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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Thailand

Apr 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Thailand with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Thailand, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Thailand for free:

The Hot Drinks in Thailand market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Thailand?
  • What are the major brands in Thailand?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Thailand?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Thailand?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks continues to show healthy performance

Amid political turmoil and ongoing low purchasing power, overall hot drinks continued to maintain healthy growth in terms of volume and value sales as driven by aggressive marketing activities, advertising, and new product innovations by leading manufacturers. Coffee continued to dominate hot drink in terms of value and volume sales and registered the healthiest growth. Tea and other hot drinks witnessed growth in positive terms of total volume sales.

Increasing numbers of products with functional ingredients

While Thai consumers, women in particular, continued to become more concern about attaining and maintaining a healthy looking body shape, leading manufacturers continued to response to this demand with hot drinks products that contain active ingredients to enhance the digestive system or reduce cholesterol levels. Fibre, white beans, collagen, and L-carnitine are the most popular ingredients. Several new product developments from Nestlé (Thailand) Ltd and New Concept Product Co Ltd lead in this innovation.

Multinational companies continue to lead hot drinks

Multinational companies occupy more than half the value share in hot drinks in Thailand. Among this, Nestlé (Thailand) Ltd accounted for the majority of the share due to success of its Nescafé. This ranking is followed by other international companies such as, AB Food & Beverages Thailand ltd, Super Coffeemix Mfg Pte Ltd, and Sara Lee Coffee & Tea (Thailand) Ltd. These leading multinational companies perform very aggressive advertising, marketing activities, and new product innovations. Khao Shong Industry 1979 Co Ltd is the only local company ranked with a top five position.

Off-trade channels continue to dominate hot drinks sales

Off-trade channels continued to dominate total volume sales of hot drinks in Thailand. Leading manufacturers continued to expand their distribution channels via both modern and traditional trade channels to reach wide groups of consumers. The modern grocery channel which encompasses supermarkets and hypermarkets remained as the important channel to distribute products to mass consumers both in urban and rural areas. Small grocery retailers, despite having the independent small grocers account for the majority of sales, found that convenience store chains such as 7-Eleven continued to grow in importance as large numbers of manufacturers use it as a trial channel for new product launches.

Healthy performance is likely to be sustained

The trend of coffee and tea drinking has become more prominent in Thailand in which consumers not only look for convenience but health and wellness products as well. Therefore, over the forecast period, hot drinks is likely to show healthy growth which will mainly be driven by coffee. New product development with innovative ingredients and aggressive activities from leading manufacturers will also help stimulate growth. The Thai economy continued to show signs of improvement at the end of the review period and consumer confidence will continue to rise which will help boost consumer purchasing power.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Thailand - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks continues to show healthy performance

Increasing numbers of products with functional ingredients

Multinational companies continue to lead hot drinks

Off-trade channels continue to dominate hot drinks sales

Healthy performance is likely to be sustained

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

FTA drives stimulate strong competition among local and imported brands

Ongoing popularity for products with functional ingredients and shape

management claims

On-trade experiences greater support from manufacturers

Rising trend of product segmentation

Online marketing and the Internet continue to play significant role

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Thailand - Company Profiles

CLS Trading Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 CLS Trading Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Greentea Thai Ltd in Hot Drinks (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Greentea Thai Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Khao Shong Industry 1979 Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Khao Shong Industry 1979 Co Ltd: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Khao Shong Industry 1979 Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

New Concept Product Co Ltd in Hot Drinks (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 14 New Concept Product Co Ltd: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 New Concept Product Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Coffee continued to maintain strong growth in Thailand amid the economic downturn and poor purchasing power. This was mostly driven by instant standard coffee which dominated with 90% share of total off-trade value sales of coffee in the country in 2010. The manufacturers of instant standard coffee such as Nestlé (Thailand) Co Ltd, Super Coffeemix Mfg Pte Ltd, Sara Lee Coffee & Tea (Thailand) Ltd, and Khao Shong Industry performed active advertisements, marketing activities, and new product innovations which helped to stimulate overall growth of the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé (Thailand) Ltd continued to maintain its leading position with 66% share of off-trade value sales in 2010. Due to the strong trend towards instant coffee that claims to help with shape management driven by Nature Gift and Fitné Coffee since 2008, the company introduced Nescafé Protect Proslim which is the line extension of Nescafé Protect. The product contains white bean extract, which is a good source for lowering cholesterol and blood sugar, 3,000 mg fibre to improve digestive system, and Corogenic Acid for an antioxidant effect. The company has heavily invested in above and below-the-line advertising, online marketing via its own website, www.proslim.in.th and social networks such as Facebook, ongoing contest marketing to allow consumer participation, road shows, and product sampling. The company continued to invest in television advertisements for its Nescafé Red Cup which is still the company’s key product as well as Nescafé 3-in-1 in response to the strong growth of the instant 3-in-1 segment.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, coffee is anticipated to maintain its healthy growth with an 8% total volume CAGR. Thai consumers in both rural and urban areas are more open to the coffee drinking culture. More consumers lead hectic lifestyles and need coffee to be part of their lives for several reasons; stimulating during work, social with friends and family or even to fill up their stomach in the morning. Leading manufacturers continue to focus on aggressive advertising, marketing activities, and new product innovation. Instant standard coffee is predicted to show the healthiest total volume growth with an 8% CAGR.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Coffee Machine Sales: 2004-2009
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Among other hot drinks, malt-based hot drinks dominated with 96% share of off-trade value sales. As malt-based drinks already achieved strong penetration in Thai households, the growth rate continued to slow down. It is also brought down the growth rate of the overall category. Leading manufacturer AB Food & Beverages Co Ltd continued to expand its target group with ongoing product innovations in order to grow its market base.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • AB Food & Beverages Co Ltd continued to dominate other hot drinks with 72% off-trade value share in 2010 under its Ovaltine brands. The company continued to perform above and below-the-line advertisements to ensure strong brand awareness. The company tried to boost consumption frequency by encouraging consumers to drink twice a day. It also continued to introduce product innovation in order to capture wider groups of consumers apart from families. It added Ovaltine Five Grains to target health- conscious employees, while using Ovaltine White Malt which is low in calories to target working women.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks is predicted to see sluggish growth over the forecast period to reach only a 2% CAGR in total volume terms. Despite new products like soy powder milk entering the category to make other hot drinks more interesting, it is still too new for consumers and will need players’ time and budget investment to educate and drive products to grow. Therefore, it is not expected to drive the growth of other hot drinks over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Overall, tea continued to witness slow growth particularly via off-trade sales as Thai consumers do not drink hot tea at home as often as consumers in other Asian countries such as Hong Kong, Singapore, China, and Japan. Many Thais consume hot tea on an occasional basis like when eating out or socialising with friends. Therefore, on-trade sales registered a healthier performance than off-trade due to the growing popularity towards tea cafés and tea houses in Thailand.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • New Concept Product Co Ltd continued to lead tea with 19% retail value share in 2010. The company continued to dominate slimming tea with 48% value share with the Fitné brand. Thai consumers have strong brand awareness of Fitné as it is the first brand that promotes itself as a slimming tea. Fitné is the only brand among slimming tea that continuously advertises and marketing activities to support growth while other brands utilise the word-of-mouth strategy. Amid the strong growth of slimming coffee in 2008, Fitné also introduced its own Fitné coffee. However, it is evident that the company shifted its focus to penetrate the new segment beyond slimming tea in which it already has a strong foothold.

PROSPECTS

  • Tea is predicted to witness slow growth over the forecast period particularly as several segments such as black tea and instant tea remain inactive. Total volume growth is expected to reach a 4% CAGR compared with the 5% total volume CAGR of the review period. However, fruit/herbal tea and green tea will continue to drive overall growth of the category. Ongoing product innovation and marketing activities will likely be seen particularly among leading brands such as Fitné, Hotta, Gingen, Lipton, and Ranong Tea. Ginger continues to be the most popular herbal tea as driven by Gingen and Hotta brands. Mixed fruit will tend to dominate fruit tea as driven by Twinings. Ranong Bai Mon (Mulberry) green tea will be the most popular type of green tea as driven by Ranong Mulberry Green Tea. Among other tea, oolong, jasmine, and chrysanthemum flavours will continue to maintain a strong presence.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Off-trade vs on-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient
      • Standard vs pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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