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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Indonesia

Feb 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Indonesia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Indonesia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Indonesia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Indonesia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Indonesia?
  • What are the major brands in Indonesia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Indonesia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Indonesia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Positive economic outlook and evolving lifestyle trends boosts hot drinks

After many of the effects of the global economic downturn began to dissipate, improved levels of disposable income boosted the performance of hot drinks in 2010. The positive economic outlook also spurred on thriving businesses and boosted coffee consumption among the workforce. An advertising war between leading coffee manufacturers was welcomed as Indonesian consumers are easily influenced by advertising. Increasing urbanisation and health awareness also boosted the performance of other plant-based hot drinks which are perceived as meal substitutes. Consumption of other hot drinks also improved due to more widespread availability of economy brands able to tap into previously untouched middle and lower income consumer segments.

Market shaped by advertising war and coffee trend created by urbanisation

Manufacturers of coffee invested heavily in marketing activities within a highly competitive environment to stimulate consumer interest in 2010. An advertising war between leading coffee players as well as the investment of Unilever in boosting consumption of tea boosted the overall performance of hot drinks in 2010. The growing café culture as a means of socialising among young urban dwellers, as well as growing urbanisation in which people cram more activities into their daily schedules, also improved the performance of coffee sales. The growth of social media also played a part as consumers are spending more time online outside of school/work hours.

Domestic players lead in coffee and tea with hot drinks home to multinationals

Domestic manufacturers dominate coffee and tea due to their longstanding history and good understanding of local consumer tastes. This is especially true in coffee where local consumer preference continues to be fresh ground coffee over instant variants. Coffee tends to attract higher levels of brand attachment which multinationals find hard to shake. Meanwhile, off-trade volume sales of tea continue to be boosted by on-trade establishments which provide tea service with meals and the preference for economy products with a strong brand image and history where local manufacturers shine. Multinationals dominate other hot drinks due to a strong presence within flavoured powder drinks and malt-based hot drinks.

Traditional retailers remain significant despite emergence of modern formats

Other hot drinks are popular among consumers from all walks of life in Indonesia in both urban and rural areas. Despite rapid expansion of modern retailers in the review period, traditional retailers continued to account for significant share of total volume sales in 2010. Independent small grocers still made a greater contribution than supermarkets/hypermarkets in the review period despite being outperformed in terms of growth. Off-trade volume sales of hot drinks outperformed on-trade due to the preference of foodservice operators purchasing coffee and tea products from off-trade channels. Other hot drinks are unpopular via on-trade outlets.

Expectations of higher levels of disposable income in the forecast period

With a positive economic outlook, consumer purchasing power is expected to continue to gain strength over the forecast period. In line with growing health awareness, consumers are likely to increase their consumption of tea and other hot drinks. Despite being perceived as unhealthy, the consumption of coffee will continue to grow from strength to strength due to galloping urbanisation and higher pressure in the working environment brought about by thriving businesses and a strong economy.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Indonesia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Positive economic outlook and evolving lifestyle trends boosts hot drinks

Market shaped by advertising war and coffee trend created by urbanisation

Domestic players lead in coffee and tea with hot drinks home to multinationals

Traditional retailers remain significant despite emergence of modern formats

Expectations of higher levels of disposable income in the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Advertising war boosts consumer interest in and consumption of coffee

Café culture prevalent among young urban dwellers

The emergence of flavoured hot drinks

Urban lifestyles drive demand for coffee

Health tea popular among young women

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Indonesia - Company Profiles

Gunung Slamat PT - Hot Drinks - Indonesia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Gunung Slamat PT: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Gunung Slamat PT: Competitive Position 2010

Mayora Indah Tbk PT - Hot Drinks - Indonesia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Mayora Indah Tbk PT: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Mayora Indah Tbk PT: Competitive Position 2010

Santos Jaya Abadi PT - Hot Drinks - Indonesia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Santos Jaya Abadi PT: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Santos Jaya Abadi PT: Competitive Position 2010

Teh 2 Burung Factory - Hot Drinks - Indonesia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Teh 2 Burung Factory: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Teh 2 Burung Factory: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the developing health and wellness trend, urbanisation and the desire to cram more activities into the daily schedule spurred greater demand for coffee in 2010. The emergence of social media also assisted in boosting coffee sales as young consumers spend more time online outside of office and school hours. Leading manufacturers in coffee invested heavily in marketing and promotional activities in a very competitive environment, boosting consumer interest in and consumption of coffee. New product developments from established and new brands also intensified the competition in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Santos Jaya Abadi retained its lead in coffee with a 17% off-trade volume share in 2010. ABC and Kapal Api brands developed a strong reputation in Indonesia in fresh ground coffee, the preferred choice for loyal coffee drinkers over instant variants. Good Day also rose to prominence in instant coffee in the review period as a product suitable to be served cold, targeting young urbanites such as teenagers and young adults. As the leading manufacturer in coffee in the review period, the company engaged in an advertising war with other manufacturers such as Nestlé and Mayora Indah and thereby stimulated coffee consumption.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to register robust volume growth over the forecast period due to a strong investment in marketing and communications as well as new product developments from leading manufacturers and new entrants. Despite the growing health and wellness trend, coffee benefits from increasingly urban lifestyles and demand to include more activities in daily schedules. This trend stems from a positive economic outlook where businesses are expected to thrive as well as the emergence of social media as young consumers are increasingly spending time online outside work/school hours.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Demand for other hot drinks benefits from the growing health and wellness trend as well as a rise in disposable income level. Continuous branding and promotional activities maintained a high level of consumer interest towards other hot drinks in the review period. Mass media and the government campaigned to improve milk consumption in order to reduce the country’s level of malnutrition, especially among children from middle and lower income backgrounds. Manufacturers’ efforts in launching economy priced other hot drinks were warmly received by consumers. At the other end of the spectrum, manufacturers launched premium fortified products in response to improved disposable income among the affluent middle income demographics and the growing health and wellness trend.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé retained its lead in other hot drinks with a 34% retail value share in 2010. The company invested heavily in branding activities in the review period and also benefited from its long history in Indonesia. Despite its significant presence within other hot drinks, its Dancow brand was extended to include new variants at lower unit prices to tap into the middle to lower income consumer segments who had previously considered milk products to be too expensive. This extension, in addition to the company’s economy brand of flavoured powder drink Ideal, were both well received due to the company’s friendly pricing strategy. Nestlé’s malt-based product, Milo remains relatively unchallenged holding an 80% retail value share in 2010 within Malt-based Hot Drinks.

PROSPECTS

  • Improved levels of disposable income are expected to be the key factors in boosting the performance of other hot drinks over the forecast period. The growing health and wellness trend, as well as increasingly hectic lifestyles are expected to boost demand for other hot drinks that offer convenience. In addition to being treated as a substitute to meals, other hot drinks are also consumed for their functional health benefits. The government and mass media campaigns that are engaged in a concerted effort to reduce malnutrition in the country are expected to improve the penetration of other hot drinks over the forecast period, especially to reach more children from middle and lower income segments.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growing urban lifestyles which demand products that provide convenience are in opposition to tea, a sector that is perceived to be time-consuming and a hassle to prepare. Leading manufacturers, such as Unilever, campaigned to include the tea drinking ritual as a way to communicate and avoid miscommunication between husband and wife with heavy investment in marketing and promotions dubbed “Sariwangi Mari Bicara” (“Sariwangi Let’s Talk”) campaign. The growing health and wellness trend also stimulated consumer interest towards health-enhancing products such as green tea, slimming tea and herbal tea.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Gunung Slamat continued to lead tea with a 27% off-trade value share in 2010. The company is a subsidiary of Sinar Sosro which was the leading player in soft drinks in off-trade value terms in 2010 due to its strong presence in RTD tea with Teh Sosro. The company markets Cap Botol Biru, Cap Botol Hijau, Poci, Sosro and Kepala Djenggot brands of tea in both tea bags and loose formats. Despite having a strong lead in RTD tea, the company faces a strong challenge from Unilever within tea thanks to its heavy investments in its Sariwangi brand. Gunung Slamat is less inclined to match the outlay in above-the-line advertising and prefers to concentrate on below-the-line promotional activities instead.

PROSPECTS

  • Manufacturers of tea generally showed little appetite for investment in advertising during the review period with the exception of Unilever for its Sariwangi brand, which set the tone in stimulating demand. Growing demand for convenience also promoted the popularity of RTD tea over tea to some extent. Despite that, higher disposable income levels encouraged consumers to adopt a more sophisticated lifestyle, which includes appreciating tea at home. The café culture also widened the consumer base for high quality tea and spread knowledge about the many variants of tea. The health and wellness trend is expected to drive growth of health enhancing tea products such as green tea, slimming tea and herbal tea. Tea is perceived as healthy and beneficial, unlike the negative perception of coffee, which is perceived as unhealthy.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 58 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Standard vs Pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail Volume
      • Retail Volume % growth
      • Retail Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Volume
      • Foodservice Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Volume per capita
      • Total Volume
      • Total Volume % growth
      • Total Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail RTD volume
      • Retail RTD volume % growth
      • Retail RTD volume per capita
      • Foodservice RTD volume
      • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
      • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
      • Total RTD volume
      • Total RTD volume % growth
      • Total RTD volume per capita
      • Retail Cups Volume
      • Retail Cups Volume % growth
      • Retail Cups Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Cups Volume
      • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
      • Total Cups Volume
      • Total Cups Volume % growth
      • Total Cups Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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