You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesHot Drinks
print my pages

Country Report

Hot Drinks in Japan

May 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
Report format: PDF doc_pdf.png (download a sample)
Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Japan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Japan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Japan for free:

The Hot Drinks in Japan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Japan?
  • What are the major brands in Japan?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Japan?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Japan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak consumer confidence

Although Japan was not in recession in 2010, consumer confidence after the events of 2008 and 2009 remained weak, and there was a notable trend for consumers to look to cut expenditure. This trend was especially evident in on-trade sales of hot drinks, with independent as well as chained coffee shops continuing to see sales decline. With cheaper options available, consumers have been voting with their wallets and looking elsewhere for better value. This has benefited some areas of off-trade sales, most notably private label, cassette coffee and coffee machines for use in the home.

Alternatives to RTD

High summer temperatures in 2010 sent many consumers racing to the nearest vending machine for a chilled drink, this being evident in a significant upturn in soft drinks sales during the June-September period. Although hot drinks sales were clearly less directly affected, due to seasonality, there were a number of beneficiaries in the hot drinks market, not least green and instant tea. In both cases, canny consumers looked to avoid inflated RTD prices and looked to make their own beverages at home. The sight of everyone from school children to businessmen carrying their own vacuum flask (as part of the “my bottle” boom) was further evidence of this.

Convenience is king

With consumers looking for quick and easy options, sometimes even at a premium price, they are increasingly opting for products that best suit their lifestyles. Green tea, in particular, saw tea bags growing well ahead of average category growth, with manufacturers such as Ito En Ltd putting renewed efforts into packaging so that the convenience it offers better suits consumers’ lifestyles. However, the same could not be said of the convenience store retail sector, which saw hot drinks sales decline as consumers looked for more economical options.

Nestlé number one

Nestlé Japan Ltd remained the major force in Japanese hot drinks in 2010, followed some way behind by local manufacturers Ito En Ltd, Ajinomoto General Foods Inc (AGF) – the partnership with Kraft Foods Inc – and Mitsui Norin Co Ltd. With pricing becoming a key issue, private label continued to take a bigger share of sales within hot drinks as a whole in 2010, and thus appears to be a force to be reckoned with over the medium to long term, as Japanese retailers gear up for a price war.

Slow and steady value decline expected

As research for hot drinks was completed prior to 11 March 2011, Euromonitor International’s forecast marginal fall in constant value CAGR terms has not taken into consideration the impact of the Tohoku earthquake and resulting tsunami. Value sales of hot drinks are predicted to see a slow and steady decline over the forecast period, with volume sales remaining static. In some areas, the market appears to have reached its natural ceiling, whilst weak consumer confidence and a declining population from 2010 spell difficult times ahead for manufacturers. Private label products are predicted to become a much greater force, although premium products are likely still to have a place in Japanese hot drinks, although much depends on manufacturers’ ability to convince consumers that such products offer affordable luxury despite the higher price points.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Japan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak consumer confidence

Alternatives to RTD

Convenience is king

Nestlé number one

Slow and steady value decline expected

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

The 2011 Tohoku earthquake

Demand for convenience

Consumers continue to prioritise health and wellness

Japan, a coffee and tea culture

The economy and pricing

Retail flux

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Imports of Coffee 2003-2009

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Japan - Company Profiles

Ajinomoto General Foods Inc (AGF) in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Ajinomoto General Foods Inc (AGF): Competitive Position 2010

Kataoka Bussan Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Kataoka Bussan Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Key Coffee Inc in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Key Coffee Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Mitsui Norin Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Mitsui Norin Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Morinaga & Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Morinaga & Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

UCC Ueshima Coffee Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Japan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 UCC Coffee Ueshima Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Japan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee sales grew only marginally in volume in 2010, with per capita consumption rates apparently having little room for rapid growth. Leading players, such as Nestlé and Ajinomoto General Foods Inc (AGF), have clearly seen this situation on the horizon and have developed a range of new and innovative (in some cases) products designed to keep volume sales moving upwards, as well as to add value to a category which is suffering from falling unit prices due to manufacturer and retailer competition.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Japan Ltd remained the leading player in 2010, with an off-trade value share of 32%, largely as a result of its leading position in instant coffee, where it held a share of 64%. Its dominance in this category is important, as instant coffee accounts for roughly half of overall coffee value sales. In addition, Nestlé Japan Ltd continued to lead instant decaffeinated coffee, with a volume share of 83%. The company was able to maintain its position through a range of marketing efforts, although its extensive distribution system, which ensures its brands are present in almost every grocery retailer in Japan, is the key to its success in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • Although coffee consumption in Japan is not at saturation level when compared to North America and many European countries, it was almost at this point in 2010. Growth potential will be further hampered by the population decline which began in 2010, and which is set to see a million fewer consumers in Japan by the end of the forecast period. While these older consumers tend not to be key coffee consumers, population decline will be one more hurdle to overcome for an industry close to, or at its natural ceiling.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Japan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although widely associated with consumption by children, other hot drinks, most notably chocolate-based powder drinks, did experienced something of a resurgence in the years prior to the review period, as adults appreciated the health benefits associated with the polyphenol content of many of the products within the category. Sales declines since 2004 largely came as a hangover from this boom, as consumers’ heads were turned by other categories, notably RTD tea, which offered similar health benefits but with zero calories.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading the way in other hot drinks in 2010 was Morinaga & Co Ltd, with a 30% value share. Morinaga is a well-known manufacturer of confectionery in Japan, and thus enjoys a high level of brand equity based on its reputation for confectionery. It also operates an extensive distribution network, which enables it to ensure its products are widely available in a range of outlets.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks sales are expected to contract further over the forecast period, with volume sales predicted to decline by an annual average of 2%. Given the shrinking demand for other hot drinks, the leading manufacturers are not expected to invest significantly in improving the performance of existing products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Japan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although the hot summer of 2010 did little for sales of coffee, tea racked up impressive volume growth of 4% in 2010, which was a good performance given the maturity of the sector. Sales benefited from the four months of record temperatures seen between June and September. Tea sales were also encouraged by continued weak consumer confidence and a general reluctance to spend, which saw many consumers looking to leaf tea as an alternative to more expensive RTD drinks. The “my bottle” trend, which was evident in winter 2009/2010, as consumers looked to make their own hot beverages, was again conspicuous in summer 2010, as chilled beverages took precedence.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Private label tea sales are sizeable, and accounted for a 14% value share of tea and a 17% share of green tea in 2010. Aeon’s Topvalu range, which includes a premium-positioned green tea, illustrates that there is a market for premium private label products. There are few categories in Japanese retail where private label products command such a high share, but with fragmented production and supply, tea has been an area where private label has naturally expanded to fill the supply gap, with little brand competition.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, sales of tea are expected to follow the pattern established in 2010, with slow volume sales increases, but value growth hampered by weakening unit prices. Competition within the off-trade channel will again be the key to value declines, but the popularity of a wider range of tea products should see consumption increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Blue Mountain Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Kilimanjaro Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Mocha Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Other Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Blue Mountain Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Cassette
          • Kilimanjaro Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Mocha Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Standard Blend Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Other Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Foodservice distribution
  • In-1s instant coffee
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?