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Country Report

Packaged Food in Algeria

Mar 2012

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Packaged food witnesses strong value growth in 2011

Packaged food saw strong value growth in 2011. An increase in unit prices in all categories resulting from higher production costs, high inflation and lack of control of retailers’ margins accelerated value growth. The strong value performance caused a slowdown in volume growth terms, however, as many price-sensitive consumers had to cut back on food items due to rising prices. However, despite this price sensitivity healthy growth rates were maintained across packaged food.

Variety of factors lead to unit price increases

Value sales continued to rise over 2011 due to the lack of government regulations regarding retailing and a lack of control over retailer sales margins. This lack of central government control, along with rising costs on imported raw materials and thus the end products, saw unit prices increase in 2011. As a result, many consumers struggled with rising prices, particularly in the low- to middle-income segments, which in turn depressed volume growth.

Domestic manufacturers confirm leadership

Over 2011 domestic manufacturers continued to confirm their leadership of the packaged food industry. This dominance, unusual in African markets, where the majority of manufacturers tend to be international players, was due to the impact of the supplementary financial laws of 2009 and 2010. These aimed to cut the amount of imports into Algeria, seeking to make the country self-sufficient and bolster local manufacturing. As a result companies operating inside Algeria gained share and were able to reinforce their leading positions in the major packaged food categories. A further help was that the price gap between domestically produced products and imported offerings increased, making local products more attractive to price sensitive consumers. In addition, local product quality improved and consumers were increasingly satisfied with the quality of many standard and economy products, where previously locally made goods suffered from very low quality.

Independent small grocers remains largest distribution channel

Independent small grocers continued to be the largest distribution channel in Algeria and generated the highest value sales in 2011. Algerian consumers are still used to buying food products on a daily basis at small shops where there is a large product range to choose from. Prices in independent small grocers are still competitive compared with larger supermarkets or hypermarkets. This, apart from many people not having a car to travel to larger outlets, is one of the key reasons why independent small grocers continued to take the lion’s share of packaged food distribution. Another reason is that supermarkets and hypermarkets at national level have relatively low penetration, and many regions rely on small independent grocers for their shopping needs.

Slowdown for forecast performance but maintaining healthy levels

The forecast period is expected to see continued healthy growth, although increases are expected to slow down over the forecast period. Slowing growth rates will be due to the increasing development and maturity of many products that previously saw massive spikes in growth due to their novelty. Price increases are also expected to slow down, which will help to bolster volume sales once more. The growing development of locally produced products and the development of more economy brands and their resultant lower prices will also help to stimulate growth.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Algeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Algeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Algeria for free:

The Packaged Food in Algeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Algeria?
  • What are the major brands in Algeria?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Algeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Packaged food witnesses strong value growth in 2011

Variety of factors lead to unit price increases

Domestic manufacturers confirm leadership

Independent small grocers remains largest distribution channel

Slowdown for forecast performance but maintaining healthy levels

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Algeria - Company Profiles

AgroMar SARL in Packaged Food (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cevital Spa in Packaged Food (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Cevital Spa: Competitive Position 2010

Production Industrielle de Produits Laitiers Sarl (PRIPLAIT) in Packaged Food (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 PRIPLAIT Sarl: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 PRIPLAIT Sarl: Competitive Position 2010

SARL Mahbouba in Packaged Food (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 SARL Mahbouba : Competitive Position 2010

Baby Food in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baby food will see a 13% increase in current value terms in 2011 resulting from increasing buying power allowing higher spending on packaged baby food. The demand is increasingly coming from middle-income consumers and working women willing to spend more on prepared food, whose busier working lives do not allow time to make baby food at home from scratch, as previously.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Celia Algérie spa continued to lead the category and generated a 27% value share in 2010. The international company manufactures powder milk in Algeria, and imports other categories. It benefits from the strong brand name and advertising made in Algeria and seen through international TV channels. The company also regularly launches new products such as L’Expert (a powder milk product in 2010 and Celia in prepared baby food) which continued to reinforce the company’s position as a leader.

PROSPECTS

  • Baby food is expected to register a 7% constant value CAGR over the forecast period. The healthy value increase will result from continuous increasing demand for baby food. The percentage of young working women is expected to keep on rising, leading to higher purchasing power but also less time for homemade food and breastfeeding. However, volume growth of baby food is expected to slow down since sales will remain limited to middle- and upper-income families and a predicted rise in unit prices will be behind a slowdown in volume growth over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baked goods posted 3% volume growth and 10% value growth in 2011. The category suffered from a strong increase in cereal and sugar prices, which boosted value growth, however. Although value growth was high, it was dampened by the fact that artisanal bread remained at the same price of DZD8.5 thanks to it being a subsidised product. Artisanal subsidised bread thus helped to reduce value growth, while, at the same time, helping to maintain volume growth rates.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Artisanal baked goods led the category with almost 60% of value sales. Because artisanal bread is subsidised and its unit price is fixed by the government at a low price of DZD8.5, all consumers buy artisanal bread. However, when subsidised artisanal bread is out of stock consumers will only then start buying packaged bread. As a result, packaged baked goods is very fragmented between a number of international and domestic players.

PROSPECTS

  • Baked goods is expected to see a healthy 6% value CAGR and a 3% volume CAGR over the forecast period. The faster value than volume performance will result from a price increase in packaged baked goods. However, due to the high volumes generated in Algeria, volume growth will remain at the level of the population growth, and consumption of bread and pastries is not expected to decline since both categories are part of the daily food habits.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 60 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Biscuits saw value growth of just under 13% and slower but healthy 7% volume growth in 2011. Thanks to rising buying power, consumers were able to maintain their purchasing biscuits, despite the price increase in 2011, resulting essentially from the rising international price of sugar. Strong competition continues to be seen in this category, led by domestic manufacturers, with best-performing products being standard and economy brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • BIMO (Biscuiterie Moderne) remained the leader with a 34% value share in 2010. The domestic company is the biggest biscuits manufacturer in the country, and also one of the oldest. The company was able to resist the strong competition and is present in several biscuits categories as well as in chocolate confectionery. This good representation in biscuits and in chocolate confectionery means that the BIMO name is a strong brand name and is recognised throughout the country. BIMO also constantly improves the quality of its products and consumers appear to be satisfied by the value for money of its biscuits.

PROSPECTS

  • Biscuits is expected to post solid 7% value and 6% volume CAGRs over the forecast period. An expected better management of domestic sugar production will help in maintaining prices at a stable level, which will bring down value growth but help maintain healthy volume growth. All biscuits categories are expected to continue to see a solid performance and the demand will remain high since biscuits are consumed as snacks, for breakfast or for afternoon coffee.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 72 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 77 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 78 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Breakfast cereals posted 16% value growth in 2011 and an 11% volume increase. The category sales continued to be led by children’s breakfast cereals as breakfast cereals were still perceived as essentially a product for children’s breakfasts or afternoon snacks. The rapid development of the category was due to the expansion of domestic production of breakfast cereals, and changes in the breakfast habits of children, influenced by the advertising on French and Middle Eastern television channels.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg Co maintained its leading position and generated 25% of value sales in 2010. Kellogg Co exports all its brands to Algeria and managed to keep its leading position thanks to the premium price of its products. The company is the leader in flakes with the leading brand Special K and maintained a good share in a variety of children’s cereals with brands such as Coco Pops and Miel Pops.

PROSPECTS

  • Breakfast cereals is expected to record CAGRs of 11% in value and in volume terms over the forecast period. Both the volume and value performances will show an expected strong development, resulting from a stabilisation of unit prices at a level that allows the category to expand and sell to a wider income population. Breakfast cereals, and more specifically children’s cereals, are also expected to increasingly become part of breakfast and after-school snacks.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 83 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 88 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 89 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Canned/preserved food is expected to record 16% current value growth in 2011, and 11% volume growth. Both strong growth rates continued to be the result of an increase in fresh food prices, such as vegetables and fruit. The long shelf-life of canned/preserved food also stimulated growth, as families bought these products not only for eating immediately, but also for keeping at home should food prices rise further.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Pescamar Algeria was the leader canned/preserved food in 2010, with a 12% value share. The company, which imports canned/preserved fish/seafood, leads because it specialises in the products which have the highest unit prices, leading to high value sales. The most popular fish/seafood product is tuna; there is a large offer of international brands and strong competition, particularly from Spanish companies.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food is expected to record a CAGR of 10% in both constant value and volume terms over the forecast period. Canned/preserved food will continue to grow, and a proportionate performance reveals expected slight growth in unit prices, but not strong enough to slow down volume growth. Growth rates are expected to remain strong because of the anticipated further development of some categories, such as canned/preserved fish/seafood and canned/preserved vegetables, with a wider product variety expected to be offered. Canned/preserved food will also remain an alternative when prices of fresh food increase.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 94 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 98 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 99 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 100 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 101 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cheese in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cheese in Algeria will see 11% volume growth and a strong increase of 16% in value terms in 2011. Good volume growth will be due to the development and increase in domestic production that has made cheese accessible to more consumer groups. Formerly, cheese was perceived as a premium product, as it was mostly imported, and few could afford it. The increasing production of domestic cheese also led to launches of new product ranges, including development of the category of spreadable processed cheese by PRIPLAIT with several new flavours such as Roquefort, herbs and shrimp and the increasing production of soft cheese Président, that recently started production in Algeria.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unibel SA remained the key player in 2010 and generated 29% of value shares, followed closely by PRIPLAIT with a 21% value share. Unibel, with its brand La Vache Qui Rit, gained from the strong brand recognition advertised for a long time through French TV channels available in the majority of households. Besides, since it started manufacturing in Algeria, its prices dropped considerably and became affordable to the majority. PRIPLAIT also gained share thanks to its regular product development. It launched its Ikil product in three new flavours: Herbs, Roquefort and shrimp.

PROSPECTS

  • Cheese is expected to record a strong 11% CAGR in both volume and constant value terms over the forecast period. Prices are expected to stabilise over the forecast period due to better control and improved domestic production of raw materials such as powder milk and liquid milk. Domestic manufacturers are likely to enter into intense competition amongst themselves, which is likely to help stabilise milk prices leading to volume growth over the forecast period. Should they succeed in stabilising milk prices whilst providing more cheese on the market, sales will continue to grow as cheese will be increasingly available for all income groups.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 105 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 106 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 111 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 112 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 113 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 116 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in Algeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed food remains a category with no significant sales in Algeria. The very few products which can sometimes be found in some independent small grocers in wealthy urban areas are imported randomly, in limited volumes, and sometimes illegally.

Chocolate Confectionery in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chocolate confectionery registered value growth of 17% and a 10% volume increase in 2011. The category’s fast development resulted from the increase in buying power, particularly in urban areas, allowing consumers to buy the products, despite a rise in unit prices, which particularly affected imported brands due to the rising costs of imports that were a result of the supplementary financial law of 2009. This law was put in place to help Algeria cut its huge import bill and to become less dependent on imports. There are now more forms to fill in and more fees to pay on imported products into Algeria.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Mars Inc. took over the leading position in 2010 with a 9% value share, followed closely by the previous leader BIMO, a domestic manufacturer that achieved a near 9% share.

PROSPECTS

  • Chocolate confectionery is expected to witness a 10% value CAGR and a 9% volume CAGR over the forecast period. Price rises will continue to be seen but prices will increase at a slower rate, allowing strong volume growth to be maintained and a slower value increase. The development of domestic production and improvement of quality are expected to be the main reason for a slowdown in average unit price rises.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 117 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 120 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 122 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 123 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 124 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 128 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Dried processed food is expected to see 15% current value growth in 2011, but weaker volume growth of 7%. Dried processed food continued to be dominated by rice; with expected sales of 150,000 tonnes, this was a much bigger category than dried pasta or dehydrated soup. However, price increases in dried processed food are expected to lead to a slowdown in volume growth, making it slower than value growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The international company Uncle Ben’s remained the leader in dried processed food in 2010, generating a 14% value share. The imported rice brand was able to maintain its leading position due to its premium price platform in the largest category in volume terms. Uncle Ben’s is bought only by high-income consumers, and managed to position itself as the leader thanks to the strong advertising of the brand on French television during the 1990s.

PROSPECTS

  • Dried processed food is expected to register a constant value CAGR of 8% and a volume CAGR of 6% over the forecast period. Both healthy rates will result from constant demand for rice and pasta, which are increasingly replacing vegetables when the prices of such products rise. The value growth rate will remain high thanks to expected increases in unit prices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 129 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 130 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 134 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 135 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Drinking milk products will see healthy value growth of 7% in 2011. Volume sales are essentially generated by fresh semi-skimmed milk which is a subsidised product that kept its low price of DZD25 for one litre, the same price as in 2010. However, at the end of 2010 and during the first half of 2011, the country saw several shortages of this subsidised product, forcing consumers to buy powder milk and UHT milk which are more expensive and resulted in solid value increases for both powder and UHT milk. As a result, the review period recorded a CAGR of 9% in current value terms; faster than the value growth expected in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • ONIL, the national owned company and controlling body of powder milk remained leader with a 74% share. The company generated more than 90% of volume sales although value sales are lower as its prices of milk are lower than UHT and powder milk variants.

PROSPECTS

  • Drinking milk products is expected to record weak constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. The slow value increase will result in better control of milk powder imports and production. The government announced that it would encourage and help farmers to increase their milk production, thus reducing the reliance on imports so as to maintain low powder milk prices. Milk will remain subsidised at DZD25 per litre and UHT milk prices are expected to stabilise over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 140 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 141 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 142 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 144 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 145 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 146 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 147 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 148 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Frozen processed food is expected to see current value growth of 19% in 2011, and 13% volume growth. The category continued to generate small volumes, as most products are imported, and sales are only in urban areas, where a few retailers have the proper facilities to stock frozen products. Algerian consumers are not yet used to frozen food, preferring fresh food. However, because of price increases on fresh food, consumers started to buy increasing amounts of frozen food. However, these sales were restricted to high-income consumers, as prices of frozen processed food are mostly premium.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Crustamar was the leader in frozen processed food in 2010 with a value share of 31%. The company, which is based in France, only provides fish and seafood products, and it essentially imports the brand La Maree to Algeria, which is also imported by the Algerian company AgroMar.

PROSPECTS

  • Frozen processed food is expected to see a constant value CAGR of 14% over the forecast period. This strong growth rate is due to the fact that frozen processed food is growing from a very small base, with a unit price which is expected to carry on rising over the forecast period. The likely future development of product variety is expected to contribute to the strong growth of the category, as well as the expected targeting of a wider consumer base so that more Algerians are aware of frozen processed food.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 151 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 152 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 153 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 154 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 155 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 156 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 157 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 158 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 159 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 160 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 161 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Gum in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Gum saw value growth of 15% and a 9% volume increase in 2011. Sales continued to be essentially generated by upper- and middle-income consumers and the younger generation. Gum continued to be dominated by international imported premium brands, which limited volume growth and the expansion of sales to lower-income consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The international company William Wrigley Jr Co continued to lead gum with a 41% value share. The company is present in sugarised and sugar-free categories with its brand Freedent. Freedent is sold at a premium price point and is the reason for its strong performance. It also benefits from television advertising on French television channels available in Algeria.

PROSPECTS

  • Gum is expected to record a solid 9% CAGR in both constant value and volume terms over the forecast period. Thanks to an increase in buying power, urban consumers, and not only children, are expected to raise gum consumption and will consume it more. Moreover, the expected increasing availability of gum in independent small grocers, the largest distribution channel, will help to push sales of the product as an impulse buy.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 162 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 163 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 164 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 165 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 166 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 167 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 168 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 172 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ice cream will see 12% volume growth and an 18% increase in current value terms in 2011. Both rates reveal strong category performances, despite an increase in unit prices essentially due to the rising price of milk powder. Ice cream’s strong increase was essentially due to rising consumption outside the summer season although the majority of sales still occur over the summer months. Rising consumption outside of the summer season was due to growing production of ice cream products as well the fact that consumers started to become increasingly accustomed to eating ice cream outside of summer. Tapping into this, the only domestic manufacturer in Algeria gained shares as it could provide ice cream year-round at affordable prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Prima Glaces remained the top player with a value share of 27% in 2010. This domestic manufacturer has been the largest company for several years and continues reinforcing its position through regular new product launches. It is also the only manufacturer to maintain production, even if at smaller capacities, outside of the summer season meaning that it operates without any competitors for nine months of the year. Other competitors only manufacture ice cream during the summer months.

PROSPECTS

  • Ice cream is expected to see a 10% CAGR in volume terms and a constant value CAGR of 11% over the forecast period. The category is expected to continue growing at solid rates. Prices are also likely to be stable thanks to better availability of powder milk that is expected to stop prices from rising too strongly. Both volume and value rates are expected to grow at the same rhythm and manufacturers are expected to enlarge their product ranges thanks to low production costs.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 173 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 174 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 177 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 178 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 179 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 180 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in Algeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Meal replacement products continued to represent negligible sales in Algeria. Products are very scarce on shop shelves and only a few city-based pharmacies or expensive fitness centres carry such products.

Noodles in Algeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Demand for noodles remained negligible in Algeria during 2011 despite the fact that some brands of noodles can now found in some supermarkets/hypermarkets in Algeria's urban areas. There remained no domestic production of noodles and all noodles brands available in Algeria remained imported sporadically from Asia and the Middle East in very low quantities. Any noodles consumption in Algeria is restricted to recent Chinese immigrants who have come to Algeria to work on various construction projects in the country. These influx of Chinese people is the main reason that Algerians have any knowledge at all about the existence of noodles as noodles does not form part of local Algerian cuisine.

Oils and Fats in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Oils and fats will see 14% value growth and 5% volume growth in 2011. The slower volume growth results from a strong increase in the price of oils and fats due to a strong inflation rate, increase in international prices and an uncontrolled increase of retailers and wholesalers’ profit margins affecting essentially staples. The government then established a regulation, fixing the maximum price for five litres of oil at DZD600, and suspended until the end of August 2011, the application of a 5% tariff, the profit tax on companies (19% for the production and 25% for the distribution) and the VAT (17%) on imports or production of raw materials for edible oils.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cevital spa remained the leader and achieved a 34% value share in 2010. The domestic company has the largest production capacities in the country and it was also able to limit the price increase compared to its competitors. Cevital gained sales because it is present in all oils and fats categories, with its best-selling brand being Elio in vegetable and seed oil.

PROSPECTS

  • Oils and fats is expected to see a constant value CAGR of 6% and a 4% CAGR in volume terms over the forecast period. Both healthy rates are expected to result from a stabilisation of prices allowing volumes to increase at a CAGR of 4%. The biggest demand is expected to remain for vegetable and seed oil and margarine; both products largely used in cooking.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 184 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 185 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 186 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 187 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 188 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 189 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 190 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 191 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other dairy is expected to see 20% value growth in 2011. The rapid growth is essentially due to a significant increase in unit prices as well as an increase in using cream for cooking; a product that is not part of local cooking habits. The recent introduction of chilled dairy-based desserts, which continued to have small volume sales, will see sharp volume and value growth in 2011, albeit from a low base.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Danone Djurdjura spa led other dairy in 2010 with a value share of 28%. The reason for its leadership is that it is strongly present in several product ranges, such as chilled dairy-based desserts and fromage frais and domestically produces its products which helps to keep the product range price competitive. Danone’s good international standing throughout the Middle East and North Africa also helps to boost sales as it is known as a good quality product. In addition to a strong brand and products, other dairy is a very fragmented category with several players vying for small shares. Giplait spa was second with a value share of only 8%.

PROSPECTS

  • Other dairy is expected to witness a constant value CAGR of 12% over the forecast period. The healthy rate is expected to result essentially from the development of dairy-based desserts, a category that was recently introduced and which is expected to keep on growing with solid volume and value rates and faster than the growth for yoghurts. However, despite good growth, other dairy will remain hampered by low incomes as well as the fact that most other dairy products do not form part of traditional Algerian cuisine.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 195 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 196 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 197 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 198 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 199 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 200 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 201 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 202 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 203 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pasta in Algeria is expected to increase in value by 16% and in volume by 9% in 2011. Because the price of vegetables increased dramatically in Algeria during 2011, many consumers began replacing their regular and traditional consumption of vegetables with pasta as it is now cheaper than vegetables and cooks just as quickly.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sim spa maintained its leading position in pasta in Algeria during 2010 with a 64% value share. Sim is a domestic company which offers standard brands and a wide choice of pasta formats. The company also benefits from its significant presence in couscous, where it is famous for the quality of its products and its excellent reputation in couscous has a positive effect on its reputation in pasta benefits from this.

PROSPECTS

  • Pasta is expected to increase in constant value at a CAGR of 10% over the forecast period, while volume sales are expected to increase at a CAGR of 8%. Pasta is expected to become increasingly popular in Algeria and its image is expected to develop from a cheap replacement for increasingly expensive vegetables to a regular food product in its own right. Pasta is expected to be particularly attractive to young urban couples with less free time to cook and who are more influenced for Western types of food.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 204 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 205 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 206 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 207 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 208 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 209 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 210 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 211 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 212 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 213 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 214 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ready meals is expected to see 16% current value growth in 2011; a strong rate due to a significant rise in unit prices. The category offers mostly premium imported brands, which suffered from high import costs. Moreover, because its consumers are only from the high-income group, distributors did not attempt to absorb the price increase, but directly reflected it in the selling price. As a result of price rises, volume growth slowed down slightly to 10%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cie Générale de Conserves (CGC) remained the key player in ready meals in 2010, accounting for a 29% share of value sales. The French company continued to import products through several distributors. It was able to maintain the leading position thanks to its brand D’Aucy, which is heavily advertised on French television. French television is avidly watched in Algeria, and is very popular.

PROSPECTS

  • Ready meals is expected to record a strong constant value CAGR of 10% over the forecast period. Sales will continue to be generated only by high-income consumers, and prices are expected to remain premium. The category is expected to see an increase in the product range, but a lack of advertising and high prices will limit sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 215 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 216 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 217 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 218 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 219 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 220 Ready Meals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 221 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 222 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 225 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 226 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sauces, dressings and condiments is expected to increase in value by 10% in 2011, while volume sales are expected to increase by 6%. Several sauces, dressings and condiments categories are expected to register solid volume sales, which is leading to slower volume growth as these categories begin to mature. Meanwhile, ongoing unit price increases are contributing to higher value growth, particularly in categories where there is a significant presence of imported products such as mayonnaise and ketchup.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Jumbo Algérie continued to lead sauces, dressings and condiments in Algeria during 2010 with a value share of 43%. The domestic manufacturer is mainly present in bouillon/stock cubes, where its Jumbo brand dominates with 80% of total retail value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Sauces, dressings and condiments is expected to increase in volume at a CAGR of 6% over the forecast period, while constant value growth is expected at a CAGR of 5%. The growing interest in Western food and changing attitudes towards fast food in Algeria's urban areas are the main drivers for the solid growth expected in sauces, dressings and condiments during the forecast period. These changes in Algeria's food habits tend to be even more noticeable during the summer, particularly amongst Algeria's youth. Categories comprising products which are widely used in local cuisine such as tomato pastes and purées will remain the best performing categories in sauces, dressings and condiments in Algeria during the forecast period due to rising unit prices and consistently high demand.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 227 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 230 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 231 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 232 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 233 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 236 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 237 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Snack Bars in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of snack bars remained small in 2011 as snack bars only started generating significant sales in 2010. Despite strong volume and value growth in the last two years, with volume and value sales more than tripling, sales remained small, with volumes of just under 1 tonne and a value of DZD4 million in 2011. Snack bars are present as premium brands only. All are imported brands that are found in a few pharmacies in large cities and in some urban health and beauty retailers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Snack bars remained highly fragmented among several international brands such as Galettes Bio Energie. These brands are imported irregularly and in small quantities. Due to the lack of real demand energy and nutrition bars are used as “fillers” in import orders so that a number of brands can be seen on the market from year to year but that disappear very quickly when the stock has been sold. As a result, consumers are not brand loyal and will buy any brand that they find in the shops.

PROSPECTS

  • Snack bars are expected to see strong growth of around 40% a year on average in value terms and 36% year-on-year in volume terms. Such high growth rates are due to the very small base, where any sales automatically skew growth rates. Rises in volume growth will be due to sales coming from energy and nutrition bars only, despite the fact that there are some breakfast bars and granola/muesli bars on the market in negligible quantities. A rising number of upper-income consumers going to the gym will also help to boost growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 238 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 239 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2011
  • Table 241 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2011
  • Table 242 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 243 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 244 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Soup in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Soup is set to increase in value by18% in 2011, while volume growth is set to remain lower at 12%. However, in spite of these strong growth rates, soup remains a very small packaged food category in Algeria. Soup is currently subject to a number of developments in terms of flavour, with new flavours such as tomato, cheese, chicken and vegetable becoming popular, while imported UHT soup is becoming more common, although the quantities of this remain insignificant. Demand for soup in Algeria therefore continues to come only from upper income consumers who can afford imported packaged food products, primarily working women who, unlike their lower income counterparts who do not work, no longer have time to cook soup from scratch. Algerians are also used to cooking soup at home and consider that packaged soup is a poor substitute for homemade soup.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Group continued to lead soup in Algeria during 2010 with a value share of 21%. The multinational company imports its dehydrated soup brand Knorr, which is an internationally famous brand which is rapidly gaining value share in soup in Algeria thanks to the advertising of the Knorr brand on foreign television channels which are available in Algeria, particularly the French television channels which are viewed by the majority of Algerian households. Unilever's leading position in soup is also due to the positive perception of Unilever products in Algeria as it offers the leading brand in a myriad of different categories in several fmcg industries.

PROSPECTS

  • Soup is expected to increase in constant value at a CAGR of 12% over the forecast period, while volume is expected to increase at a CAGR of 10%. Growth in soup will result from higher demand among upper-income consumers and the anticipated change in attitude towards packaged soup as a viable alternative to home-made soup thanks to the expected increase in the number of working women in Algeria, which will lead to more having insufficient time to prepare soup from scratch at home.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 247 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 248 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 249 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 250 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 251 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 252 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 253 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 254 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 255 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 256 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, spreads posted value growth of 13% and an 8% volume increase. The category continued its strong value performance due to an increase in unit prices, although it saw a slowdown in volume growth as a result. The strong performance also resulted from a high level of utilisation of jams and preserves and honey, two categories with the highest volumes, used for home-made traditional pastries and cakes, and at breakfast.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • ENAJUC Groupe remained the key player in 2010 with a 37% value share. The state-owned company underwent privatisation of five its previous subsidiaries, but kept two large production facilities and continued to manufacture jams and preserves. The long-existing brand offering economy priced jams allowed the company to maintain its leading position.

PROSPECTS

  • Spreads is expected to post value growth of around 7% a year on average, with a volume CAGR of around 6%. Such healthy growth rates will be due to the continuous use and significant consumption of spreads in Algeria, particularly jam and honey, which are used for home cooking. Strong competition between domestic manufacturers that are present with economy products will help to maintain healthy volume growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 258 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 259 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 260 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 261 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 262 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 263 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 264 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 265 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 266 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 267 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sugar confectionery witnessed 11% value growth and 6% volume growth in 2011. Price increases drove value sales growth but also slowed down volume growth. Price rises were due to increases in raw material prices, and the prices of imported brands. Volume growth in the category was essentially pushed by other sugar confectionery and Turkish delight, which saw rapid growth thanks to a switch from large sales through the black market to domestic legal production.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Flash Dey led sugar confectionery sales in 2010 with a 14% value share. The domestic manufacturer is strongly present in other sugar confectionery, the largest subcategory in sugar confectionery in volume terms. Nevertheless, 66% of sugar confectionery is represented by players grouped under “others” as it is a very fragmented market area with many small regional producers and irregular imported products.

PROSPECTS

  • Sugar confectionery is expected to record a 6% value CAGR and 5% volume CAGR over the forecast period. Both healthy rates will result from the rising buying power, allowing parents to buy more products specifically for their children, who are the biggest consumers of sugar confectionery. Also, development in domestic production will enable larger volume sales and smaller unit price growth overall, which will help to boost volume sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 11 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types
  • Table 269 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 270 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 271 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 272 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 273 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 274 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 276 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 277 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 278 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sweet and savoury snacks is expected to increase by 16% in value and 9% in volume during 2011. The scope of sweet and savoury snacks remained limited during 2011, with few brands present. Despite the low unit prices of some brands, strong unit price increases during the second half of 2010 and the first half of 2011 impeded volume growth during 2011 as sweet and savoury snacks are considered to non-essential products by Algerian consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Snax sarl remained the leading player in sweet and savoury snacks in Algeria during 2010, accounting for 31% of total retail value sales. Snax is a domestic company and is present in chips/crisps and popcorn, the fastest growing categories in sweet and savoury snacks. The company offers standard brands and promotes its leading chips/crisps brand Mahboul with billboards positioned near beach areas, a strategic location for outdoor advertising as many Algerian people like to eat chips/crisps whilst sitting on the beach.

PROSPECTS

  • Sweet and savoury snacks is expected to record sold growth over the forecast period, increasing in constant value at a CAGR of 9% and in volume at a CAGR of 8%. This represents a slowdown in growth from the review period, which will be due to slower unit price increases as the category approaches maturity, and this is set to compromise volume growth. Furthermore, demand for sweet and savoury snacks is expected to remain limited to middle-income and upper-income consumers in urban areas, leaving Algeria's remaining consumers indifferent to these products, which are widely seen as non-essential and excessively expensive.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 282 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 283 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 284 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 285 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 286 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 287 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 288 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 289 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 290 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks will see 16% value growth in 2011 thanks to strong consumer demand and an increase in unit prices. Yoghurt and sour milk drinks saw continuous product development and product ranges for lower income consumers via the introduction of smaller pack sizes so that lower income consumers can buy yoghurt or sour milk drinks albeit in smaller quantities. The introduction of smaller pack sizes is a successful strategy that is used particularly in sub-Saharan Africa as a way to target and attract lower income consumers that cannot afford to buy larger pack sizes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Laiterie Soummam remained the category leader and generated 30% of value sales in 2010. The domestic manufacturer gained from its economy prices and good quality of products equalling international production standards.

PROSPECTS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks is expected to register a CAGR of 10% in constant value terms over the forecast period. The solid rate is due to an expected increase in prices, despite being slower than over the past years due to an increase in domestic milk production. The strong growth is also expected to result from an increase in consumer purchasing power.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 294 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 295 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 296 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 297 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 298 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 299 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 300 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 301 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 302 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 303 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 304 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 305 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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