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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Latvia

Jan 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Latvia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Latvia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Latvia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Latvia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Latvia?
  • What are the major brands in Latvia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Latvia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Latvia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks value declines more than volume

As the majority of hot drinks are perceived by Latvians as essential products, consumed on a daily basis, overall volume did not adversely suffer in 2010 despite the economic crisis. In 2009, many consumers froze their spending and even frequented stores less often, but in 2010 Latvians started to adjust and seek cheaper alternatives. Consumers became discount-led, avoided buying premium brands, willingly purchased private label products and chose larger packaging, using opportunities of economies of scale.

Local players and private label thrive

In terms of the recession, many consumers switched to products by local manufacturers, such as Inteka SIA with its brand Mozums, as well as Spilva SIA, which in 2009 acquired local brand Latplanta. Local products appeared to offer the best combination of quality and price. In 2009 and 2010, Rimi Latvia SIA, running the largest network of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Latvia, launched numerous private label hot drinks, causing the share of private label to double in retail value terms in 2010. The company’s private label portfolio includes products of different price segments, from economy to premium. Its core private label product lines are Rimi, Rimi Bio, Vespucci and Tea Trader.

Increasing price and discount competition

The competitive environment in hot drinks was extremely intense in 2010 as a major share belonged to formidable multinational companies. As multinationals felt that local players perform better in terms of a recession because of more affordable pricing, they began to apply a wide spectrum of marketing tools and offering numerous temporary discounts in order to maintain their current share. In addition, many producers, especially of coffee, from one side were pressed with increasing world commodity prices but from the other – by the high competition and avoidance to increase price levels in order to retain loyal consumers.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets strengthen as the main distribution channel

Supermarkets/hypermarkets is a very popular distribution channel amongst Latvian consumers, who now tend to do their shopping once a week by purchasing all the necessary products from one place. Supermarkets/hypermarkets have a wide product range, offer numerous discounts and have convenient parking places. Discounters is another strong distribution channel as it usually offers even lower prices. Both channels also have a wide range of private label products, which were much in demand during the recession. Another strengthening channel is vending, which thrives because of the convenience and growing penetration of vending machines in public places. With regards to on-trade channels, many players started offering take-away options for hot drinks in 2010.

Moderate growth over the forecast period

Hot drinks is predicted to see a moderate constant value CAGR over the forecast period. In the short-term, value sales will be impacted negatively by low purchasing power of consumers and cheap local and private label products will continue to be in high demand. Over the forecast period, popularity as well as the offering of premium products will increase once more, such as unusual coffee blends, slimming teas, and expensive herbal teas with various health benefits. Hot drinks will be driven by the strengthening health trend as teas are perceived by Latvians as the most natural beverage out of all health care goods, in comparison to chemical health medicine. Unit prices for tea and coffee may experience an upswing because of the unpredictable world climate changes and speculation on world commodities market.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Latvia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks value declines more than volume

Local players and private label thrive

Increasing price and discount competition

Supermarkets/hypermarkets strengthen as the main distribution channel

Moderate growth over the forecast period

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Latvia - Company Profiles

Liepajas Kafijas Fabrika - Hot Drinks - Latvia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Liepajas Kafijas Fabrika: Competitive Position 2010

Melna kafija SIA - Hot Drinks - Latvia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Melna Kafija SIA: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As coffee is perceived by Latvians as a staple product, consumed on a daily basis, the economic crisis and low purchasing power of consumers did not have much impact on retail volume sales in 2010 and these declined by just 4%. Value sales suffered more significantly, as consumers sought cheaper solutions, bought larger packaging, which allows economies of scale, and purchased local and private label products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sara Lee Baltic SIA had the leading market position and a value share of 17% in 2010. The company’s Merrild brand leads fresh coffee as far as it dominates in stores and there are numerous advertising campaigns on TV and other media in order to support brand recognition. In autumn 2010 Sara Lee Baltic SIA also conducted also charity programme in order to support old and lonely Latvians –20 purchased by consumers Merrild coffee packs assured one pack of coffee, provided by the company for one of these people.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of coffee expected to increase by a 3% CAGR over the forecast period. Once purchasing power of consumers is restored, premiumisation of the category will recommence. People will not be so discount-led and more attentive to innovations. The popularity of unusual coffee blends and different flavours will increase and the share of premium brands will invariably increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks in Latvia is represented by two product segments: chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, or cacao, and other plant-based hot drinks, mainly on the basis of chicory. During the recession, both product groups appeared to be a cheaper alternative to coffee, which became the key factors, driving the category’s performance in 2010. Among other factors stimulating demand, were expanding product offering and strengthening health trend; chicory drinks are similar to coffee in terms of taste but can be drunk also in the evening without worrying about the stimulant affect.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Other hot drinks was led by Krüger GmbH & Co KG and Nestlé SA and, both accounting for 16% retail value share. Krüger belongs to premium chocolate-based flavoured powdered drinks and is valued by consumers because of its high cocoa content – many other brands are granulated mixtures with sugar. Nestlé’s Nesquik brand is very broadly advertised and has been available in Latvia for many years. In addition, Nestlé SA has strong brand recognition worldwide.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, constant value sales of other hot drinks are expected to increase by a 3% CAGR. Over the review period, other hot drinks was perceived as a cheaper alternative to coffee, while over the forecast period the category’s growth will continue to be driven by strengthening premiumisation. At the end of the review period, the category was represented mainly by granulated cacao powder and sugar mixtures while in the future the popularity of hot chocolate with high cocoa content will increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Tea in Latvia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As tea is perceived by Latvians as a staple, the economic crisis caused retail volume to only decline by 4% in 2010 as it mostly affected value sales. Consumers sought cheaper but still qualitative tea. Some consumers switched to cheaper local brands, while others chose fruit/herbal tea as a cheaper alternative to other tea types. The appearance of private label did not contribute to value growth of the category. However, the majority of consumers did not change their preferences by following discounts, timely making stocks of their favourite tea by purchasing two or three packs at once.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Inteka SIA led sales in 2010 with a 19% retail value share. Although the company offers mainly standard and low-priced teas, due to the economic crisis, it gained value share on account of its increasing volumes. The offering of Inteka SIA is very wide and the company manages perfectly well without conducting vast advertising campaigns; the combination of good quality and affordable pricing of its Mozums brand does not allow multinationals to take the company’s dominant position. Due to its affordable pricing, Inteka SIA also managed to post record retail value share growth and gained two percentage points in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales for tea are expected to increase by a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period as tea is a mature category and per capita consumption is not expected to exceed pre-crisis numbers. Changes are more likely to happen within the category; black tea is expected to continue losing its popularity while other tea segments, in terms of the strengthening health trend, on the contrary, are expected to post positive growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 51 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient

      Market size details:

      • Retail Volume
      • Retail Volume % growth
      • Retail Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Volume
      • Foodservice Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Volume per capita
      • Total Volume
      • Total Volume % growth
      • Total Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail RTD volume
      • Retail RTD volume % growth
      • Retail RTD volume per capita
      • Foodservice RTD volume
      • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
      • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
      • Total RTD volume
      • Total RTD volume % growth
      • Total RTD volume per capita
      • Retail Cups Volume
      • Retail Cups Volume % growth
      • Retail Cups Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Cups Volume
      • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
      • Total Cups Volume
      • Total Cups Volume % growth
      • Total Cups Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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