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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Serbia

Aug 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Serbia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Serbia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Serbia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Serbia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Serbia?
  • What are the major brands in Serbia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Serbia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Serbia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Premiumisation trend emerges

Over the review period, there was a rapid increase in the offering of better quality coffee, tea and other hot drink products. Many foreign players entered with the goal of competing against domestic and regional producers. Increasing competition led to a drastic improvement in both the quality of players’ offerings and the distribution network. The level of advertising and other marketing activities also increased at a fast rate over the review period.

Economic crisis slows development of hot drinks in 2010

As with 2009, 2010 was an extremely difficult year for hot drinks producers operating in Serbia. This was due to the fact that consumer’s budgets were seriously jeopardised by the global financial crisis. This resulted in reduced demand for expensive brands and a migration to value-for-money products across all hot drinks categories in 2010.

Intensifying competition despite economic crisis

Despite the fact that whole of 2010 was marked by economic crisis, competition in hot drinks continued to intensify. This was due to players’ awareness that 2010 and the forecast period will be crucial to achieving long-term success in hot drinks in Serbia, as establishing consumer loyalty at this stage will make it easier to compete in the future. Additionally, in 2009 and 2010, a significant number of private label products were introduced, which served to intensify competition further. In both coffee and tea, the domestic company, Grand Prom remained the leading player.

Retail environment sees rapid development

The retail environment in Serbia saw rapid development over the review period. This resulted in a wider range of products, longer opening hours, lower mark-ups and other advantages for consumers. Development of the retail environment generally leads to higher consumption, which should positively impact hot drinks retail volume and value sales when the economic crisis comes to an end.

Recovery from the economic crisis expected over the forecast period

Hot drinks in Serbia is expected to see the start of a recovery from 2011, in line with the economy’s recovery from the impact of the global financial crisis. However, the country’s economic recovery is not expected to result in strong retail volume sales growth for coffee and tea. Instead consumers are expected to return to their pre-recessionary purchasing patterns and once again buy their favourite brands, following the migration to less expensive products seen over the later years of the review period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Serbia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Premiumisation trend emerges

Economic crisis slows development of hot drinks in 2010

Intensifying competition despite economic crisis

Retail environment sees rapid development

Recovery from the economic crisis expected over the forecast period

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 25 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Hot Drinks by Sector 2001-2009

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Serbia - Company Profiles

Centroproizvod ad in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Centroproizvod ad: Competitive Position 2010

Fructus doo in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Fructus doo: Competitive Position 2010

Grand Prom ad in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Grand Prom ad: Competitive Position 2010

Strauss Adriatic doo in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Strauss Adriatic doo: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Strauss Adriatic doo: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After a difficult year in 2009, when total volume sales saw negative growth, coffee in Serbia saw a further 1% decline in total volume sales in 2010. Economic crisis lasted longer than it was predicted earlier and Serbian consumers just continue to cut their spending on coffee products in 2010. Additionally, the decline in average unit price in constant value terms seen in 2010 indicates that consumers continued to migrate towards cheaper products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The domestic player Grand Prom, which is owned by the regional concern Atlantic Grupa, remained the leading player in coffee in Serbia in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 48%. Grand Prom first appeared in Serbia during the 1990s, when privately-owned companies started to replace state-owned companies, and very quickly increased its distribution and retail value sales share. When Grand Prom was established in 1997, offering reasonable quality products and having a wide distribution network was sufficient for the company to become a key player in coffee in Serbia. Following Grand Prom was Strauss Adriatic with a retail value sales share of 30% in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • After a very difficult two years for coffee producers in Serbia, it is expected that both retail volume and value sales will see positive growth over the forecast period, while the average unit price is also expected to increase. This improved performance will be driven by the recovery of the Serbian economy. Over the forecast period, consumers will return to pre-recessionary habits and begin to buy more expensive coffee brands once again.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks remained at early stage of development in Serbia, at the end of the review period. From 2000 to 2010, volume sales increased almost three-fold from 100 tonnes to 295 tonnes. In 2010, the number of other hot drinks brands available in Serbia remained limited to less than 20, most of which were present in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks and a number of which were present in other plant-based hot drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé remained the leading player in other hot drinks in Serbia in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 24%. The company’s Nesquik brand is very familiar amongst parents, who purchase the brand for their children. Furthermore, the brand has the widest distribution of all the other hot drinks brands in Serbia. Additionally, in 2010, Nesquik was supported by a strong marketing campaign, including television advertisements, which targeted children as its key and most prominent audience.

PROSPECTS

  • Given its underdeveloped state at the end of the review period, other hot drinks is expected to see ongoing strong total volume sales growth over the forecast period. It is expected that total volume sales will see a CAGR of 6% over the forecast period to reach 400 tonnes in 2015. The annual double-digit retail volume and value sales growth seen over the review period is not likely to be repeated over the forecast period, as other hot drinks will no longer be at the earliest stage of its development in Serbia.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Tea in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • From 2000, tea saw significant expansion in Serbia, due to domestic and foreign producers increasing their product offerings and drastically improving their distribution networks. Consumers responded extremely well to the increased offering of tea through both the retail and foodservice channels, due to fact that tea is a relatively cheap yet healthy non-alcoholic drink. Even the impact of the global financial crisis did not serve to significantly retard the expansion of tea in Serbia, as many consumers started to purchase tea as a substitute for other, more expensive non-alcoholic drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grand Prom remained the leading player in tea in Serbia in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 11%. While this domestic player is primarily a coffee producer, in the early 2000s it noticed a gap in the standard quality and premium segments of tea. As a result, it started to produce and package good quality teas for sale both domestically and regionally. The key to Grand Prom’s success in Serbia, besides its initial aggressive penetration, is the fact that it produces teas that are of superior quality to most domestic brands and cheaper than most foreign brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea is expected to see ongoing total volume and retail value sales growth over the forecast period. From 3,014 tonnes in 2010, total volume sales are expected to reach 3,585 tonnes in 2015. Intensifying competition amongst producers will result in a wider range of products, more flavours and lower producer mark-ups and unit prices, all of which will drive demand over the forecast period. At the same time, it is expected that the retail environment will see ongoing development, which will make purchasing products more convenient for consumers, due to modern retail outlets offering a wider range of products and longer opening hours.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 47 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-20104
  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Off-trade vs on-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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