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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Singapore

Jan 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Singapore with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Singapore, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Singapore for free:

The Hot Drinks in Singapore market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Singapore?
  • What are the major brands in Singapore?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Singapore?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Singapore?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks see stronger growth in 2010

Hot drinks observed stronger total volume growth in 2010 compared with 2009. The propellants of growth were mainly coffee and other hot drinks, in particular, malt-based powdered drinks. The high density of on-trade coffee stores around Singapore resulted in an overall increase in both off- and on-trade coffee consumption among consumers. In addition, the increase in sporting activities and events such as Youth Olympic Games in 2010 provided a compatible platform for the promotion of malt-based powdered drinks as nutritious energy drinks.

Celebrity endorsements add vibrancy to hot drinks

In 2010 celebrity endorsements were prevalent among hot drink brands. Instant standard coffee brands, including Nescafé and Super, as well as malt-based powdered drink Horlicks, appointed popular local celebrities as brand ambassadors. The recovery of the economy in 2010 resulted in higher marketing and advertising expenses among hot drinks companies. Celebrity endorsements for hot drinks generated awareness of the brands and stimulated purchases with top-of-mind recall and positive association of celebrities with products.

Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd continues to dominate hot drinks

The largest international player, Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd, continued to dominate the hot drinks environment with significant off-trade value shares in 2010. The company’s portfolio of hot drinks consisting of popular brands Nescafé and Milo in instant coffee and malt-based powdered drinks, resulted in dominance of the company in respective categories. Moreover, the company was very active in terms of marketing and promotional activities for its brands in 2010, and also new product launches. However, Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd faced increasing competition from relatively smaller coffee brands such as Old Town in 2010 due to the unique localised coffee offerings of these products.

Soft drinks pose threat to hot drinks in on-trade channel

An array of new additions from soft drinks players in 2010 attracted consumption of soft drinks amongst local consumers in the on-trade channel. Moreover, healthier soft drinks such as 100 Plus isotonic drink are seeing increase in popularity due also to its thirst-quenching properties. Hot drinks’ growth in the on-trade channel was sustained by the rise in popularity of chained coffee shops such as Starbucks, Ya Kun Kaya Toast and Old Town White Coffee. However, for meals other than breakfast - when hot drinks are commonly consumed, the switch to consuming soft drinks resulted in slower growth of hot drinks as compared with soft drinks in 2010.

Convenience and health benefits lead forecast demand

Over the forecast period, consumers are expected to look for hot beverages that are able to provide them with convenience and health benefits. This is likely to be influenced by the increasingly busy lifestyles of local consumers, as well as increased promotion of making healthier food and beverage choices by the Health Promotion Board. Innovations such as coffee pods will help boost demand for fresh coffee in the off-trade channel due to the convenience that it provides. With better offerings from hot drinks players in terms of convenience and health benefits, it is expected that unit price of hot drinks will rise over forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Singapore - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks see stronger growth in 2010

Celebrity endorsements add vibrancy to hot drinks

Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd continues to dominate hot drinks

Soft drinks pose threat to hot drinks in on-trade channel

Convenience and health benefits lead forecast demand

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Hot drinks companies target women

On-trade channel: hot drinks face threat from soft drinks and alcoholic drinks

Better-for-you hot drinks more popular than fortified hot drinks

International players more active in launch of new products

Consumer lifestyles set direction for hot drinks companies

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Singapore - Company Profiles

Gold Kili Trading Enterprise Singapore Pte Ltd - Hot Drinks - Singapore

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Gold Kili Trading Enterprise Singapore Pte Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Kumpulan Development Singapore Pte Ltd - Hot Drinks - Singapore

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Super Coffeemix Mfg Pte Ltd - Hot Drinks - Singapore

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Super Coffeemix Mfg Pte Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Tastyfood Industries (S) Pte Ltd - Hot Drinks - Singapore

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Tastyfood Industries (S) Pte Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Singapore - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 the rise of the coffee drinking culture in Singapore was prevalent with the addition of new coffee chains such as Tom n Toms and Tokyo Deli Café, as well as new outlets for existing coffee chains such as Ya Kun Kaya Toast and Old Town White Coffee. Local consumers were spoilt for choice with both foodservice outlets and manufacturers offering a wide variety of coffee, in terms of fortifying ingredients, flavours, and types of coffee such as white coffee and crème brûlée latte. The high density of on-trade coffee stores populated around Singapore resulted in an overall increase in coffee consumption, and thus registered stronger growth of coffee in 2010 compared with the review period as a whole.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd continued to dominate with a 21% off-trade volume share in 2010, with Super Coffeemix Mfg Pte Ltd close behind. The economies of scale gained from the high volume of coffee production for these two companies resulted in greater resources available and flexibility in adjusting prices, investing in research and development, as well as implementing large-scale marketing and promotional activities. Both brands appeal to adult consumers of all age groups in Singapore. Following Alicafé’s celebrity endorsement for the brand’s coffee in 2009, Nescafé and Super appointed Dai Yang Tian and JJ Lin as brand ambassadors to resonate their brands in consumers’ minds in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • As local consumers become more affluent and travel more widely, exposing themselves to western culture, it is expected that there will be a rise in demand for fresh coffee in the off-trade channel over the forecast period. A switch in consumer preferences from localised traditional coffee to western gourmet styles of coffee such as espresso and mocha is also expected. As consumers’ knowledge and sophistication of coffee increases, specialty and gourmet coffee made from different types of coffee beans from all over the world such as Vietnamese coffee will be increasingly appreciated.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2009
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Singapore - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, Milo partnered with the Singapore Sports Council (SSC) to launch the SSC-MILO National Well-Wishing Campaign - “MILO Mobile”, which garnered well wishes from Singaporeans for the local youth athletes competing in major multi-sporting events such as Youth Olympic Games and Commonwealth Games. The campaign created exposure for malt-based hot drink Milo in 2010. The engagement of youth in sports development in 2010, especially through the Youth Olympic Games, further intensified the promotion of Milo as a nutritional energy drink for athletes. As a result, this drive demand for malt-based hot drinks as sporting activities increased amongst young Singaporeans.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Singapore Pte Ltd remained the leading player with a 78% off-trade value share in 2010. This was mainly due to the strong dominance of Milo malt-based hot drink, which has been a staple of many Singaporean diets as a breakfast drink or energy drink at sporting events. The brand has also been actively part of youth sports development in Singapore, sponsoring youth sporting events, successfully engaging the brand with youth athletes. Moreover, the constant development of Milo products, for example by launching healthier variants endorsed with the Healthier Choice Symbol, and variants with high calcium milk, appeal greatly to local consumers as a nutritional and healthy energy drink. Milo’s 2010 Internet campaign to post good wishes to Youth Olympic Games athletes resulted in increased off-trade value sales in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • With an increase in sporting events and activities expected over the forecast period in Singapore, more consumers in the youth segment are expected to participate in sporting activities. This is likely to result in increasing demand for nutritional and healthy energy drinks such as Milo. The engagement of youth and kids by malt-based hot drinks brands is likely to result in positive consumption as the Health Promotion Board actively encourages consumption of healthier drinks among school students.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Singapore - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 tea marketed with health benefits, such as green tea with high levels of antioxidants, other fruit/herbal tea with limited caffeine and less dehydrating properties, and herbal/traditional medicinal teas known as remedies for colds, gained increasing popularity or registered high growth. However, despite tea being a healthier alternative to coffee, coffee remained the preferred hot drink offering a caffeine boost among local consumers, limiting the growth of tea. Moreover, the rapid increase in the number of on-trade chained coffee shops greatly promoted coffee-drinking culture over tea in Singapore.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Singapore Pte Ltd remained the leading player in 2010 with a 39% off-trade value share. This was mainly attributed to the popularity of Lipton as a global tea brand, being well-established among local consumers for decades. The widespread distribution of Lipton in both off-trade outlets and on-trade establishments such as McDonald’s contributed to the brand’s success. Unilever Singapore Pte Ltd also frequently launches promotional campaigns in supermarkets/hypermarkets to attract and retain consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period consumer demand for tea is expected to see a positive CAGR of 2% in total volume terms, which is close to the total volume CAGR demonstrated by tea over the review period. The expected steady growth of tea compared with coffee’s expected fast-rising popularity is a result of the widespread promotion of coffee drinking through the increased number of on-trade coffee establishments. Moreover, Singaporeans traditionally drink more coffee than tea. However, health concerns will likely drive consumers to drink and appreciate tea more in coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market Sizes
      • Company Shares
      • Brand Shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice Distribution
      • In-1s Instant Coffee
      • Off-trade vs On-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Products by Ingredient
      • Standard vs Pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail Volume
      • Retail Volume % growth
      • Retail Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Volume
      • Foodservice Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Volume per capita
      • Total Volume
      • Total Volume % growth
      • Total Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail RTD volume
      • Retail RTD volume % growth
      • Retail RTD volume per capita
      • Foodservice RTD volume
      • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
      • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
      • Total RTD volume
      • Total RTD volume % growth
      • Total RTD volume per capita
      • Retail Cups Volume
      • Retail Cups Volume % growth
      • Retail Cups Volume per capita
      • Foodservice Cups Volume
      • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
      • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
      • Total Cups Volume
      • Total Cups Volume % growth
      • Total Cups Volume per capita
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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