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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Bulgaria

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn continues to negatively affect hot drinks growth

Hot drinks players have responded to the difficult economic conditions in the same way as companies in other food segments, by increasing their competitiveness. Up to 2009, there was widespread trading up from economy hot beverages to standard and premium ones and from locally produced drinks to imported products. However, in 2010 and 2011 consumers were more price sensitive and the trading-up trend slowed down. This impacted marketing strategies at a company level as well as company revenues. Despite the trading-up phenomenon, which occurred up to 2009, many local consumers continue to prefer domestically produced economy beers and reasonably priced spirits and other hot drinks.

Multinationals increase sales share while entry of new companies is limited

The leading four hot drink players: Nestlé, Kraft Foods, Fort Koffiebranderij and Lavazza continue to fortify their positions in hot drinks as a result of production, sales and marketing investments. The fact that these players are all coffee companies stresses the importance of coffee within hot drinks in Bulgaria. Indeed, the leading tea company, Bioprogramma, ranked 10th within hot drinks in 2011 with a much lower value share.

Off-trade sales drive volume growth

Some 73% of all hot drinks were consumed at home in Bulgaria in 2011. Off-trade outlets are an important channel for sales of low and mid-priced products while products sold through the horeca channel are more expensive. The on-trade channel is important for sales of good quality coffee, tea and other hot drinks and imported products.

Volume and value growth expected to rise over forecast period

Hot drinks is expected to see faster volume growth over the forecast period as a result of the penetration already secured in earlier years. Both coffee and tea are expected to record faster growth while other hot drinks growth is set to fall. Positive growth will be fuelled by the efforts of leading players such as Nestlé, Kraft Foods and Tymbark Bulgaria to promote their respective Nesquik, Milka Choco Drink and La Festa brands.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Bulgaria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Bulgaria for free:

The Hot Drinks in Bulgaria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Bulgaria?
  • What are the major brands in Bulgaria?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Bulgaria?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Bulgaria?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Bulgaria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn continues to negatively affect hot drinks growth

Multinationals increase sales share while entry of new companies is limited

Off-trade sales drive volume growth

Volume and value growth expected to rise over forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic downturn still negatively affecting hot drinks growth

Producers to tailor product features according to changing demographics

Chained coffee shops support coffee sales

Small grocers lose ground to supermarkets/hypermarkets

Niche and upmarket products enter Bulgaria

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

National consumer expenditure

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Bulgaria - Company Profiles

Balkam AD in Hot Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Balkam AD: Competitive Position 2011

Bioprogramma OOD in Hot Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Bioprogramma OOD: Competitive Position 2011

Bioset OOD in Hot Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Bioset OOD: Competitive Position 2011

Mercury AD in Hot Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Mercury P&P AD: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee is highly popular in Bulgaria. However, the country’s total volume per capita consumption rate of 2.2kg is far from being the highest in Eastern Europe. Institutional sales also account for a large share of coffee consumption but are not tracked by Euromonitor international. In 2011, coffee growth was limited, with low consumer confidence in the economy resulting in limited spending on experimenting with new and more expensive coffee types. However, a small fraction of higher income consumers were interested in fresh ground coffee pods in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé led coffee value sales in 2011 and continues to increase its sales share as a result of its success in both the mid and high priced segments and due to product innovation. Nescafé 3-in-1 was the fastest-growing product in 2011 due to the combination of product quality and substantial above and below the line support. Additional volume and price promotions are also being used in supermarkets/hypermarkets on a regular basis to stimulate volume sales. Nestlé’s Dolce Gusto brand was very successful in fresh ground coffee pods and increased its sales share by five percentage points in 2011. Consumers are willing to buy Nescafé Coffee pods due to their well-known name and proven quality.

PROSPECTS

  • Bulgarians will continue drinking large amounts of coffee at home, at work or when going out. Volume growth rates are promising as consumers are expected to be interested in trying new brands and varieties of coffees. The popularity of fresh ground coffee pods will increase as word of the good taste and convenience of such products spreads. Instant coffee also has a healthy projected forecast period retail volume CAGR of 4%, with instant decaffeinated coffee set to perform particularly well. The fact that many people want to enjoy drinking coffee in the evening without having to worry about caffeine causing insomnia will boost decaffeinated coffee sales over the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks sales in Bulgaria have stagnated for a couple of years. The area is dominated by chocolate based flavoured powder drinks, with sales in other areas being insignificant. As in other years, children were the main consumers of other hot drinks in Bulgaria in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods continued to lead other hot drinks in 2011, recording a retail value share of 16%. The company’s success can be attributed to its holistic approach towards children’s health and marketing. Although the Milka chocolate drink is not supported by an impressive marketing campaign such as that for Nesquik, it benefits indirectly from the popularity of the Milka confectionery range.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks retail volume sales will increase slowly over the forecast period. Increasing on-trade availability might create greater interest in other hot drinks amongst adults over the coming years. In addition, the fact that other hot drinks will increasingly be advertised as healthier alternatives to coffee might also attract some consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Unlike in most other markets, in Bulgaria tea sales are dominated by fruit/herbal tea as opposed to black tea. There is no traditional culture of consumption of black tea in the country despite the Turkish legacy. Fruit/herbal tea accounted for 88% of tea retail volume sales in 2011 and healthy growth in this area drove overall tea sales during the year. Local companies dominate the area and offer single or mixed herb teas. Typically, Bulgarian tea companies offer chamomile, mint and mixed herb teas that are consumed as refreshments or to fight minor health conditions such as colds (thyme tea), stomach upsets (mint tea) or insomnia (chamomile tea). Standard and flavoured black tea is usually consumed in the winter with some type of alcoholic drink such as rum.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There were no surprises regarding company rankings in 2011 with the two largest companies, Bioprogramma and United Traders, continuing to lead sales with respective retail value shares of 15% and 12%. The lines of international companies Twining & Co, Douwe Egberts Van Nelle Diensten and Teekanne enjoy a high level of popularity. Bioprogramma leads sales due to its strong distribution, wide portfolio and high consumer recognition. United Traders, with its most famous slimming tea brand Regulavit, has ranked second within the area since 2008.

PROSPECTS

  • Changing lifestyle trends will result in a shift in consumer preferences in the future. Demand for dominant herbal/traditional teas will decline while other types of teas such as slimming teas, other teas and green teas will gain sales share. The area is expected to become increasingly segmented and local companies will compete on the basis of their core strength, fruit/herbal teas, while multinational players will benefit most from their ability to offer innovative products and flavour combinations that are not used by local companies. New product development is likely to focus on the launch of modern products such as white tea, teas from different origins and the addition of healthy or energising ingredients. Multinational companies are expected to fortify their positions in black, green and other teas over the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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