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Country Report

Consumer Lending in the Philippines

Jan 2013

Price: US$900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand for loans continues to thrive despite economic expansion

Despite the dismal economic situation of the European and North American markets, the Philippines is expected to record a 6.1% improvement in GDP in the first half of 2012 – stronger than most of its neighbouring countries. The domestic economy is able to sustain growth because of expansion in exports, increase in government expenditures, continuous flow of overseas remittances and the booming business process outsourcing industry. Furthermore, demand for loans continues to thrive because consumers feel more confident in spending and financial institutions, particularly universal and commercial banks, are offering attractive promotions, which includes more affordable financing terms and lower interest rates.

Attractive financing schemes boost auto lending and housing loans

Owning a vehicle and a house has become easier in 2012, as major banks, car dealers and real estate developers offer attractive financing schemes with relatively low interest rates, no or spread out down payments, flexible monthly payments and longer loan terms. These lenders also emphasise fast approval of loans, some within three hours, to further entice borrowers. Hence, there is a strong demand for vehicles and residential properties from local residents and overseas Filipinos workers because many feel confident in purchasing cars, motorcycles and residential properties with the assistance of a loan.

Large demand for microloans amongst low-income Filipinos

Rural banks and other microfinance institutions leverage on the high ownership of mobile phones in the Philippines. Partnering with telecommunication giants, these companies give low-income Filipinos the opportunity to participate in the formal financial system and borrow from mainstream and legal lenders. For instance, BPI Globe BanKO, the country’s first mobile-based microfinance savings bank, offers microloans that utilise the borrower’s mobile phone to transact the application. In 2012, many are opting to borrow from rural banks and BPI Globe BanKO due to the significantly lower and more manageable interest rates compared to illegal money lenders, commonly known as 5-6, who tend to charge exorbitant interest.

New regulations implemented to improve loan transparency

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has updated sections of the Truth in Lending Act (RA 3765) to enhance transparency in loan prices and transactions. Approved in 2011 and early 2012, Circular Nos. 730, 754 and 755 require all credit-granting institutions such as banks, non-government organisations, cooperatives and pawnshops, amongst others, to calculate interest based on a loan’s outstanding balance at the beginning of the interest period, to put effective interest rates in loan documents and marketing collaterals, to list repayment schedules in all loan contracts and to provide borrowers with a copy of the disclosure statement. The new regulations took effect on 1 July 2012.

Stable performance is expected in consumer lending over the forecast period

Consumer lending is expected to grow at a stable pace over the forecast period, with a projected 5% CAGR in terms of gross lending. Growth can be attributed to the bright economic outlook of the country, which is anticipated to strengthen consumer confidence and bring about higher spending over the forecast period. Continuous inflow of remittances and expansion of the business process outsourcing industry, both with significant contribution to the Philippines’ GDP, are also foreseen to support the favourable performance of consumer lending.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Philippines with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Philippines, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Philippines market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Philippines?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Philippines?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Philippines, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in the Philippines - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand for loans continues to thrive despite economic expansion

Attractive financing schemes boost auto lending and housing loans

Large demand for microloans amongst low-income Filipinos

New regulations implemented to improve loan transparency

Stable performance is expected in consumer lending over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

New regulations implemented to improve loan transparency

Residential property boom results in high demand for housing loans

Large demand for microloans has a positive impact on other personal lending

Strong demand for vehicles due to attractive financing packages

Improvement in credit card ownership boosts card lending

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in the Philippines - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the dismal economic situation of the European and North American markets, the Philippines recorded a 6.1% improvement in GDP in the first half of 2012—stronger than most of its neighbouring countries. The domestic economy was able to sustain growth because of expansion in exports, increase in government expenditures, continuous flow of overseas remittances and the booming business process outsourcing industry. Moreover, demand for loans continues to thrive because consumers feel more confident in spending and financial institutions, particularly universal and commercial banks, offer attractive promotions, which include more affordable financing terms and lower interest rates. As a result, in 2012, consumer credit is expected to post a 9% rise in terms of gross lending.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Mainstream financial service providers such as banks and credit unions dominate consumer credit, estimated to account for 85% share in 2012. Borrowers prefer these institutions for card and auto loans; however, for other types of loans, many Filipinos source funds from moneylenders, cooperatives and government agencies such as the Social Security System (SSS). Pawnshops are also a popular alternative for those in need of quick cash, especially in 2012 since gold prices have been significantly high.

PROSPECTS

  • The new regulations that the BSP implemented in 2012 are expected to heighten competition amongst lenders, as borrowers are better able to compare and understand interest rates, instalment terms and repricing options. Many Filipinos are therefore anticipated to look at the different offerings of banks and non-bank institutions before applying for a loan, to ensure they get the best package based on their needs and capacity to pay. Hence, credit-granting organisations are foreseen to launch promotions with lower-than-market interest rates and more flexible payment options to attract potential borrowers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending
    • Consumer Credit
      • Card Lending
      • Auto Lending
      • Durables Lending
      • Education Lending
      • Home Lending
      • Other Personal Lending
    • Mortgages/Housing

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Consumer credit by type
  • Non-performing vs others loans
  • Other personal lending by type

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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