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Country Report

Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia

Feb 2012

Price: US$900

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Financial Cards and Payments industry in Colombia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Financial Cards and Payments industry in Colombia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends  
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia?
  • What are the major operators and issuers in Colombia?
  • How will regulation impact the market?  
  • What is the current state of emerging payment technologies such as mobile commerce?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Increase of interest rates to affect credit cards

Banco de la República is likely to present gradual increases to the reference interest rate during 2011 in order to cut the growing inflationary trend. During Q1 2011, the Central Bank increased the reference rate by 0.5 (the former was 3%) percentage points in order to ease the inflation pressure over food. The usury rate also saw an increase due to calculation methodology changes, immediately reflecting in credit card rates. According to market sources, the reference interest rates are likely to end the year over 4.5 percentage points, demonstrating Central Bank’s priority of inflation control. That will inevitably raise the cost of credit cards however, based on the current growing economic dynamic and bancarization momentum, the impact over retail value is likely to be minimum. However, it is likely to make credit card users migrate to debit.

Campaign against fraud led by Asociación Bancaria de Colombia (Asobancaria)

During Q4 2010, Asobancaria launched a campaign called “Juntos contra el Fraude” (Together against Fraud). The aim of the strategy is to raise public awareness of the dangers involved in banking activity and how to prevent being a victim of fraud. It is mainly based on spreading some simple key recommendations that need to be followed by consumers when making transactions throughout the financial system. Human-based fraud (deception, robbery) is still the main type of financial fraud (phishing, ID fraud, card cloning and other electronic methods are still small but growing significantly along with the growth of electronic means users). Since 2010, banks have offered consumers the option of alerting them to cases of suspected fraud through SMS and email alerts. These reactive as well as other proactive actions are part of the security measures promoted by financial institutions to protect consumers.

Electronic transactions boosted

In 2011, the internet remained the most used channel through which transactions are carried out in Colombia. In December 2010, for the first time in Colombia, the volume of internet transactions surpassed branch offices (373 million vs. 336 million in banking offices). According to Superintendencia Financera de Colombia, the total volume of transactions in 2010 was 1.2 billion, of which nearly 30% were performed through the internet. This demonstrated the increasing confidence of the Colombian consumer in the channel. Other channels such as Automated Clearing House (ACH) and mobile phones are also part of the strong growth trend of these electronic means. However, most of the transactions are still non-monetary (consultations and others not implying payments or transfers). In 2010, just 18% of transaction volume via the internet corresponded to monetary transactions. Companies (banks especially) started working hard in 2011 to increase consumer confidence in electronic payments and transfers.

Superfinanciera about to launch specific electronic payments regulation

Superfinanciera continues working on the ruling of the 1328 law of 2009 (Financial reform). It has already ruled about financial consumer protection but still needs to consolidate norms regarding pre-paid cards and mobile banking; categories that have shown strong growth during the review period. Specific regulation for those fast growing categories is expected to be available in 2011. The regulation is expected to cover also electronic and simplified accounts which are already available on the market. The challenge will be to regulate these issues without putting at risk the prevention of money laundry where the Colombian banking regulation is very strong but also to avoid blocking the dynamic growth momentum of the banked population. It is likely to be based on limits of the transaction value favouring the expansion of low value payments among the lower income population.

Good times expected for local financial industry

Financial institutions are expected to continue launching products and services to bring on board the unbanked population. Mobile phones and other electronic channels are likely the most suitable for this purpose. The goal will be involving the unbanked through systems that are not necessarily related with a deeper banking relationships (such as opening a bank account or having a credit card) and most important, simple and free. This will be the first step to discourage the currently extended use of cash and will be the opening gate for a deeper financial relationship. The savings account (with or without a related debit card) proved not to be the most efficient way to reduce the unbanked population rate as money laundry control regulations force banks to strictly screen the applicants making the process cumbersome and expensive for issuers. The challenge of banks and financial institutions will be how to encourage people using systems such as Daviplata from Banco Davivienda to acquire other products.

Lack of financial literacy is impacting the market

According to the Asociación Bancaria de Colombia (Asobancaria -Banking Association of Colombia), a trade association representing major financial companies in Colombia, the information spread to the public by major financial institutions about banking services, costs, benefits and fraud prevention in the system is not enough without comprehensive financial literacy obtained through constant and sustainable financial education. According to Asobancaria, consumers need to use the available information for their own good when choosing the most suitable financial solution. Banks are accompanying the information publishing, especially regarding services delivered and their costs, with campaigns to educate people about personal finances.

Misinformation and lack of literacy is a major part of the problem of the poor public image the banks and other financial players are trying to reverse according to Asobancaria. For many years consumers blamed the banks for the “4 por mil” tax charged on financial transactions made by consumers. The tax was created originally as “2 por mil” in 2000 to save the banks from bankruptcy during the financial crisis generated by the collapse of the mortgages tied to the UPAC index (Unidad de Poder Adquisitivo Constante-Constant Purchasing Power Index) For each COP 1,000 transaction, the bank holds COP4 to be transferred to the Dirección de Impuestos y Aduanas Nacionales (DIAN-National Taxes and Customs Direction). The financial institutions do not keep this tax; they are just intermediaries between the consumer and the government.

Current Impact

The lack of financial literacy is impacting the whole financial cards, payments and consumer lending industry, generating superficial relationships between consumers and financial institutions based on distrust which hampers the reduction of the unbanked population and financial deepening or expansion of financial products and services portfolio in either the recently banked or already banked population. The feeling of discontent among consumers with regard to the perceived abusive position of dominance held by financial institutions is noted in the matrix of the banked population by Asobancaria.

During Q4 2010, 35% of the adult banked population only had a savings account with access to a debit card or a banking book, which is still available in most of the banks and financial entities able to offer and manage this sort of product. Consumers with both debit and credit cards accounted for only 6% of the banked population at the same time and those with additional loans accounted for another 6% demonstrating that there is still growth potential regarding financial cards penetration among the already banked population. Only 1% of the banked population had just a credit card which meant that those cards are certainly highly related with a savings account and to a negligible degree, with a checking account.

Outlook

Banks are expected to continue strengthening their financial education programs targeting both adults and children. Currently, banks such as BanColombia, BBVA and Banco de Bogotá are offering financial education courses to students from private and state schools. The programs are part of their CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility) and compliance with Superfinanciera’s requirements. There are branded course materials already developed by banks to approach students with. Students are encouraged to save and they are taught the basics of money and how to manage it intelligently. It is an important strategy to get loyal clients, as there is not a minimum age for youngsters to have their first financial product. Banks currently offer very attractive products in terms of brand image (cartoon characters and appealing designs for the account stationary) and benefits, e.g. no management fees for debit cards. Examples of those programs are Banconautas from Bancolombia, Cuenta Ahorrito from Banco de Bogotá and Blue from BBVA. The trend is likely to continue growing and positive effects are expected in terms of a growing base of loyal customers with responsible and intelligent use of their financial products.

Future Impact

The future impact of the trend is likely to be positive for financial institutions and consumers. According to the 2010 banked population report from Asobancaria, the rate of minors becoming part of the banked population is growing by more than 10% yearly which implies good growth drivers for products such as debit cards which are directly affected by the trend. Regarding transactions, they are expected to grow in terms of value and volume as those accounts are mainly used as saving mechanisms from early ages, but tend to become transactional when children reach an age when they can use them to make payments and to have some sort of independency related to their expenses and use the money earned or given by parents.

Financial services costs at the centre of controversy

The banked population increased since 2006 after the creation of the Banca de las Oportunidades (Bank of Opportunities) official program, especially due the launch of Corresponsales no Bancarios (CNBs-Non-bank Correspondents) and the Familias en Acción (Families in Action) subsidies program. Despite this, the public image of banks is still poor; exacerbated by the published revenues obtained by the financial institutions during the economic downturn in 2008 and 2009. Those revenues were considered astronomic by common people meanwhile other industries, especially manufacturing, were in crisis.

The fees of banking services charged by financial companies, began being published by the Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia (Superfinanciera-Financial Superintendence of Colombia) (Technical body under the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit, being the supervisory authority for banking business, insurance and pensions) on its website in 2010 and were also published in national newspapers. The aim of the measure is to make readily available the necessary data about services costs for the consumers to make informed decisions regarding their banking needs. The effects were mixed, as it has been considered useful but also revealed that the publicly available information was not being consulted by consumers. Consumers were able to confirm that some costs are high compared with the average spend per transaction (i.e. cash withdrawals and balance consultation in some banks) but that others have no cost to the user. However, the overall impression of banks remains negative.

The dispute between the financial industry and the Finance Minister, Juan Carlos Echeverry, grew after his declaration regarding what he considered “excessive costs” of financial services in Colombia. The declaration was polemic, evidencing the failure of financial institutions to defend their position before the public. The words of the minister increased the already heated tension and served as an incentive for the approval of the regulation being processed by Congress to set limits on the fees of financial services. The public applauded the result and the banks had to fall back and rethink their strategy to successfully approach the public with the aim of making people feel closer to them.

Current Impact

The fees charged by financial institutions decelerate the growth of the banked population; increase cash payments, and promote transactions conducted outside of the banking system. Beside the costs, the complex application screening processes created to fight the money laundry by Superfinanciera, coupled with the complexity of the account creation process, elevate the managing costs of the financial institutions.

Outlook

The Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia (Superfinanciera) will be empowered to set a ceiling on the costs of financial services and products currently offered in Colombia. The congressman who submitted the act stated that this will be another driver to impulse the banked population in Colombia. The products that may be in for more criticism based on the current climate in the financial industry are likely to be the management fees and costs of debit and credit cards, ATM withdrawals, balance consultations and transfers. The costs will have to be revised on a half-yearly basis and the impact on consumers is expected to be very positive, especially in the credit card category which has the highest fees in comparative terms. However, trade associations related to the industry stated that the act will simply discourage institutions from providing or improving some services.

Future Impact

With regard to the law to control the costs of financial services and products approved by Congress in 2011, the future impact of the act is likely to tend to the standardisation of financial costs, reducing those that are at the upper limit and elevating those that are currently below the limit. The current scenario shows great differences and wide ranges between management fees. Many of the high costs, according to trade associations, are due to the banks and other financial institutions transferring the costs incurred when meeting the requirements set out by Superfinanciera for prospect screening in order to prevent money laundry as well as the high reserves that banks have to maintain in order to preserve the system’s robustness, to the consumer. The strict controls implemented to protect the public savings of the local regulation were greatly responsible for the positive behaviour of the system during the financial downturn but also, according to trade sources, the reason for the high rates of unbanked people and low penetration levels of some financial products and services.

With regard to the banks and other financial institutions, the control over the management fees will lead to competition to standardise costs and to move the competition toward new fields such as electronic transactions. Mobile commerce and banking may be offered “free of charge” in order to initiate a banking relationship with formerly unbanked people. The relationship with those new clients is expected to go beyond having free electronic accounts to other products, such as credit cards, and lower costs will promote that. However, it is not likely that a great many consumers will stick with the free products. Banks will have to compete with services in order to get new clients and expand the products and services offered to existing ones.

The niche banks that are currently opening in Colombia (WWB, Finamérica, Bancoomeva, CMR) after the transformation of financing companies and microcredit NGOs will be gradually more significant, but the market conditions will continue to be set by leaders such as Bancolombia, Banco Davivienda and Grupo Aval or the so called “universal banks”. Bigger competitors are likely to come from Brazil (Itau and Banco do Brasil) through acquisitions. The size of those players will definitely impact the trend and conditions of the market over the forecast period.

Banks going mobile to reach more people

In order to spread banking services and payments to a larger group of people, either banked or unbanked, banks are greatly investing in mobile services, financial kiosks and alliances. The mobile banking platform is not new in Colombia being principally informative and transactional for banked people. However, 2011 saw the birth of mobile payments and commerce, whereby the banked population can interact with merchants and unbanked people. Regarding the kiosks, banks are expanding their financial services and payments through cheaper “offices”, such as kiosks and banking trucks, as well as strengthening alliances with other already established services such as electronic lottery terminals, and postal and money transfer offices.

Current Impact

The first step towards expanding the mobile services portfolio was taken in 2011 by Banco Davivienda with Daviplata. The service allows bank clients to transfer money to anyone regardless of whether they hold an account or not, through a mobile phone. Initially, the cash has to be transferred from a Davivienda’s account holder and then it can go to the Daviplata (which works as a virtual wallet) of a consumer with or without an account. Recipients may be able to withdraw cash from ATMs using a PIN code sent to the mobile phone without the need to hold a debit or credit card associated with a bank account. They can also make payments to affiliated companies or to other Daviplatas and nationwide bank transfers to other Daviplatas all through their mobile phones. The service is attractive in a country with high levels of cash usage as its main goal appeared to be money transfers to people to withdraw cash. For that reason the current impact in the financial cards and payments industry in the short term is likely to be driving cash withdrawals and payments, not deepening the financial relationship with already banked people with more products such as loans or financial cards. Few unbanked people are likely to be attracted to acquiring the banks’ charged products and services as there are no clear incentives for them to enter the formal banking system. Transfers between Daviplatas are free. There is a fee for transfers between Davivienda and Daviplata that is charged to the Davivienda account holder. The fee is comparable to the typical debit/credit card management fee.

Banco AV Villas from Grupo Aval was other player that expanded the mobile transaction platform to involve merchants. The bank launched the first m-commerce solution, enabling card holders to pay using a mobile phone. It is quite different than Daviplata as in this case the platform formally includes merchants with POS to use the service as a payment solution. The merchant’s POS sends a text message to the client asking the allowance of the transaction so the account holder just has to approve the payment without having to use a financial card. Meanwhile, AV Villas is likely to positively impact formal merchants and current card holders; Daviplata is likely to be used also for payments to informal merchants without POS, being the first contact of many informal merchants with ATMs.

The kiosks launched by Citibank in high traffic places such as shopping malls are intended to expand the banking services for the current clients and to attract new ones. The screening of new clients still needs to be managed by branded offices making the entrance of potential customers or bancarization through these channels an unfeasible option. This is due to the need to assess clients according to the current official regulations, mainly to avoid money laundering and illegal use of the banks. The banking trucks are another trend used by banks such as AV Villas and Davivienda to take the bank to where the people are. This is commonly used in the case of massive events and commercial fairs where assistants are likely to need some sort of banking service.

Outlook

According to Asobancaria, in 2010 banks already penetrated 97% of the cities and towns in Colombia. It also stated that the banked population growth rate was higher in the last five years than in the whole decade reaching 64% in 2010. According to Ministry of Technology and Communications, there is almost 100% penetration of mobile phones in Colombia in 2010 as there is a cell phone for each inhabitant. Those figures showed that the unbanked, which still represent a high percentage of the population in Colombia, can be reached through the expansion of mobile lines and penetration of banks through branded offices or other means. The unbanked are expected to strongly decline under the influence of fast growing sectors such as mobile communications, brand offices or kiosks and electronic third-party terminals offering banking services nationwide.

Future Impact

According to Superfinanciera official data, mobile transactions value did not surpass 1% of the overall market value and the future impact of the aforementioned mobile banking products and the upcoming services are likely to rapidly make the mobile value of transactions exceed the current percentage over the forecast period. Other banks are likely to launch m-commerce and other mobile transaction services, giving mobile banking a boost over the forecast period.

The mobile phones market was already saturated in 2010, so there is great potential for the development of mobile banking services taking advantage of the current infrastructure and client base. The challenge for market players will be how to attract unbanked mobile phone users to use m-commerce and mobile banking services. The convenience of m-commerce should be accompanied with products such as bank accounts or pre-paid cards, security and adequate infrastructure. The risk of promoting superficial and non-profitable bank clients should be countered via product portfolios with similar features for mobile users. The bank portfolios will consequently have to evolve to serve and attract this massive market.

Regarding the alternative banking channels and other financial services providers, they are likely to grow in the form of branded kiosks, lean offices and electronic terminals through alliances with retailers’ cash registers, money transfer services or the lottery. They will be mainly targeted to serve current and future clients expecting a strong decrease in the unbanked population.

Regulation turns to consumer protection

The financial reform (Law 1328 of 2009) created the framework that rules the relationship between the financial institutions and customers. Major implications of this reform tend to give customers alternatives to protect themselves against unfair practices of financial institutions. The regulation gives privileges to the collective against private interests, giving consumers the tools to initiate group processes in case of a breach of consumer rights and the general good.

Current Impact

The trend will initially impact financial card products, implying a formal contractual relationship with issuers such as debit, credit and store cards. Contracts with the financial consumers are precisely being targeted and are under scrutiny of the regulator. The contacts should be simple, do not include abusive clauses (the so-called “small print”) or parts clearly favouring the interest of the entity to the detriment of the fundamental rights of the consumer. Taking things a step further, consumers are able initiate legal action against financial institutions demanding compensation if there is a breach of fundamental rights no matter that there is a signed contract amid. This implies the consideration of individuals as part of a consumer community with collective rights more than just single clients.

The reform proposed the financial consumer defence office be an independent body in order to effectively protect consumer rights. This starts creating a sense of relief in the financial consumer who is feeling that the protection offices are not another branch of the bank that will work mainly for the interests of the institution. The impact on the financial cards and payments market is initially the revelation of an unmet need to inform consumers about their rights related to the relationship with financial institutions. More information available for the public is likely to improve the current practices related to screening, contracting, and post-sales services, which due to their inflexibility and entity-oriented features, discourage stronger growth of the banked population.

The issue is so important for the industry that Asobancaria recently organised the first financial consumer protection congress where it outlined the recommendations to adopt corporate governance policies to effectively address the current regulation. One of the recommendations of the Superfinanciera was to consider the decisions of the Consumer Protection Head as compulsory within banks, which is a great step towards really bringing the regulation to reality for the good of consumers.

Outlook

The growth of the banked population and the potential of this process are likely to attract more people needing an effective system for them to feel protected; especially if coming from informal systems such as illegal financial pyramid formats, “gota a gota” lending systems and other informal financial products and services. The Superfinanciera stated that this new banked population should be considered by the financial institutions as “little children” that need comprehensive education, accompanying and counselling. Financial institutions cannot just assume that customers will understand and accept the clauses in a contract. If the regulation is effectively applied, it is likely to balance the growth of products such as pre-paid cards (which have fewer requirements) with debit, credit and store cards. Currently, the financial institutions are walking this liberalisation path, to encourage more people to have credit, debit and store cards.

Future Impact

There is still a long path to cover in terms of consumer protection, and first, consumers need to know their rights and that that they cannot be breached regardless of a contract. That is why this trend is clearly related with financial education, which is not only included in the law 1329 of 2009, but in the current national development plan, “Prosperity for All”. The critics in the financial industry argue that the current regulation is very demanding and strict, so some policies such as the anti-money laundering regulations of the government are counter to the growth of banked population processes and liberalisation needed to really apply the consumer-oriented recent regulation.

There are others concerns related with the stability of the overall financial industry. According to trade sources, the current Colombian regulation can be considered stricter than others being in a great manner responsible for the good performance of the economy during the 2008-2009 financial world crisis. The likely liberalisation needed to bring on board more banked people also brings the possibility of affecting the quality of the indicators regarding non-performing loans, especially via card lending which is the most important part of consumer lending. The challenge will then be to reconcile more consumer-oriented policies with the mechanisms to maintain non-performing, if manageable, levels.

Pre-paid cards will be somewhat outside of the trend as there is not a relationship with institutions involving credit. Simplicity will continue being, as it is now, part of the success of the pre-paid cards market in a scenario that is trying to bank people either with more “complicated” products such as debit and credit cards in opposition or complimentary to more simple products, like pre-paid cards. The relaxation of the screening requirements regarding “electronic accounts” are likely to equate and bring closer debit and credit to pre-paid cards which many market sources consider the most effective products to make the banked population grow faster.

Card issuers seeking the limits of the income scale

Credit card issuers are exploring, with more emphasis, both ends of the income scale, looking for either low income people earning the minimum legal monthly wage and a growing class of high-income population to expand their credit card products.

Current Impact

In the low-income end of the scale, banks such as Bancolombia are offering credit cards for people earning the legal minimum monthly wage. Other institutions (banks, microcredit institutions, cooperatives) already offering products (savings accounts and loans) for the low-income population are expected to follow in their footsteps, after the implementation of specific screening policies and procedures. As mentioned, credit cards are the most risky product for banks and financial institutions in terms of non-performing debts. They are following in the footsteps of store cards such as Exito and Codensa which claim more than 90% of their client base is in the low-income group. According to their experience, lower income people can be considered very responsible in terms of instalment payments because they considered the credit as a very valuable asset as it is difficult to obtain and preferable than the “gota a gota” informal lending systems.

At the other end of the spectrum, the growth of cards such as Visa Signature is accompanying the growth of the wealthy population due to the good local economic performance and investment conditions that are bringing more foreign capital which encourages the establishment of new companies in Colombia. Banks such as Davivienda, Helm, HSBC, and Banco de Bogotá already offer these products which due to the exclusive services are targeted at small groups of people that consider the cards a symbol of social status. Of course those particular consumers have the income to have access to the established credit quotas, however, the product is not free of risk, and on the contrary it also needs specific screening processes implemented by the banks to prevent non-performing loans.

Outlook

According to local and foreign social studies, the social inequality in Colombia is one of the highest in Latin America. The gap between the rich and the poor had not narrowed, despite the welfare policies of recent governments. The middle class disposable income has grown but it is still stagnant due to high unemployment and informal employment rates. According to DANE, national stats office, one of every two workers is informal, meaning they are not part of the formal social welfare system and do not receive the benefits of a legal employment contract such as a retirement fund and severance payments, or the support of the employer paying health insurance.

The situation is structural and it is not likely to change dramatically over the forecast period, despite the prosperity-aimed policies of the current government and the goal of reducing the unemployment rates to a single digit figure. In this scenario, products such as financial cards can be a tool for low-income consumers to elevate their way of living through purchasing for the first time or replacing durable goods. Store cards such as Exito and Codensa understood that and most of their clients are from the low income population. Their interest rates and fees are among the highest in the market, but they are giving such population the option to have access to products and services (durables and semi-durables) that will be very difficult to acquire in another way.

Future Impact

Credit cards are now tending to be more accessible to a broader range of consumers; not only middle- and high-income. Despite the rise of the reference interest rates and the usury rates of the central bank reflected on slight rises of personal credit card rates, the interest rates are still considered historically low, attracting consumption through credit cards. However, the consumption growth is likely to be controlled by other interest rate rises by de Central Bank over the forecast period in order to cool down the credit cards outstanding balance and avoid uncontrolled growth of non-performing debt.

Despite of the macroeconomic conditions, the low income population and high income population are expected to continue boosting the value of the credit cards category over the forecast period. In the case of low income; via more transactions with relatively low spend per transaction and for high income, fewer transactions (due the small group) and high spend per transaction. The additional benefits are currently part of the services portfolio of credit cards and have been useful in attracting consumers with specific needs and tastes (travellers, wine lovers, eating out and gourmet food fans) through discounts on several products and services. Added benefits are expected also to fit the needs of the low income population, which are clearly different to other consumer groups. They need, for example, additional services such as microcredit for micro enterprises and discounts and aid for education.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Increase of interest rates to affect credit cards

Campaign against fraud led by Asociación Bancaria de Colombia (Asobancaria)

Electronic transactions boosted

Superfinanciera about to launch specific electronic payments regulation

Good times expected for local financial industry

Lack of financial literacy is impacting the market

Financial services costs at the centre of controversy

Banks going mobile to reach more people

Regulation turns to consumer protection

Card issuers seeking the limits of the income scale

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Number of POS Terminals 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of ATMs 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Value Lost to Fraud 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Card Expenditure by Location 2011
  • Table 5 Card Expenditure by Category 2011
  • Table 6 Financial Cards in Circulation by Type: % Number of Cards 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Domestic versus Foreign Spend 2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Consumer Payments: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Consumer Payments: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Financial Cards: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Financial Cards Transactions: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Financial Cards: Number of Transactions 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Financial Cards: Number of Accounts 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Financial Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 15 Financial Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 16 Financial Cards: Card Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 17 Financial Cards: Card Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 18 Consumer Payments Forecast: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Consumer Payments Forecast: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Financial Cards Forecast: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Transactions 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Financial Cards Forecast: Number of Accounts 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Financial Cards and Payments in Colombia - Company Profiles

ACH Colombia SA in Financial Cards and Payments (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

ATH SA in Financial Cards and Payments (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Banco Davivienda in Financial Cards and Payments (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Banco Davivienda: Competitive Position 2011

BanColombia SA in Financial Cards and Payments (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 BanColombia SA: Competitive Position 2011

Red Multibanca Colpatria in Financial Cards and Payments (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Red Multibanca Colpatria: Competitive Position 2011

ATM Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • ATMs are present in more than 130 banking kiosks or modules (Citi Express) installed in 2010 by Citibank in high traffic places in order to expand its presence and transaction share in the market. The kiosks offer almost all the services of a traditional bank office and their location is a key factor for the banks as they are trying to be where high volumes of people usually meet. They are located especially at large shopping centres which are experiencing strong growth in Colombia. In the case of Citibank, their Citi Express points are aimed to give fast attention to consumers and are clearly at an advantage compared with traditional offices in terms of convenience, portability and lower setup and maintenance costs.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Large banks such as Davivienda and Bancolombia have their own ATM networks all across the country. Despite their ATMs accepting all debit and credit cards available on the market, the networks are used primarily by their clients as they charge significant fees to other banks’ customers. Grupo Aval, another large player has an independent company called ATH SA which manages the network belonging to Banco de Occidente, AVVillas, Banco de Bogotá and Banco Popular. They are known to be the pioneers of implementing smart card-ready ATMs and have one of the largest networks across the country.

PROSPECTS

  • ATMs in kiosks are a strategy created by banks, in this case Citibank, to expand not only the ATM network, but their whole service infrastructure. Despite the strong ATM growth (the number of ATMs sees growth of 22% in 2011); the infrastructure is still lagging behind in areas distant from larger cities or towns. The number of ATMs is expected to continue to grow strongly over the forecast period as people demand them; particularly the recently banked. However, there are some obstacles to this expansion. According to trade sources the ATM’s maintenance costs in remote areas are too high due to access, security and maintenance issues. Thus, banks are expected to continue encouraging electronic transactions (using mobile phones) and CNBs instead of investing too much in populating remote places with ATMs.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 ATM Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 25 ATM Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 26 ATM Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 ATM Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 29 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 30 ATM Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 31 ATM Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016

Charge Card Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Charge cards is a category that has not received the attention to ensure proper development by issuers and operators. This is mainly due the lack of expected acceptance by consumers. Instead, companies are working on developing credit cards for the high-income population that include differential benefits and services. That is the case of banks such as Banco de Bogotá and more recently Bancoomeva and Heml Bank which launched in 2010 and 2011 its VISA Signature card. MasterCard Black is also growing in terms of issuers offering it.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • American Express is the only company in Colombia offering charge cards in other markets but it has not expressed an interest in issuing charge cards through BanColombia.

PROSPECTS

  • Charge cards are likely to remain negligible in Colombia as its function has clearly been covered by credit cards.

Credit Card Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Niche credit cards continue growing at the hand of co-branded solutions for specific market groups. Besides gender (i.e. Davivienda’s credit card for women launched in 2010), issuers are specialising even more in targeted purchasing preferences, activities and specific needs. Co-branded cards from stores, frequent users or purchasers are becoming a useful strategy for issuers and stores to create loyalty amongst consumers and to offer added and differentiated services to increasingly demanding card holders. Some examples of credit cards launched in 2010 and 2011 are the BBVA-Pan Americana MasterCard, Banco de Bogota-Movistar-MasterCard, and the Citibank-Avianca-Taca Lifemiles-Visa.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Visa saw the biggest increase in share in terms of retail value due to a wider presence in new co-branded cards and on the cards of new banks such as Banco Coomeva which was the larger cooperative in Colombia in terms of assets before becoming a bank in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Along with the growth of co-branded credit cards of companies with a large base of captive clients and as a natural evolution of developed frequent client programs, new specialised banks are expected to rapidly enter the credit card market with benefits directly related with their core activities: Banco Coomeva in cooperatives, Banco WWB in microcredit, Banco Falabella in consumption, and Banco Financina in auto lending and related products and services.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Credit Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Personal Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Personal Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Commercial Credit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Commercial Credit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 47 Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 48 Personal Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 49 Personal Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 50 Personal Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 51 Personal Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Commercial Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Commercial Credit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Commercial Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Commercial Credit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Personal Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Personal Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 65 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Commercial Credit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 67 Commercial Credit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016

Debit Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Regardless of new debit cards being issued with smart chips, the upgrading process of ATMs and POS to accept those cards is not fully accomplished. Therefore, debit cards are issued with a magnetic band too until the entire infrastructure is up to date. The coexistence of the old technology (magnetic band) and the new (smart chip) is delaying the launch of debit and credit function on the same card. Consumers then cannot fully enjoy the benefits of smart cards in terms of security and services and it can be said that smart cards’ potential is underutilised.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • BanColombia continues to lead debit cards as it has the largest savings account client base. The savings account is the most important product associated with debit cards; nonetheless, some consumers still use cheque books to withdraw cash from tellers at bank branches; a practice that is being discouraged by banks that are imposing high costs for that service. Branch withdrawals are especially used by elderly consumers who are not au fait with financial cards and solely use cash.

PROSPECTS

  • The migration to new smart card enabled technology is expected to be fully accomplished over the forecast period. Meanwhile, the old technology (magnetic band) and the newer technology coexist; it will be difficult for the issuers to start taking advantage of all the functionalities and services that can be delivered through smart chips. The most important one will be the combination of a debit and credit in a single card; a product that is delayed due the current technological conditions.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 68 Debit Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Debit Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Debit Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Debit Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Debit Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 73 Debit Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 74 Debit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 75 Debit Cards Payment Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 76 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 77 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 78 Debit Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 79 Debit Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016

Pre-Paid Card Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite open loop pre-paid cards still being under-developed in Colombia, the legal aspects of pre-paid cards regarding proper identification of card holders and funds origin (in open loop mostly) has not been specifically addressed by regulators. The decree 663 from 1993 established the general obligations to be fulfilled by financial institutions under surveillance to prevent money-laundering and terrorism support, nonetheless the regulation is pending to treat specific developments that due to its more open nature (pre-paid cards, mobile transactions among others) is likely to promote illegal activities. According to trade press, due to the international essence of illegal activities, authorities detected evidence that pre-paid cards have being increasingly used for money laundering.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Open loop pre-paid card issuers are few and far between. Banks such as Helm and AVVillas are important issuers in terms of retail value. Despite payroll cards being the most important type in the category, Helm Bank stands out due to its open loop gift cards which are growing in acceptance among consumers as well as their closed loop counterparts. In the closed loop field, major transportation companies in Bogota (Transmilenio) and Cali (Metrocali) are the leading companies in terms of value due to the number of passengers transported daily. Both systems were the pioneers in Colombia of pre-paid card use and have the largest infrastructure.

PROSPECTS

  • Precisely, pre-paid cards’ stronger features (easy to obtain and use) have served to increase the banked population, which may be factors that can make them fertile ground for money-laundering and other illegal activities. That can become a weakness over the forecast period as the regulators are likely to stress the need for stricter regulations in this regard, along with category growth. Colombia, due its illegal drug trafficking problems, has developed one of the strongest regulations to prevent money laundry through the financial system but pre-paid cards have not been specifically addressed. Despite some large scams, such as DMG pyramid scheme in 2009 and others in recent years, being based on pre-paid cards, they are not yet included in Superfinanciera’s financial operations report which means that they are not yet under strict control of the body. The growth of the category could bring new challenges for regulators that could hamper in some ways the advances already attained by the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 80 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 83 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Pre-paid Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 88 Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 89 Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 90 Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 91 Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 92 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 93 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 94 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 95 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 96 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 97 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards: Number of Cards by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 98 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 99 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Transaction Value by Operator 2006-2010
  • Table 100 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 101 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Closed Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Open Loop Pre-paid Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Pre-paid Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016

Store Card Transactions in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retailing expansion is maintaining the store cards phenomenon in Colombia. In 2010 it was La Polar from Chile with its own store card and in 2011, Almacenes Éxito, Homecenter, Falabella opened new stores, with Almacenes Éxito and its brands (Éxito, Carulla, Pomona, Surtimax) the highest growing as it began operating after remodelling and re-branding 133 former Cafam supermarkets nationwide. In 2010, Almacenes Éxito launched, along with Carrefour and Oxxo, small convenience stores to expand even more the availability of places accepting the store cards. Those store card issuers expanded also the card acceptance to other retailers, products and even services, such as Sonria dentistry services, which now accept CMR Falabella and Exito cards.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Falabella saw the biggest increase in share in 2010 due to an aggressive promotional campaign at the stores of the group (Falabella, Homecenter). The company’s staff, wearing green waistcoats, approach consumers all around the store and invite them to try their card. They claim it is a quick process that will not take long. After convincing the person, they take them to the CR Falabella attention centre where the rest of the screening process takes place. People can immediately start using their store card if all the references can be confirmed at that time.

PROSPECTS

  • Retailers such as La Polar, Falabella, Almacenes Exito and its brands (Exito, Carulla, Surtimax, Pomona), and Homecenter, stated their plans to expand their networks over the forecast period. They continue opening new stores in medium-sized cities, which is the next competitive field that chained retailers are exploring. That expansion will come along with the construction of new shopping centres which are booming in Colombia as they are becoming the preferred places to shop due to their convenience and security, as well as giving the opportunity to socialise, be entertained and eat out, among other activities. As well as the stores, the merchants’ acceptance of store cards is expected to continue growing over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 108 Store Cards Category Performance: 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Store Cards Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Store Cards Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Store Cards in Circulation Category Performance: % Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Store Cards: Number of Cards by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 113 Store Cards: Payment Transaction Value by Issuer 2006-2010
  • Table 114 Store Cards Forecast Category Performance: 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Store Cards Forecast Category Performance: Number of Cards in Circulation 2011-2016
  • Table 116 Store Cards Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 117 Store Cards in Circulation Forecast Category Performance: % Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Financial Cards in Circulation

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Analysis by type
  • Card expenditure by location
  • Card expenditure by sector
  • Domestic vs foreign spend

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Number of cards
  • Number of cards % growth
  • Number of cards per capita
  • Number of accounts
  • Number of accounts % growth
  • Number of accounts per capita
  • Transactions
  • Transactions % growth
  • Transactions per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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