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Country Report

Fresh Food in Germany

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,100

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food sales return to growth

Whereas declines in volume sales of some fresh food categories were seen in 2010, many categories returned to growth in 2011, with fresh fruit and vegetables driving growth. Germany did not suffer a drop off in consumption owing to the economic downturn to the same extent as many other countries in Europe and the economy rebounded in 2010 and 2011 when real GDP rose by 3.7% and 3.0% respectively. However, price increases in some categories, such as fish and seafood and nuts, have negatively impacted sales growth in these categories.

Environmental fears on the rise, spurring alternative production methods

Fears of contamination and over-use of antibiotics linger with regards to meat. The German government moved to restrict the use of chemicals in animal feed in 2011 and the use of chemicals in fruit and vegetable production is also being banned, spurring organic production, seen especially in fruit production in 2011. The problem of toxins in nuts, which are primarily imported, are leading to experimentation with domestic production and new legislation regarding toxin levels. Dioxins found in eggs have led to the government phasing out all battery eggs for human consumption in 2011, which is to be completed by 2015. Regulations relating to over-fishing are leading to the growth of aquaculture in Germany as an alternative.

Supermarkets vie with discounters

Discounters have been a prominent feature of the German retail market since the 1980s and have expanded rapidly. Today, there is one discounter for every 5,231 people, within a 10-15 minute drive of every German home. Offering low prices, discounters continue to put pressure on other retail formats, including supermarkets, hypermarkets and specialist greengrocers. In 2011, an emerging trend was seen whereby supermarkets are beginning to contract directly with overseas suppliers in an effort to negotiate lower prices for fresh produce. Another growing trend seen is the increase in the varieties of fruit and vegetables available year-round across all food retail outlets rather than just in their traditional growing season, with fruit in particular stocked for longer periods in order to attract customers and remain competitive.

Healthy product categories will stimulate growth

Growth will be seen in many categories of the German fresh food market over the forecast period, with those categories seen as healthy showing the best performance. These include fruits, vegetables and fish and seafood. Fish, which is also being promoted for its health properties, will see particularly healthy volume growth levels. Increasing prices on caught fish, as fishing quotas face further limits will be partly offset by the growth of domestic aquaculture. Organic produce in particular will perform well. This can be seen in expected sales of meat, which will grow only slightly as a category overall, but will see much higher growth levels for organic meat than regular. Growth in egg consumption will benefit from the move to free-range eggs only.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Fresh Food industry in Germany with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Fresh Food industry in Germany, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Fresh Food in Germany market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Fresh Food in Germany?
  • What are the major brands in Germany?
  • What is the impact of commodities price fluctuations on local production and consumption?
  • What are the key campaigns and/or legislation driving fresh food sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Fresh Food in Germany - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food sales return to growth

Environmental fears on the rise, spurring alternative production methods

Supermarkets vie with discounters

Healthy product categories will stimulate growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Germans turning to healthier foods

Legislation driving modernisation and improved production

Increasing role of discounters in fresh food distribution

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Retail Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 6 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Eggs in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The dioxin scare that spurred German authorities to block egg sales from some 4,700 farms across the country in early January 2011 did not have the calamitous affect that was expected. Rather, consumption volumes remained stable as more eggs were imported to meet demand. German authorities took swift action to isolate contaminated areas, testing production after poultry feed replacement to lift the ban quickly.

PROSPECTS

  • Fear of toxic contamination and governmental measures are leading consumers to eschew battery eggs.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Eggs by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Fish and Seafood in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Campaigns and other promotional activities are in place or are being launched by the Fisch-Informationszentrum to convince the average German to consume more fish and other seafood products. In particular, such activities are being targeted at schools to teach children the health and wellness benefits of fish and seafood products, as well as their ability to increase concentration and learning abilities. There remains much potential for seafood consumption to be expanded in Germany as levels are currently lower than in many European countries and the German market is far from mature.

PROSPECTS

  • The fish industry in Germany is still thriving on the healthy image that this type of food reflects and will continue to do so.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 12 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Fruits in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Research indicates that the average German consumer is increasing consumption of fresh fruit. Since 2008, per capita volume consumption of fresh fruit has increased by 8%, whilst that of canned/preserved fruit fell by 6%.

PROSPECTS

  • According to a variety of industry sources and federal government bodies, organic farming will be the face of agriculture for the future, especially for fruit and vegetables. However, the BÖLW states that, in order for this to happen, organic agriculture systems need to be more transparent and industrialised and that investments are needed to make this happen. It also states that policy guidance and perhaps directives should be developed by the EU that include effective ecological and social criteria.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Fruits by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Meat in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Meat prices in Germany have remained relatively stable over the review period, with only slight rises per year. Meat products as a whole fared well, except for lean years in 2008 and 2009 at the height of the economic crisis.

PROSPECTS

  • According to industry consensus, the market for organic/fair trade meat is expected to perform particularly well in the forecast period, with volume growth averaging 5% per year anticipated to 2016. Whereas organic meat used to be sold solely in specialist retailers, it is now available in most supermarkets, which has resulted in prices being reduced.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 22 Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Meat by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Nuts in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Germany is dependent on imports for the nuts that are consumed and wholesale prices have gone up significantly globally, predominantly caused by higher demand in China.

PROSPECTS

  • Owing to rising prices globally, Germany is looking into the possibilities of growing nuts domestically. Small-scale cultivation has begun in several areas in 2010-2011.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Nuts by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Pulses in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumption of pulses in Germany continues to decline, even as retailers make efforts to present it as healthy fresh food. The majority of pulses are grown domestically, but most are destined for use as animal fodder.

PROSPECTS

  • Fresh peas are increasingly grown in Germany’s homeland, whilst dried peas are mainly imported from the US and other EU countries. This increase in domestic production has not, however, led to a larger volume of fresh peas being consumed; fresh peas are mainly used for fodder for animals and frozen products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Sales of Pulses by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Starchy Roots in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Potatoes accounts for 99% of sales of all starchy roots, but poor harvests in 2010 led to shortages, limiting volume sales growth, and driving up prices by upwards of 10% in some cases. However, those potatoes that were put on the market were of excellent quality.

PROSPECTS

  • Where growth is being seen in the consumption of potatoes is in organic potatoes. Organic potatoes had just a 3% volume share of the market in 2009, but this had almost doubled to 5% in 2011. Contributing factors include the superior quality and taste of organic potatoes. For farmers, the rise of organic potatoes is a boon as they are able to command a higher price for their products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Sales of Starchy Roots by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Sugar and Sweeteners in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As with most countries worldwide, health concerns are leading to reduced use of sugar in Germany. The German trade organisation for sugar, WVZ, reports that sugar consumption per capita remained steady at 33kg to 37kg per capita from the 1970s to 2005. Since then, declines have been seen as health concerns have risen.

PROSPECTS

  • Some 3-4% of German cropland is dedicated to growing beetroot, 99% of which is used for sugar production. However, profit levels are low and production levels are restricted, making it an unpopular crop for farmers. Because of this, the WVZ anticipates that Germany will go from being a net exporter of sugar to a net importer within the forecast period, which will impact prices and competition.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Vegetables in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Concerns over the E.coli bacterium that broke out in North Germany in June 2011 and affected fresh vegetables did not actually lead to a decline or even stagnation in the consumption of fresh vegetables for the most part. Even though significant volumes of vegetables grown in Germany were destroyed, imports from non-contaminated sources ensured sufficient supply.

PROSPECTS

  • In the near future, Germany will focus on producing more fruit and vegetables domestically to be sure that their quality is up to its standards, which it hopes will help to stimulate consumption. Legislation is being prepared that is based on principles of sustainable agriculture, which includes addressing the issues of soil contamination and a total ban on the use of synthetic chemicals.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Vegetables by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Fresh Food
    • Eggs
    • Fish and Seafood
      • Crustaceans
      • Fish
      • Molluscs and Cephalopods
    • Fruits
      • Apples
      • Banana
      • Cherries
      • Cranberries/Blueberries
      • Grapefruit/Pomelo
      • Grapes
      • Lemon and Limes
      • Oranges, Tangerines and Mandarins
      • Peaches/Nectarines
      • Pears/Quinces
      • Pineapple
      • Plums/Sloes
      • Strawberries
      • Other Fruits
    • Meat
      • Beef and Veal
      • Lamb, Mutton and Goat
      • Pork
      • Poultry
      • Other Meat
    • Nuts
      • Almonds
      • Peanuts (Groundnuts)
      • Pistachio
      • Walnuts
      • Other Nuts
    • Pulses
      • Beans
      • Peas
      • Other Pulses
    • Starchy Roots
      • Cassava
      • Potatoes
      • Sweet Potatoes
      • Other Roots
    • Sugar and Sweeteners
    • Vegetables
      • Onion
      • Tomatoes
      • Other Vegetables

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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