You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesHot Drinks
print my pages

Country Report

Hot Drinks in Latvia

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks recover after economic crisis

In 2011, which was the very beginning of the postcrisis period in Latvia, hot drinks off-trade volume sales posted moderate 2% growth. Retail value sales grew by 12%, which was mainly the impact of the unit price hike of coffee. Growth was also driven by gradually recovering purchasing power of consumers, who loosened their spending slightly in 2011, starting purchasing also slightly more expensive brands. On-trade volume sales bounced up, posting almost 8% volume growth in 2011 after more than 40% shrinkage in 2009 and further decline in 2010.

Record prices on world coffee market cause retail unit prices to rise

World coffee prices reached their record height in 2011, and retail price immediately reflected this price hike. The price increases came as a culmination of several factors including increased global demand, higher oil prices, market speculation and lower-than-average coffee yields due to adverse weather patterns in some parts of the world. The pressure became too much for many of the major coffee manufacturers to bear. Many tried to hedge against increasing prices via futures contracts, but companies which were not able to keep large coffee storage, had to purchase at current world price and also increase retail prices. At a time when the global economic recovery was still tenuous, being forced to increase prices was not an advantageous position for coffee manufacturers.

Further market acquisitions leave almost no local manufacturers

In autumn 2010, Latvian coffee manufacturer Melna Kafija SIA was acquired by Swedish company Löfbergs Lila AB. Both companies plan to converge their experience to strengthen their positions on the local market and expand to Russia and other countries. Until 2010, Melna Kafija SIA remained one of the core local players in hot drinks in Latvia. Multinationals strengthen their positions on the Latvian market by launching new products, applying a wide spectrum of marketing tools and offering numerous temporary discounts.

Supermarkets and hypermarkets strengthen as the main distribution channels

Supermarkets and hypermarkets are very popular distribution channels amongst Latvian consumers, who now tend to do their shopping once a week by purchasing all the necessary products from one place. Both channels have a wide product range, offer numerous discounts and special offers and have convenient parking places. Hot drinks sales through convenience stores are increasing as well, which is mainly because of the overall increasing popularity of this channel. Many independent small grocers have changed their operating format to convenience stores – prolonging their operating hours, introducing a united system of discounts etc.

Moderate growth is expected over the forecast period

Hot drinks is predicted to see a moderate constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. In the early forecast period, value sales will be impacted negatively by low purchasing power of consumers. Over the forecast period, the popularity as well as the offering of premium products will increase once more, such as unusual coffee blends, slimming tea and expensive herbal tea with various health benefits. Hot drinks will be driven by the strengthening health trend, as tea is perceived by Latvians as the most natural beverage out of all healthcare goods, in comparison to chemical medicines. Unit prices for tea and coffee may experience an upswing because of the unpredictable world climate changes and speculation on world commodities markets.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Hot Drinks Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Hot Drinks Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Latvia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Latvia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Latvia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Latvia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Latvia?
  • What are the major brands in Latvia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Latvia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Latvia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Latvia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks recover after economic crisis

Record prices on world coffee market cause retail unit prices to rise

Further market acquisitions leave almost no local manufacturers

Supermarkets and hypermarkets strengthen as the main distribution channels

Moderate growth is expected over the forecast period

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Imports/Exportsof Hot Drinks 2007-2010

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Latvia - Company Profiles

Liepajas Kafijas Fabrika SIA in Hot Drinks (Latvia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Liepajas Kafijas Fabrika SIA: Competitive Position 2011

Melna Kafija SIA in Hot Drinks (Latvia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Melna Kafija SIA: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Slight volume growth of coffee in 2011 was in line with overall stabilisation of purchasing power of consumers in Latvia. However, increasing prices and speculation on world commodities markets caused coffee prices to grow significantly in 2011, which prevented more significant volume growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sara Lee Baltic SIA led coffeewith its Merrild brand in 2011, accounting for20% of retail value sales. Merrild enjoys the best shelf positions in stores and there are numerous advertising campaigns on TV and other media to support brand recognition. Merrild is also traditionally one of the sponsors of the Positivus summer festival, which attracts 20,000 people from Latvia as well as from neighbour countries. Sara Lee Baltic SIA on a regular basis also conducts a charity programme to support old and lonely Latvians – 20 Merrild coffee packs purchased by consumers assures one pack of coffee is provided by the company for one of these people.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to enjoy stable demand over the forecast period and show constant annual value growth of1% over the forecast period. Once purchasing power of consumers is restored, premiumisation of the category will recommence.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In terms of limited purchasing power of consumers, other hot drinks appears to be a cheaper alternative to coffee, which became the key factor driving the category’s performance in 2011. Market entrance of Ukrainian player Galca Ltd in 2009 and its tremendous later expansion also contributed a lot to the growth of other plant-based hot drinks, which, in its turn, boosted other hot drinks on the whole. Amongst other factors stimulating demand was also the strengthening health trend; chicory drinks are similar to coffee in terms of taste but can be drunk also in the evening without worrying about the stimulant affect.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Galca Ltd became the market leader in other hot drinks already a year after its entrance and in 2011, its value share reached already 29%. The company found a relatively free niche and therefore experienced a very rapid sales growth. Galca Ltd offers chicory drinks with different tastes such as chokeberry, briar, lemon, stevia, echinacea, ginseng root, hawthorn, dandelion rootsand mint. These herbs have different health benefits; hawthorn improves blood flow in vessels of the heart and brain, but lemon balm helps to fight insomnia, so the launch was completely in line with the strengthening health trend in Latvia.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of other hot drinks are expected to increase by a 1% CAGR over the forecast period. Hot drinks on the whole is a very mature category, facing stable demand. In addition to this, other hot drinks is represented by a relatively narrow range of product groups and brands, enjoying quite low levels of innovation. As a result, performance of the category during the postcrisis period is expected to be driven mainly by gradually recovering purchasing power of consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • On the whole, tea in Latvia is considered as a staple, so it enjoys stable volume sales and number of target consumers. The majority of Latvians consume tea on a daily basis, so the category on the whole appears to be crisis-resistant. Nevertheless, various categories within tea performed differently in 2011, which all together led to retail volume decline of 1%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Inteka SIA, with the most broadly available and also the most affordable brand Mozums, led tea sales in 2011 with a retail value share of 21%. Although the company offers mainly standard and low-priced tea, due to the economic crisis it gained value share on account of its increasing volume. The offering of Inteka SIA is very wide and the company manages perfectly well without conducting vast advertising campaigns; the combination of good quality and affordable pricing does not allow multinationals to take over the company’s dominant position.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea is expected to stagnate, showing a total growth of 2% in constant value sales over the forecast period. On the whole, tea is a mature category and per capita consumption is not expected to exceed precrisis numbers. Changes are more likely to happen within the category; black tea is expected to continue losing its popularity whilst other tea segments, in terms of the strengthening health trend, on the contrary, are expected to post positive growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!