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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Russia

May 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tea is close to achieving its growth potential

Tea is a traditional drink in Russia, which is consumed by 90% of the population. The popularity of tea is supported by the fact that tea consumption in Russia is resistant to factors such as financial crises or unusually hot summer weather. Although, there was continued total volume growth in tea in 2011, an increase in number of consumers of tea or a significant increase in per capita volume consumption is highly unlikely as tea in Russia is close to reaching its growth potential. The three main players in tea accounted for a combined retail value share of 58% in 2011. Therefore, strong continued total volume growth in tea is unlikely and thus growth is expected to stagnate over the forecast period.

Increased prices due to bad weather conditions

Despite the fact that the Russian economy was only just starting to recover and that there was still a feeling of uncertainty among consumers, unit prices in tea and coffee increased in 2011 disproportionately to growth in the level of disposable income of consumers. The main reason for the price increase was a combination of drought as well as flooding in main producing countries, which damaged tea and coffee harvests resulting in global shortages and rising prices. An additional factor influencing growth in unit prices was increased demand for these agricultural commodities around the world.

Competition moves on to grounds of product quality in tea

Tea in Russia is close to saturation therefore further total volume growth due to increasing per capita volume consumption is unlikely. For that reason companies in tea have started to compete on the grounds of product quality, introducing new product ranges in tea as well as adding new flavour variants to existing product ranges. Moreover, there is rising interest in specialty teas such as White tea and Oolong tea. Over the forecast period, companies in tea will need to reconsider their product portfolios if they wish to sustain their level of competitiveness.

Chained coffee shops continues to grow

Russian consumers continued to show growing interest in the relatively new category of chained coffee shops in 2011. In light of slight economic recovery, consumers are starting to spend more time in these outlets. This category is already close to saturation in Moscow and St Petersburg; therefore, companies in coffee are considering expansion into other regions.

Growing popularity of vending

In 2011, there was almost no competition between vending and other distributional channels of hot drinks, although vending business is at the stage of intensive development. According to trade sources, the biggest product sold through vending channel is coffee. Taking into account that number of people per one vending machine in Russia is still low compared to western countries, this business has strong potential for further growth.

Leading companies in coffee open new factories in 2011

In September 2011, Paulig Kofe OOO made a €20 million investment and opened a new factory in the region of Tver for roasting green coffee beans. In October 2011, Nestlé Russia OOO opened a new factory in Kuban for full cycle production of instant coffee and other coffee beverages. Kraft Foods Russia OOO is also expected to invest more than US$100 million in increasing coffee production in its factory in Leningrad. In addition, Zolotye Kupola ZAO is expected to benefit from investment in new coffee production facilities by its parent company Strauss Group Ltd to meet demand in Russia and Ukraine. The main players in coffee have increased their activities in coffee because coffee in Russia possesses strong potential for future growth.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Russia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Russia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Russia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Russia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Russia?
  • What are the major brands in Russia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Russia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Russia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Russia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tea is close to achieving its growth potential

Increased prices due to bad weather conditions

Competition moves on to grounds of product quality in tea

Chained coffee shops continues to grow

Growing popularity of vending

Leading companies in coffee open new factories in 2011

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

The Russian economy experiences stable growth in 2011 despite uncertainty

Bad weather conditions trigger increase in unit prices

Competition in tea moves towards product quality

Growing interest in vending with coffee being most popular product

On-trade channel continues to grow through specialist chained coffee shops

Consumers choose fresh ground coffee over instant coffee

CITY KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Moscow

St Petersburg

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 20 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 23 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 27 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 28 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 29 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 30 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 31 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 32 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 41 Imports of Hot Drinks by Sector 2007-2011

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Russia - Company Profiles

Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO: Competitive Position 2011

Grand CD OOO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Grand CD OOO: Competitive Position 2011

Kuppo ZAO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Kuppo ZAO: Competitive Position 2011

Mai Kompanya OAO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Mai Kompanya OAO: Competitive Position 2011

Moskovskaya Kofeinya na Payakh ZAO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Moskovskaya Kofeinya na Payakh ZAO: Competitive Position 2011

Orimi Trade OOO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Orimi Trade OOO: Competitive Position 2011

Paulig Kofe OOO in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Paulig Kofe OOO: Competitive Position 2011

Sapsan GCK in Hot Drinks (Russia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 Sapsan GCK: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee in Russia experienced strong growth in current retail value sales in 2011 due to several main factors. Firstly, there was a strong increase in the price of coffee beans due to a very scanty harvest as a result of inclement weather in main coffee producing countries. Secondly, growth was boosted by soaring demand in emerging economies, when at the same time high demand sustained in traditional major coffee consuming markets. Lastly, speculative trading in coffee futures with large infusions of money from hedge funds drove up commodity prices. These factors played a crucial role in increasing price of coffee all over the world, which eventually led to growth of coffee prices on the Russian market.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, coffee in Russia remained dominated by multinational companies. The three leading players in terms of retail value share were Nestlé Russia OOO (Nescafé), Kraft Foods Russia OOO (Jacobs, Maxwell House and Carte Noire) and Tchibo Frisch-Röst-Kaffee GmbH (Tchibo), with retail value shares of 27%, 19% and 9% respectively. These three players accounted for a dominant combined retail value share of 55% of coffee in 2011. Local companies Orimi Trade OOO (Jockey, Jardin) and Zolotye Kupola ZAO (Chernaya Karta) were ranked fourth and fifth, with retail value shares of 6% and 4%, respectively in coffee in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee is expected to grow by a total volume CAGR of 5% over the forecast period due to the increasing number of consumers opting for coffee rather than tea. Over the forecast period, coffee consumption is expected to exceed production and coffee reserves on the world market due to theincreasing demand in emerging economies, while, at the same time, demand will be sustained in traditional major coffee consuming markets. This will lead to situation when main suppliers will be unable to cope with growing consumption, which will, consequently, lead to further growth of coffee price over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 48 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 49 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 other hot drinks recorded 2% growth in total volume terms. This category experienced stable growth over the review period until the economic downturn. In 2011, it performed slightly better than in 2010 when it registered total volume growth of only 1%. This improvement in growth is mainly attributable to the growth in disposable income of consumers, which has enabled them to increase their expenditure.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The unquestionable leader in other hot drinks in 2011 remained Nestlé Russia OOO, with a retail value share of 23%, followed by Krasny Oktyabr MKF OAO and Grand CD OOO, with retail value shares of 8% and 7% respectively. The strong leadership of multinational player Nestlé Russia OOO is supported by substantial financial resources and the popularity of its Nesquik brand. The company engages in marketing and promotions of Nesquik through TV advertising and point-of-sale promotions in order to help to create a strong product image in the minds of consumers. On the other hand, domestic manufacturers sustain their competitive advantage by producing everything in Russia, avoiding the customs duties which are imposed on imported goods.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks is expected to grow by a total volume CAGR of 4% and a constant retail value CAGR of 7% over the forecast period. The category is not expected to register significant growth because these products are not considered as traditional products among Russian consumers. Although vending is expected to continue to develop in Russia and chained coffee shops are expected to continue to gain in popularity, which is expected to draw attention to other hot drinks in particular chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, the economic downturn indicated that demand for other hot drinks in Russia is highly elastic.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 61 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 65 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea has long been a traditional beverage in Russia and the category is close to saturation with tea being consumed by more than 90% of Russian citizens. Although retail volume sales reached 180,000 tonnes in 2011, tea experienced a slight slowdown in retail volume growth on 2010. The main reason for this slowdown is the already high level of popularity of tea among Russian consumers as a result of which there is very little room for growth in the consumer base for tea. Another reason for the slight slowdown is the fact that some Russian companies have moved their production facilities to the neighbouring country of Ukraine. However, leading companies in tea continued to make qualitative improvements in 2011 by expanding their product portfolios and by using innovative packaging technologies. Although tea still had not fully recovered from the economic downturn in 2011, new brands and new packaging solutions continued to be introduced. Therefore, tea in Russia is far from stagnating as with regard to quality it is developing dynamically.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The four leading players in tea remained Orimi Trade OOO, Mai Kompanya OAO, Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO and Unilever Rus OOO in 2011. Orimi Trade OOO was the leading player with a retail value share of 35%. This company operates in all categories of tea, which has helped it to capture a large share. Its Princess Gita brand remained the leading brand in black tea in 2011 with a retail value share of 17%. The company’s Greenfield brand, which is positioned as a premium brand, was the leading brand in green tea and fruit/herbal tea, with retail value shares of 20% and 15% respectively, in 2011. The company benefits from a significant level of consumer loyalty due to its affordable product pricing and good quality products.

PROSPECTS

  • In 2012 the expected growth of tea, of 1% in total volume terms, will be very similar to growth in 2011. In addition, the category is expected to grow by a total volume CAGR of just 1% over the forecast period. Tea in Russia is close to saturation; therefore there is very little potential for growth in the consumer base of tea and thus growth in total volume sales. Also, further growth in per capita volume consumption of tea is unlikely due to the increasing popularity of and consumption of coffee. Other important factors influencing consumption of tea are that young consumers are showing increased preference for other types of beverages, including coffee, and the Russian population is decreasing. However, the total volume growth of tea is expected to be sustained by demand among immigrants from Central Asian states, in which tea is considered as a traditional beverage. In order to drive total volume sales, producers are expected to place increased focus on quality, with stronger emphasis on the development of new flavour variants and improvements in product packaging.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 67 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 73 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 74 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 76 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 77 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 78 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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