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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Kenya

May 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Coffee Board of Kenya moves to increase local coffee consumption

Unlike neighbour Ethiopia, which has a well-entrenched coffee-drinking culture, Kenya is almost a net exporter of coffee and tea. Only 2% of the coffee produced in the country is consumed locally, while domestic tea consumption stands at around only 5% of production. Experts claim that around seven out of 10 Kenyans drink tea while one in 10 consumes coffee. The Coffee Board of Kenya, the Fair Trade Organization of Kenya and Progreso Network have entered into a public-private partnership aimed at stimulating domestic coffee consumption.

Tea production declines in the midst of weather and infrastructure challenges

According to the Tea Board of Kenya, 2011 saw total production of 377 million kg compared to 399 million kg in 2010, equating to a 5% drop. However, earnings in 2011 were the best ever, at KES109 billion compared to KES97 billion in 2010. An average price of US$2.99 was recorded in 2011 compared to US$2.75 in 2010. Overall tea sales at the Mombasa Auction for the year stood at 247.3 million kg compared to 259 million kg in 2010.Total export volumes stood at 421 million kg, which marked a 5% decline from 441 million kg in 2010. Kenyan tea was exported to 54 countries in 2011 compared to 48 destinations in 2010.

Kenyan youths embracing the new urban coffee culture continue to fuel competition

Looked at from an export perspective, coffee remains a key product for Kenya. Even though local consumption remains a key challenge, the coffee board and other organisations are making a concerted effort to stimulate domestic consumption via various marketing events, such as competitions. 2011 continued to see an increased number of visits to coffee shops as consumers became more aware of coffee specialities such as latte, cappuccino and macchiato. Worth noting is the increasing number of younger people aged between 18 and 35 showing a greater interest in coffee.

Number of coffee outlets grows

With the budding coffee drinking culture in Kenya, foodservice operators focused on increasing their number of outlets in urban centres. As such, there were a growing number of coffee shops in Kenya. In just a few years, big names such as Dormans and Java have had to contend with new entrants such as Savannah, Coffee World, Kahawa, Capital Coffee, The Coffee House and The Mug, as well as many others which have become concentrated in city centres.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Hot Drinks in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Kenya?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Kenya?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Coffee Board of Kenya moves to increase local coffee consumption

Tea production declines in the midst of weather and infrastructure challenges

Kenyan youths embracing the new urban coffee culture continue to fuel competition

Number of coffee outlets grows

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production Data

  • Table 25 Production of Hot Drinks by Category 2006-2011

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Kenya - Company Profiles

C Dorman Ltd in Hot Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 C Dorman Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Kenya Tea Development Agency in Hot Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Kenya Tea Packers Ltd (Ketepa): Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption continues to interest Kenyans, especially youths aged 18-35 living in the major cities of Nairobi, Kisumu and Mombasa. Kenyans continue to meet up in coffee shops for leisure and business purposes. One of the indicators of the growing coffee culture in Kenya remains the increasing number of coffee shops, such as Dormans, Java, Savannah, Coffee World, Kahawa, Kapital Coffee, Coffee House and The Mug, as well as many others which have become concentrated in city centres. An increasing number of people are flocking to such outlets particularly in the evenings and during the rainy season/cold months of June to August.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Foods Kenya Ltd led coffee in 2011 with a retail volume share of 58%. The company continued to perform well thanks to a marketing campaign in both the print and electronic media. Nescafé 3-in-1 instant coffee in sachets remains popular as it is affordable for most people, especially low-income consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to post a total volume CAGR of 3% over the forecast period. This will be due to the favourable crop conditions recorded at the end of 2011 and the work of the Kenya Coffee Research Foundation in assisting coffee farmers. The rising demand for coffee among young and trendy consumers will certainly attract more investors to the category. With the emergence of new marketing bodies in Kenya, such as Kenya Cooperative Coffee Exporters, which exists to promote coffee, better prices for farmers will mean increased production, and hence growth in the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Wider distribution continued to benefit other hot drinks in 2011, with the category achieving total volume growth of 6%. This was in line with the review period average as demand from children and families remained steady. Chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks in particular performed well as these drinks are convenient for breakfast or as a snack and are easy to prepare.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury Kenya Ltd continued to lead other hot drinks in 2011. This can be attributed to the success of small 15g packs of drinking chocolate, which are affordable to low-income consumers. Furthermore, the company is still reaping the benefits of its “Everybody Needs A Hug” campaign, which fuelled demand for its drinking chocolate brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period other hot drinks is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% in total volume terms. This growth will be particularly linked to favourable consumer trends and strong marketing and promotional activity. The provision of products in smaller packs will improve distribution and thus lead to higher sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea put in an improved performance in 2011, posting total volume growth of 5%, up from 2% in 2010 and a review period CAGR of 4%. Even though tea remains a popular hot drink in Kenya, inflation remains a key challenge for the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kenya Tea Packers Ltd (Ketepa) continued to dominate the category in 2011 with a retail value share of 81%, albeit down from 86% a year earlier due to increasing competition. However, in spite of this, it continues to enjoy greater knowledge of the local market than imported brands, and has been present in the Kenyan market for over 30 years, building up a steady and loyal following for its flagship black tea brand Fahari ya Kenya. Worth noting are the small players focused on health-based teas, such as Pure Health Products Ltd which produces flavoured teas using natural mixes of herbs, spices and extracts.

PROSPECTS

  • Even though the coffee culture is on the rise in urban areas, tea is expected to register a CAGR of 5% in total volume terms over the forecast period. Better quality and value-added products will remain key drivers of this category. Improved packaging and additional flavours will also contribute to both value and volume growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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