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Country Report

Hot Drinks in France

Feb 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in France with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in France, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in France for free:

The Hot Drinks in France market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in France?
  • What are the major brands in France?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in France?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in France?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fragile recovery of hot drinks’ value sales

After a rather bad year due to the recession and the sudden end of inflation, sales of hot drinks recovered but still recorded under-average value growth in 2010. This improvement notably stemmed from the recovery of unit prices after a new surge in raw material costs. In addition, despite the weak recovery of the local economy, French consumers were still ready to pay a premium for the most sophisticated and convenient hot drinks, more particularly in green tea and in espresso, which contributed to the better fate of the overall market in 2010. Nonetheless, in terms of volume sales, hot drinks continued to wane slightly due to the erosion of its share of throat (competition from soft drinks) and the “coffee by the cup” trend.

“Coffee by the cup” and espresso pods drive the market

More than ever, sales of and shares in hot drinks were driven by the launch of increasingly sophisticated machines and their pods. Even though filter coffee machines remained the most common coffee machine in France, French consumers are especially enthusiastic towards pods machines. This was particularly true in the espresso category where coffee pods machines also symbolise trendy lifestyles. This way of consuming hot drinks saw growing fortune on the back of the explosion of espresso machines, including Nespresso, Nescafé Dolce Gusto but also newcomers such as the Special T machines in tea or Nespresso’s copycats in pods in 2010.

Nestlé and Kraft Foods remain co-leaders in hot drinks

In a rather concentrated competitive environment dominated by multinationals, Nestlé France and Kraft Foods France represented a large proportion of total value sales of the overall hot drinks market. Nestlé captured the market leadership during the last couple of years by virtue of Nespresso and Nescafé Dolce Gusto. Lagging far behind, Douwe Egberts ranked in third position in 2010. While its Senseo brand, which still leads in pods, began to reach maturity in 2009-2010 due to the competition from private label, its L’Or Espresso pods (that can be used in Nespresso machines) came at the right moment to counter-balance the hegemony of Nespresso in espresso pods in 2010.

Lack of space in grocery retailers

Supermarkets/hypermarkets remained the main distribution channel for hot drinks in 2010 in France. Due to the expansion of the hot drinks assortment, especially in coffee, with the numerous innovations and the development of coffee pods, grocery retailers struggled to provide space on their shelves for all branded products and private label. As pods achieved increasing success, retailers tended to provide more room for pods than for standard products. As a result, hot drinks manufacturers will need to provide low prices and various promotions in order to keep their place on grocery stores shelves.

Ongoing upgrading expected, particularly in coffee

In 2010, some experts feared hot drinks could be driven by a downgrading movement due the explosion of private label and low-cost brands in all sectors, more particularly in coffee pods. However, the new surge of prices of coffee, tea and cocoa and the recent entrance of copycat alternatives to Nespresso pods totally reshaped the market. Although ECC and Douwe Egberts espresso pods are cheaper than Nespresso, it could paradoxically further popularise the espresso system of high pressure machines while a similar concept is just emerging in tea via Special T by Nestlé. However, all these new sophisticated pods should further cannibalise standard ground coffee while basic tea is also likely to continue waning. This could result in a slight progression of overall market sales in the forecast period, in line with the performance of hot drinks over the previous five years.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in France - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Fragile recovery of hot drinks’ value sales

“Coffee by the cup” and espresso pods drive the market

Nestlé and Kraft Foods remain co-leaders in hot drinks

Lack of space in grocery retailers

Ongoing upgrading expected, particularly in coffee

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Hot drinks better fuelled by recovery of inflation than by the economy

French consume fewer but more sophisticated hot drinks

Despite the downturn, health and wellness and sustainability still matter

On-trade sales impacted by the drop of traffic in consumer foodservice

New concepts and juridical battles to drive the competitive environment

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Hot Drinks by Category 2003-2008

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in France - Company Profiles

Cie Méditerranéenne des Cafés Malongo - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Cie Méditerranéenne des Cafés Malongo: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Cie Méditerranéenne des Cafés Malongo: Competitive Position 2010

Douwe Egberts France SA - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Douwe Egberts France SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Douwe Egberts France SA: Competitive Position 2010

Kraft Foods France SA - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 Kraft Foods France SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Kraft Foods France SA: Competitive Position 2010

Leroux SAS - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 16 Leroux SAS: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Leroux SAS: Competitive Position 2010

Lobodis SAS - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 20 Lobodis SAS: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Nestlé France SA - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 23 Nestlé France SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 24 Nestlé France SA: Competitive Position 2010

Pagès SAS - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 27 Pagès SAS: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 28 Pagès SAS: Competitive Position 2010

Unilever France SA - Hot Drinks - France

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 31 Unilever France SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 32 Unilever France SA: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in France - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main event in coffee was obviously the strategic and juridical battle that started in France with the introduction of the two copycats of Nestlé’s Nespresso, namely L’Or Espresso and the coffee pods from Ethical Coffee Company (ECC) distributed by Casino supermarkets and hypermarkets. For the first time, the strategic monopoly of Nespresso on the strategic segment of high pressure pods for espresso was being threatened by other players. The features that could lead to the erosion of Nestlé’s position are not only the lower prices of such me-too offerings, but also the fact that they are biodegradable. Even so, some sources deem this new competition to be good news for coffee pods and even for Nestlé’s Nespresso and Nescafé Dolce Gusto machines.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive environment, Kraft Foods continued to lead the sector both in value and volume terms. This stemmed from its strong presence through its brands Jacques Vabre, Carte Noire, and Grand’Mère - three brands present in both ground coffee and pods – as well as with Tassimo and its specific pods, and Maxwell in instant coffee. Thanks to the growing success of its various pods ranges, the company recorded an increase in its volume share during the bulk of the review period but made less progress than its main contender Nestlé France towards the end of the review period.

PROSPECTS

  • More than ever, sales of coffee should be governed by the launch of new concepts of coffee pods and machines. According to local experts, the battle of pods is far from over and in fact is just beginning with the trial between Nestlé, Douwe Egberts and ECC. Paradoxically, the main victim of these copycats may not be Nespresso but Tassimo or Douwe Egberts’s Senseo pods. Indeed, owing to more accessible prices, the users of such machines could be tempted to trade up to the Nespresso or Nescafé Dolce Gusto technology first with L’Or Espresso or Casino pods and then switch to real Nespresso pods.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in France - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The key story for 2010 was the inversion of trends for chocolate-based powder and plant-based hot drinks with the former ceasing to increase and the latter witnessing a halt to recent declines. Within the decline of chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, which represents the main product category within other hot drinks, there is a gap between Nestlé and its Nesquik brand that managed to sustain positive growth in early 2010, and other companies and that generally tended to wane.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé continued to lead the sector with a value share of 45% a position that remained stable in 2010 thanks to its above average marketing activity in a category that is much less sustained than coffee, for instance. These activities included: TV advertisements, in-store promotions, a presence on the Tour de France, as well as ongoing research in new design and packaging. The company also benefited from its strategy of brand extension in order to target different consumer profiles.

PROSPECTS

  • Competition will remain intense between national brands and private label for economy products but leaders will continue to target adults through wellness, originality and tasty recipes with products approaching premium level. The wellness and the pleasure trends could both impact other hot drinks sales over the forecast period. In this context, recent brand updates, such as Pure Chicorée by Leroux and Chico Mix by Ricoré, are very much in trend.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in France - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The key 2010 trend was the success of green tea at the expense of black tea with sales increasing by 9%, which is higher than previous years. Black tea, on the other hand, decreased by 2% in current value terms in 2010, with all types of black tea declining. Tea players put considerable effort into offering wellness products in 2010. Products such as green tea and herbal tea are highly appreciated by consumers for their antioxidants and other healthy qualities. As a result, manufacturers introduced recipes based on these healthy plants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With a 37% value share, Unilever continued to lead the category in 2010 owing to its brands Lipton present in all tea product categories, ranging from black tea to herbal tea, and Elephant. The company has engaged in considerable promotional efforts, with volumes sold via promotional flyers doubling to reach 13% of 100 bag packs. It heavily and successfully promoted its Pyramid range in black tea in 2010 just as it did for its Elephant brand in herbal tea. Promotions and innovations were essential for Unilever and enabled the company to keep its share intact in 2009 and limit its slight decline in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • The success of green tea and fruit/herbal tea is likely to be an indicator of the trend for 2011. The health and wellness trend is expected to become even more important in the tea sector over the forecast period. Manufacturers are likely to introduce various wellness programmes based on tea and herbal tea qualities in grocery stores. Furthermore, an increasing number of teas may become dietary supplements in order to improve wellbeing or to help in weight loss, therefore blurring the barriers between standard tea and medicinal tea.
  • Table 52 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Arabica Coffee Beans
          • Robusta Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Arabica Ground Coffee
          • Decaffeinated Arabica Ground Coffee
          • Decaffeinated Robusta and mix
          • Robusta and mix
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Sizes
  • Company Shares
  • Brand Shares
  • Distribution
  • Foodservice Distribution
  • In-1s Instant Coffee
  • Off-trade vs On-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Standard vs Pods

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail RTD volume
  • Retail RTD volume % growth
  • Retail RTD volume per capita
  • Foodservice RTD volume
  • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
  • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
  • Total RTD volume
  • Total RTD volume % growth
  • Total RTD volume per capita
  • Retail Cups Volume
  • Retail Cups Volume % growth
  • Retail Cups Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Cups Volume
  • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
  • Total Cups Volume
  • Total Cups Volume % growth
  • Total Cups Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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