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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Mexico

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Coffee consumption continues increasing for a number of reasons

Since 2002 there has been a notable increase in coffee consumption in Mexico, and growth in consumption has accelerated significantly since 2005. As a result, per capita consumption more than doubled between 2005 and 2011. The significant development of speciality coffee shops during the past decade has been a major influence on this growth as Mexicans have become more demanding in terms of the quality of coffee they consume. Coffee consumption has risen most among Mexico’s younger population, many of whom have embraced coffee culture as a way of life. Specialty products such as organic coffee and coffee pods, which were non-existent in Mexico at the start of the review period, are now widely available in Mexico.

The commodity price of coffee continues rising, putting pressure on retailers

The price of many agriculture commodities have been increasing in price since 2008. In the case of coffee, the commodity price of coffee began to increase substantially at global level towards the end of 2009, rising from US$3.23 per kg to around US$6.60 per kg by March of 2011, a 100% increase in slightly over a year. Coffee manufacturing companies have begun to pass these price increases on to consumers, leading to increases in the retail price of coffee. The commodity price of cocoa beans, on the other hand, fluctuated wildly over the same period, but the overall trend of rising prices remains clear, and this also placed pressure on the manufacturers of chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, which have been forced to pass these increases to the consumers as well.

Nestlé remains the dominant force in instant coffee in Mexico

While fresh ground coffee in Mexico is highly fragmented and only two companies were able to generate volume shares in excess of 10% in 2011, instant coffee remains dominated by global packaged food giant Nestlé and no other company has been able to come within touching distance. The dominance of Nestlé in instant coffee is so complete that smaller companies have been deterred from entering instant coffee altogether, leaving them to focus exclusively on fresh ground coffee, where Nestlé has no presence. However, other factors such as the huge investment in production machinery also discourage smaller companies from entering instant coffee.

Convenience stores and discounters continue expanding rapidly in Mexico

As convenience stores and discounters continue expanding all over Mexico, these outlets continue largely shaping the retail distribution of hot drinks, as well as packaged food and beverages generally. Mexico’s leading grocery retail chains OXXO and Wal-Mart now operate 1,100 outlets and 230 outlets respectively in the convenience stores and discounters channels and these retailers are now target medium-sized and small cities in which there was previously no presence of major chained grocery retailers. The outlets of OXXO and Wal-Mart are by now so prevalent in Mexico that some traditional grocery retailers have launched legal action to stop the spread of these modern retail chains across Mexico with the specific aim of limiting the locations of these outlets to areas which are not already served by traditional retailers.

There remains significant room for growth in coffee consumption

Coffee consumption in Mexico has risen significantly since 2002; however, there remains considerable room for further growth, considering that per capita coffee consumption in coffee growing countries which are experiencing similar economic development to that of Mexico such as Costa Rica and Brazil is double or triple Mexico’s current per capita coffee consumption. One of the major signals pointing towards the outstanding potential of coffee consumption in Mexico is the ongoing growth being recorded in specialist coffee shops all over the country, and this growth shows no sign of slowing down.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Mexico with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Mexico, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Mexico for free:

The Hot Drinks in Mexico market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Mexico?
  • What are the major brands in Mexico?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Mexico?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Mexico?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Mexico - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Coffee consumption continues increasing for a number of reasons

The commodity price of coffee continues rising, putting pressure on retailers

Nestlé remains the dominant force in instant coffee in Mexico

Convenience stores and discounters continue expanding rapidly in Mexico

There remains significant room for growth in coffee consumption

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

The commodity price of coffee continues rising, placing pressure on producers

Nestlé reinforces its dominant position in instant coffee in Mexico

Coffee consumption in Mexico continues to increase significantly

Demographic trends continue to shape demand for flavoured powder drinks

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Coffee by Category 2001-2010
  • Table 27 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Tea by Category 2001-2010

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Mexico - Company Profiles

Bristol-Myers Squibb de México SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Bristol-Myers Squibb de México SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Bristol-Myers Squibb de México SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Café del Pacifico SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Café del Pacifico SA de CV: Production Statistics 2010, no figures for 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Café del Pacifico SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Café Internacional de Córdoba SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Café Internacional de Córdoba SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Manzanilla La Pastora SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Manzanilla La Pastora SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Sabormex SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Sabormex SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Técnica Mexicana de Alimentación SA de CV in Hot Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Técnica Mexicana de Alimentación SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption in Mexico continued to increase during 2011. Mexican consumers have slowly become more educated about coffee consumption and now consume coffee in ways which were almost unheard of ten years ago. Mexico’s most sophisticated coffee consumers demand creative blends and take factors such as smell, consistency and colour into account when choosing their favourite types of coffee. Mexico’s annual per capita coffee consumption now exceeds 1.2kg of green coffee, the standard international measure. The ongoing increase in coffee consumption in Mexico led to a strong increase in retail value sales of all coffee categories as the increase in domestic demand has coincided with a significant increase in the commodity price of coffee at global level. However, even these significant price increases have proved to be no barrier to the spread of coffee culture and the significant rise in coffee consumption. Inelastic demand for coffee in Mexico stems from the rising number of die-hard coffee drinkers who are prepared to factor their daily coffee consumption into their budgets. The majority of Mexico’s coffee consumers would prefer to trade down to less expensive brands before reducing or eliminating their coffee consumption. As a result, coffee increased in retail volume by 4% in 2011 to 71,900 tonnes in 2011, while retail value sales increased by 8%, the result of rising unit prices fuelled by increases in the commodity price of coffee.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape in coffee in Mexico varies significantly between instant coffee and fresh ground coffee. In instant coffee, the leading multinational player in coffee at global level, Nestlé, continued to dominate in 2011, accounting for 74% of total retail volume sales, with Café Tostado de Exportación in distant second position with 9% of total retail volume sales. Fresh ground coffee, on the other hand, was led by Sabormex in 2011 with a 44% retail volume share, with Cafe Internacional de Cordoba its closest competitor with a volume share of 13%. Interestingly, Sabormex maintained third position in instant coffee in 2011 with a 5% value share, while Nestlé had only a negligible presence in fresh ground coffee. Nevertheless, Nestlé remains the leading company in coffee in Mexico with a 41% retail volume share in 2011 and a 54% retail value share. Nestlé’s much higher retail value share than retail volume share can be explained by the fact that instant coffee carries a much higher unit price than fresh ground coffee.

PROSPECTS

  • Currently, per capita consumption of green coffee in Mexico is estimated to be 12 times lower than the consumption of green coffee in the European countries which are the global leaders in coffee consumption. This suggests that there is considerable room for growth in coffee in Mexico. Furthermore, other coffee producing nations with similar levels of economic development, such as Brazil, Colombia and Costa Rica have per capita domestic coffee consumption double or triple Mexico’s coffee consumption. In addition, there seems to be no end in sight for the ongoing increase in the consumption of coffee in Mexico, not least because specialist coffee shops continue to flourish across the country as Mexicans become better educated about coffee culture. However, one unwanted consequence of the ongoing rise in the domestic consumption of coffee in Mexico is the ongoing declines being recorded in the country’s coffee exports, a situation which has already been observed as production levels remains static during the review period, whilst domestic consumption continued to increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 35 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The prevailing demographic trends in Mexico point towards ongoing decline in the consumer base for other hot drinks in Mexico as the number of Mexicans aged between five and 15 years old continues to decrease. The size of this age group declined by 1.5% over the course of the review period in a continuation of trends which have prevailed in Mexico for decades now, the result of constantly declining birth rates. This trend appears to be completely irreversible as, unlike other countries, Mexico has not any significant influx of immigrants to compensate for its declining birth rate. As a result, many of the country’s other hot drinks companies, particularly the manufacturers of flavoured powder drinks, are positioning their products as nutritious and healthy beverages as well as being tasty in order to capture demand adults as the number of children in Mexico continues to diminishing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Bristol-Myers Squibb remained the leading manufacturer of other hot drinks in Mexico in 2011 with a value share of 55% thanks to the popularity of its two brands Choco Milk and Cal-C-Tose. These two brands have been available in Mexico for decades and have become synonymous with chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, especially the Choco Milk brand. Choco Milk is the only brand of chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks to come in flavoured versions such as Chocobanana, Chocolate a la Canela (with cinnamon) and Choco Napolitano, although the brand lacks a vanilla option. Cal-C-Tose, meanwhile, has been successfully positioned as a nutritious flavoured powder drink due to its high content of calcium, vitamins and minerals. Nestlé was in second position in 2011 with a 33% value share through its popular brands Nesquik, Abuelita and the economy brand Morelia, all of which have also been present in Mexico for several decades.

PROSPECTS

  • Ongoing demographic shifts will remain the major issue for other hot drinks in Mexico for the foreseeable future. For example, by 2016, the number of Mexicans aged under 15—the target audience for flavoured powder drinks—is expected to have declined by 1.93%. This trend will limit the volume CAGR for other hot drinks to 2%, in spite of the rising penetration of flavoured powder drinks.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 47 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea consumption increased in retail volume by 2% in Mexico during 2011. This was mainly due to Mexican traditionally regarding tea as a beverage which enhances one’s health and can be consumed as a remedy for minor ailments such as colds, nervousness and digestive distress. Unlike other countries in which tea is regarded mainly as a recreational drink, Mexicans usually do not drink tea for refreshment or social reasons. However, the attitude towards tea is slowly changing in Mexico due to the rapid expansion of specialist coffee shops, the majority of which also offer a limited range of teas. The 8% increase in retail value sales recorded in tea in Mexico during 2011 was much higher than the volume growth as the commodity price of tea continued to rise at global level.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • TeaCorp de Mexico SA de CV remained the leading company in tea in Mexico during 2011, accounting for 24% of total tea retail value sales in 2011. Following in second position in 2011 was Grupo Herdez, the owner of the McCormick brand. Grupo Herdez accounted for 14% of total tea retail value sales in 2011. TeaCorp de México is the owner of the famous Lagg’s brand. Lagg’s is a very affordable brand which routinely launches attractive promotions such as ‘buy one, get one free’ offers. These promotions are very common, as Lagg’s products can be found in traditional grocery retail channels such as small independent grocers as well as modern grocery retail channels. Many tea brands in Mexico are only available either through traditional grocery retailers or modern grocery retailers.

PROSPECTS

  • There is no significant growth expected in volume sales of tea in Mexico over the forecast period. The current trend of tea being perceived mainly as a beverage with medicinal properties rather than as a hot drink which consumed for pleasure and refreshment will take years, if not decades, to alter, and there is no guarantee that this perception will ever change. As a result, the most logical conclusion to draw is that moderate growth will continue. Tea is set to increase in volume at a CAGR of 3% over the forecast period, with constant value set to increase at a CAGR of 5% due to the ongoing increase in the commodity price of tea at global level pushing unit prices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 59 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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