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Country Report

Fresh Food in India

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,100

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand and consumption remain stable

In India, fresh and seasonal foods remained by far more popular than packaged food in 2011. A distinct difference in the vegetables and fruits consumed as per the weather and climate continued to be visible, irrespective of the fact that all vegetables are now available throughout the year. India remained one of the leading fresh food producers and consumers in the world along with countries like Thailand and Japan. In spite of the country being youth-centric, with nearly half of the population being below the age of 30, the culture of eating out at restaurants and takeaways is just developing. Fresh foods are likely to remain unaffected by such lifestyle changes. Some 70% of India’s population still live in rural areas. Therefore, consumption of fresh foods will remain unaffected unless the rural market is tapped by packaged food.

Prices of fresh foods continue to decline

Food inflation was at an all-time low in 2011, falling to 8% in December 2011, down by 33% on a year-on-year basis. 2011 was seen as exceptionally beneficial for consumers due to the low prices of all fresh food produce. In particular after 2010, when the prices of food increased significantly, 2011 proved to be the needed break from high prices for consumers. Eggs, fruits and vegetables, meat, fish and all other fresh food categories witnessed a consistent decline in price throughout the year. Production of fresh foods in 2011 was exceptionally high, so much so that small farmers who could not afford cold storage suffered heavy losses as supply outstripped demand. Cold storage last date was extended by the government to save as much produce as possible. A large quantity of produce was, however, wasted due to a lack of infrastructural facilities.

Organised retail chains gain stronger foothold in the market

India is primarily dominated by traditional distribution channels when it comes to fresh foods, such as kirana stores and wholesale mandis. However, over the last couple of years, organised retail chains such as Reliance Fresh, Star Bazaar, More and a few others have grown in popularity due to being able to offer everything under one roof. Furthermore, retail chains have removed the middle men from the distribution channel. Organised retail chains collect the first harvest produce directly from the farmers, meaning they can then sell the produce at lower prices than traditional markets. The Indian market, being price-sensitive, is driven by good quality at lower rates.

Branded foods to witness increased demand

The Indian market is expected to witness a rise in consumption of branded fresh foods. India was not big on branded fresh foods up until four or five years ago when corporates entered the fresh foods industry. Awareness of branded or labelled fresh foods is gradually increasing among consumers. Companies like Suguna Poultry Products and Venky’s are slowly making their way from the southern parts of the country to the north. The higher nutritional quality of branded poultry and eggs is slowly spreading among consumers, particularly in urban areas. Branded poultry and eggs are likely to account for an increasing share of sales over the next five years.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Fresh Food industry in India with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Fresh Food industry in India, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Fresh Food in India market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Fresh Food in India?
  • What are the major brands in India?
  • What is the impact of commodities price fluctuations on local production and consumption?
  • What are the key campaigns and/or legislation driving fresh food sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Fresh Food in India - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand and consumption remain stable

Prices of fresh foods continue to decline

Organised retail chains gain stronger foothold in the market

Branded foods to witness increased demand

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Growing GDP helps fresh foods

Government approval of FDI fuels performance

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Retail Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 6 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Eggs in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2011 witnessed an increase in sales of branded eggs, particularly in organised retail chains such as Star Bazaar, Hypercity, More and Reliance Fresh. Companies like Suguna Poultry Farm Ltd, Godrej Agrovet and Venkateshwara Hatcheries increased their presence in these supermarkets, with their branded eggs offering greater nutritional value and differing prices. Suguna Poultry, one of the leading branded egg suppliers, launched premium quality value-added eggs in four categories, namely Active, Heart, Pro and Shakti. These eggs are enriched with various vitamins and designed for different age groups and health conditions.

PROSPECTS

  • Branded eggs targeting different consumer groups categorised according to age, gender and health condition will witness strong growth. Indian consumers are becoming more aware of their food habits and nutritional intake. Retail chains such as Suguna Poultry, Godrej Agrovet and Venkateshwara Hatcheries will see a rise in their sales and enjoy increased share.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Eggs by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Fish and Seafood in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The price of fish and seafood remained high in 2011 despite a lower rate of food inflation. This was due to heavy rainfall and floods in most of the major fish and seafood ports. Heavy rain resulted in weaker supply, thus hampering consumption growth. However, the category still managed a total volume gain of 13% to reach 3.3 million tonnes, up from 2.9 million tonnes the previous year.

PROSPECTS

  • India is set be one of the leading exporters of fish and seafood in the international market, particularly of fish and shrimps. It emerged as the sixth biggest exporter in 2011 due to a lack of production in the Vietnamese market. This trend is expected to continue as production of shrimps is quite high and demand is not likely to decline anytime soon in international markets.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 12 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Fruits in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fruit volume sales continued to rise in 2011 thanks to a declining rate of food inflation. The inflation rate fell to nearly 8% in December 2011compared to 12% in December 2010. Per capita consumption of fruit increased from nearly 53kg in 2010 to 57kg in 2011. However, fruit volume sales increased by 10% in 2011, which was higher than 2010’s growth rate of 7%, despite the rising inflation.

PROSPECTS

  • The fruits category in India is expected to grow at a volume CAGR of 10% over 2011-2016 to reach total sales of 43 million tonnes. The primary driver behind this performance will be the growing population, followed by declining food inflation. Furthermore, an increase in the import of exotic fruits such as grapefruit/pomelo and strawberries will help to boost overall volume sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Fruits by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Meat in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • An increase in total meat volume sales in 2011 can be attributed to higher disposable incomes. With nearly 50% of the population being below the age of 30 and an overall increase in discretionary income, Indian consumers are moving away from their religious beliefs, especially the younger generations. The young consumers of the country are open to eating non-vegetarian food more than the older generations. A major section of the country remains purely vegetarian, with vegetables and fruits the main drivers of the fresh foods industry, followed by chicken and meat. Consumption of meat is highly dependent on religion, with Hindus not eating beef or veal and Muslims not eating pork.

PROSPECTS

  • The consumption of poultry is set to continue to rise at a stable rate of around 14% annually over the forecast period. With an increase in the number of cases of lifestyle-related diseases, more people will opt for healthier types of meat.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 22 Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Meat by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Nuts in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Nut consumption continued to increase in 2011. This can be attributed to increased awareness regarding the health benefits of the omega-3 fatty acids present in nuts, which can help lower harmful cholesterol levels in the human body. A shift in perception from nuts being seen as fatty and salty snacks to healthy ingredients was observed in 2011. This shift is also attributable to more doctors advising the consumption of all kinds of nuts.

PROSPECTS

  • Total volume sales of nuts are expected to grow by 10% annually over 2011-2016. The main driver behind this performance will be a combination of improved consciousness regarding the health benefits of nuts and increased disposable incomes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Nuts by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Pulses in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumption of pulses remained high in India in 2011 as these are a core part of the daily diet and a source of protein for both vegetarians and non-vegetarians. However, in 2011, volume growth slowed slightly despite the growing population due to higher prices.

PROSPECTS

  • In the future, if India fails to increase its yield per hectare, it will be dependent on imports completely not only to bridge the gap between production and consumption of pulses, but also to stabilise prices and the market in general. India currently imports the majority of its pulses from Myanmar and Canada.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Sales of Pulses by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Starchy Roots in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume sales of starchy roots grew by 16% in 2011. This growth rate was substantial compared to the 3% gain registered in 2010. The jump in the growth rate was attributable to a combination of the increasing population and extremely low prices.

PROSPECTS

  • Potatoes from Punjab will be more popular throughout the country than potatoes from West Bengal or Uttar Pradesh, the two leading potato producing states. This is because the level of production in West Bengal was much higher than in Punjab or Uttar Pradesh in 2011, as a result of which cold storage units are stacked with West Bengal produce. Punjab, on the other hand, had lower production in 2011, and hence has already started selling fresh produce, which is more popular, at higher prices. As a result, Punjab will have a good year in 2012.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Sales of Starchy Roots by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Sugar and Sweeteners in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • India as a country loves its sugar. India is one of the leading producers as well consumers of sugar in the world. Total volume sales of sugars and sweeteners in 2011 reached 18 million tonnes. The category’s growth rate slowed in 2011 compared to 2010. This slowdown can be attributed to the rise in lifestyle- related diseases, including diabetes. Apart from diabetes, obesity and weight-related issues are another reason why people are moving away from sugar and sweeteners. This, combined with increased exports, resulted in weaker volume growth.

PROSPECTS

  • The sugar industry is highly fragmented in India. Currently, according to official statistics, up until 31 December 2010 the country had nearly 654 sugar factories, which include cooperative, private and public factories. One of the main challenges being faced by the sugar industry at the moment is the extremely low price of sugar. Most of the sugar mills and factories are running at a loss due to inflation. If things continue this way, the quality and quantity of sugar will both decline as traders would rather export the sugar at a higher price than sell it in the domestic market.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Vegetables in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Total vegetable volume sales exceeded 90 million tonnes in 2011. Onion volume sales grew by 35%. Of the total volume, 86% of sales were to consumers and the remaining 14% to establishments such as restaurants and canteens or institutions such as hospitals and schools.

PROSPECTS

  • In spite of a drastic increase in the number of people eating out at restaurants and getting takeaways, the consumption of fresh vegetables will remain steady. Wholesalers and retailers are not worried about this shift in consumer behaviour as fresh vegetables will always remain a primary food ingredient.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Vegetables by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Fresh Food
    • Eggs
    • Fish and Seafood
      • Crustaceans
      • Fish
      • Molluscs and Cephalopods
    • Fruits
      • Apples
      • Banana
      • Cherries
      • Cranberries/Blueberries
      • Grapefruit/Pomelo
      • Grapes
      • Lemon and Limes
      • Oranges, Tangerines and Mandarins
      • Peaches/Nectarines
      • Pears/Quinces
      • Pineapple
      • Plums/Sloes
      • Strawberries
      • Other Fruits
    • Meat
      • Beef and Veal
      • Lamb, Mutton and Goat
      • Pork
      • Poultry
      • Other Meat
    • Nuts
      • Almonds
      • Peanuts (Groundnuts)
      • Pistachio
      • Walnuts
      • Other Nuts
    • Pulses
      • Beans
      • Peas
      • Other Pulses
    • Starchy Roots
      • Cassava
      • Potatoes
      • Sweet Potatoes
      • Other Roots
    • Sugar and Sweeteners
    • Vegetables
      • Onion
      • Tomatoes
      • Other Vegetables

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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