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Country Report

Hot Drinks in the United Kingdom

Jan 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in United Kingdom with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in United Kingdom, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in United Kingdom for free:

The Hot Drinks in United Kingdom market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in United Kingdom?
  • What are the major brands in United Kingdom?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in United Kingdom?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in United Kingdom?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Slow growth for review period as a whole due to decline in black tea

Hot drinks saw only muted volume growth for the review period as a whole, with this chiefly due to the poor performance of black tea, which accounts for a dominant share of overall volume sales. Black tea continued to face strong competition from other drinks, including coffee but also including soft drinks, with volume sales declining throughout the review period as a result. Black tea also suffered due to the rising global price of black tea towards the end of the review period, as a result of poor harvests and rising global demand.

Premium coffee trend drives growth in 2010

2010 saw a stronger volume growth in comparison to the review period CAGR, with this chiefly due to the growth of coffee. Coffee culture continued to develop in the UK throughout the review period, supported by the popularity of specialist coffee shops. During the economic downturn, many consumers sought to economise by drinking more coffee at home rather than buying coffee from specialist coffee shops and kiosks, which boosted off-trade sales. In addition, consumers became increasingly focused on the taste and quality of the coffee they consumed. This trend was underpinned by the growing household penetration of coffee pod machines but also benefited instant coffee, with an ongoing shift towards freeze-dried variants.

Nestlé loses share but maintains convincing lead

Nestlé was the leading player in overall hot drinks throughout the review period, thanks mainly to the strength of Nescafé in instant coffee and Nesquik in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks. The company lost share in 2010 over the previous year, with this chiefly due to strong competition from freeze-dried variants in instant coffee. Despite this, the company maintained a significant lead thanks to strong new product development, marketing and price promotions. Multinationals lead hot drinks, with the second- and third-ranked players being Unilever and Kraft. These leading multinationals are followed by long-established domestic specialists Tetley, Twining and Betty & Taylors of Harrogate.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets dominate due to convenience

Supermarkets/hypermarkets continued to dominate overall sales of hot drinks in 2010. These outlets offer a wide product range including the leading brands and also benefit from the use of frequent price promotions. In addition, most consumers view it as more convenient to purchase hot drinks along with their weekly shop. Changes in distribution towards the end of the review period mainly reflected changes in consumers’ general grocery shopping patterns. There was for example an ongoing slow shift towards discounters, as consumers sought out cheaper grocery retailers. There was a similar shift towards internet retailing, meanwhile, with a growing number of consumers buying groceries from the leading chains of supermarkets/hypermarkets online.

Consumers focus on quality in forecast period

There is expected to be steady growth for hot drinks during the forecast period. Growth is expected to be driven by fresh coffee and freeze-dried instant coffee, with consumers focusing on quality and flavour. Within tea, sales are expected to be driven by niche product areas, with green tea, fruit/herbal tea and “other” likely to see strong growth due to these products’ healthy image. “Other” hot drinks is meanwhile set to benefit from players targeting younger consumers and adopting an indulgent positioning, particularly for chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in the United Kingdom - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Slow growth for review period as a whole due to decline in black tea

Premium coffee trend drives growth in 2010

Nestlé loses share but maintains convincing lead

Supermarkets/hypermarkets dominate due to convenience

Consumers focus on quality in forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Ethical certification moves into the mainstream

Higher raw material prices pose problems

Economic concerns shape consumer purchasing patterns

Premium products prove attractive in midst of economic downturn

Busy lifestyles result in strong demand for convenience

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in the United Kingdom - Company Profiles

Betty & Taylors of Harrogate Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Betty & Taylors of Harrogate Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Cafédirect Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Cafédirect Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Kraft Foods UK Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Kraft Foods UK Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Nestlé UK Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Nestlé UK Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Tetley GB Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Tetley GB Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Twining & Co Ltd, R - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Twining & Co Ltd, R: Competitive Position 2010

Typhoo Tea Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Typhoo Tea Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Unilever Bestfoods UK Ltd - Hot Drinks - United Kingdom

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 Unilever Bestfoods UK Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in the United Kingdom - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fresh ground coffee saw a strong 8% rise in current value unit price in 2010 over the previous year, as a result of higher global raw material prices. There were poor harvests in Colombia and Brazil for arabica coffee beans and, while UK suppliers strived to keep price increases to a minimum, many global suppliers heavily increased prices in order to compensate for rising input costs. Price increases were thus particularly strong within higher-quality arabica coffee. Unfavourable exchange rates also forced many UK players to increase costs, with coffee generally purchased in dollars.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé was a strong leader in coffee in 2010, accounting for 44% off-trade value share. This lead is mainly due to the dominance of its Nescafé brand in instant coffee, with the company accounting for 56% value share in instant standard coffee in 2010 and 43% share in instant decaffeinated coffee. The company also ranked second in fresh ground coffee, however, with 8% value share. Nescafé benefits from a strong marketing budget, wide distribution, strong brand awareness and ongoing new product development.

PROSPECTS

  • Fresh coffee may struggle to maintain growth rates due to sharp price increases at the start of the forecast period. Global price increases are expected to soar due to growing global demand, crop shortages in key producing regions and the influence of futures trading on stock markets. There were notably poor harvests in Colombia and Brazil and the price of Arabica beans, preferred by fresh coffee producers, soared by 35% over 2010. Exchange rates will also continue to cause issues, due to the low value of sterling and the fact that players generally buy coffee in dollars. Players are thus unlikely to reverse the price increases seen in 2010, with a further 2% growth in the constant value unit price of fresh coffee expected in 2011.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 26 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in the United Kingdom - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • While traditionally regarded as drinks for older consumers, “other” hot drinks benefited from leading players targeting younger consumers with their marketing towards the end of the review period. Nestlé notably relaunched its Nesquik range in July 2010, with the company removing all artificial colours, flavours, sweeteners and preservatives from the range. This was supported by a £3 million marketing campaign, including Nesquik’s first TV advertising campaign in 10 years. Sales also benefited from GlaxoSmithKline’s £3 million Made for Evenings campaign for Horlicks and Cadbury’s strong advertising for its Fairtrade Cadbury’s Dairy Milk. This range was launched in September 2010 and supported with a £1.5 million advertising campaign.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury was a strong leader in “other” hot drinks in 2010, accounting for 21% off-trade value share. The company benefits from the strength of its Cadbury’s brand in chocolate confectionery, with many loyal customers thus also opting for its products in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks. Strong marketing support and wide distribution also support its lead. The company also benefits from offering a wide range of products in this area, including its reduced fat Cadbury’s Highlights range, Fairtrade Cadbury’s Dairy Milk and Cadbury's Hot Chocolate Chunks. Cadbury's Hot Chocolate Chunks was launched in 2009 and offers chunks of real chocolate that melt into hot milk.

PROSPECTS

  • The leading players in “other” hot drinks are expected to continue to invest heavily in targeting younger consumers during the forecast period. This trend is likely to be strongest in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, which will increasingly be positioned as an indulgent treat. The success of Skinny Cow’s irreverent advertising is likely to be noted by leading players in this area such as Cadbury, with lifestyle and event marketing increasingly being used to target young women. This trend is also expected to result in the launch of a wider range of flavoured and reduced fat variants, while there is also expected to be a growing focus on quality. The success of Green & Blacks’ premium hot chocolate could well result in a growing focus on high-cocoa chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 45 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in the United Kingdom - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea suffered from global supply deficits in 2010, with these linked to severe droughts in Kenya and India in 2009. This resulted in global tea prices rising to a historical high in 2009, with rising input costs resulting in higher off-trade prices in 2010. By February 2010, Unilever’s PG Tips was priced 28% higher than a year earlier in current value terms, while Tetley was 7% more expensive. Overall, tea saw 8% growth in current value unit price, with the sharpest rise being seen in black standard tea at 9%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever and Tetley were the leading players in tea in 2010, accounting for 22% and 20% off-trade value share respectively. These players benefit from wide distribution and strong marketing support but mainly owe their lead to the heritage of their PG Tips and Tetley brands. These brands enjoy strong customer loyalty in the UK.

PROSPECTS

  • Black tea could well face further sharp rises in global price during the forecast period. Floods in Pakistan and Northern India in 2010 boosted prices in the year, with this likely to feed through into 2011 off-trade unit price growth. In addition, rising global demand is also expected to result in rising prices, with black tea thus set to see 10% constant value unit price growth during the forecast period. Overall, tea is expected to see 12% constant value unit price growth, with this encouraged by a shift to higher-priced niches such as green tea, fruit/herbal tea and “other” tea.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 57 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Arabica Coffee Beans
          • Other Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Decaffeinated Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Espresso Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Standard Blend Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Sizes
  • Company Shares
  • Brand Shares
  • Distribution
  • Foodservice Distribution
  • In-1s Instant Coffee
  • Off-trade vs On-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Standard vs Pods

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail RTD volume
  • Retail RTD volume % growth
  • Retail RTD volume per capita
  • Foodservice RTD volume
  • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
  • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
  • Total RTD volume
  • Total RTD volume % growth
  • Total RTD volume per capita
  • Retail Cups Volume
  • Retail Cups Volume % growth
  • Retail Cups Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Cups Volume
  • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
  • Total Cups Volume
  • Total Cups Volume % growth
  • Total Cups Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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