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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Macedonia

Aug 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks registers marginal volume growth in 2011

After two poor years, volume sales of hot drinks in Macedonia recovered and rose marginally in 2011. Slow growth in 2011 was a result of a continued slowdown in the relatively mature coffee category in Macedonia, while the only factor keeping the category in positive territory was increased unit prices. Sales of tea and other hot drinks improved in both volume and value terms although penetration and brand diversity in the latter remain inadequate.

Value sales growth solid

Hot drinks grew marginally in 2011 in volume terms. Although Macedonia remains a coffee-drinking nation, its coffee category is slowing down, thus influencing the overall performance of hot drinks. Coffee was the poorest performing category in hot drinks in both value and volume terms in 2011. Herbal/traditional medicinal teas was the strongest performer, followed by black speciality tea and chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks.

Small grocery retailers lead sales while supermarkets/hypermarkets close in

Small grocery retailers remained the largest sales channel for hot drinks in Macedonia in 2011. However, the rapid growth of supermarkets/hypermarkets has contributed to a gain in share for these two channels, which offer consumers the widest possible range of competitively priced hot drinks products. Over the forecast period it is expected that the role of independent small grocers will continue to diminish and that supermarkets/hypermarkets will continue to gain, although the small grocery retailer channel will manage to retain its lead by 2016.

Domestic players dominate Macedonia’s conservative hot drinks market

The hot drinks market in Macedonia remains relatively conservative. Domestic companies dominate, with Alkaloid AD Skopje the undisputed leader within the overall health drinks category. Within coffee, domestically processed (Turkish-style) fresh ground coffee dominates. This type of coffee is of a relatively inferior quality to most coffees sold in the developed world but as it is affordable it is very popular among consumers in Macedonia. The two domestic manufacturers Rio dooel and Droga Kolinska dooel were the two leading players in coffee in volume terms in 2011. Of the foreign and multinational companies present in the hot drinks market, Atlantic Trade doo, Unilever Group, Franck dd and Nestlé were the most prominent.

Slow but steady growth forecast for hot drinks

The global recession had a significant impact on the hot drinks market in Macedonia. There was a noticeable shift among consumers towards economy/low-priced products in 2009 and 2010. Even in 2011, the market did not achieve any significant growth, mostly due to the relatively low volume growth of the largest category within hot drinks – coffee. Over the forecast period hot drinks is expected to maintain slow but positive growth in both volume and value terms. Rising commodity prices for the key ingredients such as coffee, tea, sugar and cocoa at a global level will play a significant role. Nonetheless, as Macedonian consumers’ disposable incomes are expected to improve, the growth of the hot drinks market is also expected to pick up steam. Consumers will seek products that offer value for money but most of all are convenient to use. The perceived health benefits of tea will be a major contributory factor to the growth of the tea category, particularly green tea.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Macedonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Macedonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Macedonia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Macedonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Macedonia?
  • What are the major brands in Macedonia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Macedonia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Macedonia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Macedonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks registers marginal volume growth in 2011

Value sales growth solid

Small grocery retailers lead sales while supermarkets/hypermarkets close in

Domestic players dominate Macedonia’s conservative hot drinks market

Slow but steady growth forecast for hot drinks

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Macedonia - Company Profiles

Droga Kolinska dooel in Hot Drinks (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Droga Kolinska dooel: Competitive Position 2011

Rio dooel in Hot Drinks (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Rio dooel: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail value sales of fresh ground coffee increased by 7% in current terms in 2011. Macedonia remains faithful to its long-standing tradition for Turkish coffee and Turkish-style fresh ground coffee, which is drunk by vast numbers of consumers. This category continued to dominate coffee sales in Macedonia in 2011 and will continue to do so over the forecast period. However, in terms of volume sales, fresh ground coffee remained flat.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Rio dooel remained the undisputed leader in coffee in Macedonia in 2011, accounting for a retail volume share of 39% and retail value share of 24%. The company offers low-priced products and so its huge volume share does not automatically translate into an equally high value share. Rio dooel managed to slightly increase its share in both value and volume terms in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Fresh coffee in Macedonia has reached maturity and saturation. Provided there are no significant changes in the coffee drinking culture, the category is not expected to achieve significant volume growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks continued to perform well in Macedonia in 2011, registering stronger current value and retail volume growth than the CAGRs posted over the review period. These products are mainly consumed by small children, teenagers and young adults. Fortification with vitamins and minerals makes these products very attractive to parents, who purchase these products for their children.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé remained the undisputed leader of other hot drinks in 2011 with a 35% retail value share. This position can be attributed to its longstanding presence in Macedonia with its well-known Nesquik brand, which enjoys a high level of consumer awareness. This awareness has been created through heavy promotional activities, which include outdoor advertising, in-store promotions, sweepstakes and tasting events.

PROSPECTS

  • Chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks is expected to continue to be influenced by two rather conflicting trends over the forecast period. On the one hand, the country is expected to experience an ongoing decline in its birth rate as more women enter the workforce or emigrate abroad in search of better paid jobs, thus postponing starting a family. On the other hand, this negative trend will be counterbalanced by Macedonian parents increasingly indulging their children as the economy grows and disposable incomes rise.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 35 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 41 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Tea in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Herbal/traditional medicinal teas put in the strongest performance in 2011, with off-trade volume growth of 4% and current value growth of 10%. This is a newly emerging product area and is characterised by a significant level of fragmentation. Most of the products in this category are domestically produced.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Alkaloid AD Skopje remained the leading player in tea in 2011 with a 28% retail value share. The company has a wide product portfolio, offering teas at various price points, including the brand Good Nature in the economy segment. The company continued to gain ground in 2011, increasing its share by half a percentage point. In green tea, Alkaloid accounted for a 45% retail value share, while in slimming teas it held a 33% share. The company heavily advertises its products, which include brands such as Good Nature, Alkalax, UVE Mix etc.

PROSPECTS

  • Increasing awareness about the health benefits of tea is expected to continue and will certainly influence sales over the forecast period. Tea has traditionally been the underdog within hot drinks in Macedonia. However, this is changing slowly but surely as more smokers quit and switch from coffee to tea and as more heavy carbonates and juice drinkers shift towards tea as a healthier alternative. Young urban women with mid to high incomes will drive this trend. Consumers are expected to be increasingly attracted by the various types of teas available, mostly via the supermarket/hypermarket channel.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 45 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 50 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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