You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesHot Drinks
print my pages

Country Report

Hot Drinks in Germany

May 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
Report format: PDF doc_pdf.png (download a sample)
Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Germany with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Germany, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Germany for free:

The Hot Drinks in Germany market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Germany?
  • What are the major brands in Germany?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Germany?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Germany?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks registers healthy growth in 2010

Hot drinks registered a good performance in 2010 despite the economic uncertainty. The launch of a number of stylish coffee machines, which allow households to enjoy restaurant quality coffee at home, continued to boost sales of espresso products. Tea had a good year in 2010 after a decline in retail volume and value sales in 2009. Fruit/herbal tea enjoyed good sales growth in 2010 as many young people are showing an increasing interest in this healthy hot drink option.

Single-portion hot drinks go mainstream in Germany

The growing consumer acceptance of pod systems over traditional fresh coffee continued in 2010. Germany is one of the world's most dynamic markets in terms of the household penetration of coffee pods. The revolutionary single-portion system for all hot drinks has accelerated the pace of growth in Germany and as a result, coffee pods are the fastest growing sector in hot drinks. The competition has intensified and new designs and brands of coffee machines for coffee pods have been launched on the market. The leading player in this category, Lavazza Deutschland, introduced a trendy-looking single-portion coffee system, and coffee pods, under the new A Modo Mio brand.

Foodservice benefits from the popularity of chained cafés

In coffee, chained specialist coffee shops recorded faster volume sales growth than other foodservice types. McCafé was instrumental in this result. This brand’s “shop in shop” concept is well received by German consumers, impacting sales of Kraft Foods Deutschland’s coffee brands. Low-cost, well situated and trendy looking McCafé outlets became the very popular meeting places for Germans.

Amazon enters hot drinks

In 2010, Amazon started to sell food and drink online in Germany. Internet retailing holds a very small share of retail sales of beverages, which is quite surprising, given that Germany has a well-developed internet channel, ranked fourth globally and second in Western Europe in terms of total online sales. Operating within food and drinks could prove to be a huge challenge for Amazon. The share of internet retailing in hot drinks increased marginally in Germany in 2010. However, market experts are sceptical about potential significant increases in online sales of hot drinks.

Premium products and innovation to drive sales growth

Total volume sales of hot drinks are expected to continue to grow in Germany over the forecast period. Innovation driven coffee products are set to enjoy good growth in retail value sales terms. Tea, which is impacted by lifestyle and health and wellness trends, is also expected to register a positive sales performance. Organic and premium tea and coffee products are forecast to gain importance; as a result off-trade value growth will outpace off-trade volume growth in hot drinks over the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Germany - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks registers healthy growth in 2010

Single-portion hot drinks go mainstream in Germany

Foodservice benefits from the popularity of chained cafés

Amazon enters hot drinks

Premium products and innovation to drive sales growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic recovery will be slower than expected

Sales of hot drinks suffer from price spike

Tea becomes a lifestyle drink in Germany

Demand for Italian speciality coffee benefits espresso sales

McCafé revitalises foodservice coffee sales

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

  • Table 26 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Hot Drinks by Sector 2005-2010

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Germany - Company Profiles

Alois Dallmayr oHG in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Alois Dallmayr oHG: Competitive Position 2010

Bünting Teehandelshaus GmbH & Co, J in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 J Bünting Teehandelshaus GmbH & Co: Competitive Position 2010

Kraft Foods Deutschland GmbH in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Kraft Foods Deutschland GmbH: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Kraft Foods Deutschland GmbH: Competitive Position 2010

Krüger GmbH & Co KG in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Krüger GmbH & Co KG: Competitive Position 2010

Melitta Kaffee GmbH in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 16 Melitta Kaffee GmbH: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Melitta Kaffee GmbH: Competitive Position 2010

Nestlé Deutschland AG in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 20 Nestlé Deutschland AG: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 21 Nestlé Deutschland AG: Competitive Position 2010

Ostfriesische Tee Gesellschaft in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 24 Ostfriesische Tee Gesellschaft: Competitive Position 2010

Tchibo Frisch-Röst-Kaffee GmbH in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 27 Tchibo Frisch-Röst-Kaffee GmbH: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 28 Tchibo Frisch-Röst-Kaffee GmbH: Competitive Position 2010

Teekanne GmbH in Hot Drinks (Germany)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 31 Teekanne GmbH: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 32 Teekanne GmbH: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Germany is a coffee drinking nation. In 2010, per capita consumption of coffee increased to 150 litres in total volume terms. By comparison, per capita consumption of tea in Germany reached 84 litres. According to the German Federal Statistics (Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschlands), people in Saarland consume the highest volumes of coffee (four cups per day), followed closely by Schleswig-Holstein and Nordrhein Westfalen. However, a coffee cup in Germany is relatively small: 100ml on average.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods is the leading (non-private label) player in coffee in Germany, accounting for a 17% share of off-trade value sales and a 15% share of off-trade volume sales in 2010. The company’s Jacobs brand leads with a 12% share of retail value sales. As a result of intense competition and the penetration of new products, Kraft Foods is slowly losing shares. The saturation in fresh ground coffee has also harmed Kraft Foods.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to register see good total volume sales growth over the forecast period. According to the German Coffee Association, and other sources, coffee is a healthy drink. They claim that coffee stimulates mental activity and positively aids sports activities, such as fitness, but also prevents diabetes and Alzheimer ’s disease and protects the liver. Such publicity usually has a significant influence on consumer behaviour and it may impact growth in volume and value sales of coffee. Organisation of the Coffee Day (which celebrated its 5-year anniversary in 2010) is also intended to stimulate coffee consumption in Germany.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • “Other” hot drinks accounted for only a 10% share of total volume sales of hot drinks in Germany in 2010. These drinks are popular among children and adults, although adults are increasingly switching to the growing variety of chocolate-flavoured instant coffee drinks and Italian speciality mild coffee .

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • “Other” hot drinks in Germany is controlled by two giants: Nestlé and Kraft Foods. Nestlé leads with a 32% share of off-trade value sales in 2010. The company has a number of brands, led by Nesquik and Caro. The newly introduced Dolce Gusto Chococino has yet to obtain a significant share of sales, but this product can be expected to benefit from the popularity of single-portion coffee machines and the ease-of-use of chocolate capsules.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of “other” hot drinks are projected to grow by a 1% off-trade value CAGR and a 2% total volume CAGR to reach €238 million and 62,000 tonnes in 2015. However, “other” hot drinks will continue to suffer from low demand, caused mainly by the popularity of Italian coffee. Moreover, a lack of innovation negatively impacts the sales performance of this hot drinks category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Germany - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea performed positively in 2010, recovering from a decline in sales in 2009 due to the economic downturn, when a number of consumers decided to cut down on their tea consumption. In 2010, tea consumption escalated in Germany. According to the German Tea Association, tea became the favourite hot drink of many Germans, with tea imports reaching 44,000 tonnes in 2009.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tea in Germany is led by two domestic companies: Teekanne and Ostfriesische Tee Gesellschaft. The presence of international brands in Germany is weak.

PROSPECTS

  • Whilst coffee is the most popular type of hot drink in Germany, the consumption of tea is projected to grow in both the on- and off-trade channels over the forecast period. The health and wellness trend and the increasing popularity of tea shops in Germany will boost sales. Moreover, tea marketing campaigns such as “tea-up your office” on the “tea-up your life” internet site, launched by the German Tea Association, will continue to promote tea products and stimulate consumption in the country.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-Trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Other Tea by Type: % Off-Trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Decaffeinated Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Espresso Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Mild Roast Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Strong Roast Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Other Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Decaffeinated Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Espresso Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Mild Roast Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Strong Roast Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Other Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Foodservice distribution
  • In-1s instant coffee
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?