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Country Report

Fresh Food in India

Sep 2011

Price: $1,100

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About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Fresh Food industry in India with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Fresh Food industry in India, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Fresh Food in India market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Fresh Food in India?
  • What are the major brands in India?
  • What is the impact of commodities price fluctuations on local production and consumption?
  • What are the key campaigns and/or legislation driving fresh food sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food demand remains high

India continued to see a growing number of mid- and high-income consumers with aspirations to move up the value chain in 2010, with this trend keeping demand for fresh food high in the year. The rise in demand was intense enough to put strains on production, even though India is in the top five countries globally in terms of producing and consuming fresh food. Better retail distribution also meant that availability improved throughout the country, as retailers and food companies expanded into under-developed rural and semi-urban areas.

Rising prices are a cause of concern

2010 was marked by sharp spikes in both consumption and prices in practically every fresh food product category, from vegetables to fruits. Prices were boosted by a number of factors in 2010. In addition to the impact of growing consumption linked to higher disposable incomes, errant rainfall in key production areas and natural disasters in and around India further put pressure on prices. Food price inflation climbed to as high as 18% in 2010, causing public outcry and a slew of government measures to ease prices, from price control to imports. Prices did fall by the end of the year but 2010 overall took fresh food costs for consumers to a new high.

Large format retailers continue attempts to attract customers

Large format retailers across the country ramped up their fresh food sections towards the end of the review period, using strategies such as keeping prices constant, offering clean and neat storage and packing and introducing private label ranges. Retailers such as Hypercity, Reliance Fresh, More, Star Bazaar and Food Bazaar continued to expand in terms of location and range, thus attracting more consumers. However, the vast majority of fresh food purchases still occur via roadside vendors and wet markets across India. The dominance of these channels is unlikely to change in the self-tanning but large format retailers are offering a retail experience that can unlock more spending because it better matches the social aspirations of the upwardly mobile mid-income group.

Fresh food consumption set to increase

Fresh food consumption will continue to see strong growth during the forecast period, largely mirroring India’s economic expansion. This will result in improvements in the supply chain and retail experience for fresh food. In addition, economic growth will increase disposable incomes, which in turn will enable consumers to buy more and experiment more with their purchases, while also reducing price-sensitivity. Product categories where sales are usually seen as festival-driven will begin to move into regular consumption, including varieties of nuts, seafood and exotic fruit. Higher prices will dampen demand to an extent but the impact of price increases will be largely counterbalanced by strong economic growth.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Fresh Food in India - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fresh food demand remains high

Rising prices are a cause of concern

Large format retailers continue attempts to attract customers

Fresh food consumption set to increase

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic growth and young population drives consumption of fresh food

Prices of fresh food a concern

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales of Fresh Food by Distribution Format: % Retail Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 6 Forecast Sales of Fresh Food by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

Sources

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Eggs in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Eggs are widely consumed in India in a variety of ways, both in western dishes such as omelettes and traditional Indian dishes such as egg-based curries. As economic growth continued in 2010, consumers benefited from higher disposable income levels. This resulted in a greater experimentation in foods and growing consumer foodservice expenditure. Consequently, consumer foodservice outlets began to offer a widening range of egg-based dishes towards the end of the review period. This increased consumer awareness of eggs as a good source of protein and flavour.

PROSPECTS

  • Eggs are expected to see a total volume CAGR of 10% in the forecast period, with this representing considerably stronger growth in comparison to the CAGR of 6% seen in the review period. Given that India is the world’s fourth largest producer of eggs, this growth will be significant in terms of volume and value sales and industry size.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Eggs by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Eggs: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Eggs: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Fish and Seafood in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fish and seafood saw an impressive performance in 2010, seeing the strongest total volume growth within fresh food. This resulted in India becoming the third largest fish producer in the world. An improved infrastructure of over 20 major fish and seafood processing centres to convey the catch to the market quickly without loss of quality resulted in better availability of fish, leading to rise in consumption. Over 81% of all fish is still consumed fresh, with the rest being frozen or undergoing further processing.

PROSPECTS

  • Fish and seafood is expected to grow at a total volume CAGR of 9% during the forecast period, reaching over 4.4 million tonnes in 2015. Cold chain distribution and storage systems are expected to develop in India during the forecast period, encouraged by liberalised investing and tax norms. As a result, there is expected to be growing availability for many varieties of fish and seafood and quality is expected to increase, helping to boost consumption.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 12 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Fish and Seafood by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Fish and Seafood by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Fruits in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fruits continued to enjoy growing demand throughout 2010. While demand for traditional fruits such as banana and mango remained strong, 2010 saw consumption grow for many niche fruits such as cherries and strawberries. Viewed as high-end delicacies, these products benefited from improvements in cold chain systems by retailers and also from consumers’ greater willingness to spend.

PROSPECTS

  • Total volume sales are expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period to reach almost 78 million tonnes in 2015. Growth will be driven by rising consumer incomes and by the ongoing expansion of chained retail across the country. In addition, total volume sales will be boosted by ongoing investments in cultivation and logistics.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Fruits by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Fruits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Meat in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, there was a marked trend towards meat as a primary source of protein and away from pulses, the more traditional source. This was partly a result of higher disposable incomes, with these enabling the consumption of more expensive meat. This trend was also partly the result of changing demographics, as young consumers are more aware of international cuisines and more likely to experiment.

PROSPECTS

  • Meat sales are forecast to grow at a total volume CAGR of 7% during the forecast period to reach over 5.3 million tonnes in 2015. The prospects for growth are bright, as the country is set for a sustained period of economic growth. Economic growth and rising disposable income levels will meanwhile enable more people to consume higher-value meat, including fresh as well as processed products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 22 Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Meat by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Meat by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Nuts in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Nuts saw a strong performance in 2010, with total volume growing by 12%. Growth was led by peanuts (groundnuts) with this being the largest oilseed crop in India. Peanuts (groundnuts) is a rainy-season crop and benefited from a good monsoon season in 2010, leading to strong production and affordable prices in the year.

PROSPECTS

  • Nuts are forecast to grow at a total volume CAGR of 9% during the forecast period to reach 11.7 million tonnes in 2015. Growth will be as a result of consumers’ rising spending power. Peanuts (groundnuts) is expected to retain its dominant position during the forecast period. This product area is expected to benefit from strong economic growth in its main consumption region, the western states of Gujarat and Maharashtra.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Nuts by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Nuts by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Pulses in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pulses remain a major ingredient in the Indian diet. Over 20% of the population is strictly vegetarian, with pulses providing the main sauce of protein for these consumers. However, in India even non-vegetarians consume pulses in significant quantities. As the Indian population increased during the review period, demand for pulses also rose. Total volume thus grew by 7% in 2010 alone and by a review period CAGR of 9%.

PROSPECTS

  • Total volume sales are expected to see a CAGR of 8% in the forecast period to reach 30.6 million tonnes in 2015. The two biggest product categories within pulses, beans and peas, are forecast to grow at 6% and 5% total volume CAGR respectively during the forecast period. These are expected to maintain their volume share at a quarter of total pulses volume in the forecast period. Ease of production and sustained demand over the forecast period will drive growth in volumes for pulses.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 32 Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Sales of Pulses by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Pulses by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Starchy Roots in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2010 saw an increase in demand for starchy roots, especially potatoes, with these products being consumed by almost the entire population, both vegetarian and non-vegetarian. The rapid expansion of multinational cuisine boosted demand. This trend was led in fast food led by western chains such as McDonald’s and Pizza Hut, while domestic Indian restaurants also diversified their offering and thus created stronger demand.

PROSPECTS

  • Starchy roots is expected to see a total volume CAGR of 7% in the forecast period to reach almost 69 million tonnes in 2015. There is expected to be an ongoing rise in demand during the forecast period mainly due to higher consumption.. .

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Sales of Starchy Roots by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Starchy Roots by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Sugar and Sweeteners in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • India remained the single largest consumer of sugar worldwide in 2010. Sugar is one of the most widely used ingredients in the country, being included in almost every diet and also in most cups of tea and coffee, the two most widely consumed drinks in the country. As consumers’ spending ability increased towards the end of the review period, the consumption of non-essential food meanwhile also increased, with growing sales of sweets, soft drinks and foods boosting industrial demand for sugar.

PROSPECTS

  • Sugar is expected to see 12% total volume CAGR during the forecast period to reach 28.9 million tonnes. Growth will continue to be driven by ongoing economic growth. Economic growth will meanwhile in turn boost consumers’ disposable income levels and their willingness to spend on sugar.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Sugar and Sweeteners: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Vegetables in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Total volume sales of vegetables increased in 2010, along with an increase in India’s population and rising consumer spending. Even though the year saw severe price spikes, consumption did not drop significantly as most Indians rely vegetables for their diets.

PROSPECTS

  • Total volume sales for vegetables are forecast to rise at a CAGR of 8% during the forecast period to reach almost 124 million tonnes. A number of factors will favour growth, including a growing middle class of over 140 million households and a growing consumer propensity to spend. In addition, growing demand from institutions and retailers and greater diversity in terms of cuisine will also support strong sales growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Vegetables by Distribution Format: % Total Volume Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Vegetables by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Fresh Food
    • Eggs
    • Fish and Seafood
      • Crustaceans
      • Fish
      • Molluscs and Cephalopods
    • Fruits
      • Apples
      • Banana
      • Cherries
      • Cranberries/Blueberries
      • Grapefruit/Pomelo
      • Grapes
      • Lemon and Limes
      • Oranges, Tangerines and Mandarins
      • Peaches/Nectarines
      • Pears/Quinces
      • Pineapple
      • Plums/Sloes
      • Strawberries
      • Other Fruits
    • Meat
      • Beef and Veal
      • Lamb, Mutton and Goat
      • Pork
      • Poultry
      • Other Meat
    • Nuts
      • Almonds
      • Peanuts (Groundnuts)
      • Pistachio
      • Walnuts
      • Other Nuts
    • Pulses
      • Beans
      • Peas
      • Other Pulses
    • Starchy Roots
      • Cassava
      • Potatoes
      • Sweet Potatoes
      • Other Roots
    • Sugar and Sweeteners
    • Vegetables
      • Onion
      • Tomatoes
      • Other Vegetables

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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