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Country Report

Home Care in Kenya

Nov 2012

Price: US$2,400

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Depreciation of the shilling increases cost of living

The depreciation of the value of the Kenyan shilling has resulted in imports, especially those which are priced in US dollars, becoming more expensive. Added costs are being pushed onto consumers in the form of increased retail prices which are further fuelling inflation. Furthermore, the Central Bank of Kenya has raised interest rates in a bid to save the currency, which has reached an all-time low of KES107 to the dollar. This has increased the cost of borrowing in the country and made it more expensive for loan providers to offer loans and has thus raised the cost of doing business and living. These factors threw the Kenyan economy into a vicious downward spiral for most of 2011.

Growth of middle class fuelling incomes and consumer market

Sustained economic growth of 4% as well as a strong entrepreneurial spirit among Kenyans has brought about an observable increase in middle-income earners in the country. The Kenya Economic Survey of 2011 defines a middle-income earner as an individual or household for which monthly consumption expenditure ranges from KES23,671 to KES120,000. Such households have contributed to the significant increase in the size of the consumer market and thus boosted demand for consumer products countrywide.

Kenya awaits 2012 general elections in wake of 2008 post-election violence and 2010 constitutional reform

2012 will be the year that marks the first general election in the wake of the post-poll chaos that significantly destabilised the Kenyan economy in 2008. The election will also have a significant bearing on the investment climate in the country as capital inflow may freeze until the outcome is known. The Kenyan Constitution, which was amended in August 2010, has also heralded an ambitious government re-structuring programme in the name of devolution of power in a bid to tackle the geographic and inter-tribal economic inequalities blamed for past electoral violence. Proper implementation of devolution will open several doors for investment. However, this can only be confirmed after the election.

Retail channels expand reach to cater to wider consumer market

Supermarkets are the most common retail channels and are popular amongst consumers within all income groups in Kenya as they offer convenience for people looking to purchase anything from common household items to clothing and commercial equipment. As such outlets are easily identifiable with Kenyan consumers, their dissemination is increasing. Two notable retail brands, Nakumatt and Naivas, have reportedly expanded into residential areas to tap increasing consumer demand due to the burgeoning middle class. This is helping to widen the market for producers of products which are primarily sold in these outlets.

Expansionary activity amongst companies foreseen

The widening consumer market brought about by steady economic growth has created new opportunities for companies to expand production and product development. As a result, there is scope for increased sales of specialised and more sophisticated products in various areas such as surface care, toilet care and even air care. Companies such as Haco Tiger Brands (ea) LTD (former Haco Industries) which provide numerous consumer goods have already begun seizing this opportunity by formulating plans to venture into packaged foods while Unilever is working on promoting surface care products in Kenya to boost sales.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Home Care industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Home Care industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Home Care in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Home Care in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • What is the importance of the trend towards environmentally friendly products in home care?
  • What are the main growth drivers of the home care market in Kenya?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Home Care market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Home Care in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Depreciation of the shilling increases cost of living

Growth of middle class fuelling incomes and consumer market

Kenya awaits 2012 general elections in wake of 2008 post-election violence and 2010 constitutional reform

Retail channels expand reach to cater to wider consumer market

Expansionary activity amongst companies foreseen

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Households 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales of Home Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of Home Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Home Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 5 Home Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 6 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Sales of Home Care by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Home Care by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Home Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Home Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Home Care in Kenya - Company Profiles

Haco Tiger Brands (ea) Ltd in Home Care (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Haco Tiger Brands (ea) LTD: Competitive Position 2011

Interconsumer Products Kenya Ltd in Home Care (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Interconsumer Products Kenya Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Air Care in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Air care current value growth in 2011 was lower than that recorded in 2010. This was mainly due to the drop in growth within car air fresheners, where current value growth in 2011 was 12 percentage points lower than in 2010 due to the fact high inflation caused some consumers to prioritise other products over car air fresheners. In addition, the fact that the increase in fuel prices resulted in a rise in the use of public transportation in some areas of the country also had a negative impact on car air fresheners sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Oasis Kenya led value sales in 2011 thanks to its Cafe Tropical brand, which accounted for 14% of retail value sales. The fact this brand has been available for many years means consumers have easily taken to it and identify with it as a suitable air freshener, especially for toilets.

PROSPECTS

  • The continued growth of the middle class will help to boost air care sales, especially of premium brands, as affordability is no longer an issue given rising income levels. Indeed, a growing number of consumers perceive products in this area as being essential.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 11 Sales of Air Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Air Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Air Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 14 Air Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Air Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Air Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Bleach in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2011 was slower than in 2010 due to the fact that a growing number of consumers are using powder detergents as all-purpose cleaners and fabric stain removers. Bleach is used for removing stains from white clothes as well as cleaning surfaces, especially tiled surfaces.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Reckitt Benckiser led sales in 2011 due to the popularity of its Jik brand, which accounted for 29% of value sales. The brand has been supported by heavy advertising which, coupled with its longstanding presence in the market, has served to cement its popularity amongst consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The mushrooming middle class in the country is resulting in a significant increase in disposable incomes which is making home care products more affordable to a greater number of people. A number of product areas are expected to benefit from this, including bleach.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Bleach: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Bleach: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Bleach Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 20 Bleach Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Bleach: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Sales of Bleach: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dishwashing in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Dishwashing growth in 2011 was marginally higher than in 2010. The limited increase in growth can be attributed to a lack of aggressive advertising from manufacturers as well as the fact that a large number of consumers prefer to use alternative products such as bar soap as a cost-saving measure.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Haco Tiger Brands (ea) LTD (former Haco Industries Kenya) continued to lead dishwashing in 2011, recording a value share of 29% thanks to the popularity of its Sparkle and Dazzle brands. The use of innovative packaging sizes gives consumers a greater variety of products from which to choose and is one reason for the company’s success along with its nationwide distribution and marketing network.

PROSPECTS

  • The continued growth of the middle class will boost sales in this area over the coming years, especially of premium brands, as affordability is no longer an issue given the rise in income levels and the fact that such products are increasingly perceived as being essential amongst such consumers.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 23 Household Possession of Dishwashers 2006-2011

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 Sales of Dishwashing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Dishwashing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Dishwashing Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Dishwashing Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 28 Forecast Sales of Dishwashing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales of Dishwashing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Home Insecticides in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2011 was slower than in 2010 due to a drop in demand for home insecticides as a result of increased awareness of alternative prevention methods as well as an improvement in general hygiene amongst consumers which has reduced the need for insecticides.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Reckitt Benckiser led sales in 2011, with its Mortein Doom brand recording a retail value share of 49%. The brand is popular due to the fact that it has been available for long enough to become virtually synonymous with insecticides amongst consumers. In addition, Mortein Doom is highly effective as a pest killer and is regularly advertised.

PROSPECTS

  • Home insecticides will continue to grow over the forecast period. With robust economic growth projected for the country, it is expected that the middle class will continue to increase in size with the result that new homes will also continue to be built. As a result demand for insecticides will continue to rise.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 30 Sales of Home Insecticides by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Home Insecticides by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Home Insecticides Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Home Insecticides Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Home Insecticides by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Home Insecticides by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Laundry Care in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Laundry care current value growth of 10% in 2011 was slightly higher than the 9% recorded in 2010. This was primarily because of growing consumer interest in laundry care products and a consequent strong performance in all areas as well as fierce competition between manufacturers which is bound to cause a reduction in price. Also, despite the rise in inflation, there was still robust expenditure from middle income consumers on essential products such as laundry detergents which helped stimulate growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever led sales in 2011, recording a value share of 14%, while Procter and Gamble led sales within laundry aids (48%), fabric softeners (54%) and carpet cleaners (53%). The success of these companies can be attributed to their strong presence as well as the high quality of their products.

PROSPECTS

  • Liquid detergents is expected to perform well over the coming years due to the fact that products in this area offer more convenient packaging and a smoother texture and thus contribute to growth in laundry care. Intensifying competition between various manufacturers will fuel product innovation.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 36 Household Possession of Washing Machines 2006-2011

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Laundry Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Laundry Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Sales of Laundry Aids by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Sales of Laundry Aids by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Sales of Laundry Detergents by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Sales of Laundry Detergents by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Laundry Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 44 Laundry Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Laundry Detergents Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Laundry Detergents Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Laundry Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Laundry Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Polishes in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth within polishes in 2011 was largely due to increased advertising. In addition, a lack of competition also slowed down product development in this area.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sara Lee continued to lead polishes sales in 2011, with its Kiwi brand accounting for 71% of retail value sales. Kiwi is highly popular due to the fact that it has been available for many years and is now a readily identifiable household name for shoe polish. In addition, the brand is also greatly trusted by consumers as it offers value for money and has received more advertising support than other brands.

PROSPECTS

  • The continued growth of the middle class promises to boost sales, especially of premium brands, as affordability is no longer an issue given rising income levels. Indeed, such consumers increasingly perceive products in this area as being essential.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Polishes by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Polishes by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Polishes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Polishes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of Polishes by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of Polishes by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Surface Care in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumer willingness to pay more for sophisticated products to maintain the appearance of specific surfaces depends solely on income levels. It has already been observed that the majority of families opt for powder or liquid detergents as all-purpose surface cleaners, even though some emergent middle class families use specific wood polishes for their furniture and window and glass cleaners.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever continued to lead sales in 2011, recording a value share of 45% due to the popularity of its Vim, Cif and Handy Andy brands. This is due to the company’s strong presence as well as word-of-mouth advertising as consumers of surface care products readily identify with these brands.

PROSPECTS

  • The burgeoning middle class in the country is boosting disposable incomes and thus making specialised home care products more affordable to a greater number of people. In addition, rising access to the internet is boosting consumer awareness of such products. This trend will help to boost value sales over the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Sales of Surface Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Surface Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Surface Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 58 Surface Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Surface Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Surface Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Toilet Care in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • High inflation in excess of 20% towards the end of 2011 coupled with high fuel costs are increasing unit manufacturing costs. In addition, the devaluation of the Kenyan shilling has led to a decline in incomes and thus higher living costs.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Reckitt Benckiser dominates toilet care value sales thanks to its Harpic brand, which accounted for 30% of value sales in 2011. This product has been available for many years and has become a common household name for toilet care products, thus indicating its wide popularity and solid consumer base. Strong market presence and value for money can also be attributed to the success of the brand.

PROSPECTS

  • The trend in toilet care is towards greater convenience, with demand for more specialised toilet care products that offer instant cleaning services for a substantial amount of time rising. Given that affordability is less of a concern due to the growing middle class, it is expected that demand for products such as in-cistern devices and ITBs will increase as well.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Toilet Care by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Toilet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Toilet Care Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 64 Toilet Care Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of Toilet Care by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of Toilet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Home Care
    • Air Care
      • Candle Air Fresheners
      • Car Air Fresheners
      • Electric Air Fresheners
      • Gel Air Fresheners
      • Liquid Air Fresheners
      • Spray/Aerosol Air Fresheners
        • Concentrated Spray/Aerosol Air Fresheners
        • Standard Spray/Aerosol Air Fresheners
      • Other Air Care
    • Bleach
    • Dishwashing
      • Automatic Dishwashing
        • Automatic Dishwashing Liquids
        • Automatic Dishwashing Powders
        • Automatic Dishwashing Tablets
        • Dishwashing Additives
      • Hand Dishwashing
    • Home Insecticides
      • Electric Insecticides
      • Insecticide Baits
      • Insecticide Coils
      • Spray/Aerosol Insecticides
      • Other Home Insecticides
    • Laundry Care
      • Carpet Cleaners
      • Fabric Softeners
        • Dryer Sheets
        • Liquid Fabric Softeners
      • Laundry Aids
        • Colour Safe Laundry Bleach
        • Curtain Care
        • Fabric Fresheners
        • Home Dry Cleaning
        • Spot and Stain Removers
          • In-Wash Spot and Stain Removers
          • Pre-Wash Spot and Stain Removers
          • Starch/Ironing Aids
          • Water Softeners
          • Other Laundry Boosters
          • Laundry Detergents
            • Automatic Detergents
              • Powder Detergents
                • Standard Powder Detergents
                • Concentrated Powder Detergents
              • Detergent Tablets
                • Compact Powder Tablet Detergents
                • Liquid Tablet Detergents
              • Liquid Detergents
                • Standard Liquid Detergents
                • Concentrated Liquid Detergents
            • Other Detergents
              • Bar Detergents
              • Hand Wash Detergents
              • Fine Fabric Detergents
        • Polishes
          • Floor Polish
          • Furniture Polish
          • Metal Polish
          • Shoe Polish
        • Surface Care
          • Household Care Wipes and Floor Cleaning Systems
            • Dry Electro-Static Wipes
              • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Dry Electro-Static)
              • Wipes and Refills (Dry Electro-Static)
            • Floor Cleaning Systems
              • Refills
                • Cleaning Solution
                • Refill Wipes/Pads
              • Starter Kits/Trigger Device
            • Impregnated Wet Wipes
              • All Purpose Cleaning Wipes
              • Furniture Polish Wipes
              • Toilet Care Wipes
              • Wet Floor Wipes
                • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Wet)
                • Wipes and Refills (Wet)
              • Window/Glass Wipes
              • Other Impregnated Wipes
            • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Excluding Wipes)
            • Wipes (Excluding Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks)
          • Bathroom Cleaners
          • Descalers
          • Drain Openers
          • Floor Cleaners
            • Standard Floor Cleaners
            • Wash and Wax Floor Cleaners
          • Household Antiseptics/Disinfectants
          • Kitchen Cleaners
          • Multi-Purpose Cleaners
          • Oven Cleaners
          • Scouring Agents
          • Window/Glass Cleaners
        • Toilet Care
          • In-Cistern Devices
          • ITBs
            • Rim Blocks
            • Rim Liquids
          • Toilet Care Mousse/Foam
          • Toilet Care Tablets/Powders
          • Toilet Cleaning Systems
          • Toilet Liquids

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Possession rates
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail volume alternative
      • Retail volume alternative % growth
      • Retail volume alternative per capita

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

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      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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