You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesHot Drinks
print my pages

Country Report

Hot Drinks in Kenya

May 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
Report format: PDF doc_pdf.png (download a sample)
Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Hot Drinks in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Kenya?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Kenya?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Kenyans finally smell the coffee as consumption grows

According to the Kenyan company C Dorman, coffee has seen tremendous growth in the last few years. In 2004, coffee was rated as the least preferred hot beverage, with only 2% of the population choosing it, compared with tea, which attracted 60% of the population. The remaining 38% preferred chocolate. However, the latest figures published in 2009 showed that the preference for coffee had increased to reach 8% of the consumers. Coffee has become increasingly appealing due to its cheap price and better quality, as well as the development of coffee shops in urban areas.

Tea production increases as rain ends the drought

The rains which pounded most parts of the country in 2009 led to an increase of 47% in tea production in January 2010, according to a report by the Tea Board of Kenya. This spike in monthly yield has raised hopes that tea production in 2010 could increase by 14% to 358 million kg, as forecast by the Tea Board of Kenya. Given the importance of agriculture in the country’s GDP and export revenue, this is a good sign for local companies and employment.

New urban coffee culture leads to increased competition

Coffee is one of Kenya’s leading exports. This means that most of the coffee produced locally is processed and exported, whilst only a fraction is sold in the local market. In 2010 there was an increased trend towards coffee shops, as consumers became more aware of coffee specialities such as latte, cappuccino and macchiato. There was a new urban coffee culture, which was a boon to coffee producers, leading to increased competition between coffee shops.

The number of coffee outlets grows

With the budding coffee drinking culture in Kenya, foodservice outlets focused on increasing their number of outlets in urban centres. As such, there were a growing number of coffee shops in Kenya. In just a few years, big names such as Dormans and Java had to contend with new entrants such as Savannah, Coffee World, Kahawa, Kapital Coffee, The Coffee House and The Mug, as well as many others which have become concentrated in city centres. Dormans has11 branches, whilst Java has 10.

Kenyan coffee farmers engage in direct coffee marketing

Small-scale coffee farmers will have the opportunity to directly sell their produce to the international market as a result of a new marketing initiative by Kenya Cooperative Coffee Exporters (KCCE). The Cooperative is an initiative by smallholder coffee farmers. It was formed to maximise returns on coffee sales by engaging directly in coffee marketing, rather than going through the auction system. The entry of KCCE is expected to promote higher prices for farmers. This will boost their incomes and lead to higher production, better quality coffee and improved foreign exchange earnings.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Kenyans finally smell the coffee as consumption grows

Tea production increases as rain ends the drought

New urban coffee culture leads to increased competition

The number of coffee outlets grows

Kenyan coffee farmers engage in direct coffee marketing

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 25 Production of Hot Drinks by Sector 2006-2010

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Kenya - Company Profiles

C Dorman Ltd in Hot Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 C Dorman Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Kenya Tea Development Agency in Hot Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Kenya Tea Packers Ltd (Ketepa): Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption in Kenya has become a new trend in the cities, with people meeting in coffee shops for leisure and business purposes. One of the indicators of the growing coffee culture in Kenya was the increasing number of coffee shops. In just a few years, big names such as Dormans and Java have had to contend with competition from new entrants such as Savannah, Coffee World, Kahawa, Kapital Coffee, The Coffee House and The Mug, as well as many others which have become concentrated in city centres. This shows how trendy coffee consumption has become.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Foods Kenya led coffee in 2010 with a retail volume share of 52%. The company saw great success thanks to its marketing campaign for the Nescafé brand on billboards, television and in newspapers. The campaign was dubbed “A great day starts with Nescafé” and “Kick start your day with Nescafé”. Also, its Nescafé 3-in-1 instant coffee sachet sells at KES10, which is a strong incentive for low-income consumers, and led to a significant increase in volume sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to increase by a constant value CAGR of 5% in the off-trade channel, and by a CAGR of 3% in total volume terms in the forecast period. This is due to favourable crop production conditions recorded at the end of 2010, which should benefit the sector in the early years of the forecast period. With the rising demand for coffee, as it is a new, trendy culture amongst consumers, more players are set to invest in the coffee category; this will promote sales. With the existence of new marketing bodies in Kenya such as KCCE, which are there to promote the marketing of coffee, better prices for farmers will mean increased production, and hence growth in the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of other hot drinks continued to increase in 2010, as consumers turned to products which contained no caffeine, as health concerns were higher on consumers’ agendas. Expanded distribution of these products also favoured the growth of other hot drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury Kenya led other hot drinks with a 46% value share in 2010. This was due to the success of small 15g packs of drinking chocolate, which are affordable by low-income consumers. Furthermore, the company launched its “Everybody Needs A Hug” campaign, which fuelled demand for its drinking chocolate brand.

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period other hot drinks is expected to increase by a CAGR of 5% in retail constant value terms. This growth will be particularly linked to favourable consumer trends, strong marketing campaigns and promotions. The provision of products in smaller packs will improve distribution and thus lead to higher sales of other hot drinks.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Tea in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea recorded 3% growth in total volume terms in 2010, which was slightly slower than the 4% CAGR in the review period. Despite the wide penetration of tea in the country, consumers reacted to the increase in retail prices by consuming smaller volumes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kenya Tea Packers (Ketepa), which is present in four tea categories and also has an investment in bottled water, led tea in 2010 with a retail value share of 86%. It enjoys greater knowledge of the local market than imported brands, and has been in the Kenyan market for over 30 years, building up steady brand loyalty for its flagship black tea brand Fahari ya Kenya. Ketepa recently opened an office in the Dubai Tea Trade Centre to ease the coordination of marketing efforts in the Middle East.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea is expected to increase by a CAGR of 5% in total volume terms in the forecast period, and will mainly rely on better quality and value-added products, which will attract more consumers to the category. Improved packaging and added flavours will be a major contributor to value and volume growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 51 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Off-trade vs on-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

      my pages

      Want to find out more about this report?