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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Serbia

Jul 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Difficult years now behind the Serbian hot drinks market

The 2008-2011 period was a very difficult one for both consumers and producers in the Serbian hot drinks market. While consumers were forced to reduce their spending on all non-essential grocery products (which includes most hot drinks) due to lower incomes, producers faced cash flow problems which forced them to limit their investment in new product launches, distribution and marketing support.

2011 brings optimism and a slow recovery for the hot drinks market

In early 2011, it was visible that the most difficult years of the economic crisis were over. Volume declines were reversed in many categories, with producers once again becoming more active in terms of launching new products and engaging in marketing activities. However, the Serbian hot drinks market was far from a complete recovery from the crisis in 2011. It is likely to be two further years before the market recovers completely.

Still space for new players

The competitive environment in the Serbian hot drinks market is still not as intense as it could be as in both tea and coffee a small number of companies command the majority share. Potential new players would unquestionably force existing companies to improve the quality of their offerings, expand their product portfolios and even visibly reduce their mark-ups. An increase in competition might be expected due to the arrival of new retailers that will bring in new companies and brands.

Retailing industry developing rapidly

Over the last five years the Serbian retailing industry has expanded rapidly, particularly modern channels such as chained supermarkets, hypermarkets and discounters which offer hot drinks at visibly lower prices than independent small grocers. The rapid development of the retailing industry has partially reduced the negative effects of the economic crisis as new channels offer more value-for-money products and work with lower mark-ups than small grocery retailers. It is expected that the retailing industry will continue to expand over the forecast period.

Slow but stable growth over the next five years

After a difficult period following the economic crisis the Serbian hot drinks market is expected to recover over 2012-2016, not only in terms of volume sales but also in increased consumption of higher quality brands following three years of a better performance from economy brands. However, coffee is facing saturation in Serbia, which could lead to stagnation in total volume terms in that category, thus dragging down the wider hot drinks market.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Serbia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Serbia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Serbia for free:

The Hot Drinks in Serbia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Serbia?
  • What are the major brands in Serbia?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Serbia?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Serbia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Serbia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Difficult years now behind the Serbian hot drinks market

2011 brings optimism and a slow recovery for the hot drinks market

Still space for new players

Retailing industry developing rapidly

Slow but stable growth over the next five years

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Serbia - Company Profiles

Fructus doo in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Fructus doo: Competitive Position 2011

Grand Prom ad in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Grand Prom ad: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Grand Prom ad: Competitive Position 2011

Macval doo in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 11 Macval doo: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Macval doo: Competitive Position 2011

Strauss Adriatic doo in Hot Drinks (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Strauss Adriatic doo: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, coffee in Serbia recovered somewhat following two difficult years as a result of the economic crisis. Serbian consumers believed the worst is over and consequently returned to pre-crisis purchasing and consumption patterns. However, coffee in Serbia is a saturated category and so growth in 2011 was not particularly strong.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Serbian coffee in 2011 continued to be led by domestic company Grand Prom ad with a 47% retail value share. This company was established in 1997 when there were no big players in the Serbian market. In a very short time, Grand Prom filled the gap in the Serbian market and increased its distribution network to cover the entire country. For almost a decade, the company exclusively produced fresh coffee products while over the last 4-5 years it has sought to adapt to consumer demand by adding instant coffee to its portfolio.

PROSPECTS

  • An increase in coffee volume sales is not anticipated in Serbia over the forecast period. Instead of growth of the category as a whole, a shift within the category is expected. The main trend in the Serbian coffee category over 2011-2016 will be a further switch from fresh coffee to instant coffee.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other hot drinks in Serbia remains fairly underdeveloped, predominantly due to a lack of awareness of these products but also a lack of competition in the category. Fewer than 20 producers are present in the category, with none seriously focusing on these types of hot drinks. Traditionally, Serbian consumers see basic cocoa powder as something that everybody tries during their lifetime, while other product types in the category are even less popular. Only two categories are currently present in Serbian other hot drinks - chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks and other plant-based hot drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in other hot drinks remained underdeveloped in 2011. The category was led by Biogran GmbH with its Inka cereal-based brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks in Serbia is expected to continue to grow over the forecast period. While chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks is expected to perform well with an off-trade volume CAGR of around 4%, other plant-based hot drinks is anticipated a CAGR of around 8%. In addition, it is possible that new categories could emerge over the next five years (such as non-chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks or malt-based hot drinks) to boost sales of other hot drinks as a whole.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Tea in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In spite of the fact that tea has been a traditional drink in Serbia (especially herbal teas) for a long time, industrially produced branded tea remains a relatively fast growing category. This is mainly due to a shift from domestically produced (homemade) tea to commercial brands. In previous decades most Serbian consumers made their own teas due to the widespread availability of various herbs and flowers. However, over the last 10 years Serbian lifestyles have changed, with consumers having less time for such activities. Thus, it has become more convenient to purchase packaged tea in a grocery outlet rather than make one’s own blends. Additionally, the range of packaged teas in retail outlets has increased considerably, giving consumers a wide range to choose from.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Serbian tea category in 2011 was led by domestic producer Fructus doo with an 18% value share. The company offers a wide range of standard quality brands and distributes them via both traditional channels such as independent small grocers and modern channels such as supermarket/hypermarket chains. Additionally, in 2010 Fructus doo purchased a production line for making higher quality teas from Grand Prom ad which decided to withdraw from tea and focus solely on coffee. This reinforced Fructus doo’s position in Serbian tea and enabled the company to increase its share by more than one percentage point.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea in Serbia is expected to continue to perform well over the forecast period as the shift from homemade teas to packaged teas continues. In addition, the choice of flavours and packaging formats is expected to increase, which will attract consumers who rarely drank tea in the past.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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