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Country Report

Hot Drinks in South Africa

Jun 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

South African hot drinks achieves steady growth in 2011

With slow economic recovery after the recent recession, hot drinks achieved solid single digit volume growth, and double digit value growth in 2011. Volume growth is only slightly lower than it was the previous year as consumers reduce their consumption slightly in order to reduce their spending. Value growth was also down slightly as unit price increases stabilised.

Consumer spending remains cautious and quality and affordability remain key in 2011

Despite the economy beginning to recover from the recent downturn, consumers still struggled with decreased disposable incomes, and were therefore still extremely price-sensitive. As the lower-LSM groups could not afford to make a mistake when purchasing an unknown brand, they tended to gravitate towards the most affordable trusted brands. The middle- to high-LSM groups chose higher quality products, yet reduced their overall consumption in order to restrict their spending.

Local player National Brands leads hot drinks in South Africa in 2011

National Brands led hot drinks in South Africa in 2011. It was followed by Nestlé South Africa and Unilever South Africa. Nestlé’s Ricoffy was the leading brand, and was followed by Unilever’s Joko brand and Five Roses from National Brands. Ricoffy is in other hot drinks and is chicory-based, whereas Joko and Five Roses are the leading tea brands in South Africa.

Increased distribution contributes to growth in 2011

Penetration of supermarkets/hypermarkets into rural and township areas widened hot drinks distribution. South Africans are leading increasingly busy lives, and, because they are increasingly pressed for time, sales through convenience stores and forecourt retailers, which have longer opening hours, increased. Whilst Woolworths dominated forecourt retailers in the past, thanks to its affiliation with Engen Petroleum, Pick ‘n Pay Retail Group entered the channel during 2009 with Pick ‘n Pay Express, which is affiliated with British Petroleum.

Steady growth forecast for hot drinks in South Africa

As the South African economy recovers, unit price increases will stabilise and value growth will be single-digit. Volume growth will remain steady, as consumer spending is expected to recover across all social groups.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in South Africa with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in South Africa, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in South Africa for free:

The Hot Drinks in South Africa market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in South Africa?
  • What are the major brands in South Africa?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in South Africa?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in South Africa?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in South Africa - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

South African hot drinks achieves steady growth in 2011

Consumer spending remains cautious and quality and affordability remain key in 2011

Local player National Brands leads hot drinks in South Africa in 2011

Increased distribution contributes to growth in 2011

Steady growth forecast for hot drinks in South Africa

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Consumers still feeling the impact of the recent economic recession in 2011

Health and wellness continues to impact South African non-alcoholic drinks in 2011

Consumers continue to demand convenience in 2011

Specialist coffee shops boost sales of coffee in South Africa in 2011

Increased distribution in response to rising demand for convenience

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Production/import/export data

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in South Africa - Company Profiles

Chicory SA Ltd in Hot Drinks (South Africa)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Joekels Tea Packers in Hot Drinks (South Africa)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Joekels Tea Packers: Competitive Position 2011

National Brands Ltd in Hot Drinks (South Africa)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 National Brands Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Vital Health Foods (Pty) Ltd in Hot Drinks (South Africa)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Vital Health Foods (Pty) Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Coffee in South Africa - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As consumers continue to lead increasingly busy lives, so convenience continues to be a key sales driver. However, whilst the economy is slowly recovering from the recent downturn, consumer spending habits remain cautious and consumers seek value for money when purchasing coffee.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé South Africa’s Nescafé contributes greatly to the company’s dominance of the South African coffee market. The leading brand holds a 29% off-trade volume share in 2011, and the company holds a share in excess of 30%. National Brands falls into second place with its House of Coffees brand being the second biggest brand with a volume share in excess of 10% in 2011. The brand is the leading brand within fresh coffee, and is also present in instant coffee with its range of stick packs. National Brands’ Kenna and Ciro brands fall into fifth and sixth position overall, with shares of 4% each. Kraft Foods’ Jacobs brand falls into third position with a volume share just shy of 8% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Convenience as well as value for money, will continue to be key drivers of growth in South African coffee over the forecast period. It is thought that the trend towards more premium instant coffee amongst the upper-LSM groups will continue, as these consumers require more from their coffee. There may also be a move towards organic coffee amongst these consumers, as the health and wellness trend takes hold. There may also be a move towards liquid coffee concentrates in coffee pods, rather than the current granule formulation.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Instant Coffee by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Other Hot Drinks in South Africa - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Nestlé South Africa has been planting trial chicory crops in Weenen, KwaZulu-Natal and crop yields in early-2011 proved successful with a 20 hectare crop producing 39 tonnes. The company hopes to reduce its dependence on chicory imports from India, from where it currently sources 80% for its Ricoffy brand. The company expected a lower yield due to farmers being unfamiliar with the crop and the fact that it is a pilot project. It is hoped that if the company increases the area to 750 hectares, it should produce 6,000 tonnes of local supply. The company has built a factory to process the chicory in which the farmers and Nestlé both have an initial stake, and farmers are being trained to use the machinery.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé South Africa dominated other hot drinks with a 53% off-trade value share in 2011. The company holds several leading brands, including Ricoffy, which dominates other plant-based drinks, and thus forms the bulk of Nestlé’s share. The company’s Milo and Nesquik brands are prominent within flavoured powder drinks.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, with other plant-based hot drinks accounting for the bulk of sales of other hot drinks, the key future trend will continue to be affordability amongst lower-income consumers. However, within malt-based hot drinks the health and wellness trend will be a strong driving force, as there will be a greater focus on fortification in order to appeal to consumers’ health concerns. Chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks will continue to focus on both affordability and indulgence.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Tea in South Africa - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • South African consumers continue to seek out value for money when choosing tea brands. In light of the recent economic recession, spending remains cautious and consumers have become more discerning when making purchases. However, the more premium brands such as National Brands’ Five Roses continue to perform well as consumers will rather spend slightly more on a trusted brand than compromise on quality.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever South Africa dominates tea with an off-trade value share of 40%, followed closely by National Brands with a share of 38% in 2011. Unilever’s Joko is the leading brand with a value share of 22% in 2011, whilst the company’s Glen tea brand falls into third position with 14% and Lipton in fifth position with 5% share in 2011. National Brands’ Five Roses falls into second position with 21%, and Freshpak falls into fourth position with 10% off-trade value share in 2011. The company’s economy Trinco brand falls into sixth position with an overall share of 4%.

PROSPECTS

  • South African tea will continue to be impacted by global health and wellness trends. Teas which are naturally rich in antioxidants and which are caffeine-free, such as rooibos, will continue to experience strong consumer support. Fruit/herbal teas, with functional benefits such as aiding digestion, will also prove popular amongst health-conscious consumers, usually falling into the middle- to high-LSM groups.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Fresh Ground Coffee Pods
          • Standard Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Foodservice distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Standard vs pods

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail cups volume
  • Retail cups volume % growth
  • Retail cups volume per capita
  • Foodservice cups volume
  • Foodservice cups volume % growth
  • Foodservice cups volume per capita
  • Total cups volume
  • Total cups volume % growth
  • Total cups volume per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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