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Country Report

Packaged Food in Belgium

Nov 2010

Price: $6,500

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Belgium with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Belgium, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belgium for free:

The Packaged Food in Belgium market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Belgium?
  • What are the major brands in Belgium?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak signs of improvement in packaged food

More than one year after the credit crunch, its psychological effect and the subsequent recession was such that there was still a consumer obsession with purchasing power in 2010. Even so, the first half of 2010 witnessed a recovery in economic indicators and thus consumer confidence. Volume sales of packaged food fared a little better than in 2009. Coupled with the explosion of promotions and discounts, this should result in positive but modest current value growth in retail packaged food sales in 2010. For foodservice volume sales, however, it was still considerably worse in 2009 and early 2010, due in large part to the absence of recovery of traffic in full-service restaurants.

Logical slowdown for impulse products but surprisingly for nutrition/staples too

Consumers were still price sensitive and often remained loyal to essentials in 2010, at the expense of impulse and indulgence products. This category posted in 2010 its worse performance over the review period due to the drop of ‘little pocket confectionery’ and mainly gum, while chocolate confectionery volume sales seemed to fare better in the middle of 2010. A great surprise was the disappointing performance of nutrition/staples, which did not forge ahead in 2010 following a promising reprieve in the middle of 2009. Dairy products paid for the drop in reduced fat products and the questioning of functional yoghurts. Baby food suddenly stagnated in 2009 and 2010, the result of a slowdown in the ‘juniorisation’ trend and the drop of the birth rate from 2008. Although Belgians rediscovered their gastronomic roots, the pleasure and particularly the need to cook at home, they paradoxically had less time to perform these tasks. Instead, meal solutions and culinary aids remained convenient and typically cheaper alternatives to eating out.

Private label products find new angles of attack

In many categories private label products were often the great winners of the crisis, logically in nutrition/staples and meal solutions, but also surprisingly in impulse and self-indulgence items such as chocolate confectionery. More than ever the competitive environment in 2009/10 felt the cautiousness of consumers, and both the gloom and nervousness of grocery retailers. Private label offerings, their cut prices in economy products or conversely their strong efforts in mid-priced to upmarket levels, were often the lethal weapons of supermarket chains against discounters, but also A brands. Many players suffered from the withdrawal of some of their products from retail shelves as retailers chose to replace the most challenging or most expensive branded goods with their own private label alternatives.

Supermarket chains forge ahead, discounters miss the chance

In contrast to declining hypermarkets, supermarkets represented the distribution format most adapted to the country’s small size and its high level of urbanisation. For the bulk of the review period this category had to face growing aggressiveness of German discounters, with their cut prices and waves of openings every year. However, Aldi began to reach saturation in 2008 while Lidl took a backseat at the end of 2009. Supermarket chains that enjoyed the ongoing offensive of soft discounter Colruyt and the recovery of Delhaize supermarkets in 2009 forged ahead in 2010.

Strong competition should result in meagre growth

Belgians should continue to reduce consumption of the most superfluous goods in the short term, more particularly in impulse and indulgence products. The ongoing predicted difficulties facing consumer foodservice in the short term should remain good news for meal solutions, which are more expensive than nutrition/staples but much less than going out to eat. Belgians should also become more selective in the health and wellness trend and favour naturally healthy and organic foodstuffs at the expense of reduced fat and maybe some functional products. In a market increasingly dependent on discounts and vouchers, this should result in a modest progression of packaged food value sales over the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Belgium - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak signs of improvement in packaged food

Logical slowdown for impulse products but surprisingly for nutrition/staples too

Private label products find new angles of attack

Supermarket chains forge ahead, discounters miss the chance

Strong competition should result in meagre growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Crisis is still here in packaged food

Growing need to save time and money

Back to roots at home

Health and wellness becomes increasingly simple and natural

A-brands not really favoured by the counter-attack of supermarkets

MARKET DATA

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • The main event of the last couple of years is the back seat of the consumer foodservice environment. The situation suddenly became disastrous after the credit crunch hit in September 2008. Prior to the autumn of 2008 the foodservice industry had already recorded the greatest number of bankruptcies of all Belgian industries, although this was almost offset by new openings. The rate of bankruptcies accelerated at the end of 2008 and particularly in 2009 and 2010 without the compensation of new entrants this time. In terms of sales, it was worse as the environment dropped by more than 7% in current value terms in 2009 and was not set to really improve in 2010. For the first time over the review period value sales underperformed transactions due to the phenomenon of downgrading. Consumers accustomed to upmarket restaurants switched to cheaper establishments, and those who patronised brasseries went to fast food restaurants, etc.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in foodservice is much less fragmented than in retail packaged food. Due to the need for more specific and even technical products, it is largely restricted to the specialised divisions of several mainstream manufacturers.

Prospects

  • Again, the outlook remains bleak for the consumer foodservice environment in coming years. There is a focus on price, with consumers becoming increasingly selective and demanding. In the short term, paying EUR10.00 or more per person for a meal and a drink at lunch in traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries (the French or Belgian equivalent of a pub) is likely to remain too expensive for many Belgians, who should opt for fast food or even the gamelle (packed lunch) or tartine (famous local open sandwich). A growing number of experts point to the risk of cannibalisation of foodservice by retail sales of sandwiches, pizzas and salads in supermarkets and, increasingly, convenience stores. Therefore, overall sales in consumer foodservice are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period.

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Negative signs tended to accumulate in 2009 and 2010 for impulse and indulgence products. The psychological effects of the economic crisis encouraged Belgians to make an arbitrary choice between what really matters and what is considered superfluous. Instead of repeating their role of anti-stress remedies as during the economic slowdown of 2003, many snacking products were considered unnecessary indulgence items. Thus, meal solutions performed much better in 2009 than impulse and indulgence products. In addition, impulse and indulgence products continued to be the victims of frequent criticism from nutritionists and were identified by a growing number of Belgians as the main cause of growing levels of overweight and obesity. All these factors contributed to the worrying slowdown of chocolate confectionery, the sudden drop of gum sales and a general feeling of less numerous and more cautions innovations in the category.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape is extremely fragmented in Belgium. Due to the widespread availability of pastries and cakes in bakery outlets in Belgium, artisanal products accounted for one of the highest value shares in impulse and indulgence products in 2009. The leader among branded manufacturers was Kraft Foods Belgium SA in 2009, mainly due to the domination of Côte d’Or in chocolate confectionery, the most reputable brand in Belgium along with Coca-Cola according to industry sources.

Prospects

  • Competition between categories in impulse and indulgence products is likely to intensify in coming years. Gum and sugar confectionery, for instance, should fight for the best places on cashiers’ desks, but nonetheless the former is facing a return to reality. If gum really declines some experts consider that it could open up new horizons for PCP that tended to be asphyxiated by the upsurge of gum. Competition between chocolate and sugar confectionery should also become stronger. Belgians traditionally have a preference for chocolate confectionery and if they have to tighten their belts they previously tended to sacrifice sugar confectionery. However, while it used to be spared by the crisis, chocolate confectionery could also slow down in coming years.

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Nothing worked as initially predicted in 2010 in the nutrition/staples environment. The category should have benefited from the combination of the health and wellness trend, the desire to return to more authentic food and the economic slowdown. Many Belgians needed and wished for a return to more formal or at least more balanced meals, for example at breakfast – and thus simple and value for money bread, spreads and milk – and dinners. Belgians could have tended to replace traditional foodservice restaurants with sandwiches (home-made or purchased in bakery fast food outlets) and even home cooking.

Competitive Landscape

  • The strong presence of unbranded and unpackaged/artisanal products in bread and cheese results in a high fragmentation of shares in the competitive environment for nutrition/staples. Being the outright leader in dominant dairy products, Danone NV/SA ranked first in nutrition/staples in 2009. While most manufacturers of dairy products are significant in only one category, Danone was present across all dairy products. Nonetheless, yoghurt, chilled desserts and fromage frais remained its core-business, where it was the major trend-setter and the top advertising spender in 2009. It still focused on the most promising product areas, notably Actimel and Activia, which forged ahead despite an already overwhelming share in probiotic products. With such a high share Danone NV/SA could not be spared the bad performance of yoghurts, however. It waned in value and particularly in volume terms in 2009 – the first time for many years. It was logically the most negatively impacted player by the recession, and the consumer switch to cheaper private label products. It particularly paid for the drop of the Vitalinea fat-free brand.

Prospects

  • Opinions differ regarding the potential of nutrition/staples in coming years. Some sources consider that nutrition/staples should continue to enjoy consumers returning to more economical sandwiches, formal breakfasts and more authentic home-made cooking. In addition, consumer concerns regarding unhealthy eating and snacking and the impact of this on weight and health are expected to result in more consumers changing their eating habits and once again consuming more balanced meals. Bread should benefit from the emulation between artisanal bakers and increasingly authentic packaged/industrial bread in supermarkets. Belgians are expected to continue to appreciate the convenience, cheap prices and exotic cachet of noodles. Pasta, the likely most dynamic products in coming years, will remain one a favourite foodstuff owing to the ongoing fad for Italian cooking and the recovery of unit prices here.

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Although Belgians rediscovered the pleasure of cooking at home, they paradoxically had less time to do so. Lifestyles in Belgium became increasingly stressful and hectic at the end of the review period. Busy with their job and travelling time, Belgians had less time for home tasks such as cooking. Eating habits changed as people dedicated less time to formal meals. The high degree of urbanisation and density and the growing number of DINKs (dual-income, no kids) households created opportunities for marketers emphasising convenience. This factor was much appreciated by people living in cities, notably in the guise of increasingly sophisticated microwaveable ready meals.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in meal solutions remained fragmented in 2009, the top five GBOs retaining only 21% of the category value sales. This was attributed to the presence of many players and mainly the domination of private label products. Supermarket/hypermarket retailers, Delhaize ‘Le Lion’ SA, particularly Carrefour Belgium SA/NV and other private label products, led players with a combined value share of 53% in 2009.

Prospects

  • Despite the gloomy economic climate, the Belgian market should remain favourable for meal solutions. Due to the further increase of population density, time spent travelling and of the number of DINK households, Belgian consumers’ lifestyles should become increasingly hectic. Meal solutions should be ideal to handle their increasingly busy lifestyles and the desire to eat more balanced meals. Meal solutions often matched the three main trends in packaged food, namely convenience, taste and health and wellness. Lastly, sales in the related foodservice market are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period due to the high number of bankruptcies and the consumers’ switch toward cheaper formats such as fast food at the expense of traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries.

Category Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Belgium - Company Profiles

Barry Callebaut Group - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Barry Callebaut Group: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Barry Callebaut Group (GBO Level): Competitive Position 2009

Boulangerie La Lorraine NV SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Boulangerie La Lorraine: Production 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Boulangerie La Lorraine NV SA: Competitive Position 2009

Danone NV/SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 Danone NV/SA: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Lotus Bakeries NV - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 15 Lotus Bakeries BV: Production 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Lotus Bakeries BV: Competitive Position 2009

Materne-Confilux SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 19 Materne-Confilux SA: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 20 Materne-Confilux SA: Competitive Position 2009

Nestlé Catering Service SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 22 Nestlé Catering Services SA: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Quintens Bakkerij NV SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 25 Q-Bakeries Belgium: Production 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 26 Quintens Bakkerij NV SA: Competitive Position 2009

Ter Beke NV - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 29 Ter Beke NV: Production 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 30 Ter Beke NV: Competitive Position 2009

Unilever Foodsolutions Belgique - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Vandemoortele NV - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 35 Vandemoortele NV: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Baby Food in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main event in the last couple of years was the sudden slowdown of the ‘juniorisation’ trend. This movement was characterised by manufacturers increasingly focusing on creating sophisticated products for toddlers, rather than babies. It consisted of more diversified products such as stewed fruits, dairy desserts, more varied recipes (looking more and more like ready meals for adults) and longer use of prepared baby food – until three years old instead of the previous 18 months. However, due to the economic crisis and the will to come back to more natural or simple products, Belgian parents tended to replace small jars and dishes of prepared food with home-made meals. Besides, small jars, sales of which were stable in 2008, fell again in 2009. The dishes which were increasing in 2008 became too expensive in 2009, and also decreased in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly concentrated competitive landscape, Nutricia Belgïe NV was the outright leader in baby food in 2009, with a 43% share of value sales. This strong leadership is due to its deep penetration in the distribution network and strong customer loyalty for its portfolio of well-known brands, such as Nutrilon in milk formula, Olvarit in prepared baby food and Bambix in other baby food. Nutricia’s extensive distribution network and strong brand name helped the company to increase its value share during most of the review period. With regard to promotion, the company continues to focus more on parenting magazines and paediatricians, as opposed to television or radio campaigns.

PROSPECTS

  • Opinions differ on the development of the ‘juniorisation’ trend in the coming years. Some sources consider that the ‘juniorisation’ trend will return and boost sales of toddler milk formula and prepared baby food, while standard milk formula should see a decline. The main reasons for the decline in standard milk formula are its tight regulation and limited distribution. A gourmet trend will also emerge, with innovations in both prepared baby food and desserts. Other sources predict that the ‘juniorisation’ trend will not develop any further due to the recession and the competition from home-made food for babies.

CATEGORY DATA

Baked Goods in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Opinions and sources differ regarding the development of bread consumption in 2009 and 2010. According to some sources and traditional bakers, the consumption of baked goods and more particularly bread has increased very slightly in volume in Belgium in 2010. Sales in this area are governed by a trend toward simpler, more natural and less expensive products. Consumers seek the best value for money in baked goods, focusing on bread. Some grocery retailers questioned this analysis however. According to them, there is a strong internal cannibalisation in baked goods, first by unpackaged/artisanal products but also packaged/industrial offerings. This is also evidenced by the ground gained by supermarkets/hypermarkets’ products on traditional bakeries. Then, inside grocery retailers, chains such as Delhaize and Colruyt continue to progress at the expense of Carrefour, which is experiencing difficulties.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment remained highly fragmented in 2009 with artisanal and private label products leading sales. Artisanal products includes some baked goods sold in supermarkets/hypermarkets (all unpackaged goods and notably those baked in-store) and mainly the majority of baked goods available in traditional bakeries.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of baked goods should be increasingly governed by a reasonable health and wellness approach and a mix self-indulgence and social sharing. Recent fruitless endeavours such as multi-cereal croissants in Delhaize supermarkets or light cakes show that Belgians are not ready to sacrifice quality and authenticity in cakes and pastries. By the same token, functional bread should further fall out of fashion and thus see little new product development over the forecast period. Instead, manufacturers and retailers should further concentrate on natural-healthy baked goods and products free from artificial additives and colourants, notably with the British Clean Label accreditation. For instance, Belgians rank among the greatest consumers of salt in the world according to one industry source, and are increasingly aware of its health risks. Consequently, bread that offers a full taste with less salt could prove widely popular.

CATEGORY DATA

Biscuits in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • More than ever, sales of biscuits were marked by the failure of the health and wellness/nutritional segment (including better-for-you reduced sugar and fat and nutritional plain biscuits) at the end of the review period. This segment experienced a significant drop in both volume and value sales despite the good performance of Grany from LU Benelux / General Biscuits België SA. According to most sources, consumers became increasingly sophisticated and demanding regarding taste and nutrition. Some consumers feel patronised by brands with better-for-you positioning, while others are disappointed by the taste of these products, notably the new Belvita brand by LU Benelux / General Biscuits België SA.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With the leading player and private label products together accounting for the a considerable proportion of value sales in 2009, the competitive environment is fairly concentrated in biscuits. LU Benelux / General Biscuits België SA remained the undisputed leader in 2009 with a 26% value share. After a non-negligible drop in 2008 due to a fall in sales of LU Petit Déjeuner, and particularly Vitalinea in plain nutritional biscuits, the leader almost maintained its value share in tact in 2009. On one hand the sales gained by Belvita in 2009 did not offset the ground lost by the withdrawal of Vitalinea in plain biscuits. On the other, LU Benelux / General Biscuits België SA focused with success on value-for-money products and fun items for kids and adolescents, including new variants of Mikado (Pistachio and Coconut) and licences such as Spiderman, Dora or Amika in 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • The economic crisis is expected to force Belgians to tighten their belts over the forecast period. In such a context consumers could be so demanding that concessions to quality would be impossible in biscuits. The main victims are likely to be better-for-you reduced-sugar and reduced-fat biscuits. More particularly, the segment of mini-sachets, such as Belvita Mini-Breaks (95 calories per bag) should disappear very soon. According to marketers, the idea of portioning was not bad but taste is often disappointing. In addition, increasingly tough legislation covering functional products and health and wellness claims are expected to be introduced over the forecast period. In conjunction with the increasing scepticism of Belgians, such claims are expected to lose their appeal. Instead, value for money, authenticity and self-indulgence are expected to once more become the main drivers of growth

CATEGORY DATA

Breakfast Cereals in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite some signs of improvement during the first months of 2010, the breakfast cereals environment is still not out of danger at the time of writing. From the credit crunch, the recession and subsequent consumer switchback to staple products, breakfast cereals have suffered from not being perceived as crucial, and thus being replaced by cheaper and simpler alternatives for consumption at breakfast. In addition, there were media reports covering the high sugar and salt content of many breakfast cereals and growing concerns regarding purchasing power, in addition to adverse press coverage.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly concentrated competitive landscape, Kellogg Benelux remained the clear leader with a 52% value share in 2009 thanks to the company’s wide portfolio of leading brands and huge capacity for innovation and advertising support. The company faced strong criticisms from consumer trade associations during the review period regarding the high level of fat and carbohydrate in its products. Consequently, Kellogg repositioned its products as health and wellness offerings. It thus progressively neglected its flagship Kellogg’s Cornflakes brand towards the end of the review period in order to focus more on Special K and All Bran.

PROSPECTS

  • During the first half of the review period, product segmentation should slowdown. Before the crisis, industry sources observed growing division between products intended for adults and children’s breakfast cereals for much of the review period, while products targeting teenage consumption continued to diminish dramatically. However, in 2009 and 2010 many Belgians could not afford to buy different breakfast cereals for each household member during the economic crisis. In addition, better-for-you products should face more difficulties in convincing consumers of their benefits, while value-for-money and naturally healthy muesli proved increasingly attractive for the whole family. Before a return to more precise consumer targeting, 2011 and 2012 are expected to witness the comeback of more generic products for the whole family.

CATEGORY DATA

Canned/Preserved Food in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The increasing focus on health and wellness issues in Belgium is leading to higher per capita consumption of fruit and vegetables and the adverse economic situation is boosting the trend towards more home cooking. Both of these factors had a big part to play in sustaining growth in canned/preserved food in Belgium during 2010. The ever growing popularity of Mediterranean cuisine is still boosting the popularity of canned/preserved vegetables in oil which are popular for use in tapas and antipasti style meals while the rising popularity of home entertaining continues fuelling demand. Canned/preserved fish/seafood and canned/preserved vegetables maintained their status as the largest subcategories in canned/preserved food in Belgium, and combined accounted for 44% of the total retail value sales in canned/preserved food during 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The largest manufacturer of branded canned/preserved food in Belgium in 2009 was Unilever Belgium NV, which posted an 8% value share thanks to its leading brand Zwan in canned/preserved meat and meat products. The second placed branded manufacturer was Bonduelle Group SA, which accounted for 7% of canned/preserved food value sales through its canned/preserved vegetables. Bonduelle Group SA’s value share increased throughout the review period, mainly due to the success of its Mais Fantasia range.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food constant value is expected to remain rather flat in Belgium, rising by just 1% over the course of the entire forecast period. Volume sales are expected to increase by 2% CAGR over the forecast period, which is a continuation of the 2% CAGR growth recorded during the review period. This reflects the view that the current prevailing trend towards more home preparation of meals as a result of the current adverse economic climate is set to continue over the forecast period. Potential growth areas for canned/preserved food include the expansion of product ranges as more exotic flavours are offered. Mediterranean cuisine will continue to show sales potential because of this expansion, particularly tapas and antipasti style vegetable products which are preserved in oil.

CATEGORY DATA

Cheese in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In a stable category, the most notable surprise of the last couple of years was the excellent performance of local cheeses. Volume sales of Belgian products increased by more than 10% in 2009, and seemed to forge ahead in 2010. Their penetration rate increased by more than one percentage point in 2009. According to marketers, this success could be interpreted as a switch of Belgian consumers back towards safe and close values, including local traditional products. This success also stemmed from the dynamism of some local players, including Passendale Kaasmakerij NV in 2009 and 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2009, the Belgian competitive landscape in cheese was still highly fragmented, with the top five players accounting for only a 20% share of value sales. Unibel SA remained the leading company, with a value share of 7%, and the second most important player was Lactalis Europe du Nord, holding a value share of just 4%. Unibel SA owes its leadership to the strong positions it holds within processed and unprocessed cheese, through its well-established brands La Vache Qui Rit, Kiri and Babybel on the one hand, and Boursin, Maredsous and Leerdammer on the other hand. The three latter brands were acquired during the review period, which enabled Unibel SA to capture the leading position and consolidate its leadership in recent years.

PROSPECTS

  • Although the economic crisis resulted in a slowdown in innovation and advertising support, manufacturers have a card to play in cheese. Cheese is associated with both nutrition and pleasure, at accessible prices, which will be good assets in the coming years. Players should focus on developing new opportunities to enjoy cheese at times other than between courses, encouraging the consumption of cheese in salads, as a cooking ingredient, and even as an aperitif. More people are incorporating foreign cheese into their cooking, and there will be an expansion of snacking occasions, such as during leisure time with friends or family.

CATEGORY DATA

Chilled Processed Food in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Health and wellness factors continued to drive sales of chilled processed food in Belgium during 2010 as a 4% increase was recorded in current value. Another key factor boosting sales of chilled processed food is the current economic situation which is helping to drive retail sales of packaged food in general as Belgian consumers eat out less amidst a rise in the popularity of home cooking. It is true that many Belgian families are returning to basic ingredients in meal preparation for the majority of meals; however the convenience that chilled ready meals offer is boosting demand and leading to solid value growth. The unit prices of chilled ready meals may be reasonably high, but come to much less than the equivalent meal in a restaurant.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • During 2009, chilled processed food was largely dominated by private label, which accounted for 67% of value sales in 2009. Multinational Nestlé Belgilux SA was the largest manufacturer of branded chilled processed food in 2009 with a value share of 9%. This leading position can be attributed to Nestlé’s well established Herta, which was the leading brand in chilled processed meat with a value share of 12%. Domestic player Ter Beke NV held second position in chilled processed food in 2009 with a 7% value share, while Imperial Meat Products, another multinational, occupied third position, also with a 7% value share. Imperial Meat Products’ chilled processed food brands include Weight Watchers and Aoste. Interest in Weight Watchers branded products is increasing in Belgium as healthier eating becomes more of an issue among Belgian consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Chilled processed food is expected to increase in volume and constant value by 2% CAGR over the forecast period. Chilled/fresh pasta and chilled processed meats are predicted to remain the two best performing subcategories as above average growth rates are expected. The new subcategory of fresh cut fruit also looks likely to outperform the category average as these products are set to take off in Belgium. However, retail pricing levels will remain an issue whilst the Belgian economy remains in recession.

CATEGORY DATA

Chocolate Confectionery in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The recession and its psychological effect on purchasing power were stronger than the famous passion of Belgian consumers for chocolate confectionery in 2009 and at the beginning of 2010. Belgians became increasingly selective and continued to limit their consumption of confectionery, even chocolate. Consumers decided to sacrifice superfluous products such as countlines and bagged selflines/softlines, ignore seasonal chocolate aimed at adults, and even began to make a drastic selections in tablets. In addition, sales of chocolate confectionery in 2009 were impaired by warm temperatures in spring and summer. Lastly, some experts considered the level of innovation too low, with too many failures and insufficient successes at the end of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive landscape, Kraft Foods Belgium SA was the absolute leader with 35% of the category value sales, the result of the very high popularity of Côte d’Or. Even so, the famous Belgian brand saw mixed results in 2009, and had to offset a decline in volume with price increases. In seasonal chocolate, its Côte d’Or Snowball Chocolate Eggs were successful in 2009, but Côte d’Or Christmas Cocoa beans were sold at too high a price. In tablets, Côte d’Or was affected by its departure from Lidl, while Milka continued to decline. Lastly, the novelties Côte d’Or Lemon Mousse in 2008 and Milka Daim in 2009 were failures.

PROSPECTS

  • A sign of the persisting recession or the upgrading of grocery retailers’ subcontractors, the recent upsurge of private label products in chocolate confectionery, previously the almost exclusive territory of A brands, could be of ill omen for the future of the category. In the country of chocolate, the decline of chocolate confectionery in the second half of the review period is worrying, as it was perceived as the last bastion of self-indulgence in Belgium, while most other snacks are set to wane. However, the impact of crisis on chocolate confectionery remains uncertain. Belgians may self-reward and console themselves with chocolate confectionery during the economic crisis, as they did during the economic slowdown of 2003.

CATEGORY DATA

Dried Processed Food in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After a massive hike in 2008 due to global food price inflation, the average unit price of dried pasta in Belgium decreased by a substantial 18% in current value terms during 2010, following on from a slight decrease in 2009. This fall in unit price was a reflection of falling global wheat prices, which are now at a ten year low. This directly led to sales of dried processed food in Belgium declining by 1% in current value terms in 2010. A more useful figure to note is the growth in retail volume of dried processed food, which came in at a very positive 9%. The advent of the credit crunch is leading to more Belgians engaging in home cooking and entertaining as Belgians attempt to economise. Dried processed food such as rice and dried pasta can be expected to fare well in light of these trends.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Mars Belgium NV SA and Campbell Foods Belgium NV led sales of dried processed food in Belgium during 2009, with both multinational companies posting 15% value shares, although Mars Belgium NV SA held a slight advantage and occupied pole position. Boost Distribution NV and Soubry Joseph NV followed in third and fourth positions with 9% and 8% value shares respectively. The largest individual brand in dried processed food in Belgium is Royco from Campbell Foods Belgium NV, present in instant soup with a brand value share of 10% in dried processed food. Royco dominates instant soup with a value share of 87%.

PROSPECTS

  • The major issue pending in dried processed food over the forecast period is the question of what will happen to unit price levels. Since 2008 there has been remarkable volatility in the price of commodities such as rice and wheat, leading to wild fluctuations in the unit prices of dried processed food from year to year. Given the current adverse worldwide economic situation, this situation would not appear to be about to change.

CATEGORY DATA

Drinking Milk Products in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The most notable trend in drinking milk products in 2010 was the disappointing performance of milk enriched with vitamins or minerals. This was concomitant with the sharp drop of Lactel No. 1 from Danone NV/SA, the outright leader in this niche. This contrasted with the bulk of the review period, when the most dynamic products were those with an improved taste and functional products. This included, for instance, Viejeune semi-skimmed milk with added antioxidants at the beginning of 2009, forming a valuable addition to the range of Campina milk. This launch accompanied the already long list of speciality milks from Campina, including Easy Digest, Calcium, Fibre and 0%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Belgian competitive environment for drinking milk products was rather concentrated in 2009, with private label accounting for a 62% share of value sales (GBO) and Royal FrieslandCampina NV (GBO) holding a 22% share of value sales. The latter still largely dominated branded drinking milk products in 2009, mainly due to its extensive investment in promotional campaigns and innovations for its major brands Campina and Joyvalle.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of drinking milk products are expected to continue to be governed by the launch of speciality products for increasingly health-conscious consumers. Nonetheless, marketers have doubts about the ability of functional drinking milk products to forge ahead in the coming years. In other categories, sales of the majority of functional products are tending to slow down or even decline due to high unit prices, distrust amongst consumers and the questioning of functional claims by the EFSA (European Food Safety Authority – see the case of Actimel in yoghurt). Instead, consumers are expected to favour the natural simplicity of organic products, the unit prices of which should continue to become more accessible.

CATEGORY DATA

Frozen Processed Food in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Some subcategories of frozen processed food are continuing to benefit from the trend towards more home cooking from scratch and more home entertaining which are resulting from the current adverse economic environment. Frozen processed food increased by 4% during 2010 to achieve EUR741 million in current value sales. Frozen ready meals, for example, are cheaper than chilled ready meals and the trend towards manufacturers offering more portion controlled products looks set to drive sales of these products into the forecast period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Iglo Belgium SA remained by far the largest player in frozen processed food in Belgium, attaining a 20% value share in 2009. The Iglo brand is the leading individual brand in this category and has long enjoyed a leading place in the sales of frozen processed food in Belgium, mainly due to its well known products such as the Captain Iglo range of frozen/processed fish/seafood and frozen processed poultry. McCain Foods Belgium SA occupied second position in 2009 with a value share of 13%.

PROSPECTS

  • Frozen processed food is expected to increase in volume and constant value by 1% CAGR over the forecast period. The two best performing subcategories are expected to be oven baked potato chips and frozen processed vegetables, which are set to record constant value CAGRs of 5% and 3% respectively. This positive growth reflects the expectation that the trend towards home cooking and entertaining is here to stay for the medium term, or at least whilst the adverse economic situation subsists, as well as a recognition of the convenience that frozen processed food offers. Oven baked potato chips is still a small niche category in Belgium and therefore offers strong potential for growth, especially as it represented only 10% of total frozen processed potatoes sold in Belgium in 2010. Furthermore, the healthy image of frozen processed vegetables is helping to sustain rising sales and will possibly lead to extensions in economy ranges of frozen processed vegetables over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

Gum in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As in many other countries, sales of gum were marked by a return to reality in the second half of 2009 and in 2010. Before spring 2009 gum remained dynamic within snacking products. Gum benefited from increasingly impulsive purchasing patterns for much of the review period, owing to an over-premiumisation phenomenon and the widening of its distribution over 2008 and 2009. However, as purchasing power with the onset of the environment crisis, Belgians suddenly became aware of the high price of gum, at up to EUR5.00 for a box.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly concentrated competitive landscape, Cadbury Belgium remained leader at the end of the review period with a 40% value share in 2009, thanks to the overwhelming share of the Stimorol umbrella brand. After the loss of three percentage points in 2008 due to a lower number of innovations than its contenders, it hoped to counterattack and regain some lost ground in 2009, notably with the launch of more products in plastic jars. However, it came at the wrong moment, just when such packages fell from grace. Cadbury Belgium limited its decline in 2009 with the ongoing success of the Stimorol Senses range, the equivalent of Hollywood Style in 2007 in France.

PROSPECTS

  • There is still uncertainty among players regarding the future performance of gum in the short term. According to some marketers the risk in Belgium is to get the same situation as in France. Given that the local market benefits from the same novelties and often experiences the same fate than in France six months to a year later in the area of gum, sales in the category could take a backseat in volume but also in current value terms at the end of 2010 or in 2011. Other sources believe that the Belgian market has been less affected than others in the area of gum and should thus recover sooner.

CATEGORY DATA

Ice Cream in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main event of the last couple of years was the excellent weather conditions. After the excellent spring and summer 2009, manufacturers feared a slowdown in 2010. However, after sluggish weather in the spring, the summer started with excellent weather conditions once again. Given that sales of ice cream strongly depend on innovation, and mainly on the weather, this benefited sales of ice cream in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather fragmented competitive landscape, Iglo Belgium SA remained the outright leader in ice cream in Belgium, with 28% of value sales in 2009. Its dominant position relies on its long-established presence and successful portfolio of brands, such as Magnum, Cornetto, Solero, Viennetta and Carte d’Or. According to a key player, the weather in April-August 2009 was so warm that almost all players posted appreciable growth compared with 2008. However, Iglo Belgium SA progressed less than other players in 2009, notably due to the mixed results of Carte d’Or, the growth of which was hampered by a change of strategy in Belgium. However, Iglo Belgium SA partly offset this thanks to the impressive breakthrough of its Ola Kids range and the good progression of Magnum in 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • For many years, the aim of manufacturers in Belgium has been to make sales of ice cream less seasonal, and install it as a real dessert. They know that if they are to increase sales significantly, they need to become less dependent on the summer weather and encourage year-round consumption of ice cream as an indulgence product, like yoghurt, for instance. A good way will be to continue to bank on premium ice cream such as Häagen-Dazs and Ben & Jerry’s. Given that such products are associated with pleasure moments such as going to the cinema or watching a movie, their consumption is much less seasonal. Another challenge is to change the misperception amongst Belgians about ice cream consumption. Indeed, a survey carried out by Iglo Belgium in 2009 revealed that most respondents thought that a Magnum contained over 470 calories, when in reality it only contains 260.

CATEGORY DATA

Meal Replacement in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main event in 2010 is the slight peak of value and mainly volume sales of meal replacement products after years of decline. The category previously suffered from irregular weather. Consumers and particularly women are more likely to focus on improving their figures when the weather is good, thus getting ready for holidays and for wearing a swimsuit. However, poor weather in spring and summer in 2008 dissuaded many Belgian women from starting or continuing a diet with meal replacement slimming products. Weather was much warmer in 2009, but ongoing criticism from nutritionists and increasing scepticism among many consumers hindered sales. Belgians increasingly believe it is cheaper and healthier to control weight through eating healthy food rather than using meal replacement slimming products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive landscape, Novartis Nutrition & Santé led with a value share of 42%. In early 2010 this company almost monopolised the mass market segment of meal replacement products thanks to the repurchase of Weight Care, its main contender, which held a 15% value share in 2009. In 2007 and 2008 the competitive environment had become further consolidated due to the withdrawal of Sun Nutritional Inc’s Slim Fast and Omega Pharma’s Proctical.

PROSPECTS

  • Despite the slight recovery of 2010, marketers are not optimistic regarding the outlook for meal replacement products. Criticism by nutritionists is expected to become tougher in the media. In the press, the number of articles arguing that meal replacement slimming products do not work and often result in users putting weight back on has increased in recent years, with this trend expected to continue into the forecast period. In packaged food and drinks, meanwhile, the shift away from light or better-for-you products is also a bad sign, with many consumers instead opting to control their weight via more natural methods, such as smaller portions and consuming fewer snacks.

CATEGORY DATA

Noodles in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Increasing home cooking and entertaining due to the continuing poor economic climate offer the potential for the continued positive growth of noodles in Belgium. The increasing popularity of new exotic flavours is also helping to stimulate sales of plain noodles as a meal accompaniment, while growing consumer demand for easy-to-prepare products is fuelling sales of instant noodles.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Three manufacturers accounted for an 82% share of retail value sales in 2009. Mars Belgium NV SA was the leading player with a 36% share, thanks to the popularity of its Suzi-Wan brand. Suzi-Wan is particularly appreciated by consumers due to its range of matching sauces and vegetable mixes. Campbell Foods Belgium NV (Aïki brand) was the second ranked company in 2009 with a 28% share. The third ranked player, Amoy Marketing HP Foods Ltd, held a 17% share thanks to the performance of its Amoy brand. The attractiveness of these brands highlights the growing popularity of Eastern cuisine in Belgium, especially as consumers are increasingly cooking from scratch at home.

PROSPECTS

  • Noodles is projected to register positive sales growth over the forecast period, posting a constant value CAGR of 2% and a volume CAGR of 3%. The low unit cost associated with noodles and the convenience these products offer, especially as a cheap snack, mean that the economic downturn is not a major threat to the category. Pouch instant noodles is expected to continue to register the fastest sales growth. Over the forecast period, pouch instant noodles is projected to achieve a 7% volume CAGR and a 6% constant value CAGR.

CATEGORY DATA

Oils and Fats in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the end of inflation in oils and fats, this category did not really recover in volume terms during the last couple of years of the review period. Due to contraction in purchasing power and the rediscovery of the need to and the pleasure of cooking at home, Belgian consumers came back to nutrition/staple products. However, this did not benefit oils and fats, which continued to suffer from strong internal cannibalisation, of cooking fats by margarine for instance, or olive oil spreadable oils and fats by reduced fat spreadable oils and fats.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather fragmented competitive landscape, Unilever Belgium NV led oils and fats in 2009, with a value share of 24%. This stemmed from its wide portfolio of brands, including Becel, Planta, Solo, Effi and Bertolli. During the last couple of years, Unilever revamped the image of its top-selling Becel, Planta and Solo brands, as well as launching the new Becel Omega-3 brand in functional spreadable oils and fats during summer 2008. Although it has Bertolli in olive oil, the company is mainly active in margarine and spreadable oils and fats, particularly in functional products.

PROSPECTS

  • The outlook remains rather unfavourable for oils and fats. Under the impetus from both the medical profession and government authorities, Belgians are becoming increasingly aware of the problems caused by saturated fats and high cholesterol. According to the World Health Organisation, Belgian people consume too much fat, with two people in three exceeding the recommended cholesterol rate of 190g/dl. In addition, eating patterns have changed significantly. Even if some manufacturers expect a comeback of formal breakfasts, it is not likely to be to the profit of oils and fats.

CATEGORY DATA

Other Dairy in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During the last couple of years, other dairy products paid for the tricky situation amongst ‘A’ brands. 2009 and 2010 saw little innovation in the field of ultra-fresh products, particularly in other dairy products. In fact, in late 2007 and throughout 2008, ‘A’ brands faced a sharp increase in prices. After the economic crisis, in fear of a sharp decline in consumption, they slowed down the pace of innovation. This was particularly true in fromage frais and quark, which suffered from the relative inaction of the mainstream brand Danio from Danone NV/SA. As in yoghurt, fruited and flavoured fromage frais and quark declined in favour of simpler plain products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The dominance of Danone NV/SA in fromage frais and quark, as well as in dairy-based desserts, helped this player to lead other dairy products in Belgium in 2009. However, like many other brands in the category, most of Danone’s brands suffered a decline in share in 2009, notably due to the continuous competition from private label and a lack of innovation. To offset its losses in volume terms, it continued to maintain high prices in 2009. This reinforced the gap between volume and value, sped up its decline and encouraged it to finally discount some products in early 2010. It lost more than one percentage point of share in 2009, down to a value share of 32%.

PROSPECTS

  • Marketers were rather worried by the development of other dairy products at the time of writing, and its scope for growth. Promotional pressure should help to maintain stability in products such as chilled and shelf stable dairy-based desserts, but at what price? Again, innovations could be too limited and replaced with promotions such as ‘buy 6 get 2 free’ or ‘12+6 free’. Although Danone NV/SA is expected to maintain high prices in some product categories to offset its losses, and offer bargains such as Plop desserts, retailers will continue to bank on discounting and promotion. Companies will be under immense pressure from retailers to keep prices low and to absorb costs. This will mean that despite rocketing value sales, manufacturers’ profit margins could well decline. This should contribute to more pressure on prices in the category over the period 2011-2015.

CATEGORY DATA

Pasta in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After a hike in 2008, due to global food price inflation, the average unit price of dried pasta has declined by a substantial 19% in 2010 following on from a lower decrease in 2009, reflecting falling wheat prices. Prices of these products are now at a 10-year low.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Soubry Joseph NV, a Belgian manufacturer, continued to lead branded pasta in 2009 with a 19% share of retail value sales. The company held a 26% share of dried pasta, showing the popularity of a local player. In 2009, the best selling pasta brands were Soubry, with a 19% retail value share, followed by Barilla Alimentare SpA’s Barilla with an 11% share. Both brands enjoy significant consumer loyalty as well as strong brand awareness, and recorded retail value share increases between 2005 and 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • Pasta is likely to continue to record good volume growth over the short term due to the impact of the credit crunch, forcing consumers to cook and entertain at home more often. Both dried and chilled/fresh pasta are expected to benefit from this trend. Future value growth performance will be in no small part dependent on global wheat pricing levels and harvests. Wild fluctuations in unit pricing have been seen in recent years and this is likely to continue to be a big issue over the next few years. Convenience and ease of use are expected to forge a key trend, with half-cooked and microwaveable products increasing in popularity. A similar trend has been observed in noodles and rice.

CATEGORY DATA

Ready Meals in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ready meals continued to post steady growth during 2010, despite the adverse economic climate, as ready meals present an acceptable alternative to eating out. The trend of Belgian people avoiding foodservice outlets as a result of financial difficulties is set to continue in the short to medium term. The added convenience that ready meals offer consumers is also a key driver of sales. However, the high unit price levels for some ready meals subcategories such as chilled ready meals and chilled pizzas do limit their potential as everyday products, especially as there is a developing trend in Belgium for home cooking from scratch, which is much cheaper than buying ready meals. As such, comparatively cheaper frozen ready meals are gaining a stronger foothold in Belgium and posted growth rates higher than chilled ready meals during 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of branded players, local manufacturer Ter Beke led ready meals in Belgium during 2009 with an 8% value share. Ter Beke’s well known brand Come a Casa, present in chilled ready meals, accounted for 20% of retail value sales in chilled ready meals in 2009. The Iglo brand from Iglo Belgium SA came in second position with a 7% value share. The Iglo range is present in frozen ready meals. The Iglo brand has long enjoyed a leading position in frozen processed food in Belgium, mainly due to its well-known products such as the Iglo range of frozen processed fish/seafood. In third position in 2009 was the Ristorante frozen pizza brand from Oetker NV SA with a value share of 5%. These three leading brands were very stable in terms of value share over the second half of the review period as overall sales of ready meals remained heavily influenced by private label.

PROSPECTS

  • The future looks rosy for sales of ready meals in Belgium over the forecast period. Overall sales are predicted to increase at a constant value CAGR of 3% over the forecast period. Chilled pizza is expected to continue to post the highest growth, rising in constant value by 5%. Prepared salads is also expected to post good growth, rising by 4% in constant value over the forecast period. Chilled ready meals are not far behind at just under 4%. The projected solid performance of ready meals illustrates the trend towards more home cooking and entertaining which is prevailing in the difficult economic climate. Whilst the unit prices of ready meals generally preclude them from being an everyday choice for many Belgians, ready meals do represent good value for money when compared with dining out in foodservice outlets as well as providing a high level of convenience.

CATEGORY DATA

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Overall retail value sales of sauces, dressings and condiments have increased in 2010 but the growth rate is set to be modest as some categories are struggling and losing sales, while others are doing well. Indeed, affordable indulgence, health benefits, perceived nutritional value, authentic taste profiles, regional ethnic varieties and the sensory experience are all major factors which have boosted sales of ethnic food. This has benefited soy-based sauces as well as dips, both of which are set to see healthy grow in 2010. Manufacturers are well aware of the trend and have sought to introduce products that cater for these consumer needs and which focus more on contemporary meals, recipes and tastes as well as promoting product versatility.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Belgium led the category in 2009 with a retail value share of 22%. The company’s key brand, Knorr, led sauces, dressings and condiments with a 13% share of brand value sales. The company offers other leading brands such as Amora in traditional cold sauces such as mustard and mayonnaise, Bertolli in pasta sauces and Effi, which specialises in ‘light’ dressings and vinaigrettes.

PROSPECTS

  • The development of home and out-of-home consumption will be crucial for the further progress of sauces, dressings and condiments over the forecast period. The tendency of consumers to limit their spending when eating out can be expected to strongly affect traffic in cafés/bars and full-service restaurants in 2010. The economic crisis is expected to help Belgians rediscover the pleasure of preparing lunch and dinner at home. This trend should work in favour of retail sales of sauces, dressings and condiments. Nonetheless, the recession is also expected to dampen demand for these products as consumers become more selective in terms of culinary aids.

CATEGORY DATA

Snack Bars in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Again, sales of snack bars are marked by the ongoing impressive double-digit drop of breakfast bars in 2010. This category, which was still dynamic at the beginning of the review period, is now declining. Sales of breakfast bars fell 14% in current value terms in 2009 and are expected to drop 12% in 2010. The disaffection for such products began in the middle of the review period with the decline of breakfast bars aimed at children due disappointing taste, parental distrust due to these products’ alleged associations with obesity, and to weak profitability. This was followed by the drop of products aimed at adults in 2009 and 2010, even within brand extensions of well-known cereal brands such as Nestlé’s Fitness, Kellogg’s Special K and Kellogg’s All Bran.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive landscape, Kellogg Benelux remained leader in 2009 with a 25% value share. This absolute leadership relies on its first-mover advantage due to its rapid penetration of breakfast bar brands aimed at children. The company strengthened its penetration over the review period with the success of products aimed at adults. However, Kellogg Benelux was also the main loser in snack bars over the last couple of years. First, most brands aimed at children were withdrawn by 2008. Then, after relative stability until spring 2008, due to consumers’ switching towards better value for money products such as plain biscuits or fruit, Kellogg’s Special K and Kellogg’s All Bran waned in 2009 and 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • There is no future for cereal bars according to manufacturers. At the time of wiring the only brand with a significant share in breakfast bars is Kellogg’s Special K Bar. Nonetheless, this should recede due to disinvestment by its owner. In fact, Kellogg and Nestlé, which were expected to focus on adult-oriented breakfast bars during the forecast period, have already ceased to invest in this niche. According to a local expert, manufacturers remain in this category for tactical reasons, with their brands still having a number of loyal customers. Even in adult-oriented products, demand is expected to decline over the forecast period due to consumers’ declining trust in light products.

CATEGORY DATA

Soup in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of UHT soup and chilled soup have again been boosted by increasing demand for high-quality products and original tastes in 2010. Whilst canned/preserved soup and dehydrated soup are set to experience current value sales declines of 4% and 3%, respectively, in 2010, UHT soup and chilled soup will record above-average growth rates. Canned/preserved soup and dehydrated soup have suffered from an old-fashioned and traditional image, while chilled and UHT soup are thriving on an image of better taste, nutritional content and higher quality.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Campbell Foods Belgium NV led soup in 2009 with a 44% share of retail value sales, followed by Unilever Belgium NV with a 30% share. The category’s bestselling brand remains Knorr from Unilever, accounting for 30% of retail value sales, closely followed by Royco (29%) and Deli Soup (15%), both from Campbell Foods. Campbell Foods and Unilever have led soup sales in Belgium for many years and enjoy excellent brand recognition among consumers. Both companies continue to stimulate consumer interest through the offer of new innovative flavours.

PROSPECTS

  • Soup is a mature category in Belgium, with sales of canned/preserved soup and dehydrated soup in decline. Over the forecast period the soup category as a whole is expected to post a constant value CAGR of 1%. This performance will depend largely on the introduction of new and innovative products. All types of ready meals, including soup, will continue to be high growth areas in the packaged food industry over the forecast period as such products meet consumer demand for convenience and ease of use. In addition, the economic recession continues to change consumer habits by encouraging more home cooking and entertaining. Chilled soup will not become the everyday norm due to higher unit prices but it is proving a popular option among busy consumers when entertaining or at weekends.

CATEGORY DATA

Spreads in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite a promising start, manufacturers deplored the interruption of the ‘back to basics’ trend. This was consumers’ switch back to bread and spreads in a more formal breakfast due to threats on the purchasing power and the will to better control expenses and nutrition. What interrupted this trend was notably the disappointing performance of Speculoos Pâte à tartiner from Lotus Bakeries in 2009 and 2010. Introduced in 2008, this novelty created a new niche, offering a spread made with speculoos, a popular local plain biscuit flavoured with cinnamon. However, after several months of impressive expansion, the success story suddenly collapsed in May 2009. The repurchasing rate of Speculoos was too modest and thus Speculoos fell by 30% over the second half of 2009 and early 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a fragmented competitive landscape, Ferrero Ardennes SA retained the lead in chocolate spreads and thus in overall spreads in 2009 with a 25% value share. The brand’s success relies on its original and traditional recipe, which is a secret of the Ferrero family, and also on regular advertising campaigns. The company regularly airs television commercials targeting children, teenagers and indeed the whole family, in order to strengthen its brand image. Nonetheless, although it still progressed in value, Nutella surprisingly lost ground in volume during the bulk of 2009, due to its drop in hard discounters as a result of lower traffic in Aldi and particularly Lidl. Like the drop of Speculoos Pâte à tartiner, this was instrumental in the slowdown of spreads in 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of spreads are logically linked to sales of bread and thus the future of this category will depend on breakfast trends and bread consumption patterns. Due to the economic crisis and growing awareness of the nutritional benefits of bread, spreads may benefit from consumers’ return to more formal, natural and cheaper breakfasts. However, the ‘back to basics” trend may favour rival products such as breakfast cereals, with these products having more limited penetration than spreads. With a penetration rate of 85-90% according to an industry source, jams and preserves are present in almost all Belgian households.

CATEGORY DATA

Sugar Confectionery in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main story over the last couple of years was a trend reversal in sugar confectionery. PCP (Petite Confiserie de Poche – “little pocket confectionery”, a transversal category of mints, gums, caramels and pastilles) began to exhibit signs of slowdown in that were confirmed in 2009 and 2010. Sales were dampened by the drop in purchasing power among Belgians, and the recovery of sugarised products – sugar-free products are mainly concentrated in PCP. Meanwhile, large sachets of boiled sweets and chews such as Napoleon sweets recovered over 2009-2010, while such products were previously cannibalised by PCP, particularly sugar-free items.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The high fragmentation of shares also contributed to the lack of dynamism of sugar confectionery over the review period. There was no double-digit company share in 2009. Lamy Lutti NV led sales in 2009 with less than 9% of sugar confectionery value. This company benefited from its wide range of products across sugar confectionery, and a leading position in the most valuable product area of pastilles, gums, jellies and chews. The company’s major umbrella brand, Lutti, however mainly emulated Haribo’s new product development with me-too items, and was not in itself particularly innovative.

PROSPECTS

  • At the beginning of 2010 gum exhibited strong signs of maturity, which is not a bad news for sugar confectionery. If gum really declines, some experts consider it could opens up new horizons for PCP that tended to be asphyxiated by the upsurge of gum. Indeed, until 2009 gum was more profitable in terms of merchandising, and thus gained ground on PCP in strategic product displays near checkouts in retailers. Gum monopolised innovation in packaging.

CATEGORY DATA

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With the economy still suffering in 2010 and unemployment rising, sweet and savoury snacks continue to be undermined by a superfluous image. Although Belgian consumers are keen snack eaters, they are opting for confectionery, especially chocolate confectionery, fresh fruit, snack bars and charcuterie rather than savoury snacks such as crisps and extruded snacks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Smiths Food Group BV was the clear leader in the overall category in 2009 with a 50% share of retail value sales. The company’s position can be attributed to strong leadership in the three most valuable categories, crisps/chips, extruded snacks and nuts. Lay’s, its flagship brand, has performed the best, taking advantage of increasing sales of crisps/chips, while the other brands in Smiths Food Group’s portfolio have remained stable. The majority of Lay’s flavours are available in three variants - Regular, Light (33% less fat than regular Lay’s) and Oven Baked.

PROSPECTS

  • There is still potential for growth in the sweet and savoury snacks category. Innovative product developments are expected to drive moderate growth over the forecast period, notably in premium products with exotic flavours and new mixtures. Although the sweet and savoury snacks category is largely saturated, innovative products are expected to perform well, leading to volume and constant value CAGRs of 1% to 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

Yoghurt in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • While yoghurt benefited from the shift towards healthier food in Belgium until 2008, the last couple of years of the review period witnessed the emergence of more selective ways of purchasing. Consumers became price-sensitive, and avoided purchases of expensive products such as some functional yoghurts, or superfluous products such as regular drinking yoghurt. The downwards trend of reduced fat yoghurt 0% continued in 2009 and 2010. All light brands declined, as illustrated by the decline of Vitalinea, and to a lesser extent Yoplait 0%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a rather concentrated competitive environment, Danone NV/SA was the clear leader in yoghurt with a 41% share of value sales in 2009. Yoghurt is its core business, thus the company continued to be by far the major trend-setter and the top spender on advertising in the category in 2009. It still focused on the most promising product areas, notably Actimel and Activia, which forged ahead despite an already overwhelming share in probiotic products.

PROSPECTS

  • The most notable event in the coming years is expected to be the disappointing results of many products with added-value; particularly in functional yoghurt. In such categories, the most daring innovations of recent years were often failures. Launched in 2006 with a huge budget, Essensis was withdrawn in 2009; introduced in 2008, the fizzy drink Dizzy by Yoplait, which was positioned as a healthy alternative to carbonated drinks, was also withdrawn at the beginning of 2010, despite its original packaging. The economic crisis, if it continues, threatens to kill the most innovative and promising products. After being launched in 2008, Calcifort could also be withdrawn in 2010 or 2011 if Campina does not invest in supporting it.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-On Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-On Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-On Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-Based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-Based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-Based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-Free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-Free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-Based Desserts
          • Soy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-Based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-Based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Ice Cream Parlours
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
        • Gravy Cubes and Powders
        • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
        • Stock Cubes and Powders
      • Dips
      • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
      • Herbs and Spices
      • Ketchup
      • Mayonnaise
        • Low Fat Mayonnaise
        • Regular Mayonnaise
      • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
      • Mustard
      • Pasta Sauces
      • Pickled Products
      • Salad Dressings
        • Low Fat Salad Dressings
        • Regular Salad Dressings
      • Soy Based Sauces
      • Table Sauces
        • Andalouse
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Tartare Sauce
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Vinaigrettes
      • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-Based Spreads
      • Yeast-Based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by ethnicity
  • Analysis by flavour
  • Analysis by Type
  • Chilled vs ambient
  • Per cent share of chilled meat substitute
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Top companies operating in the market by sales
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail RTD volume
  • Retail RTD volume % growth
  • Retail RTD volume per capita
  • Foodservice RTD volume
  • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
  • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
  • Total RTD volume
  • Total RTD volume % growth
  • Total RTD volume per capita
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Total Volume (Tonnes)
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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