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Country Report

Hot Drinks in Ukraine

Mar 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Hot Drinks industry in Ukraine with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Hot Drinks industry in Ukraine, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Ukraine for free:

The Hot Drinks in Ukraine market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Hot Drinks in Ukraine?
  • What are the major brands in Ukraine?
  • How has an increasing desire for heart healthy or fiber-added drinks affected the hot drinks industry in Ukraine?
  • Are manufacturers changing packaging sizes and formats to fit an on-the-go lifestyle?
  • How have changing demographics (for example an aging population) affected the hot drinks market in Ukraine?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Hot Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks chilling out during the crisis

At the end of the review period, volume growth of hot drinks overall declined, as consumption shrank. Reduced consumer spending power together with the parallel growth of hot drinks prices was behind this development. Tea was more popular with consumers and thus was more resistant to the negative effects of the economic crisis. Coffee was more vulnerable – its speciality instant coffee varieties (coffee mixes) in particular. Similarly to off-trade sales, on-trade distribution of hot drinks was also affected during the crisis, additionally complicated by the worsening performance of consumer foodservice in Ukraine overall.

More economical drinks have stronger appeal during the crisis

In 2010 hot drinks saw consumers shifting to more affordable varieties. They included other hot drinks which apart from affordable prices had a healthy drink appeal. Besides, economy brands gained stronger interest of consumers, especially those who had minimal income. Higher demand for standard brands also meant the reduction of the premium segment in hot drinks in Ukraine. The downward trend was particularly characteristic of coffee and tea. To cheapen their products, manufacturers started paying more attention to cheaper packaging of hot drinks through soft packs offers. Tea is packaged in flexible packaging in contrast to tea in carton boxes and metal packaging.

Nestlé-Ukraine is the leader in hot drinks in Ukraine

Hot drinks was headed by three giant multinationals in Ukraine at the end of the review period. Nestlé-Ukraine maintained a strong lead in 2010, being a top player both off trade and on trade. Kraft Foods Ukraine and Unilever Ukraine were amongst leading multinationals in hot drinks as well. In coffee, foreign companies maintained their dominance and domestic companies had better growth chances in other hot drinks and tea. They maintained their competitive edge through a good balance of quality and reasonable pricing of their hot drinks offers.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets channel is the biggest generator of value sales

In Ukraine, hot drinks are traditionally possible to buy through all major grocery retailers. The leading channels in hot drinks sales comprise supermarkets/hypermarkets, independent small grocers and street kiosks. The widest assortments of hot drinks are usually found in supermarkets/hypermarkets. Consumers have the widest choice of premium brands from which to choose from there, too. Mass brands usually characterise small grocers. Instant coffee is particularly strong there whilst fresh coffee assortments are particularly limited. In street kiosks assortments are the narrowest and most popular brands comprise Nescafé, Jacobs & Tchibo.

Hot drinks performance in future influenced by economic developments

Future sales dynamics of hot drinks will be somewhat restricted by the eventual saturation of major categories, tea and coffee in particular. However, economic factors will also play a role. In case the crisis takes longer for Ukraine to overcome, hot drinks performance is expected to be sluggish, in value terms. Economy and standard brands will preserve strong appeal with consumers in the short to mid term. When the economic development of the country revives, value sales dynamics will therefore become healthier.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Hot Drinks in Ukraine - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Hot drinks chilling out during the crisis

More economical drinks have stronger appeal during the crisis

Nestlé-Ukraine is the leader in hot drinks in Ukraine

Supermarkets/hypermarkets channel is the biggest generator of value sales

Hot drinks performance in future influenced by economic developments

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Crisis keeps on evolving in Ukraine

On-trade distribution of hot drinks badly hit by crisis

De-premiumisation characterises hot drinks at the end of the review period

Hot drinks packaging tends to cheapen during the crisis

Multinationals dominate hot drinks in Ukraine

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Hot Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Hot Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Vs Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Retail Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 22 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 23 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Total Sales of Hot Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Production/Import/Export Data

  • Table 26 Coffee Import 2008-2009
  • Table 27 Tea Import 2007-2008
  • Table 28 Wholesale Trade Turnover of Hot Drinks by Sector 2006-2008

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Hot Drinks in Ukraine - Company Profiles

Ecoproduct PK - Hot Drinks - Ukraine

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Ecoproduct PK: Competitive Position 2010

Galca Ltd SP - Hot Drinks - Ukraine

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Galca Ltd SP: Competitive Position 2010

Monomakh VAT - Hot Drinks - Ukraine

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Monomakh VAT: Competitive Position 2010

Solomiya SP TOV - Hot Drinks - Ukraine

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Solomiya SP TOV: Competitive Position 2010

Coffee in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 there was redistribution of consumer preferences in coffee and pricing of specific coffee types played a major role behind these developments. Fresh coffee kept on increasing its volume share at the expense of the drastically underperforming instant coffee. Coffee mixes within instant coffee underperformed in 2010 in particular as their very high prices scared off price-sensitive consumers. Overall, in 2010, coffee posted a total volume sales decline of 15% which translated into 29,000 tonnes of coffee consumed.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • At the end of the review period the lead in coffee was firmly kept by Nestlé-Ukraine, which accounted for 24% of retail sales volume, gained through performance of its most famous brand Nescafé. The company is the strongest both off trade and on trade, and its drinks are popular due to high quality, permanent attention paid to renewing formulations and improving packaging design. Besides, Nestlé’s coffee is easy to find in all types of stores. In addition to excellent distribution coverage the company is always aggressive in advertising its Nescafé brand via all major mass media, TV in particular. These factors were key ones amongst those allowing Nestlé to gain the number one position in coffee in Ukraine.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period coffee sales are anticipated to rise by 12% in total volume terms, an acceleration compared to the sluggish historic performance with the 9% sales decline between 2005 and 2010. The recovery will be attributed to the eventual economic recovery of the country and the respective rising incomes of Ukrainians in particular.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 29 Coffee Machine Sales: 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Fresh Ground Coffee: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Coffee Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 36 Coffee Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 37 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Retail Sales of Coffee by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Fresh Ground Coffee: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Other Hot Drinks in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 other hot drinks did comparatively well as prices for other hot drinks were cheaper than that of tea and coffee. As consumers continued to be affected by the economic crisis, the cheaper hot drinks turned out to be a good alternative to the more expensive tea and coffee. Other hot drinks also benefited from the perception that they are healthier than tea or coffee as many other hot drinks products contain chicory and oats, which are considered healthy. As a result, 2010 volume sales of other hot drinks recorded a 2% total volume sales increase, an improvement compared to the -2% historic CAGR, which translated into nearly 2,400 tonnes of other hot drinks consumed.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • At the end of the review period other hot drinks was quite a concentrated market with the top three players accounting for 62% of the overall off-trade value. In 2010, Galca maintained its leadership with the Galca range of other plant-based drinks holding 36% of off-trade sales value. Nestlé-Ukraine (Nesquik) followed with 18% and Maspex ranked third with an 8% value share gained in chocolate-based flavoured powder drinks. The companies have a long-standing presence in the market, which allowed them to become well established in other hot drinks.

PROSPECTS

  • Other hot drinks will remain a hot drink of choice for consumers favouring a range of hot drinks apart from tea and coffee. People having specific health problems (eg, hepatitis or diabetes) will favour other hot drinks too, especially other plant-based hot drinks, such as chicory. Overall, sales growth is forecast to accelerate in the future rising by about 9% in total volume terms, a significant improvement compared to the respective 9% historic decline. Comparatively low prices of other soft drinks will positively contribute to further sales growth of other hot drinks, too.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 44 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Other Hot Drinks: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Other Hot Drinks Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 48 Other Hot Drinks Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 49 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 50 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 51 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 52 Forecast Retail Sales of Other Hot Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Other Hot Drinks: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Tea in Ukraine - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 economy and standard tea were Ukrainian favourites whilst premium tea kept on losing share due to economic uncertainty. Tea in cheaper soft packaging was also amongst the favourites. Overall, tea was a popular beverage option during the crisis since it is quite economical and this helped sales to show positive growth in 2010 in contrast to coffee or other hot drinks that saw growth rates fall. In 2010 total volume sales growth of tea reached nearly 6% to translate to 25,000 tonnes of tea consumed, which was healthier than the volume growth seen over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • At the end of the review period tea in Ukraine was led by Unilever Ukraine (with a 23% share of off-trade sales value whilst the company is a leader in on trade tea as well), Orimi Trade (14%) and Ahmad Tea Ukrainian (with 13% of off-trade sales value and a leading player in the on trade). These companies were able to take the top spot as they were the first to be established in Ukraine and therefore had first mover advantage. Their range of high-quality loose and bagged tea in small and large packaging has helped them attract a wide range of consumers. Besides, the leaders are known as aggressive advertisers of their brands, especially Lipton, Ahmad and Princess. These brands are usually promoted via all major mass media including television.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period tea will be eventually approaching its saturation point so that sales dynamics will be quite restricted. Between 2010 and 2015 total sales volume of tea is expected to rise at a CAGR of 4%. Future sales will be driven by the eventual consumer spending power recovery as well as by growth in consumer demand for tea mixes with natural fruits and herbs and so-called compotes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 54 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Tea: Standard Vs Pods 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Tea Company Shares by Retail Value 2006-2010
  • Table 60 Tea Brand Shares by Retail Value 2007-2010
  • Table 61 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 64 Forecast Retail Sales of Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 65 Tea: Forecast Standard Vs Pods 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Hot Drinks
    • Coffee
      • Fresh Coffee
        • Fresh Coffee Beans
          • Fresh Ground Coffee
          • Instant Coffee
            • Instant Standard Coffee
            • Instant Decaffeinated Coffee
        • Tea
          • Black Tea
            • Black Standard Tea
              • Loose Black Standard Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Standard
            • Black Speciality Tea
              • Loose Black Speciality Tea
              • Tea Bags Black Speciality
          • Fruit/Herbal Tea
          • Green Tea
          • Instant Tea
          • Other Tea
        • Other Hot Drinks
          • Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
            • Malt-based Hot Drinks
            • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Other Plant-based Hot Drinks

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Foodservice distribution
      • In-1s instant coffee
      • Off-trade vs on-trade
      • Pricing
      • Products by ingredient
      • Products by ingredient
      • Standard vs pods

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Foodservice volume
      • Foodservice volume % growth
      • Foodservice volume per capita
      • Total volume
      • Total volume % growth
      • Total volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail rtd volume
      • Retail rtd volume % growth
      • Retail rtd volume per capita
      • Foodservice rtd volume
      • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
      • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
      • Total rtd volume
      • Total rtd volume % growth
      • Total rtd volume per capita
      • Retail cups volume
      • Retail cups volume % growth
      • Retail cups volume per capita
      • Foodservice cups volume
      • Foodservice cups volume % growth
      • Foodservice cups volume per capita
      • Total cups volume
      • Total cups volume % growth
      • Total cups volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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