You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesFresh Food
print my pages

Country Report

Fresh Food in Germany

Apr 2011

Price: US$1,100

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Fresh Food Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Fresh Food Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Fresh Food industry in Germany with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Fresh Food industry in Germany, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Fresh Food in Germany market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Fresh Food in Germany?
  • What are the major brands in Germany?
  • What is the impact of commodities price fluctuations on local production and consumption?
  • What are the key campaigns and/or legislation driving fresh food sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food volume sales suffer from the cut in private expenditure

The weakness of the euro along with a slowdown in the recovery of the economic situation in Germany negatively affected consumer confidence and private expenditure. As a result, sales of fresh food saw a 2% drop in 2010, despite relatively stable prices in a number of fresh food categories. Vegetables and fruits along with starchy roots and pulses were among the worst performers in 2010, shrinking as private expenditure was cut. On the other hand, fish and seafood was the best performer in fresh food, benefiting from consumers’ increasingly healthier diets and the abundant variety of fish available both in discounters and supermarkets.

Domestic production shortage marks egg consumption in Germany

The volume sales of eggs exhibited a 2% drop in 2010, impacted by the price instability and by the rapid decline in domestic production. Germany’s ban on the use of conventional cages in egg production, ahead of the EU, as well as the scandal of dioxin being found in organic eggs in spring 2010 ended in a domestic production decline and a rise in the share of imports on the market. However, German consumers prefer local eggs, as a result the share of the barn egg production method rocketed in 2010.

Germans protest against GM potatoes

As the cultivation of a new genetically-modified potato variety Amflora was started by BASF, German consumer protests against the use of such a potato variety, both as fresh food or processed food, spread. The first crop of Amflora was harvested in the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in 2010. The European Commission approved Amflora for commercial application in Europe. Moreover, according to the management of BASF Germany, Amflora is not foreseen for food use, but for other technical applications.

The prospects for online food retailers are not promising

In 2010, Amazon entered the online grocery market in Germany, offering food and drinks in the company’s internet shop. So far the internet has had a negligible share of food sales on the market, which is quite surprising, considering that Germany has a well-developed internet channel, ranking fourth globally and second in Western Europe in terms of total internet sales. Operating within food and drinks could prove to be a huge challenge for Amazon, however, with the share of fresh food sales sold through this retail channel unlikely to grow significantly. Internet shops like Amazon face the freshness problem when delivering fresh foods. Most German consumers are very sceptical about distance shopping of foods, especially after the negative test results published by the Fraunhofer Institut in Germany in 2010.

Fairtrade has good potential

Fairtrade labelled food exhibited healthy value sales growth in 2009 and 2010. Fairtrade bananas reached a 1% share in Germany. Products under the fairtrade label are distributed not only by supermarkets and upmarket grocery stores, but also by such discounters as Lidl and Aldi. Fairtrade food has an immense impact on foodservice in Germany. Moreover, the fairtrade movement received a high level of publicity. The share of fairtrade fruits and vegetables is supposed to grow to be in compliance with the millennium campaign to end poverty by 2015. Industry sources and market surveys show that consumers are willing to pay a premium on ethical products as long as they believe in the worthiness of their cause.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Fresh Food in Germany - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food volume sales suffer from the cut in private expenditure

Domestic production shortage marks egg consumption in Germany

Germans protest against GM potatoes

The prospects for online food retailers are not promising

Fairtrade has good potential

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Private expenditure on food suffers from a slow recovery

Fairtrade sales boom in Germany

Fall in domestic supply of eggs leads to a sales slump in 2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Retail Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 6 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Eggs in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2010 was a hard year for eggs in Germany. Volume sales of eggs slumped by 2%, declining to a per capita consumption figure of 6.6kg. The consumption decline was affected by the declining domestic production of eggs in the review period. The ban on the use of battery cages caused a drop in domestic supply. According to the National Statistics Bureau (Statistisches Bundesamt), in the first half of 2010 the domestic production of eggs was 17% down year-on-year, whereas the number of production sites reached 3,000. At the same time, the share of imports is rising in Germany and the neighbouring countries, eg the Netherlands, are profiting from this situation.

PROSPECTS

  • The consumption of eggs is forecast to recover in 2011 and a CAGR of 1% is expected in the 2010-2015 period. The risk of contamination by egg consumption was reduced to zero in 2010 and German farmers learned a lesson in how to protect the production. In the long term, the popularity of eggs will grow once again.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Eggs by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Fish and Seafood in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The fish industry profited from consumers choosing to have a healthier diet and to lead a better-quality life. According to the German Fish Industry Association (Bundesverband der deutschen Fischindustrie und des Fischgroßhandels eV), the annual per capita consumption of fish in Germany went up to 15.7kg in 2009. The forecast one year ago was more optimistic, but the credit crunch had a greater effect on the consumption level than had been predicted.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall fish consumption is forecast to grow over the 2010-2015 period. According to the German Fish Association, each German is expected to consume 17.5kg a year of fish. Such predictions are based on stable economic prospects, continued popularisation of the healthy lifestyle trend, as well as sustainable fishing resources.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 12 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Fruits in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, consumption of fresh fruits saw a decline of 2% in volume sales. Price fluctuations were unlikely to be the reason for this fall in consumption, since consumers paid on average a lower price than in 2008, at around EUR1.54 per kilogram. The imbalance of supply and demand affected the declining demand. The abundant production volume of fruits in Germany in 2009 impacted the export volume and had little or no effect on the domestic consumption of fresh fruits. However, the consumption of processed fruit products, eg juices and processed fruits, saw sales growth in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Fresh fruit consumption will enjoy a 3% CAGR in the 2010-2015 period. Both the EU campaigns and consumers’ awareness of healthy lifestyles will stimulate sales growth. However, Germans are very price-sensitive consumers, purchasing mainly in discounters. Therefore, price hikes as a result of bad harvests and/or yields in Germany and in import countries will dictate the sales development trend.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Fruits by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Meat in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Meat demonstrated a negligible decline in consumption in 2009, and continued to do so in the post-crisis year of 2010. Price fluctuations were registered in Germany on fresh meat and meat products. However, the health issue was the key impacting indicator on the slowdown in meat consumption. A switch to white meat was again an issue as an alternative to cost-intensive red meat. Poultry is also popular among health-conscious consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Meat consumption has generally been stagnant in Germany over recent years, being the most expensive food in consumers’ shopping cart. Price fluctuations, economic downturn and swine flu left an imprint on meat consumption patterns. The post-recession consumption patterns will change to value rather than volume. High-quality meat, organic products and healthy food will be the key trends over 2010-2015.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 22 Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Meat by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Nuts in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumption of nuts has remained relatively stable for the last few years. The modest growth in 2010, up by well under 1%, was impacted by the increasing popularity of “new” varieties of nuts in Germany, eg cashew, macadamia and pecan nuts.

PROSPECTS

  • Nuts are forecast to see slow but steady growth throughout 2010-2015, exhibiting a CAGR of 1%. The health benefits will the key impacting factor, as well as the market stabilisation and consumer willingness to increase the personal expenditure on this exotic food.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Nuts by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Pulses in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumption of pulses remained stagnant in Germany. Many different varieties of pulses have had a stable albeit limited presence in Germany and the per capita consumption remained almost unchanged at around 0.11kg per year. Just under 90% of pulses are cultivated in Germany. The domestic production saw good growth in 2010. However, the domestic pulses are mainly used as food for animals.

PROSPECTS

  • The consumption of pulses will go downwards over the 2010-2015 period. The lack of popularity of pulses will continue to impact the volume sales. Ready-made canned/preserved pulses, as well as other processed peas and beans will be a potential threat to the consumption of fresh pulses.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Sales of Pulses by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Starchy Roots in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, consumption of potatoes, the main category of starchy roots in Germany, hit rock bottom with total volume consumption of 2.1 million tonnes. Nevertheless, Germany was established as an important export market for processed and fresh potatoes. Prices for potatoes saw moderate growth in 2010. However, prices are not likely to go much higher, as the production volume is abundant enough and overlaps the domestic demand.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumption of fresh potatoes is most likely to see further volume sales decline over the 2010-2015 period. High potato production levels and low prices will have only a marginal impact on the consumption of starchy roots. Processed potatoes will continue to outperform fresh potato sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Sales of Starchy Roots by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Sugar and Sweeteners in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After a worldwide deficit situation in the sugar market during the last two years, the global production of sugar grew in 2010. Both the global and the German market situation stabilised, with prices settling at a lower level. The consumption of sugar in Germany saw a growth rate of 2% in 2010, benefiting from stabilised sugar prices.

PROSPECTS

  • Total consumption of sugar and sweeteners is forecast to see a 1% CAGR in volume sales between 2010 and 2015. The relevant authorities and the media are trying to persuade Germans to lead a healthier lifestyle, although this seems to be having little impact on table-top sugar consumption. Germany’s sugar consumption will continue to exhibit moderate consumption growth, reaching a per capita consumption of nearly 7kg by 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Vegetables in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of fresh vegetables saw a sharp decline and reached a record low level in the last 10 years. Fresh vegetables were pricy in 2010, seeing an inflation rate of nearly 7%. This price hike was most probably the main reason why consumers reduced spending on fresh vegetables. A bad harvest, cold winter and late spring in Germany also impacted consumer purchasing habits. Asparagus is the third largest vegetable sold in Germany, and, in 2010, sales of asparagus reached an all-time low. However, such niche products as salad and broccoli saw increasing volume sales in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales of vegetables are forecast to grow at a CAGR of 5% over the 2010-2015 period. Price stabilisation will set the scene for an improving trend for vegetable consumption levels. Soup vegetables will once again be in demand.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Vegetables by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Fresh Food
    • Eggs
    • Fish and Seafood
      • Crustaceans
      • Fish
      • Molluscs and Cephalopods
    • Fruits
      • Apples
      • Banana
      • Cherries
      • Cranberries/Blueberries
      • Grapefruit/Pomelo
      • Grapes
      • Lemon and Limes
      • Oranges, Tangerines and Mandarins
      • Peaches/Nectarines
      • Pears/Quinces
      • Pineapple
      • Plums/Sloes
      • Strawberries
      • Other Fruits
    • Meat
      • Beef and Veal
      • Lamb, Mutton and Goat
      • Pork
      • Poultry
      • Other Meat
    • Nuts
      • Almonds
      • Peanuts (Groundnuts)
      • Pistachio
      • Walnuts
      • Other Nuts
    • Pulses
      • Beans
      • Peas
      • Other Pulses
    • Starchy Roots
      • Cassava
      • Potatoes
      • Sweet Potatoes
      • Other Roots
    • Sugar and Sweeteners
    • Vegetables
      • Onion
      • Tomatoes
      • Other Vegetables

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!

RELATED

Consumer Lifestyle

Future Demographic

Country Report