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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Pakistan

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Increasing costs led to jump in prices

A strong increase in unit price in 2011 led to stifled volume growth in the hot drinks market. All areas were affected by the increase in production and import costs, which manufacturers decided to pass on to consumers. Since most hot drinks consumed in Pakistan are directly or indirectly imported from other countries, the costs are sensitive to a host of factors, including energy costs, depreciating currency and high rate of taxation. Small volume growth was accompanied by strong growth in value terms as consumers paid more for the same levels of consumption.

Coffee, green tea and tea bags make their mark

As a display of development of taste in terms of hot drinks, and growing out of the traditional cooked black tea phenomenon, 2011 saw an increased shift in consumption towards the more modern categories. Coffee increased in popularity as more brands were made available to consumers to choose from and coffee houses sprung up and continued to be centres of social activity in urban areas. Green tea grew in prominence due to its health benefits and bagged black tea due to its convenience of use. This shift was a dominant trend in this industry and market players responded with targeted advertising campaigns and increased availability and visibility in foodservice and retail outlets.

International brands continue to dominate

With the exception of tea, where Tapal Tea and other local players maintained a sizeable share, international brands and players continued to play the leading role across various categories in 2011. This trend is indicative of a low local capacity to produce nationally accepted brands or quality products that would appeal to the average consumer. Great reliance on international brands meant that there remained little market-specific product innovation or marketing activity in the country as consumers are restricted to choosing from a limited range of names imported into the country.

Increased distribution via supermarkets and hypermarkets

As more consumers choose to shop at supermarkets and hypermarkets for their grocery needs, hot drinks also experienced an increase in distribution through these channels. Ability to purchase discounted items and shop for all their groceries under one roof were the main motivators behind this trend.

Strong outlook for the future

Hot drinks continue to form an important market in Pakistan, which is counted as one of the highest per capita drinkers of tea. As the population and economy of the country grows, continued developments in all categories, especially the new and upcoming ones such as coffee, green tea and bagged tea, will remain strong in the short and medium term.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Pakistan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Pakistan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Pakistan for free:

The Hot Drinks in Pakistan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Pakistan?
  • What are the major brands in Pakistan?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Pakistan?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Pakistan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Pakistan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Increasing costs led to jump in prices

Coffee, green tea and tea bags make their mark

International brands continue to dominate

Increased distribution via supermarkets and hypermarkets

Strong outlook for the future

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Pakistan - Company Profiles

Qarshi Industries (Pvt) Ltd in Hot Drinks (Pakistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Qarshi Industries (Pvt) Ltd: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Qarshi Industries (Pvt) Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Tapal Tea (Pvt) Ltd in Hot Drinks (Pakistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Tapal Tea (Pvt) Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Pakistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pakistan’s growing urban population and changing preferences of young consumers from tea towards coffee helped total coffee volume sales increase by 7% in 2011. While tea remains the more popular drink as compared to coffee, the demand for coffee is rising due to a higher social value placed on coffee. This can be seen in the growing number of coffee shops in large cities as compared to outlets exclusively serving tea and a growing number of young consumers exercising their spending choices in favour of coffee.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé, with its brand Nescafé, led sales in 2011 with a 47% share in off-trade volume terms. Nescafé is considered synonymous with coffee in Pakistan, as it is the oldest and most prominent brand of coffee available in the country. A strong distribution network helps its cause as consumers can purchase Nescafé coffee from a wide range of distribution channels and any retailer stocking coffee would begin with Nescafé.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee will continue to gain in prominence and acceptability among consumers over the forecast period, leading to strong volume growth. Rising costs, especially costs related to importing, will push up unit prices, leading to stronger growth in value sales. This will put downward pressure on coffee, but, given the high rate of inflation across the board, coffee will not stand out in any way in terms of higher prices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Pakistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Increasing awareness of the positive effects of flavoured powder drinks, especially due to their link with milk, for growth in young children, led to strong growth of 11% in volume sales in 2011. These products are targeted towards young consumers with the tagline that consumption will lead to a better performance in studies and sports, which is an attractive proposition for parents. As more families are made aware of and gain the necessary means to afford these drinks for their children, the consumption of these drinks will grow.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • GlaxoSmithKline led other hot drinks sales in 2011, recording a retail value share of 35%. The company’s success can be attributed to the increasing popularity and availability of its famous Horlicks brand. Horlicks comes in a range of different packaging and price formats and is targeted towards consumers within all income groups.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks is still a considerably small market area in Pakistan and strong growth over the forecast period (CAGR of 13%) is expected. This growth will rely on key players attempting to reactivate their brands in the market and reemphasising product benefits to consumers. In terms of distribution and availability, other hot drinks have been able to reach a high level of penetration, which has helped raise their profile in the hot drinks market and will continue to maintain this profile in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Pakistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, strong marketing campaigns by leading players in the market, such as Tapal Tea (Pvt) Ltd and Unilever Pakistan, helped rejuvenate the image of tea as a product linked with traditions as well as a refreshing drink that helps clear up the mind. This two-pronged approach was designed to appeal to the two key classes of consumers in the country – the urban and the rural population. A good cup of tea was portrayed as a key element in family gatherings, common life, traditional pride and productive work – helping the product’s image, which is often taken as a drink of old times to be replaced with coffee and other alternatives.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tapal Tea led tea sales in 2011, recording a retail value share of 25%, followed by Unilever Pakistan (17%) and Tetley Clover (8%). The retail value shares of Tapal Tea and Unilever increased in 2011. However, Tetley Clover’s sales share declined slightly during the year. After a strong impact on the market in the review period, a slowdown in marketing activity and failure to appeal to consumers as a product for the masses, Tetley Clover lost some ground to the heavyweights in the category, which have been present in the country for decades.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% in total volume terms over the forecast period due to the increase in the tea-drinking population and continued centrality of tea as the hot drink of choice in Pakistan. The dynamics of tea consumption will shift, however, as black standard bagged tea, green tea and fruit/herbal tea gain prominence, especially among urban middle-class consumers. However, consumers in the rural population are heavy drinkers of tea and will continue to be prominent consumers in the market.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 51 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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