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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Lithuania

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks returns to growth in 2011

The economic recovery, however fragile, had positive impact on sales of hot drinks in 2011. The growth registered during the early years of the review period stalled during the global economic crisis, but gradually Lithuanians saw their incomes increasing again, although at a pace slower than any of them would like. Export-driven recovery was not the only reason for better performance of hot drinks: companies appeared to be fully adjusted for the post recessionary state of the market, offering more affordable purchases, and concentrating more on value of the products, rather than vivid images of packages. This, coupled with rising unit prices, propelled hot drinks for the first year of any significant value growth throughout the review period.

Weak consumer confidence leads to calculated consumption

The major problem, industry participants maintain, is that consumers still do not feel confident enough to allow themselves to indulge, except for the major holidays of the year. Consumption habits of hard drinks are firmly entrenched, which is revealed by stable volume sold in 2011 compared to 2010. However, all the value gains were primarily due to higher unit prices of the same products, not trading up products as expected. Lithuanians remained extremely budget-conscious and seeking bargains in 2011, usually in the form of sheer price reduction, whenever possible.

Multinationals firmly in control of the market

Despite the austere shopping habits of consumers, brands that were heavily supported by advertising in the mass media during the boom years continue to benefit from their image when placed next to other hot drinks. Understandably, only producers in categories of substantial size such as tea and coffee can justify splurging on ads. Meanwhile, a better sense of the moods in the market was used by domestic firms to support sales. Consumers can be excused for not caring enough about the fair-trade coffee during the period when their incomes hardly met their expectations.

Off-trade channels still the most important

Lithuanians are used to starting their day with a cup of hot drink and not surprisingly, the majority of turnover is generated in off-trade channels. Supermarkets and hypermarkets remained key distribution channels, valued by consumers for the ability to choose from many brands and frequent discounts. Eating out remained beyond the financial means for the majority of households, leading to mediocre sales of on-trade sales points. However, sales rose thanks to the rising popularity of take-away coffee. This boom is especially important for hot drinks, as the drinkers of take-away coffee are not merely migrating away from other hot drinks, but rather are converted new customers who might serve as drivers of growth in the forecast period

Plenty of room for growth for hot drinks

Affordability of hot drinks will remain a key issue for sellers of hot drinks. For now, consumers stick to basic needs without caring too much about their drinks. However, there is a lot of potential for hot drinks. In coffee, an increasing number of drinkers are developing elaborate tastes, nurturing the segment of gourmet consumption. The range of coffee types and blends offered in stores is increasing and selling quite well amongst high-income earners in the largest cities. Specialised shops for coffee and tea are seeing increasing footfall, suggesting that Lithuanians are increasingly educated about the nuances of hot drinks. Coupled with expected recovery of on-trade channels in line with economic growth, these will be the key forces driving the development in the forecast period, contributing to value gains. Volume sales do not have much room to grow, due to the unfavourable demography of the country, but sales had not yet returned to precrisis levels at the end of the review period, which is yet another reason for optimism.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Lithuania with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Lithuania, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Lithuania for free:

The Hot Drinks in Lithuania market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Lithuania?
  • What are the major brands in Lithuania?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Lithuania?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Lithuania?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Lithuania - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks returns to growth in 2011

Weak consumer confidence leads to calculated consumption

Multinationals firmly in control of the market

Off-trade channels still the most important

Plenty of room for growth for hot drinks

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Import and Export Values for Hot Drinks by Category 2006-2011

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Lithuania - Company Profiles

Kavinukas UAB in Hot Drinks (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Kavinukas UAB: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee remained the most lucrative hot drinks category both in terms of current value of the market and in terms of expected future potential. Many Lithuanians start their day with a cup of coffee and this number increased, as maintained by industry sources, since many trendy youngsters in the largest cities discovered this drink. At the same time, coffee did not give up its position in the off-trade channel, where a large pool of consumers is recognised by retailers which were eager to use coffee as a strategic good. Discounts for certain coffee brands were constantly offered, using coffee as a bait with hopes that once in their stores, consumers would also shop for other goods that they originally came for. Low loyalty for particular brands added to such behaviour as coffee drinkers were switching between brands freely, always prepared to grab the package boasting slashed price.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods Lietuva AB, despite facing aggressive competition, maintained its leading positionin the market with a commanding 36% overall share of coffee in value terms, with most of the revenue generated by products under the Jacobs brand. Although many companies used price discounts, Kraft Foods Lietuva AB had an advantage other companies lacked, which is a strong brand. Whilst other companies were selling cheap coffee, Kraft offered its widely known brand Jacobs for affordable price which was enough to drive sales. The company also stood out from competitors as it continued to spend heavily on innovative advertising campaigns, which strengthened its image further. The strong distribution channels of Kraft also played a part in the success of the brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Different needs of coffee drinkers, leading to fragmentation of the category, are expected to drive the development of coffee in the forecast period years. Whilst some consumers will only want akick of energy in the morning, others will value the nuances of each coffee type and, most importantly, will be ready to pay more for it. The results of coffee will correlate with the performance of the economy, but another decline of sales is highly unlikely for the simple reason that Lithuanians will give up on many things before they abandon coffee.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Companies cared little about other hot drinks in 2011 and the results certainly showed it. The category lacked new product launches, in-store promotion and attention from retailers in shelf positioning, all of which are crucial for the development of any product group. Combined with nonexistent habits of consumers to purchase other hot drinks, the stable sales of 2011 should be viewed as a positive sign.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With 22% of value sales, Saldva UAB was the leader in other hot drinks, generating the largest portion of its sales from its pure cocoa powder brand Kakava. This product not only is popular for hot drinks usage but also isfrequently used for baking goods such as chocolate pies. Although there are other cocoa brands on the market, Saldva manages to outsell them as a result of much better availability in a greater number of stores, as it has distribution deals with all major retailers. The company probably would not be able to build its business solely trading in cocoa, but its presence in other product categories – spices is the most important one – gives it an advantage competing sellers of other hot drinks lack.

PROSPECTS

  • Lack of differentiation and rising abundance of private label threaten other hot drinks. Although consumers will probably seek hot drinks other than coffee and tea for an occasional cup, firms seem to be ill prepared to satisfy this need, with only the children’s segment standing out. Lack of additional benefits is thus far the major hindrance to sales, as well as the largest opportunity. As consumers get more educated and conscious about their nutrition habits and their effects on health, other hot drinks might emerge as a category that consumers turn to. However, to do that, firms that are selling other hot drinks, especially non-chocolate-based drinks, will have to shift the perception of the drinks from powders of unknown origin to truly beneficial drinks. This will require large sums of money, something most of the companies do not seem to have.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although tea remains the drink many Lithuanians consume on a daily basis, companies failed in their efforts to persuade consumers to pay more attention to the drink. Despite the development of a tea culture, which is underpinned by the higher number of specialised tea stores and increasing range of tea to choose from in cafés, all the gains registered by tea were contributed primarily by higher unit prices.Consumers decided to stick to inexpensive teas they were used to and reluctantly opened their wallets for premium teas. Importers of teas also are to blame as they failed to offer anything of value to consumers besides discounts.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Because of long presence in the market and strong brands in its portfolio, Gelsva M Gumbreviciaus PPI was the leader of tea in 2011, accounting for 15% of all off-trade value sales, down by one percentage point compared to 2010 because of fragmentation of the category. The company has strong ties with all major retailers, which ensures that its products can be found in a very large number of stores. Most of the sales were generated by the Dilmah brand. Not only is this brand familiar to the majority of shoppers – a lasting effect from lavish spending on advertising in previous years of the review period – but is also available in almost every taste and format imaginable, increasing the chance of ending up in the baskets of shoppers. Gelsva was active in discounting its products in 2011, which helped to keep sales intact even when many consumers were looking for cheaper brands to save money.

PROSPECTS

  • Although consumers still hesitate to spend large sums of moneyon tea, the category is poised for growth over the forecast period. Gradually increasing disposable income of consumers will allow them to open their wallets just a little wider, occasionally allowing themselves a treat like premium tea. There is much to be done by tea sellers (it is not uncommon in cafés to see a waitress pouring boiling water on green tea, for example) and opportunities in various flavours are limitless, which should drive sales in later years. In the early forecast period, companies will probably concentrate on the product portfolios they already have, vigorously removing nonperforming brands (retailers measure performance themselves, so the removal of such brands is inevitable anyway).

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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