumer foodservice channels. Convenience stores and petrol stations are increasingly offering fast food, and supermarkets/hypermarkets sell pre-packed ready meals such as salads and fast food chains are expanding rapidly.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Foodservice
    • Consumer Foodservice by Type and Chained/Independent
      • Chained Consumer Foodservice
      • Independent Consumer Foodservice
      • 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Chained 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Independent 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
        • Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Other 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
      • Cafés/Bars
        • Chained Cafés/Bars
        • Independent Cafés/Bars
        • Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
          • Independent Specialist Coffee Shops
        • Other Cafés/Bars
          • Chained Other Cafés/Bars
          • Independent Other Cafés/Bars
      • Full-Service Restaurants
        • Chained Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Full-Service Restaurants
        • Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants
        • European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained European Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent European Full-Service Restaurants
        • Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants
        • North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants
        • Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants
          • Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants
        • Casual Dining Full-Service Restaurants
      • Fast Food
        • Chained Fast Food
        • Independent Fast Food
        • Asian Fast Food
          • Chained Asian Fast Food
          • Independent Asian Fast Food
        • Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Chained Bakery Products Fast Food
          • Independent Bakery Products Fast Food
        • Burger Fast Food
          • Chained Burger Fast Food
          • Independent Burger Fast Food
        • Chicken Fast Food
          • Chained Chicken Fast Food
          • Independent Chicken Fast Food
        • Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Chained Convenience Stores Fast Food
          • Independent Convenience Stores Fast Food
        • Fish Fast Food
          • Chained Fish Fast Food
          • Independent Fish Fast Food
        • Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Chained Ice Cream Fast Food
          • Independent Ice Cream Fast Food
        • Latin American Fast Food
          • Chained Latin American Fast Food
          • Independent Latin American Fast Food
        • Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Chained Middle Eastern Fast Food
          • Independent Middle Eastern Fast Food
        • Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
        • Other Fast Food
          • Chained Other Fast Food
          • Independent Other Fast Food
        • Fast Casual Dining
      • Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Chained Self-Service Cafeterias
        • Independent Self-Service Cafeterias
      • Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Chained Street Stalls/Kiosks
        • Independent Street Stalls/Kiosks
      • Pizza Consumer Foodservice
        • Chained Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Chained Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Chained Pizza Fast Food
          • Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
        • Independent Pizza Consumer Foodservice
          • Independent Pizza 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway
          • Independent Pizza Fast Food
          • Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants
    • Consumer Foodservice by Location
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Standalone
        • Cafés/Bars Through Standalone
        • Fast Food Through Standalone
        • Full Service Restaurants Through Standalone
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Standalone
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Standalone
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Leisure
        • Cafés/Bars Through Leisure
        • Fast Food Through Leisure
        • Full Service Restaurants Through Leisure
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Leisure
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Leisure
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Retail
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Retail
        • Cafés/Bars Through Retail
        • Fast Food Through Retail
        • Full Service Restaurants Through Retail
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Retail
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Retail
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Lodging
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Lodging
        • Cafés/Bars Through Lodging
        • Fast Food Through Lodging
        • Full Service Restaurants Through Lodging
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Lodging
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Lodging
      • Consumer Foodservice Through Travel
        • 100% Home Delivery Through Travel
        • Cafés/Bars Through Travel
        • Fast Food Through Travel
        • Full Service Restaurants Through Travel
        • Self-Service Cafeterias Through Travel
        • Street Stalls/Kiosks Through Travel

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Analysis by Type
  • Chained vs independent
  • Eat-in v takeaway sales
  • Food v drink sales
  • Pricing
  • Sales by location

Market size details:

  • Foodservice Value retail selling price % growth
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Units/outlets
  • Units/outlets % growth
  • Units/outlets per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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