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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Nigeria

Jun 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Nutritional concerns, work environment and marketing activities drive growth

Nutritional concerns and the work environment continued to determine the drinking patterns of upper- and middle-class consumers in 2011, enabling hot drinks to continue to register growth in both volume and value terms. Consumers in work environments increasingly drank hot beverages for refreshment and when entertaining visitors. Hot drinks are also increasingly playing a part at breakfast time in most Nigerian homes, especially for schoolchildren, as it is believed that they can help enhance growth and improve mental skills. The marketing activities of manufacturers also contributed to the growth seen in hot drinks. The size of Nigeria’s ever increasing population also means that there is steady demand for these products.

Mature products doing well thanks to innovation and competition

Although the three hot drinks categories of coffee, tea and other hot drinks are essentially mature, they have continued to develop as newer players enter the market and challenge traditional incumbents. In coffee, fresh coffee is seeing the strongest growth, while newer categories in instant coffee, such as 3-in-1 and milky coffee, are also growing quickly. In tea, fruit/herbal tea, green tea and instant tea are growing rapidly, while companies such as Promasidor are continually innovating in the more mature black tea category with products such as round tea bags. In other hot drinks, Cadbury Nigeria has re-launched its repackaged Bournvita brand to offer consumers more convenience while also improving its aesthetic appeal.

Nestlé Nigeria dominates off-trade value sales

Nestlé Nigeria remained the clear leader in the Nigerian hot drinks market in 2011 with a 38% share of off-trade value sales. The company benefits from its longstanding presence in Nigeria and a reputation for quality, thus enjoying appreciable consumer loyalty. The company also benefits from a strong distribution network. Multinational companies dominate the hot drinks market in Nigeria, with the three leading players Nestlé Nigeria, Cadbury Nigeria and Unilever Nigeria commanding a combined off-trade value share of 65% in 2011. However, Promasidor Nigeria Ltd is also performing well thanks to its competitive pricing and innovative range of products.

Mobile kiosk vending grows as grocery retailers lead distribution

Grocery retailers remained the leading distribution channel for hot drinks in Nigeria in 2011. Supermarkets and hypermarkets have registered an increase in share over the last few years due to the entry of major retailers such as Shoprite and Spar. However, independent small grocers led in 2011 with an 80% volume share, followed by non-grocery retailers with 10% and then other grocery retailers with 7%. There is an increasing trend towards mobile kiosks in Nigeria whereby retailers take these to places where there is a large concentration of people who might want to buy coffee while on the go, for example in busy streets. Currently, Nescafé coffee from Nestlé Nigeria remains the only visible brand employing his strategy.

NPD and marketing activities to drive growth over the forecast period

It is expected that hot drinks will see steady growth over the forecast period as producers continue to improve their existing brands, develop new products and introduce new packaging innovations. Manufacturers will likely give their products significant marketing support as competition intensifies, in turn creating further awareness among consumers. Once again, the growing hot drinks culture among working class consumers and the expansion of a formal office working culture will help to accelerate growth.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Nigeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Nigeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Nigeria for free:

The Hot Drinks in Nigeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Nigeria?
  • What are the major brands in Nigeria?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Nigeria?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Nigeria?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Nigeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Nutritional concerns, work environment and marketing activities drive growth

Mature products doing well thanks to innovation and competition

Nestlé Nigeria dominates off-trade value sales

Mobile kiosk vending grows as grocery retailers lead distribution

NPD and marketing activities to drive growth over the forecast period

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 25 Imports of Hot Drinks by Category 2007-2010

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Nigeria - Company Profiles

Cadbury Nigeria Plc in Hot Drinks (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Cadbury Nigeria Plc: Competitive Position 2011

Promasidor Nigeria Ltd in Hot Drinks (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Promasidor Nigeria Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption is on the increase in Nigeria as it becomes a major source of refreshment for both employees and visitors in most workplaces. It is generally believed that the caffeine content in coffee helps boost mental alertness and can prevent tiredness. Hence, many students now rely on coffee to keep them awake and alert when studying. Many public transport workers are also increasingly drinking coffee so as to stay alert when working. On the whole, coffee is increasingly becoming a popular hot drink among consumers in Nigeria. Westernisation and rising incomes (among some of the population) are also helping to drive growth, with returnees from the diaspora also more likely to drink coffee.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Nigeria dominates coffee sales in Nigeria. The company’s Nescafé is popular among coffee consumers in Nigeria because it was the first coffee brand in the country and has built up strong brand loyalty. The company also benefits from a national distribution network and a huge advertising budget. These attributes gave the company a dominant 84% share of off-trade volume sales in 2011. Nestlé SA brands, imported by third parties other than Nestlé Nigeria Plc, accounted for a further 5% share of off-trade volume sales in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to post a total volume CAGR of 4% over 2011-2016. This will be a result of the growing popularity of coffee among Nigerians, especially students and working adults. It is also expected that specialist coffee shops will continue to increase in number. Producers will also use advertising and new product development to grow the coffee category in Nigeria. The popularity of mobile kiosks is also set to rise over the forecast period, helping to increase the number of coffee drinkers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks recorded strong volume growth in 2011. Most parents believe that chocolate and malt- based hot drinks will help their children grow. Hence, these drinks form a major part of their children’s diets. This led to stronger growth in 2011 than the review period CAGR. The category is being further driven by the huge advertising budgets and marketing activities of the leading brand owners. The added advantage of being able to serve these drinks either hot or cold further boosted sales and made other hot drinks beverages for all weathers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Thanks to strong brand loyalty and a robust distribution network, Nestlé Nigeria led other hot drinks in 2011 with a 39% off-trade value share. The company’s Milo brand is very popular among other hot drinks consumers and has been present in the Nigerian market for a long time. The company’s innovative marketing style, trusted brands and huge investment in event sponsorship enabled it to maintain its leading position over the review period and in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that other hot drinks will post a total volume CAGR of 7% over the forecast period. This will result from increased marketing activities and population growth. Manufacturers’ marketing activities will open up new opportunities for other hot drinks. As children constitute a fair share of other hot drinks consumers, the growing population can only be a positive factor for forecast growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • New product launches and marketing activities were the major factors driving growth of tea in 2011. These new products and the marketing activities supporting them boosted awareness of tea and stimulated consumption. The availability of relatively new products such as instant tea (launched 2008) also helped to drive growth. Total volume growth in 2011 was marginally stronger than the review period CAGR, while retail volume growth was the same. This was due to rival alternatives to tea and the gradual preference of consumers for more convenient and faster ways of consuming drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Nigeria Plc continued to lead tea in 2011 with a 45% off-trade value share. The company has a long history in Nigerian tea through its Lipton brand, which is very popular among tea drinkers. The company also benefits from a widespread distribution network which has helped make Lipton a household name. The company’s Home Cup tea, which is positioned at the lower end of the category, also commands a significant share of sales. Periodic promotional activity for the leading brand has helped the company to maintain its leading position.

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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