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Country Report

Frozen Processed Food in Egypt

Feb 2011

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Frozen Processed Food industry in Egypt with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Frozen Processed Food industry in Egypt, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Frozen Processed Food in Egypt market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Frozen Processed Food in Egypt?
  • What are the major brands in Egypt?
  • As economic prospects improve, are consumers starting to move away from comparatively inexpensive canned food and back to frozen and chilled processed offerings?
  • How are manufacturers leveraging popular restaurant chains to help more austere consumers recreate a restaurant experience at home?
  • Will retail sales suffer as consumers move back to consumer foodservice and spend less time cooking at home?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • Frozen processed food in 2010 is seeing a significant increase in value sales. This can be attributed to a wider product variety. Many new products have been launched, and are available in supermarkets and hypermarkets located in big cities. Upper-income households remain the biggest consumers of frozen processed food due to the high unit price of most of the products available.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leader in frozen processed food in Egypt in 2009 remained Cairo Poultry Processing Co with a 20% value share. The company owns Koki, a well-known brand which offers a wide range of frozen processed products, including whole chickens. Due to the dramatic rise of meat prices in Egypt, the majority of the population have switched to chicken, which remains much cheaper. Because Cairo Poultry Processing Co was one of the first companies to offer frozen chicken in Egypt, and heavily advertised on national television, offering many promotions, Egyptian consumers tend to remain loyal to the Koki brand.

PROSPECTS

  • A steady increase is expected in frozen processed food sales in Egypt over the coming years. Value sales are expected to increase to exceed E£1 billion by 2015. Reasons for growth include an increase in demand for certain trusted products that have proven good value for money.

Trends

  • Egypt's foodservice industry is strongly linked to its tourism industry, and with tourist numbers rising, the foodservice industry witnessed strong growth. The recent worldwide economic crisis curbed growth rates compared to their respective CAGRs. However, with tourism continuing its rise in Egypt, growth remained constant in the food service industry.

Competitive Landscape

  • Foodservice manufacturers directly supply foodservice outlets. Suppliers form agreements between themselves and the outlets in order to maintain continuous supply. It is also important to mention that most agreements are made on a confidentiality basis due to fierce competition in this market.

Prospects

  • The foodservice industry is expected to continue to grow substantially over the forecast period as more Egyptians are enjoying the dining out experience. With many new outlets, a wider range of Egyptians are able to experience dining out at different levels. From expensive restaurants aimed at the small percentage of higher-income earners to low cost outlets such as McDonald’s and Burger King, the majority of the population can now enjoy many types of cuisine in a social atmosphere.

Trends

  • Sales of impulse and indulgence products kept growing over the review period, appealing to a large customer base in Egypt. With the population of Egypt steadily increasing at 2% annually, approaching 80 million, demand has increased organically.

Competitive Landscape

  • Edita for Food Industries was the company with the largest value share, at 6%. This is due to the company’s wide portfolio of products such as Molto, Hoho’s and Twinkies. The company has a strong distribution system and very strong relationships with all distribution channels. The company is virtually the only food company to reach the large number of small kiosks in Egypt, making their products accessible to all consumers, especially children. The launch of the new cake Todo is also adding more strength to the company and increasing brand awareness. The launch was accompanied by a heavy advertising campaign on television channels, radio and billboards across the country.

Prospects

  • Impulse and indulgence products' value sales are expected to reach E£6 billion by 2015. This is a positive growth rate, especially considering the economic climate. However, value sales are not expected to rise dramatically over the forecast period as companies have to be careful with their price increases, despite the pressure of rising prices from suppliers of raw materials.

Trends

  • Unpackaged/artisanal bread remained the most important category of bakery with sales of E£24 billion in 2010. This is mainly due to the fact that most Egyptians have extremely low disposable incomes and tend to consume unpackaged/artisanal bread as it is cheap and widely available, as well as being part of the Egyptian culture for many years. The Egyptian government assures a strong supply for its bread-dependent population as it is considered a political commodity. Tight regulations have been placed to control production and distribution of artisanal bread, however, subsidised flour leaked into the market, creating a crisis in the supply to legitimate distribution channels.

Competitive Landscape

  • Artisanal products led sales in nutrition/staples with just over 60% of sales. This is largely due to the fact that they are substantially cheaper than packaged products and therefore appeal to the large lower income earning population. Al Doha Co for Processing and Distribution and Delta Rice had 3% and 2%% shares in 2009. Shares for both companies stemmed from their sole respective brands, Al Doha and Delta rice.

Prospects

  • Nutrition/stapes are expected to increase in value terms to E£32 billion by 2015. The reason it is expected to take a few years to start witnessing positive growth is due to recent high inflation taking their toll on the marketplace and consumer demand for products.

Trends

  • As more women enter the workforce, meal solutions are playing an important role in their lives. As disposable incomes increase, people are more willing to spend on products that could save time and energy in preparation.

Competitive Landscape

  • Halwani Bros Co continued to lead in sales in meal solutions in 2009, holding the top position in processed, chilled and frozen meats. This company is also able to afford promotions, innovative packaging and advertising, making its products known to all income groups and accessible to the masses. With the emergence of increased supermarket/hypermarket chains in the suburbs as people begin to relocate from the city centre, companies such as Halwani Bros Co are able to enjoy larger display areas for their products

Prospects

  • Meal solutions are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% over the forecast period. This positive growth rate will continue as long as the population continues to increase and these products are continuously available to the public in abundance.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Frozen Processed Food in Egypt - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Frozen processed food in 2010 is seeing a significant increase in value sales. This can be attributed to a wider product variety. Many new products have been launched, and are available in supermarkets and hypermarkets located in big cities. Upper-income households remain the biggest consumers of frozen processed food due to the high unit price of most of the products available.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leader in frozen processed food in Egypt in 2009 remained Cairo Poultry Processing Co with a 20% value share. The company owns Koki, a well-known brand which offers a wide range of frozen processed products, including whole chickens. Due to the dramatic rise of meat prices in Egypt, the majority of the population have switched to chicken, which remains much cheaper. Because Cairo Poultry Processing Co was one of the first companies to offer frozen chicken in Egypt, and heavily advertised on national television, offering many promotions, Egyptian consumers tend to remain loyal to the Koki brand.

PROSPECTS

  • A steady increase is expected in frozen processed food sales in Egypt over the coming years. Value sales are expected to increase to exceed E£1 billion by 2015. Reasons for growth include an increase in demand for certain trusted products that have proven good value for money.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Frozen Processed Red Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Frozen Processed Poultry by Type: % Value Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood by Type: % Value Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Frozen Processed Vegetables by Type: % Value Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2005-2009
  • Table 10 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2006-2009
  • Table 11 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Frozen Processed Food in Egypt - Company Profiles

Cairo Poultry Processing Co - Packaged Food - Egypt

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Cairo Poultry Processing Co: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Cairo Poultry Processing Co: Competitive Position 2009

Packaged Food in Egypt - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sales of packaged food on the rise

Consumer promotions drive packaged food volume

Macro Warehouse open their first outlet in July 2010

Store-based selling remained most popular channel while modern channels most dynamic

Uncertainty and scepticism about the performance of packaged food in the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Urban inflation reaches 11% in June 2010

Unhealthy eating habits are taking their toll on Egyptian consumers

Innovation in packaging and new product development to increase sales

New retail channels driving sales of packaged food in Egypt

MARKET DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 21 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 22 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2009
  • Table 23 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 27 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 28 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Egypt's foodservice industry is strongly linked to its tourism industry, and with tourist numbers rising, the foodservice industry witnessed strong growth. The recent worldwide economic crisis curbed growth rates compared to their respective CAGRs. However, with tourism continuing its rise in Egypt, growth remained constant in the food service industry.

Competitive Landscape

  • Foodservice manufacturers directly supply foodservice outlets. Suppliers form agreements between themselves and the outlets in order to maintain continuous supply. It is also important to mention that most agreements are made on a confidentiality basis due to fierce competition in this market.

Prospects

  • The foodservice industry is expected to continue to grow substantially over the forecast period as more Egyptians are enjoying the dining out experience. With many new outlets, a wider range of Egyptians are able to experience dining out at different levels. From expensive restaurants aimed at the small percentage of higher-income earners to low cost outlets such as McDonald’s and Burger King, the majority of the population can now enjoy many types of cuisine in a social atmosphere.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 29 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 32 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Sales of impulse and indulgence products kept growing over the review period, appealing to a large customer base in Egypt. With the population of Egypt steadily increasing at 2% annually, approaching 80 million, demand has increased organically.

Competitive Landscape

  • Edita for Food Industries was the company with the largest value share, at 6%. This is due to the company’s wide portfolio of products such as Molto, Hoho’s and Twinkies. The company has a strong distribution system and very strong relationships with all distribution channels. The company is virtually the only food company to reach the large number of small kiosks in Egypt, making their products accessible to all consumers, especially children. The launch of the new cake Todo is also adding more strength to the company and increasing brand awareness. The launch was accompanied by a heavy advertising campaign on television channels, radio and billboards across the country.

Prospects

  • Impulse and indulgence products' value sales are expected to reach E£6 billion by 2015. This is a positive growth rate, especially considering the economic climate. However, value sales are not expected to rise dramatically over the forecast period as companies have to be careful with their price increases, despite the pressure of rising prices from suppliers of raw materials.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 33 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 36 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Company Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2005-2009
  • Table 38 Brand Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2006-2009
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Unpackaged/artisanal bread remained the most important category of bakery with sales of E£24 billion in 2010. This is mainly due to the fact that most Egyptians have extremely low disposable incomes and tend to consume unpackaged/artisanal bread as it is cheap and widely available, as well as being part of the Egyptian culture for many years. The Egyptian government assures a strong supply for its bread-dependent population as it is considered a political commodity. Tight regulations have been placed to control production and distribution of artisanal bread, however, subsidised flour leaked into the market, creating a crisis in the supply to legitimate distribution channels.

Competitive Landscape

  • Artisanal products led sales in nutrition/staples with just over 60% of sales. This is largely due to the fact that they are substantially cheaper than packaged products and therefore appeal to the large lower income earning population. Al Doha Co for Processing and Distribution and Delta Rice had 3% and 2%% shares in 2009. Shares for both companies stemmed from their sole respective brands, Al Doha and Delta rice.

Prospects

  • Nutrition/stapes are expected to increase in value terms to E£32 billion by 2015. The reason it is expected to take a few years to start witnessing positive growth is due to recent high inflation taking their toll on the marketplace and consumer demand for products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 43 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Company Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2005-2009
  • Table 48 Brand Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2006-2009
  • Table 49 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 52 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • As more women enter the workforce, meal solutions are playing an important role in their lives. As disposable incomes increase, people are more willing to spend on products that could save time and energy in preparation.

Competitive Landscape

  • Halwani Bros Co continued to lead in sales in meal solutions in 2009, holding the top position in processed, chilled and frozen meats. This company is also able to afford promotions, innovative packaging and advertising, making its products known to all income groups and accessible to the masses. With the emergence of increased supermarket/hypermarket chains in the suburbs as people begin to relocate from the city centre, companies such as Halwani Bros Co are able to enjoy larger display areas for their products

Prospects

  • Meal solutions are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% over the forecast period. This positive growth rate will continue as long as the population continues to increase and these products are continuously available to the public in abundance.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 53 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Company Shares of Meal Solutions 2005-2009
  • Table 58 Brand Shares of Meal Solutions 2006-2009
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 5 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Frozen Processed Food
    • Frozen Bakery
    • Frozen Desserts
    • Frozen Meat Substitutes
    • Frozen Noodles
    • Frozen Pizza
    • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
    • Frozen Processed Potatoes
      • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
      • Oven Baked Potato Chips
      • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
    • Frozen Processed Poultry
    • Frozen Processed Red Meat
    • Frozen Processed Vegetables
    • Frozen Ready Meals
    • Frozen Soup
    • Other Frozen Processed Food

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Sizes
  • Company Shares
  • Brand Shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by Type
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Total Volume (Tonnes)
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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