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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Portugal

Feb 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Portugal with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Portugal, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Portugal for free:

The Hot Drinks in Portugal market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Portugal?
  • What are the major brands in Portugal?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Portugal?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Portugal?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising competition boosts innovation

The trends in hot drinks in Portugal during 2010 continued to reflect the challenging business environment. Overall, growth in hot drinks was constrained by the poor performance of on-trade channels. Off-trade sales of hot drinks, however, continued to represent opportunities for key players. Nestlé Portugal SA, which continued to lead hot drinks in Portugal in 2010, found itself in fierce competition with domestic player Novadelta - Comércio e Indústria de Cafés Lda. The entrance of Kraft Foods in 2010 also led to even more focus falling on innovation and product differentiation.

Healthy hot drinks increasingly appreciated

The increasing importance of health and wellness trends in Portugal had a positive impact on hot drinks in Portugal during 2010. Portuguese consumers are increasingly interested in health and nutrition, boosting sales of hot drinks such as herbal tea and green tea, both of which are well known to be healthier. The consumer willingness to spend on high quality and nutritious products will continue to drive growth in value sales of hot drinks over the forecast period, both in on-trade and off-trade channels.

Private label is gaining ground

The ongoing insecurity stemming from the high unemployment and the economic difficulties currently affecting Portugal is leading Portuguese consumers to turn to private label, which is a cheaper option than branded goods. Private label captured further value share from branded products during 2010. Private label products are increasingly in demand among Portuguese consumers and are benefiting from a better image among consumers. Retailers are proposing to increase their already wide varieties of private label goods, particularly expanding from the existing basic private label lines into gourmet and premium private label products.

Premiumisation trend continues despite the economic downturn

Although Portuguese consumers experienced a hard year amidst slow economic growth, hot drinks is still heading towards premiumisation. Portuguese consumers are constantly looking for better and healthier lifestyles, and this is reflected in their hot drinks choices. Premium coffee brands such as Nespresso and healthy lifestyle products such as green tea are become more popular due to the rising consumer concerns about their personal health and wellbeing.

Forecast period set to be challenging for on-trade players

The austerity measures launched by the Portuguese Government for 2011 will have a strong impact on consumers, many of whom will have to restrain their spending. This will lead to a major rise in demand for cheaper brands and private label over the forecast period. Private label is increasingly seen as having a similar level of quality to branded products. On one hand, these austerity measures will lead to a slowdown in on-trade volume sales, as Portuguese consumers are likely to stay away from cafés, bars and restaurants, while on the other hand an increase in off-trade sales of hot drinks, particularly through discounters and private label, can be expected.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Portugal - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising competition boosts innovation

Healthy hot drinks increasingly appreciated

Private label is gaining ground

Premiumisation trend continues despite the economic downturn

Forecast period set to be challenging for on-trade players

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Increased competition among players drives innovation

Health and wellness driving sales

Recession benefits private label

Premiumisation still a major trend in hot drinks

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

Published Data Comparisons

  • Table 26 Consumer Expenditure on Coffee, Tea and Cocoa: 2004-2009
  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Portugal - Company Profiles

Novadelta - Comércio e Indústria de Cafés Lda - Hot Drinks - Portugal

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Novadelta - Comércio e Indústria de Cafés Lda: Competitive Position 2010

Nutrexpa Portugal Lda - Hot Drinks - Portugal

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Nutrexpa Portugal Lda: Competitive Position 2010

Nutricafés- Cafés e Restauração SA - Hot Drinks - Portugal

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Nutricafés - Cafés e Restauração SA: Competitive Position 2010

Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda - Hot Drinks - Portugal

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of coffee in Portugal remained static in 2010 as volume sales through off-trade channels increased by 1% and a 1% decrease was registered in on-trade volume. Fresh ground coffee recorded positive retail volume growth of 2% and retail value growth of 4% in 2010. Coffee in Portugal benefited from higher interest among consumers in coffee pods, which represented 11% of coffee volume sales in 2010. Coffee pods have been widely promoted and advertised in Portugal. This marketing focuses on the combination of convenience, quality and variety offered by coffee pods. At the end of 2010, Kraft Foods launched its Tassimo coffee pods brand. Tassimo machines are marketed as being multi-beverage machines.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Portugal SA maintained its leading position in coffee in 2010 with a 45% value share thanks to its brands Nescafé and Sical. The company occupies first position largely as a result of its successful branding and advertising strategies. First and foremost, Nestlé is present in all coffee categories from fresh ground coffee to instant coffee, in both standard coffee and coffee pods, in both the mass market and the premium market. The company’s multi-brand strategy allowed the company to develop itself according shifting consumer demand and trends. Secondly, Nestlé has benefited from strong advertising campaigns and promotions for each of its products. Nestlé has always invested significant amounts in innovation and promotion in its bid to maintain a strong presence in all subcategories. Nestlé’s leadership in coffee in Portugal will undoubtedly continue over the forecast period.

PROSPECTS

  • Portuguese consumers are becoming increasingly well-informed and demanding in terms of their coffee consumption. Coffee is expected to become mature during the forecast period and consumers will therefore change their habits, seeking higher quality products and more variety. In light of certain studies which refer to coffee as being bad for one’s health as it is a stimulant, Portuguese consumers will seek more gourmet coffee as well as more fairtrade coffee. In this sense, coffee manufacturers will become increasingly preoccupied in maintaining and improving their public image, turning to sustainability and fairtrade in order to do so.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2007-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Due to the negative effects of the economic recession, Portuguese consumers are turning towards private label, which is cheaper than branded goods although with similar quality. Other hot drinks tend to be relatively expensive, and private label represents an acceptable alternative during times when consumers are cutting down on expenditure. Moreover, other hot drinks suffers from another potential threat. As childhood obesity is becoming a major issue in Portugal, parents are switching their children’s consumption to alternatives such as drinking milk with cereal or fruit, which are considered as being healthier options.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Portugal SA continued to lead other hot drinks in Portugal during 2010 with a 54% retail value share. The company is present in all other hot drinks categories with a wide choice of brands including Nesquik, Mokambo, Brasa, Bolero Pensal and Tofina. The company is well established in other hot drinks in Portugal and its brands are all supported by advertising campaigns as well as the solid reputation of the company for producing quality products.

PROSPECTS

  • The ongoing economic downturn will continue to affect other hot drinks in Portugal as retail growth rates remain slow and decreases are registered in other hot drinks consumption through foodservice during the forecast period. However, other hot drinks will recover towards the end of the forecast period as the Portuguese economy begins to recover.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Portugal - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The emergence of the health and wellness trend in Portugal has been gradual and has positively impacted sales of tea in Portugal. Many Portuguese consumers opt for tea because it is considered to be trendy and is perceived as a healthy option. Tea is no longer an old-fashioned drink and it has gained popularity among younger consumers as perceptions of the drink have changed. Tea was traditionally viewed in Portugal as a beverage solely for the elderly and infirm, but is now seen as a natural product and associated more with health and wellness. Portuguese consumers are gaining interest in tea in order to maximise the healthiness of their lifestyles as they become more informed of the health benefits of tea. Furthermore, many Portuguese consumers have switched from coffee to tea as they seek healthier alternatives to the stimulant caffeine.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Jerónimo Martins Lda retained its leading position in tea in Portugal during 2010 with a 34% off-trade value share. This positive performance was by virtue of its brands Lipton and Rótulo Azul. Unilever’s flagship brand, Lipton, dominated all tea categories including black tea, fruit/herbal tea, green tea and other tea. The Lipton brand benefited from a strong reputation and a positive image among Portuguese consumers, which was supported by extensive point-of-sale promotions. Nabeirodist Lda was ranked second in tea with a 20% off-trade value share. Nabeirodist Lda has been the official distributor of Tetley in Portugal since early 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Portuguese consumers will continue to demonstrate a growing interest in health and wellness during the forecast period, and they are adjusting their lifestyles and diets accordingly. This shift towards health and wellness is expected to boost sales of tea over the forecast period, particularly fruit/herbal tea and green tea. Premiumisation will be another point of interest among Portuguese consumers as they seek alternative products which are more sophisticated and tasty. These two trends will be consistent as premium products are perceived as being of better quality as well as healthier.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 58 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Standard vs Pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail Volume
      • Retail Volume % growth
      • Retail Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Volume
      • Foodservice Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Volume per capita
      • Total Volume
      • Total Volume % growth
      • Total Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail RTD volume
      • Retail RTD volume % growth
      • Retail RTD volume per capita
      • Foodservice RTD volume
      • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
      • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
      • Total RTD volume
      • Total RTD volume % growth
      • Total RTD volume per capita
      • Retail Cups Volume
      • Retail Cups Volume % growth
      • Retail Cups Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Cups Volume
      • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
      • Total Cups Volume
      • Total Cups Volume % growth
      • Total Cups Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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