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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Belgium

Feb 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Belgium with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Belgium, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belgium for free:

The Hot Drinks in Belgium market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Belgium?
  • What are the major brands in Belgium?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Belgium?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Belgium?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks remains positive despite slower volume growth in 2009

In 2010, the economic context and the level of consumer confidence index were still not totally favourable for a complete recovery of hot drinks after the stagnation of 2009. Nonetheless, the market enjoyed a strong upgrading movement due to a new rise in production and raw materials costs, the growing success of espresso, the ongoing popularity of green tea and the explosion of high pressure coffee machines. While volume sales continued to slightly wane due to competition from soft drinks, this contributed to an above-average current value growth in overall sales of hot drinks in 2010.

Espresso and new machines drive sales

More than ever, the tastes and preferences of Belgian coffee consumers became more sophisticated in 2010. While the Belgian coffee culture changed in recent years – moving away from drip filter towards single-serve coffee methods thanks to the Senseo machine – the main trend in 2009/2010 was the popularisation of espresso in Belgium. The Italian style of drinking coffee developed notably on the back of the explosion of espresso machines, including Nespresso, the new Nescafé Dolce Gusto and more traditional automatic and semi-automatic machines. In the latter case, this even resulted in a spectacular recovery of fresh coffee beans sales.

Douwe Egberts remains the outright leader despite the dynamism of Nestlé

Thanks to its extremely strong presence in coffee, Douwe Egberts remained the clear leader in hot drinks in Belgium in 2010. Unilever Belgium is the largest player in tea, whilst Nestlé retains its leading position in other hot drinks. The latter was also one of the most dynamic players in 2009-2010 by virtue of the astonishing breakthrough of its espresso machines.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets remains ahead but is not the most dynamic

Driven mostly by supermarkets, the supermarkets/hypermarkets channel led the way in retail volume terms for hot drinks in 2010. Belgian hot drinks consumers are becoming more sophisticated in terms of coffee and they are increasingly willing to spend more on quality coffee products. However, instead of specialist coffee or tea shops, this trend has continued to favour sales through supermarkets as supermarket operators have been quick to pick up on this trend and offer added-value products. Even so, the most dynamic channel was by far internet retailing that almost had a monopoly on espresso pods until early 2010.

The battle of pods remains from over

As in the past, the competitive environment in hot drinks should not have been driven by traditional media campaigns, in-store promotions or conventional new product development but by new machines and their pods. For instance, Belgian retailers are waiting for the entrance of Nespresso pods’ copycats in Belgium. To combat this, Nescafé Dolce Gusto plans to further extend its range and machines while specialists such as Lavazza are also focusing on espresso machines. Lastly, another key event could be the official entrance of the tea machine Special T from Nestlé in Belgian store-based grocery retailers in 2011 or 2012. Thus, despite the sluggish recovery of the economy, sales are expected to post fairly substantial growth in the coming years. Other than an ongoing movement toward trading up, sales of hot drinks are also likely to be artificially fuelled by a new surge of cocoa and coffee prices on a global scale.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Belgium - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks remains positive despite slower volume growth in 2009

Espresso and new machines drive sales

Douwe Egberts remains the outright leader despite the dynamism of Nestlé

Supermarkets/hypermarkets remains ahead but is not the most dynamic

The battle of pods remains from over

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Fragile signs of economic recovery and renewed inflation fuel market sales

Upgrading offsets ongoing structural decline in volume consumption

Ongoing drop in traffic to consumer foodservice hinders on-trade sales

Ongoing health and wellness and sustainability trends

The impact of new machines, concepts and juridical battles

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Belgium - Company Profiles

Café Liégeois SA - Hot Drinks - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Café Liégeois SA: Production Statistics 2008

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Delhaize 'Le Lion' SA - Hot Drinks - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Delhaize Group NV: Competitive Position 2010

Edel SA - Hot Drinks - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Edel SA: Production Statistics 2008

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Koffie F Rombouts NV - Hot Drinks - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Koffie F Rombouts NV: Production Statistics 2008

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Koffie F Rombouts NV: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of coffee were governed by a premiumisation movement in 2010. This was mainly evidenced by the “coffee-by-the-cup” trend that continued to see Belgian consumers move away from drip filter coffee towards single-serve coffee methods. Belgians also have access to personalised coffee at home by virtue of increasingly sophisticated and varied coffee pods and the launch of Nescafé Dolce Gusto at the end of 2009 that enabled a trickle down of the Nespresso technology in the grocery channel. The premium segment is expanding as quality becomes more important to consumers. More consumers are becoming interested in high-quality blends, single-origin coffee and exotic coffee beans. Lastly, Belgians are also further adopting espresso not only with Nespresso and Dolce Gusto but also espresso machines that proved popular in recent years.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly concentrated competitive environment, Douwe Egberts remained the outright leader with a value share of 40% in 2010. With such a strong presence in the sector, this company very much shapes and moulds the direction of the coffee sector. The continuing popularity of Senseo coffee machines and coffee pods was the main reason for the continued strong position of Douwe Egberts until 2008-2009. However, since then it has faced lower growth of Senseo and also the cannibalisation of its other brands for drip filter machines. To offset this, the Dutch player introduced Aromettes in September 2010. Packaged in a premium metal box, its aim is to reinvent coffee beans for drip filter machines making them more convenient than traditional coffee beans.

PROSPECTS

  • The main event in the short term should be the sudden entrance of Nespresso pods’ copycats. While such products already exist in France, the beginning of 2011 should witness the development of such me-too products in one or two chains also present in France such as Cora and Carrefour. The two challengers to Nespresso will be Sara Lee’s Douwe Egberts and perhaps Ethical Coffee Company (ECC). Paradoxically, the main victim of these copycats will not be Nespresso but Douwe Egberts’s Senseo pods according to some experts. Indeed, owing to more accessible pricing, the users of such machines could be tempted to trade up to the Nespresso or Nescafé Dolce Gusto technology first with Douwe Egberts pods and then with real Nespresso pods.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks enjoyed favourable conditions during the last couple of years of the review period. First, chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks benefited from the renewed consumption of milk in Belgium due to institutional communications and a growing awareness about the health benefits of having a more formal breakfast, for instance. Sales of other plant-based hot drinks, especially chicory, were fuelled by the ongoing recruitment of 45-50 year old demographics. This was not a massive uptake by this consumer group but this rejuvenation enabled the category to offset the decline of older consumers. The 45-50 year old demographic group is beginning to adopt chicory as these consumers want to reduce their caffeine intake.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in other hot drinks was still highly concentrated due to the hegemony of Nestlé and private label. With a 43% retail value share, the former remained the sector leader in Belgium in 2010. The company dominates in the largest category of chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks with its strong and well-known brand Nesquik, which maintained a retail value share of over 50% in 2010. It also led the way in other plant-based hot drinks with Bonjour (instant coffee + chicory) and Ricoré (instant chicory). In the former category, the entry of the two new hot chocolate pod products from Douwe Egberts and Friesland Drinks led to a slight fall in Nesquik’s value share. Nonetheless, both waned in 2010 which left the field clear for Nesquik and Nestlé Le Chocolat. In other plant-based hot drinks, Pacha continued to enjoy the success of Pacha Onctuo Cappuccino while Bonjour declined as Nestlé no longer supports it.

PROSPECTS

  • Introduced at the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009, the hot chocolate pod products by Douwe Egberts and Friesland Drinks were said to be the most important new products introduced into other hot drinks for many years. However, such products have already proven to be an unmitigated success in 2010, which could potentially dampen chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, the previous growth driver of the sector, throughout the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the ongoing success of the health and wellness trend and the waning volume consumption of coffee, interest in tea did not progress in 2009-2010. In fact, retail volume sales of tea lag far behind those of coffee due to the traditional coffee-drinking culture in Belgium. Furthermore, demanding “dual” consumers (ie those who appreciate both coffee and tea) were often more tempted by the avalanche of new concepts in espresso coffee than by new sophisticated tea variants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive environment, the absolute leader was Unilever in 2010 whose Lipton flagship brand achieved a 26% retail value share. The company’s success stemmed from the popularity of its Lipton teas, as well as the relaunch of its product range now available in the distinctive pyramid tea bag format. The continuous new product launches, such as the new Blue Fruits and Citrus in fruit/herbal teas at the end of 2009, also helped the brand to be seen as innovative. Such launches coincided with an advertising and promotional campaign called, “Rediscover tea”.

PROSPECTS

  • The official entrance of Special T from Nestlé in 2011 or 2012 could shake up the tea sector in Belgium. If it proves successful in France, the tea machine should be made available in Belgian stores and communication will be developed locally to support sales. This will result in a strong emergence of the bourgeoning niche of tea pods in Belgium. However, some local experts have doubts about the potential of such products due their high unit price. Indeed, EUR0.35 is much higher than the unit price of a premium tea bag black speciality. For others, it could incite some consumers who are already convinced by the convenience and the quality of Nespresso to trade up in tea.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Standard vs Pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail Volume
      • Retail Volume % growth
      • Retail Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Volume
      • Foodservice Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Volume per capita
      • Total Volume
      • Total Volume % growth
      • Total Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail RTD volume
      • Retail RTD volume % growth
      • Retail RTD volume per capita
      • Foodservice RTD volume
      • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
      • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
      • Total RTD volume
      • Total RTD volume % growth
      • Total RTD volume per capita
      • Retail Cups Volume
      • Retail Cups Volume % growth
      • Retail Cups Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Cups Volume
      • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
      • Total Cups Volume
      • Total Cups Volume % growth
      • Total Cups Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

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      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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