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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Canada

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Shifting demographic trends drive demand for hot drinks

Canada’s ageing population, rising immigration and growing acceptance of coffee and tea among younger consumers are driving demand for hot drinks. The increase in immigration has allowed for greater exposure to beverages from other countries, especially tea, which Canadian retailers have capitalised on by introducing a wide range of blends that cater for the tastes of new Canadians as well as tea lovers. Meanwhile, a surge of speciality coffee in grocery aisles as well as foodservice, such as Tim Hortons and McDonald’s McCafé, has created a greater level of appreciation for coffee among younger Canadian consumers. Lastly, Canada’s rapidly ageing population has meant greater preference for at-home consumption, raising demand for fresh ground coffee as well as coffee pods.

Coffee pod sales surge as demand for single-cup brewing systems rises

Rising demand for convenience and increasingly sophisticated palates among coffee drinkers are fuelling demand for fresh ground coffee pods across the country. The new single-serve brewing systems, such as Kraft’s Tassimo and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters’ (GMCR) Keurig, continue to capture Canadians’ attention, taking a sizeable bite of grocery expenditure. The new technology has transformed the way Canadians drink coffee, with Kraft and GMCR boasting their ability to offer Canadians their favourite coffee brands at the highest quality possible.

Private label registers slower growth than major brands

Despite a slower than expected economic recovery, when it comes to hot drinks there appears to be a select group of Canadian consumers willing to dig deeper into their wallets for high-quality products. Coffee, in particular, has been the one category in which consumers are not willing to trade down despite soaring coffee prices in recent months. While ongoing innovation in terms of format, such as single-cup brewing technology, and flavour continue to drive overall consumer demand, increasing industry support of sustainable coffee manufacturing has also appealed to Canada’s growing number of knowledgeable consumers, encouraging them to reach deeper into their pockets for organic and fairtrade coffee that is often sold at a higher price point. This has effectively slowed down the pace of growth in private label hot drinks.

New players in foodservice but chained cafés remain in the lead

In the wake of the growing ‘geek chic’ culture across a country crowded with consumers with highly sophisticated tastes and good knowledge of coffee, an increasing number of independently-owned cafés have emerged in the foodservice arena, differentiating themselves from the major chained coffee shops through extensive training of baristas, careful selection of coffee beans and sophisticated bean roasting processes. This has drawn the attention of many consumers, particularly young professionals in urban cities whose thirst for great-tasting, high-quality coffee is endless. However, as Canadians remain sceptical about their financial situations, overall traffic in such establishments has suffered a decline. Furthermore, the dominance of chained coffee shops and fast food coffee options such as McDonald’s McCafé and iconic Tim Hortons has made it difficult for independent cafés to attract consumers during times of uncertainty.

Growth projected to be fuelled by innovation

Over the forecast period product innovation will likely continue to drive growth in hot drinks. While coffee and tea will continue to see dynamic growth in product development, experts also anticipate more promotional activities in other hot drinks as manufacturers increasingly shift their focus towards flavour diversification. Following the success of Nestlé Canada’s Rolo hot chocolate in 2010, it is highly anticipated that producers will keep pace with constant innovation in the Canadian confectionery industry in search of new flavours that will attract consumer attention.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Hot Drinks in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Canada?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Canada?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Shifting demographic trends drive demand for hot drinks

Coffee pod sales surge as demand for single-cup brewing systems rises

Private label registers slower growth than major brands

New players in foodservice but chained cafés remain in the lead

Growth projected to be fuelled by innovation

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Ageing population, rising immigration and growing acceptance among younger consumers fuel demand for hot drinks

Coffee pod sales continue to soar as demand for single-cup brewing systems surges across Canada

Consumers willing to spend extra on high-quality coffee despite financial uncertainty

“Geek chic” trend ensures that “indie café culture” is on the rise

Recent innovation in other hot drinks fuels category growth which remains slower due to weak nutritional value

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Apparent Consumption of Hot Drinks by Category 2006-2011

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Canada - Company Profiles

GMCR Canada Holding Inc in Hot Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 GMCR Canada Holding Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Kicking Horse Coffee Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Kicking Horse Coffee Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Mother Parkers Tea & Coffee Inc in Hot Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Mother Parkers Tea & Coffee Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Tim Horton's Inc in Hot Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Tim Horton’s Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee sales rose by 14% in current value terms in 2011 to reach C$1.3 billion, while retail volume sales rose by 5% to 70,864 tonnes. Rising at-home consumption, driven by changing lifestyles as well as the soaring cost of coffee beans worldwide, bolstered retail sales of coffee in Canada. As Canadians continue to closely watch their expenses in light of economic uncertainty and rising food costs, more consumers have opted to brew and drink coffee at home. Furthermore, as consumers develop a greater appreciation of coffee, demand for premium products, such as speciality and single-serve coffee pods which can be consumed at home, increased significantly during 2011. The strong trend towards at-home dining also had a positive impact on sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Canada Inc continued to lead coffee in Canada in 2011 with a 24% retail value share. The company is a leading manufacturer of standard fresh ground coffee which includes popular household brands such as Maxwell House and Nabob, together accounting for a 26% share of retail value sales of standard fresh ground coffee in 2011. Kraft ranked second in instant coffee in 2011, behind Nestlé Canada Inc, with a 31% retail value share.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period coffee is expected to record a constant value CAGR of 5% and a volume CAGR of 3% to reach sales worth C$1.6 billion by 2016. Industry experts anticipate that overall growth will slow over the next five years as economic uncertainty, shaped by growing concerns over household debt, rising food and fuel costs and the possibility of another recession triggered by Europe’s debt crisis, continues to influence consumers’ purchasing decisions. According to the latest report from the Conference Board of Canada, consumer confidence dropped to its lowest level in two and a half years in October 2011, reflecting Canadians’ falling optimism about the state of the economy as well as their finances. Nonetheless, retail sales of coffee are expected to record healthy, stable growth over the forecast period as at-home consumption and product innovation, driven by an increasing number of coffee aficionados, continue to drive sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks recorded a 5% increase in current value terms and a 1% increase in volume terms in 2011, with sales amounting to C$93 million. While increasing efforts to reduce consumption of high-sugar/calorie beverages have slowed down the pace of overall growth in this category, consumers’ desire to indulge and treat themselves after a long day at work or school has been a contributory factor to its sustained growth. Growth was also driven by a number of new product launches that cater for growing demand for new varieties.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Canada Inc continued to dominate other hot drinks in 2011, accounting for a 72% share of retail value sales. The company remains the leading manufacturer of chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks thanks to its flagship brands Nesquik and Carnation, which together accounted for 71% of retail value sales in 2011. Nestlé’s Carnation brand saw a marginal increase in its share to 25.1% in 2011, helped also by product innovation, including the recent launch of Carnation Hot Chocolate Confectionery Variety Pack, which comes in three of its leading chocolate flavours – Rolo, Coffee Crisp and After Eight. Meanwhile, Nesquik’s share continued to fall, from 48% in 2010 to 46% in 2011. Both brands faced an increased challenge from smaller brands, especially those that came out in pods, taking some sales away from more established product varieties and brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period other hot drinks is expected to register a constant value CAGR of 4% to an estimated C$112 million in 2016. Product innovation, particularly in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, will likely continue to drive category growth. However, overall growth in retail sales will continue to be threatened by the declining consumption of high-sugar/calorie beverages across all age groups, including children. As Canadian parents take stricter control of their children’s food and beverage consumption, industry sources anticipate that demand for beverages that are high in sugar and low in nutrients will see a significant decline over the next five years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, tea recorded retail current value growth of 4% and volume growth of 1% as sales rose to C$547 million. Increasing awareness of the health benefits of tea as well as growing exposure to a broader variety of tea, driven largely by immigration, helped boost overall retail sales. Traditionally known as tea lovers, Canadian consumers have never been afraid to embrace various types of tea, especially if they offer additional health benefits. Although for a while green tea instantly captured Canadians’ attention thanks to its strong health attributes, including antioxidant and anti-cancer properties, scientists, health practitioners and consumers have begun to explore other types of tea which offer additional health benefits, including chai, which lowers blood pressure and aids digestion. Industry experts point to rising immigration as a leading factor in raising awareness of such speciality tea drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tetley Canada Inc continued to lead tea in 2011 with a 24% retail value share thanks to its flagship Tetley brand. Tetley tea remains a popular choice among tea drinkers in Canada and is available in a wide range of blends, such as black, green and herbal. In 2011, Tetley saw the highest penetration in black speciality tea with a 44% share, followed by green tea (31%) and black standard tea (20%). The popular household brand, however, also increased its share in fruit/herbal tea to 18%, up from 17% in 2010. The launch of Tetley’s Colour Therapy line of teas in autumn 2010 was considered a great success by industry experts as it not only offered innovative packaging and flavours, but more importantly was able to connect with consumers on an emotional and psychological level. The new Tetley Colour Therapy line seeks to match consumers’ moods and feelings with 10 different colours and teas, such as Wildberry Delight and Ginger Mint Smooth, offering new ways to enjoy the hot drink.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period tea is expected to achieve a constant value CAGR of 3% and a volume CAGR of 1%, with sales reaching estimated C$631 million in 2016. Changing demographics, such as an ageing population and rising level of immigration, are expected to drive overall tea consumption in Canadian households. According to Statistics Canada’s latest population projections, seniors are projected to account for nearly a quarter of the total population by 2036, nearly double the 13.9% recorded in 2009. Given that older consumers tend to consume more tea than younger generations, industry experts anticipate that Canada’s changing population will create greater opportunities for growth in the tea industry. In addition, immigrants are expected to account for a larger share of projected population growth at national level, reaching around 333,600 immigrants a year by 2036, compared with 252,500 in 2010. This trend will likely continue to raise Canadians’ exposure to various ethnic foods and beverages, including hot tea.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 58 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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