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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Russia

Jan 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Russia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Russia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Russia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Russia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Russia?
  • What are the major brands in Russia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Russia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Russia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic recession in Russia changes to upturn

The Russian economy in the first six months of 2010 was characterised by a turnaround from recession to revival. After a slowdown in January and low levels of economic activity in February and March, the second quarter of this year saw growth of most macroeconomic indicators. GDP increased by 5% compared to the second quarter of 2009. Production volume grew by 10% in the first half 2010 compared to the same period of 2009. Unemployment in September 2010 amounted to 7% of the total population, which was similar to the pre-crisis indicators (October 2008). At the time of writing, the Russian economy was dominated by upward trends.

Tea import volume is increasing

In 2010, as well as in previous years, the volume of raw tea grown in Russia amounted to less than 1% of the total amount used in the production of tea. In general, domestic production is the packaging of imported tea products. Growth of imports in 2010 was within 5%. Growth in imports is associated with maintaining of the consumption of these products at a high level. The main importers of tea to Russia continue to be Sri Lanka, India, Vietnam, China, Indonesia and Kenya – the share of these countries makes up a total of about 90% of deliveries. In this case, the trend of recent years has been the growth of supply from countries such as Vietnam, China and Indonesia.

The Russian market is saturated

Tea in Russia is saturated, as tea is a traditional drink, consumed by almost 100% of Russian citizens. In volume terms tea in Russia is resistant to the impacts of financial crises or unusually hot summer seasons. However, it showed low annual growth rates in volume terms over the last five years as it is highly consolidated. The top five tea players account for more than 50% of sales in value terms. Coffee is one of the most stable areas of the market among non-alcoholic drinks. Brand loyalty is very strong here, and consumers will refuse to buy a favourite brand and switch to another one only in extreme situations. Even during the crisis period the number of consumers changing their favourite brand was insignificant.

Budget supermarkets boosted by downward trend

The discounters channel, according to Euromonitor International’s definitions, is still not developed in Russia. However, the leading retailers reported active development of budget supermarkets during the post-crisis period. This channel will continue its rapid growth throughout the whole forecast period as consumers are looking for lower prices. Magnit OAO opened the largest number of outlets in the company’s history. Despite the financing deficits, the Kopeyka and Diksi chains continued to expand. Holiday Group opened a new chain of budget supermarkets under the Holdi Discounters brand, while X5 Retail increased the number of discount-priced supermarkets under the Pyaterochka brand.

Tea and coffee approaching complete saturation

Tea and coffee are approaching their complete saturation points, therefore future growth will be limited, mainly boosted by new flavours and more convenient packaging developments, as well as expanding sales via takeaway drinks outlets. However, other hot drinks remains relatively underdeveloped, therefore the emergence of currently niche areas, namely malt-based hot drinks, non-chocolate based flavoured powder drinks and other plant-based hot drinks, will positively contribute to this category’s growth.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Russia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic recession in Russia changes to upturn

Tea import volume is increasing

The Russian market is saturated

Budget supermarkets boosted by downward trend

Tea and coffee approaching complete saturation

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic recession changes to upturn

Hot drinks are back to positive growth

Specialist chained coffee shops as novel popular on-trade channel

The attention of tea and coffee consumers attracted by interesting solutions

Companies looking to expand in the global tea market should consider Russia

CITY KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Moscow

St Petersburg

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 20 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 23 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 27 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 28 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 29 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 30 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 31 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 32 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by City: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/import/export data

  • Table 41 Imports of Hot Drinks by Sector 2005-2009

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Russia - Company Profiles

Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Grand CD OOO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Grand CD OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Kuppo ZAO - Hot Drinks - Russia

Strategic Direction

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Kuppo ZAO: Competitive Position 2010

Mai Kompanya OAO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Mai Kompanya OAO: Competitive Position 2010

Montana Coffee OOO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Montana Coffee OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Moskovskaya Kofeinya na Payakh ZAO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Moskovskaya Kofeinya na Payakh ZAO: Competitive Position 2010

Orimi Trade OOO - Hot Drinks - Russia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Orimi Trade OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Total volume sales of coffee returned to positive growth in 2010. The total volume growth was 2% and sales in current value terms continued to see a significant annual increase of 13%. The category had been showing substantial growth rates over the last decade and had become saturated. Sales volume decreased only in 2009, influenced by the financial crisis. The fluctuations on this and previous years have no significant impact on the market as coffee has become a traditional drink for Russian consumers. The attractiveness of coffee for Russians relies on pleasant taste, coffee addictiveness and relatively affordable price compared to soft drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, coffee in Russia was dominated by multinational companies. The top three players accounted for more than 50% of sales in value terms. In 2010, the three leading players in retail value terms were NestleRussia OOO (Nescafebrand), Kraft Foods Russia OOO (with the brands Jacobs, Maxwell House and Carte Noire) and Tchibo Frisch-Röst-Kaffee GmbH (with the brand Tchibo) with respective value shares of 28%, 19% and 8%. The fourth player in value terms is local Russian manufacturer Moskovskaya Kofeinya na Payakh ZAO with a 6% share.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee in Russia is expected to continue to enjoy volume growth over 2010-2015. The growth rates will be similar to those seen in the review period. It is set to expand at a volume CAGR of 5% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 49 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 54 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Total volume sales of other hot drinks increased in 2010 by 1% after the decline recorded in the previous year. The decline in 2009 was caused by the impact of the economic crisis. Consumers reduced the number of products on their shopping lists. However, in 2010, Russian consumers’ confidence and living standards began to be restored and other hot drinks saw increased sales volume in Russia.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are three significant players in other hot drinks: NestleRussia OOO, Krasny Oktyabr MKF OAO and Grand CD OOO. The leader in other hot drinks is NestleRussia OOO with a 40% share of retail value. Krasny Oktyabr MKF OAO and Grand CD OOO have shares 15% and 12%, respectively. Multinational companies generally have stronger positions within other hot drinks due to greater financial resources and brand recognition. Domestic manufacturers, meanwhile, compete by producing everything locally, thus avoiding import costs.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales within other hot drinks are expected to grow at a CAGR of 3% in total volume and 7% in retail constant value terms during the forecast period. New popular types of on-trade channels and the growing vending channel will help other hot drinks volume to grow over the forecast period. However, a substantial volume CAGR is not expected due to the fact that these types of drinks are not as traditional for Russian consumers as coffee and tea are.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 61 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 66 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Russia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea in Russia is close to saturation as it is a traditional drink for Russians consumed by almost 100% of citizens. Tea volume sales growth slowed in 2010, but the category is undergoing qualitative changes. Its volume reached 196,000 tonnes in 2010. The reason for the slowing volume growth is the high level of popularity of the drink among consumers, so that the number of new consumers of tea is growing insignificantly. However, leading companies are expanding their product portfolios and improve packaging. Despite the slowdown, new brands, new solutions in product packaging, the original tea collections etc appeared in 2010. Because of this, the tea category in Russia cannot be said to be stagnating, on the contrary, it is developing dynamically when it comes to quality development.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Top four operators in tea remained Orimi Trade OOO, Mai Kompanya OAO, Ahmad Tea Fabrika OOO and Unilever Rus OOO. The strong leader Orimi Trade OOO had a 24% share in off-trade value terms. This company operates in all the tea subcategories, which helps enable it capture a large share. Its Princess Gita brand is the leader in black tea with a 13% value share. Greenfield is a relatively new brand of Orimi Trade, holding a 15% share in green tea. The Tess brand was a new product development in the fastest-growing fruit/herbal tea subcategory. The company achieved significant consumer loyalty due to affordable unit price and good-quality products.

PROSPECTS

  • In 2011, restrained growth of 3% is expected in total volume terms. Tea will develop qualitatively: manufacturers continue to develop new flavours and improved packaging of tea. In addition, in recent years officials have increasingly voiced their support for the development of tea plantations in the Krasnodar region of Russia, although a marked increase in the share of domestic tea leaves is not expected in the market in 2011, nor is it in the next few years. Manufacturers will therefore still be 100% dependent on price fluctuations on world markets.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 67 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 72 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 73 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 74 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 75 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 76 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 77 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 78 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Standard vs Pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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