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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Denmark

Mar 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Denmark with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Denmark, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Denmark for free:

The Hot Drinks in Denmark market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Denmark?
  • What are the major brands in Denmark?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Denmark?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Denmark?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail volume sales decline

2010 witnessed a continuation of the trend firmly established over the review period, namely, an ongoing decline in retail volume sales. However, the magnitude of the decline seen in 2010 was smaller than that recorded in previous years of the review period. Both coffee and tea witnessed a retail volume sales decline of 1% in 2010.

Consumers grow increasingly demanding

Segmentation is a key driver of hot drink sales, with players seeking to appeal to the increasingly demanding and diverse needs of the modern Danish consumer. Consumer demand for convenience, high quality, and sustainable/ethical and organic hot drinks played a role in shaping product innovation and performance in hot drinks in 2010. Products that were previously defined as niche, such as organic hot drinks, are increasingly appealing to a wider audience. Consumer demand for advanced product offerings served to reduce the impact which the harsh economic climate had on retail value sales growth in 2010.

Increasing concentration

Hot drinks in Denmark is very much characterised by a defined and concentrated number of players. This is in part due to active grocery retailer strategies to limit the number of brands that they carry. Coffee and tea continued to be dominated by four and three players, respectively, while other hot drinks was largely dominated by a single player. With the exception of BKI Kaffe, all of the leading players in hot drinks in Denmark in 2010 were multinationals or owned by multinationals. This in turn saw leading international brands, such as Nescafé and Lipton, enjoy strong positions. While private label has a role to play, its potential is limited by ongoing consumer demand for their favourite brands, owing to strong brand loyalty.

Discounters

While supermarkets/hypermarkets continued to account for a leading share of hot drinks retail volume sales in 2010, the channel saw an ongoing loss of sales share to discounters over the review period. As coffee and tea are consumed on a daily basis in Denmark, consumers consistently seek good value when shopping for these products. Discounters provide a convenient venue to find private label and marked-down branded products, for hot drinks as well as other food and beverages. Discounters became an increasingly popular retail channel in Denmark over the review period, which was reflected in its growing share of hot drinks value sales. As the Danish economy tackled the far ranging impact of the global economic downturn, discounters emerged as an increasingly attractive channel for hot drinks sales expansion.

Return to positive retail volume sales growth projected

Hot drinks volume sales are expected to return to seeing positive growth over the forecast period. Consumer health and wellness concerns, allied to growing demand for convenience, are expected to continue to shape performance over the forecast period. However, a prolonged deterioration of the economic climate represents a strong threat to coffee’s forecast performance. If the economy weakens further over the coming years, Danish consumers are likely to reduce their consumption of premium products and migrate to standard, economy and private label alternatives.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Denmark - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail volume sales decline

Consumers grow increasingly demanding

Increasing concentration

Discounters

Return to positive retail volume sales growth projected

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Hot drinks turn to sustainable sourcing

The impact of declining average household size

The growing importance of discounters

Changing consumption patterns

Economic woes shape sales performance

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Imports of Hot Drinks by Sector 2001-2009

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Denmark - Company Profiles

BKI Kaffe A/S - Hot Drinks - Denmark

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 BKI Kaffe A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Haugen-Gruppen Denmark AS - Hot Drinks - Denmark

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Haugen-Gruppen A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Peter Larsen Kaffe A/S - Hot Drinks - Denmark

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Peter Larsen Kaffe A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Urtekram A/S - Hot Drinks - Denmark

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Urtekram A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the harsh economic climate, consumers remained willing to pay a premium for coffee in 2010. Coffee is viewed as an affordable everyday luxury in Denmark and this perception encouraged the growth of on-trade sales in particular in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Merrild Kaffe continued as the leading player in coffee in Denmark, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 28% in 2010. Merrild Kaffee has a strong and established position in coffee in Denmark, due to enjoying an extensive distribution network and considerable consumer brand loyalty. Other leading players in 2010 included Kraft Foods and BKI Kaffe, both of which accounted for retail value sales shares of 22%.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee retail value sales are expected to see a CAGR of less than 1% over the forecast period, compared to the negative CAGR of 3% seen over the review period. Improved performance is expected to be driven by the recovery of the Danish economy, coupled with increasing consumer demand for premium priced coffees.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2004-2009
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumer demand for quality and convenience were the key performance drivers in 2010. Both BKI Kaffe and Nestlé launched premium products in 2009, in an attempt to appeal to consumer demands for quality. Nestlé also reported that its single-portion products saw strong retail volume sales growth over the later years of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé with its brand, Nesquik, remained the leading player in other hot drinks in Denmark, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 61% in 2010. Nestlé has a strong and established position in other hot drinks in Denmark, due to its extensive distribution network and strong consumer loyalty to its brands. A major factor behind the success of the Nesquik brand is the rabbit mascot, Quicky, who has became synonymous with the brand and forms an integral part of its marketing.

PROSPECTS

  • Similar to the review period, the health and wellness trend is expected to continue to shape and drive performance over the forecast period. The health and wellness trend is expected to have a negative impact on performance, due to the prevailing consumer perception that other hot drinks are unhealthy. As consumers become increasingly health-conscious, the consumption of products that are perceived as unhealthy, such as chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, is expected to decrease. In order to maintain profit margins, players will need to seek and develop niche segments, such as premium products, that offer growth opportunities.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Health and wellness remained a key driver of performance in tea in Denmark in 2010. This is apparent from the relatively strong growth seen by fruit/herbal tea compared to black tea.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Merrild Kaffe remained the leading player in tea in Denmark in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 29%. Merrild Kaffe has a strong and established position in tea in Denmark, due to its extensive distribution network and high levels of consumer loyalty that its brands enjoy. Its Pickwick brand is carried by all major grocery retailer groups in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • Health and wellness concerns will remain a key driver of performance over the forecast period. As suggested by the level of enthusiasm shown for green tea over the review period, Danish consumers are very much keen on health and wellness positioned teas. With green tea beginning to reach maturity, players will need to seek and develop other tea categories to continue to benefit from the health and wellness trend. White tea represents the most likely candidate to drive the sales of health and wellness tea, as, at the end of the review period, it remained relatively underdeveloped in Denmark. However, the onus will be on producers to communicate to consumers the health properties which white tea possesses.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-20104
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Off-trade vs on-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient
      • Standard vs pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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