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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Portugal

Aug 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A decline in total volume sales

Due to the depth of the economic crisis, hot drinks total volume sales decreased in 2011. Retail value growth was stimulated by increased innovation. However, in the on-trade channel demand continued to fall. Portuguese consumers turned to consuming hot drinks at home as a result of lower average unit prices in retail channels compared to foodservice establishments. Individual bags and pods encouraged consumers to increase their consumption in the off-trade channel.

Shift to the off-trade favours pods

The financial crisis has changed the consumption habits of Portuguese consumers. Due to the crisis, they are cutting down on their consumption in the on-trade channel, preferring the lower-priced alternatives on offer in the off-trade channel, to the benefit of private label. Coffee, a cultural tradition in Portugal and which is a mature category with high per capita consumption, also benefited as consumers started to buy premium products such as coffee pod machines to facilitate access to high-quality coffee at home, but coffee which is still cheaper than in a bar or restaurant.

Private label continues to gain ground

Private label continued to gain share in 2011 due to lower average prices in the prevailing economic climate which is characterised by limited disposable incomes and a strong contraction in private consumption. Private label products offer reasonable quality, low prices and are widely available, these being the main reasons for their growing popularity. The strategies of retailers include a focus on replacing leading brands with private label offerings on their shelves. Stagnant consumption forced retailers to make significant changes to storage and display strategies.

Supermarkets and hypermarkets dominate distribution

Supermarkets and hypermarkets account for the bulk of hot drinks sales in Portugal and the channel continued to be the most popular in 2011 at the expense of specialist retailers and independent small grocers thanks to their competitive prices. Nevertheless, the share of supermarkets declined slightly in 2011, with reduced purchasing power instead benefiting discounters.

No recovery over the forecast period

Hot drinks is predicted a negative total volume CAGR over the forecast period. The Portuguese economy is not expected to recover in the short term, with most economists predicting a further deterioration in 2012. As a result, manufacturers are very pessimistic, with many expecting 2012 to be even tougher than 2011. Retail value growth will be sustained by a shift from the on-trade to the off-trade as well as innovation, although this is not expected to be sufficient for the total market to recover.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Portugal with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Portugal, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Portugal for free:

The Hot Drinks in Portugal market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Portugal?
  • What are the major brands in Portugal?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Portugal?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Portugal?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Portugal - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A decline in total volume sales

Shift to the off-trade favours pods

Private label continues to gain ground

Supermarkets and hypermarkets dominate distribution

No recovery over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic conditions favour private label

Consumption patterns influenced by stay-at-home trend

Mature coffee category boosted by pods

Health and wellness consciousness a growing opportunity for manufacturers

Discounters and supermarkets/hypermarkets dominate hot drinks distribution

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Imports/Exports of Coffee 2006-2010

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Portugal - Company Profiles

Novadelta - Comércio e Indústria de Cafés Lda in Hot Drinks (Portugal)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Novadelta – Comércio e Indústria de Cafés Lda: Competitive Position 2011

Nutrexpa Portugal Lda in Hot Drinks (Portugal)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Nutrexpa Portugal Lda: Competitive Position 2011

Nutricafés- Cafés e Restauração SA in Hot Drinks (Portugal)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Nutricafés – Cafés e Restauração SA: Competitive Position 2011

Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda in Hot Drinks (Portugal)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption fell in Portugal in 2011. The economic downturn and the stay-at-home trend saw on-trade volume sales decline by 7%. As a consequence, there was a transfer from the on-trade to the off-trade, with off-trade volumes rising by 9%. This increase was also driven by the success of coffee pods. Nevertheless, a positive performance from the off-trade could not offset losses in the on-trade, with the overall category registering a 1% total volume decline.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Portugal SA maintained its leading position in coffee in 2011 with a 36% volume share thanks to its brands Nescafé, Sical, Nespresso and Dolce Gusto. The company holds first position largely as a result of its successful branding and advertising strategies. First and foremost, Nestlé is present in all coffee categories from fresh ground coffee to instant coffee, in both standard coffee and coffee pods, in both the mass market and the premium segment. The company’s multi-brand strategy has allowed it to react and develop itself according to shifting consumer demand and trends. Secondly, Nestlé has benefited from strong advertising campaigns and promotions for each of its products. Nestlé has always invested significant amounts in innovation and promotion in its bid to maintain a strong presence in all categories. Nestlé’s leadership in coffee in Portugal will undoubtedly continue over the forecast period.

PROSPECTS

  • The recovery of the Portuguese economy is not expected to take place in the short term and all manufacturers project a gloomy future for hot drinks over the coming years. Despite the strong coffee culture, it is expected that overall coffee sales will continue to decline over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks sales declined in 2011 due to a lack of innovation and rising maturity. The largest other hot drinks area is chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, which includes both adult and children’s products. Children’s products like Nesquik and Suchard Express account for the majority of sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Portugal SA continued to lead other hot drinks in Portugal in 2011 with a 61% retail value share. The company is present in all other hot drinks categories with a wide choice of brands, including Nesquik, Mokambo, Brasa, Bolero, Pensal and Tofina. The company is well established in other hot drinks in Portugal and its brands are all supported by advertising campaigns as well as the solid reputation of the company as a producer of high-quality products.

PROSPECTS

  • The economic crisis is expected to restrict sales over the short term. Total volume sales are predicted to fall in 2012 and 2013 but remain fairly stable over the forecast period to reach 9,793 tonnes in 2016. Off-trade volume sales are expected to grow very slightly, while on-trade sales are expected to decline by 1% annually. This will be a slightly stronger decline than that seen over the review period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee consumption is a long-standing cultural tradition in Portugal and so tea constituted only a fraction of total hot drinks volume sales in 2011. Nevertheless, the emergence of the health and wellness trend in Portugal has been gradual and has positively impacted sales of tea. Total volume sales increased at a CAGR of 4% over the review period. Many Portuguese consumers opt for tea because it is considered fashionable and is perceived as a healthy option. Tea is no longer an outdated drink and it has gained popularity among younger consumers as perceptions of the drink have changed. Tea was traditionally viewed in Portugal as a beverage solely for the elderly and infirm, but is now seen as a natural product and associated more with health and wellness. Portuguese consumers are gaining interest in tea in order to maximise the healthiness of their lifestyles as they become more informed of the health benefits of tea. Furthermore, many Portuguese consumers have switched from coffee to tea as they seek healthier alternatives to the stimulant caffeine.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda retained its leading position in tea in Portugal in 2011 with a 37% off-trade value share, up from 36% in 2010. This positive performance was by virtue of its brands Lipton and Rotulo Azul. Unilever’s flagship brand, Lipton, dominated several tea categories including fruit/herbal tea, green tea and other tea. The Lipton brand benefited from a strong reputation and a positive image among Portuguese consumers, which was supported by extensive point-of-sale promotions. Nabeirodist Lda ranked second in tea with a 12% off-trade value share. Nabeirodist Lda has been the official distributor of Tetley in Portugal since early 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Portuguese consumers will continue to show a growing interest in health and wellness over the forecast period, adjusting their lifestyles and diets accordingly. This shift towards health and wellness is expected to boost sales of tea, particularly herbal/traditional medicinal teas and green tea. Premiumisation will be another point of interest among Portuguese consumers as they seek alternative products which are more sophisticated. These two trends will be consistent as premium products are perceived as being of a better quality as well as healthier.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 62 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 65 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 67 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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