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Country Report

Hot Drinks in the US

Feb 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in USA with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in USA, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in USA for free:

The Hot Drinks in USA market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in USA?
  • What are the major brands in USA?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in USA?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in USA?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Raw materials’ costs passed on to consumers

Rising costs of raw materials, such as green coffee beans, sugar and oil, affected the overall production costs of hot drinks. Many manufacturers, feeling the squeeze during the recession, raised unit prices on their products despite consumer price sensitivity in the economic downturn as a result. However, hot drinks proved to be relatively recession-resistant, and both coffee and tea grew in terms of value and volume in 2010. Unit prices are likely to continue to rise as global demand outweighs supply, and manufacturers continue to transfer costs over to consumers.

Single-serve pod brewing picks up steam

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters’ success with the Keurig brewing system in 2010 rejuvenated interest in ground coffee in pod format. Many popular regional brands have distribution partnerships with the company to provide their products in pod format (K-Cups) that are compatible with the Keurig system. The Keurig system provides the Caribou, Tully’s and Timothy’s coffee brands, and Celestial Seasonings tea in K-Cup format. In late 2010 the company added the Folgers Millstone and Gourmet Selections brands to its list of partnerships. Nespresso’s patent expires in 2012 and opens an opportunity for companies to be able to manufacture their brands for use in Nespresso machines.

Leading manufacturers stay ahead

JM Smucker and Unilever remain the leaders in their respective coffee and tea categories. The affordable Folgers brand, owned by JM Smucker, benefited from consumers trading down as a way to restrict spending during the economic downturn. Purchases of premium brands are projected to rise alongside the economy, and the companies which provide them will have an opportunity to gain share.

Traditional channels continue to be preferred

Supermarket/hypermarkets remain the top choice among consumers for purchases of hot drinks. In an effort to save money during the recession many consumers limited their shopping trips, choosing to go to locations where they could buy many different items at once. These distribution channels also received a boost as more consumers chose to buy coffee to brew at home instead of purchasing products in on-trade establishments such as Starbucks.

Premium and ethical products to drive forecast growth

The hot drinks category is expected to see moderate to strong growth over the forecast period. As consumers develop appreciation for subtle tastes and flavours in their coffee and tea they will be more willing to pay for quality products. Consumers’ desire for ethically traded and environmentally sustainable practices will also influence purchasing behaviour. The development of premium coffees and teas that meet those demands are expected to bolster category growth in coming years. The other hot drinks category, which includes chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks, is not expected to contribute to this growth, as such products are contrary to health and wellness-oriented consumer ideals.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in the US - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Raw materials’ costs passed on to consumers

Single-serve pod brewing picks up steam

Leading manufacturers stay ahead

Traditional channels continue to be preferred

Premium and ethical products to drive forecast growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Single-serve pod brewing experiences resurgence

Consumers concerned over safe environmental and ethical practices

Rising raw materials’ costs passed on to consumers

Premiumisation thrives despite economic concerns

Premium coffee sales benefit as Fast-food chains add branded coffee

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Imports of Hot Drinks by Sector 2001-2010

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in the US - Company Profiles

Eight O'Clock Coffee Co - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Eight O’Clock Coffee Co: Competitive Position 2010

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Hain Celestial Group Inc, The - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 The Hain Celestial Group Inc: Competitive Position 2010

JM Smucker Co, The - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 The JM Smucker Co: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 The JM Smucker Co: Competitive Position 2010

Kraft Foods Inc - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Kraft Foods Inc: Competitive Position 2010

RC Bigelow Inc - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 RC Bigelow Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Starbucks Corp - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 21 Starbucks Corp: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 22 Starbucks Corp: Competitive Position 2010

Unilever United States Inc - Hot Drinks - USA

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 24 Unilever United States Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The instant coffee niche saw renewed growth of 10% by volume and 15% in current value terms in 2010 after a period of decline and stagnancy over 2000-2009. This was primarily due to the innovation of Starbucks with the launch of its premium instant coffee brand, Starbucks Via Ready Brew, in September 2009. Unlike former instant coffee products, Via Ready Brew uses only high quality Arabica beans in its instant coffee. Throughout 2010, Starbucks has released eight additional varieties of its Via Ready Brew product, including decaffeinated and flavoured versions. This spurred a revival of instant coffee, making it the most dynamic in coffee.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • JM Smucker saw its off-trade value share grow to 18% at the end of the review period. Meanwhile, Kraft maintained its second place with a 16% value share in 2010. JM Smucker’s value growth was mainly due to the strength of its Folgers brand, which led sales with a 13% value share in 2010, and the wildly successful Dunkin’ Donuts licensing agreement, which was fifth in 2010 with a 4% value share. Kraft maintains the top position with sales of their Maxwell House and General Foods International brands. Kraft also carries the distribution license for Starbucks brand coffee in grocery stores but the contract has been under contention in late 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Coffee consumption in the US has been resilient in the tough economic environment. Unlike other consumer packaged goods, off-trade and on-trade coffee sales have not suffered in the last several years. Drinking coffee is perceived by many Americans as necessary in order to focus at work, as well as relax. As such, with a rebounding economy off-trade and on-trade volume sales of coffee are expected to grow 4% and 8% respectively over the forecast period. The greatest change will be for coffee value sales, which are expected to grow 27% in off-trade constant terms. This shift is due to several major factors. One factor being the price increase of raw materials (e.g. green coffee beans) being passed from manufacturers to consumers. Another factor is increased purchases of single-serve coffee machines, thus translating over to sales of coffee pods. The average unit price for single-serve coffee pods is much higher than a bag of ground coffee, thus skewing the forecast in favour of value growth. Another event impacting growth is that consumers are starting to desire and are willing to pay more for higher quality gourmet, speciality coffee.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Coffee Machine Sales: 2004-2009
  • Table 28 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Flavoured powder drinks have been traditionally positioned as an indulgent treat during the winter months. The high sugar and calorie content responsible for the sweetness of chocolate- and malt-based hot drinks which once attracted consumers have now become the primary deterrent. As such, sales of flavoured powder drinks are on the decline as consumers are more health-oriented, and are choosing healthier hot drink options such as coffee and tea. Manufacturers have responded to this trend by releasing healthier versions of their drinks (e.g. diet, fat-free, fortified) but have seen very little success, as these products are not very desirable. Consumers who consume such products for the indulgence factor worry about the taste of their beverage, and health-conscious consumers still do not find these drinks attractive.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé led sales in 2010 with a value share of 24%. The Nestlé portfolio includes popular brands such as Nestlé, Nestlé Quik and Carnation, which are all affordable and benefits from Nestlé’s wide distribution network. The company has seen a continual decline in its share due to consumers choosing healthier options or choosing to indulge in more premium and gourmet products.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks’ off-trade volume sales are expected to decline by a total of 7% over the forecast period. This is primarily due to society’s interest in health and wellness and an overall lack of innovation in the category. As consumers search for more nutritious alternatives, chocolate drinks are expected to see a decline in off-trade volume sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 39 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 40 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 41 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 42 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 43 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tea’s widely publicised health benefits helped it to maintain its popularity over the review period. Health-oriented consumers are drawn to tea since they are naturally laden with antioxidants, catechins and EGCG, all of which are positively linked with health and disease prevention. In 2010 consumers continued to purchase more green, white and red (rooibos) teas, as they are found to contain more antioxidants and are perceived as more premium products than traditional black tea. However, black tea still remains the most consumed type of tea in the US.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Unilever led US tea sales with a retail value share of 20%. The company’s Lipton brand is the top-selling tea brand in the country and is well established. Unilever is one of the largest consumer packaged goods companies in the world, and therefore its brands are able to benefit from its greater distribution and bargaining power with retailers. Lipton teas can be found in most supermarkets/hypermarkets, discounters, and convenience stores. Though traditionally seen as an economy brand of tea, Lipton has begun to diversify its offerings to keep up with changing consumer demand in order to maintain share. It now carries a variety of green and white teas, teas in pyramid bags, and even cold-brew tea for ice tea.

PROSPECTS

  • Off-trade value and volume sales of tea are expected to increase by a total of 13% and 3%, respectively over the forecast period. Although the consumer base for tea is growing robustly, it is still a relatively small market when compared with coffee. Stronger value growth can be explained by demand for more expensive green, red and white tea products, and the desire for premium full-leaf tea. Although the reported health benefits of these products are expected to sustain growth over the forecast period, the number of new products being launched is expected to decline as saturation increases. Therefore, growth over the forecast period is projected to be lower than over the review period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Fruit/Herbal Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 49 Other Tea by Type: % Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Arabica Coffee Beans
          • Other Fresh Coffee Beans
        • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Caffeinated Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Decaffeinated Fresh Ground Coffee
      • Instant Coffee
        • Instant Standard Coffee
        • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
    • Tea
      • Black Tea
        • Black Standard Tea
          • Loose Black Standard Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Standard
        • Black Speciality Tea
          • Loose Black Speciality Tea
          • Tea Bags Black Speciality
      • Fruit/Herbal Tea
      • Green Tea
      • Instant Tea
      • Other Tea
    • Other Hot Drinks
      • Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Malt-based Hot Drinks
        • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Sizes
  • Company Shares
  • Brand Shares
  • Distribution
  • Foodservice Distribution
  • In-1s Instant Coffee
  • Off-trade vs On-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Standard vs Pods

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail RTD volume
  • Retail RTD volume % growth
  • Retail RTD volume per capita
  • Foodservice RTD volume
  • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
  • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
  • Total RTD volume
  • Total RTD volume % growth
  • Total RTD volume per capita
  • Retail Cups Volume
  • Retail Cups Volume % growth
  • Retail Cups Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Cups Volume
  • Foodservice Cups Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Cups Volume per capita
  • Total Cups Volume
  • Total Cups Volume % growth
  • Total Cups Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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