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Country Report

Hot Drinks in the Netherlands

Apr 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Netherlands with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Netherlands, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Netherlands for free:

The Hot Drinks in Netherlands market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Netherlands?
  • What are the major brands in Netherlands?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Netherlands?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Netherlands?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Muted review period growth due to maturity and economic downturn

Hot drinks saw muted growth in total volume terms during the review period, with this due to maturity in most product areas. The economic downturn also resulted in slow growth in 2008 and 2009, although growth rates began to recover slightly once more in 2010. The on-trade particularly suffered as consumers sought to economise, seeing overall volume decline for the review period.

Pods drive growth in 2010

Pods were the big success story in 2010, with these products continuing to see strong growth in fresh ground coffee and chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks. Consumers were attracted by the convenience and high quality offered by these products. Pods also benefited from the cocooning trend and from consumers cutting back on on-trade expenditure in order to save money. Pods are strongest in coffee, with the widening household penetration of these products eroding sales of instant coffee. Consumers became increasingly focused on flavour and quality, while the convenience offered by coffee pods also enabled these products to pose a strong challenge to instant coffee.

Sara Lee dominates while private label gains share

Sales of hot drinks continued to be dominated by Sara Lee at the end of the review period, with this player leading sales of most product areas in tea and coffee. Sara Lee benefits from offering strong and well-established brands, such as Douwe Egberts in coffee and Pickwick in tea. The company also benefits from extensive distribution, strong new product development and frequent TV advertising support. Sara Lee consequently maintained its share in 2010, although many smaller players struggled due to growing competition from private label. Private label offers an extensive range of affordable hot drinks, including many high quality products, and attracted Dutch consumers in the wake of the economic downturn.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets and discounters further gain share

Supermarkets/hypermarkets dominated sales of hot drinks throughout the review period, with this channel offering a wide range of strong brands and private label products and frequent price promotions. The channel further saw a strong growth in share in 2010 over the previous year, as consumers became ever more focused on value. This trend also benefited discounters, with this channel also gaining share at the expense of independent small grocers and “other” grocery retailers.

Stronger growth ahead as consumers trade up

Growth rates in hot drinks are expected to remain muted during the forecast period, due to maturity and a high sales base in the leading product areas. However, total volume growth is expected to be stronger than that seen during the review period, as the Netherlands returns to economic growth. There is also expected to be an increase in constant value unit price during the forecast period as consumers trade up. Consumers will become increasingly willing to pay more for quality, flavour, ethical accreditation or convenience. This trend will notably encourage strong growth for pods, with these products’ higher price per cup further boosting constant value unit price for overall hot drinks.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in the Netherlands - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Muted review period growth due to maturity and economic downturn

Pods drive growth in 2010

Sara Lee dominates while private label gains share

Supermarkets/hypermarkets and discounters further gain share

Stronger growth ahead as consumers trade up

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Challenging economic situation continues to constrain growth

Supermarkets/hypermarkets further increases dominance

On-trade shows first signs of recovery in 2010

Growing interest in less processed hot drinks

Aging population seeking youthful lives

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

  • Table 26 Production/Imports/Exports/Apparent Consumption of Hot Drinks by Sector 2001-2008

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in the Netherlands - Company Profiles

Buisman BV, Koninklijke in Hot Drinks (Netherlands)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Buisman BV, Koninklijke: Competitive Position 2010

Kneipp Nederland BV in Hot Drinks (Netherlands)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Kneipp Nederland BV: Competitive Position 2010

Stichting Max Havelaar in Hot Drinks (Netherlands)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Stichting Max Havelaar: Competitive Position 2010

Zonnatura BV in Hot Drinks (Netherlands)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Zonnatura BV: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in the Netherlands - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There was a focus on going back to basics in coffee towards the end of the review period. This resulted in a growing focus on flavour and on the freshness of filter and espresso coffee. Sales of fresh coffee beans and fresh ground coffee consequently saw the strongest growth as a result of this trend, while instant coffee declined.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sara Lee is the dominant player in coffee, accounting for a steady 58% off-trade value share in 2009 and 2010. The company has held this leadership position for more than 10 years and benefits from strong customer loyalty. The company offers a wide range under its Douwe Egberts brand in fresh coffee beans, fresh ground coffee, instant standard coffee and instant decaffeinated coffee, while also offering Senseo coffee pods. The company also offers the Piazza and Van Nelle brands in fresh ground coffee and DE Grand Café in instant standard coffee. Its range benefits from strong advertising support and frequent new product development. In 2010, Douwe Egberts also benefited from a relaunch of its 80-years-old customer loyalty programme, with customers able to collect points and exchange these for a wide range of coffee-related gifts.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumers are expected to become increasingly interested in organic coffee during the forecast period. Consumer views on organic coffee became more positive 2010, with this largely thanks to strong and positive Dutch media coverage via TV, newspapers and magazines. By 2010, all major grocery retailers offered organic coffee, with most offering a private label and a branded alternative. The price of organic coffee remains higher than that of standard coffee but a growing number of consumers are willing to pay more for organic coffee, believing it to be more ethical as well as offering higher quality. The ethical positioning of organic coffee is further enhanced by many organic coffee products also carrying fair-trade accreditation. The range of organic fresh ground coffee and fresh coffee beans on offer in supermarkets/hypermarkets is expected to expand even further during the forecast period, further boosting consumers’ interest.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in the Netherlands - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Hot chocolate pods were launched in the Netherlands by Royal Friesland in 2007, with this company’s Chocomel Hot designed for use in the Senseo coffee pod machine. This was followed by the launch of Sara Lee’s own Senseo Hot Chocolate pod and by the launch of Nestlé’s hot chocolate pod for the Dolce Gusto pod machine in 2008. These products Pods remained niche in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks at the end of the review period, accounting for just 1% off-trade volume share and 2% value share. However, these products continued to see strong growth, expanding volume and current value sales by 79% and 67% respectively in 2010 over the previous year.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé is the leading player in “other” hot drinks and also saw the strongest growth in off-trade value share in 2010, gaining almost six percentage points from 2009 to account for 29% share. This was due to a strong performance in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, where its Nesquik brand benefits from an affordable price and a wide product range. The company benefited in 2010 from relaunching its Nesquik range with a new formula, removing artificial colours, flavours, sweeteners and preservatives. This appealed to many health-conscious parents and other consumers, with the relaunch also benefiting from strong marketing support.

PROSPECTS

  • There is expected to be further strong growth for hot chocolate pods during the forecast period. These products will continue to benefit from rising household penetration for pod machines and also from their indulgent appeal. Further new product development is also expected to be seen during the forecast period, with private label hot chocolate pods notably likely to be introduced. Pods are thus expected to see a volume CAGR of 25% during the forecast period and will account for 2% of overall volume and 3% of value in “other” hot drinks by 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in the Netherlands - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There was a growing focus on the health benefits of tea towards the end of the review period, with strong media coverage of a wide range of tea. White tea and green tea are increasingly recognised as offering high levels of antioxidants, along with a host of other benefits, while pu-erh tea is linked with weight loss and rooibos with relaxation and digestive health. This trend greatly benefited green tea and “other” tea, with these product areas seeing 7% and 9% off-trade volume growth in 2010 over the previous year as a result. Of these, “other” tea saw the strongest growth due to a low sales base, with sales reaching just 35 tonnes in 2010. By 2010, rooibos accounted for 43% off-trade volume share in “other” tea and white tea accounted for 39% share.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sara Lee is the largest player in tea and accounted for 44% off-trade value share for its Pickwick brand in 2010. The company has a production plant for Pickwick tea near Utrecht in the Netherlands, with this enabling it to keep production and transportation costs down and to ensure a strong and consistent distribution presence and affordable pricing. Pickwick offers a wide range and was the dominant player in black standard tea and black speciality tea in 2010 with 64% and 53% off-trade value share respectively. The brand also leads fruit/herbal tea, green tea and “other” tea with 30%, 35% and 24% value share in 2010. Sara Lee retained a fairly steady value share in overall tea in 2010 over the previous year, despite strong competition from private label. This was partly due to the company’s wide range and affordable pricing but also due to strong promotional support in 2010 and frequent TV advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • There is expected to be a growing share for organic tea during the forecast period, with this product area receiving an increasing level of attention towards the end of the review period. Demand for organic products increased in 2010 due to strong media coverage, resulting in strong competition between brands and private label products for shelf space. Both Unilever and Sara Lee committed themselves to ambitious organic tea targets, with Unilever setting a target of manufacturing only organic tea by 2020. This trend was also encouraged by the Dutch government, which announced that it would purchase only organic products, including tea and coffee, for its catering and vending sales in all government buildings from 2010 onwards. During the forecast period, organic tea is thus expected to increasingly gain a mainstream positioning.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 52 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient
      • Standard vs pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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