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Country Report

Packaged Food in Canada

Mar 2012

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Packaged Food in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Slow pace of economic recovery defines pace of packaged food’s growth

Whilst the Canadian economy and consumer confidence improved in 2011, the pace of recovery was slower than anticipated, also affecting the pace of recovery in foodservice. On the other hand, this meant positive news for retailers as many consumers continued to turn to retail products, many of which would have displayed slower growth had foodservice spending recovered faster; such as in chilled processed meats. At the same time, shaky consumer confidence stood behind continued cautious spending and a search for promotions, especially on staples, to save on grocery bills, especially in view of increased spending on products like gas.

Raising prices in retail remains a challenge

During the recession and in the following months, many retailers were reluctant to increase prices, mindful of maintaining consumer traffic in view of a weak recovery and strong retail competition from retailers like Walmart. In 2011, raising prices continued to present a challenge as economic recovery was slow. Nonetheless, some manufacturers and retailers slowly edged prices up seeking to recover lost margins. Aggressive pricing and promotional activity, however, remained on the agenda for those retailers located in the vicinity of Walmart outlets. Wal-Mart Canada continued to promote everyday low prices as well as a sustained push into grocery retailing with further expansion of Walmart Supercenters. In the coming years, the opening of Target by Target Corp in Canada and its proposed strong emphasis on groceries might further hamper the ability of manufacturers and retailers to increase prices in line with rising production costs.

Focus on key brands and higher margins in difficult operating environment

Packaged food is a highly developed and slowly recovering marketplace where many product categories already enjoy a high level of household penetration, while others such as dairy, for instance, also face challenges due to the regulatory environment. Many manufacturers seek to concentrate their resources to support key brands as well as food segments with higher margins while abandoning others, such as the withdrawal of Knorr UHT soups and the launch of Magnum premium ice cream by Unilever Canada. Strategies to grow sales and increase presence also include acquisitions, such as Nestlé’s acquisition of Kraft’s pizza business as well as the announcement in late 2011 of the proposed acquisition of Brookside Foods by Hershey Canada which will enable the latter to further expand its presence in chocolate confectionery.

Competition for consumer traffic blurs distinction between grocery formats

While focus on quality and food expertise were originally the core values of supermarket strategies in the past, the environment towards the end of the review period reached a point where leading supermarket chains sought to compete at a price point that matches those found at discounters. Heavy promotions from supermarkets/hypermarkets effectively shrunk the middle ground to create a difficult environment for grocery discounters. As price points appear to be converging, among the strategies employed by retailers present in discounters, is the move towards an improved shopping experience. Thus, in 2011, Sobeys continued its large scale rebranding which witnessed the conversion of Price Chopper outlets to its new FreshCo banner. The banner discounter promises to deliver customers the lowest prices without the sacrifices usually associated with shopping at a discounter.

Modest growth ahead

Overall, packaged food in Canada is expected to see modest growth in constant value terms over the forecast period. Volume of foodservice sales is also expected to see positive growth as the Canadian economy and consumer spending will be recovering from the recessionary years. However, the slow pace of recovery and inability to push through significant price increases will hamper the extent of value growth in retail, which will be further affected by a high degree of saturation seen in many key product categories, such as dairy and bread for instance.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Slow pace of economic recovery defines pace of packaged food’s growth

Raising prices in retail remains a challenge

Focus on key brands and higher margins in difficult operating environment

Competition for consumer traffic blurs distinction between grocery formats

Modest growth ahead

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Slow pace of economic recovery defines operating environment

Fierce competition for consumer grocery spending dictates retailers’ response

Rise of modern ethnic food retail

Manufacturers focus on key brands and revenue-generating categories

Private label remains an opportunity but success is not assured

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Canada - Company Profiles

Agropur Cooperative Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Agropur Cooperative Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

David Chapman's Ice Cream Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 David Chapman’s Ice Cream Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Eastern Meat Purveyors Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Ganong Bros Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Ganong Bros Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Gay Lea Foods Co-Operative Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

George Weston Ltd in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 George Weston Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

High Liner Foods Inc in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Maple Leaf Foods Inc in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 Maple Leaf Foods Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Saputo Inc in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 21 Saputo Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Sysco Canada Inc in Packaged Food (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Baby Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current value sales of baby food increased by 2% to reach C$526 million in 2011. Growth in baby food sales was primarily driven by increasing preference for organic varieties amid concerns over the quality of baby foods as well as the declining growth in breastfeeding practices amongst new mothers. According to the latest report from Health Canada, “Trends in Breastfeeding Practices in Canada: 2001-2008”, the percentage of mothers who initiated breastfeeding their last child increased significantly between 2001 and 2005. However, no significant difference was found between 2007 and 2008 or in 2005, suggesting that new mothers have gradually opted for more convenient methods, such as infant formula.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Mead Johnson Nutrition continued to lead retail sales of milk formula with a total value share of 31%, followed Abbott Laboratories and by Nestlé Canada, each with 30% value shares. Mead Johnson remained the leading manufacturer of special baby milk formula with a 50% share in 2010, thanks to its flagship brand Enfamil. The company also held the second highest share of the standard milk formula sales, 32%.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, constant vale sales of baby food are projected to grow at a 1% CAGR to reach C$561 million by 2016. It is anticipated that growth will continue to be driven by increasing preference for organic varieties amid concerns over the quality of baby foods as well as the declining prevalence of mothers initiating breastfeeding as Canadians lead increasingly busy lifestyles.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 54 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail sales of baked goods are set to increase by 4% in current value terms to exceed C$5.5 billion in 2011. Volume sales will record1% growth, reaching 805,000 tonnes. Growth in baked goods sales will be largely driven by a growing preference for fast and convenient breakfast items as well as increase in consumption of baked products with higher nutritional values, such as whole grain, omega- 3 or trans-fat free. In addition, innovation in special bakery products, such as gluten-free bread, that cater to specific dietary needs of consumers will fuel category growth as the number of Canadians on restrictive diet continues to rise.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • George Weston Ltd remained the leading manufacturer of branded baked goods in Canada, accounting for 13% share of total retail sales in 2010. It accounted for the largest share of bread substitute sales, due to its leading brand Ryvita, which held a 51% value share in 2010. George Weston Ltd continued to dominate retail sales of packaged/industrial bread by strengthening the nutritional profile of its brands, including Wonder Bread, D’Italiano, and Country Harvest. For example, the introduction of Country Harvest Ancient Grains and Wonder SimplyFree helped boost the company’s share.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant retail value sales of baked goods are projected to grow by a 2% CAGR over the forecast period to total C$6.2 billion by 2016. Growth will continue to be driven by a growing preference for fast and convenient breakfast items as well as rising consumption of baked products that offer higher nutritional value, such as whole grain, omega- 3 or trans-fat free. In addition, innovation in special bakery products, such as gluten-free bread, that cater to specific dietary needs of consumers will continue to drive category growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Packaged/Industrial Bread by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 68 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 69 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current retail value sales of biscuits will grow by 2% to reach C$1.4 billion in 2011. Value growth will primarily be driven by the rise in unit price, which increased by 2% as rising production costs, such as sugar, trickle down to retail level. The global price of sugar continued to increase as a result of production shortfalls in India and Brazil created by drastic climate change. According to Statistics Canada’s latest Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI), the price of sugar rose by 9.6% during the review period. Retail volume sales will remain stagnant, registering a marginal decline, as consumers continue to seek healthier snacks that are low in sugar, salt and fat. Limited product innovation and marketing activities will further contribute to the gradual loss of consumer interest in the category as a whole.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Canada Inc remained the leading manufacturer of biscuits, accounting for 43% share of total retail sales in 2010. The company offers an extensive portfolio of very well-established brands, including Ritz and Premium crackers, Christie, Chips Ahoy! and Oreo, topping retail sales of most segments of biscuits. Kraft Canada is particularly dominant in cookies with its flagship brands, Chips Ahoy!, Dad’s and Peak Frean, accounting for 57% share of total sales. It is also the largest manufacturer of sandwich biscuits with a 53% value share in 2010, led by Oreo and SnackWell’s. Lastly, Kraft Canada continued to hold a leading position in savoury biscuits and crackers, accounting for 50% share of total sales in 2010, through ongoing product innovation, such as its recent introduction of Rice Thins Brown Rice Crisps.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, sales of biscuits are projected to grow by a 2% constant value CAGR, reaching C$1.5 billion by 2016. Volume sales will increase by a 1% CAGR to reach 138,000 tonnes. In addition to rising retail price, category growth will likely be driven by a growing preference for healthier biscuits, such as savoury crackers and plain biscuits, over the forecast period. As manufacturers increasingly find themselves incurring rising costs of production fuelled by surging price of sugar, corn and oil, wholesalers and retailers will also likely pass on the costs to consumers to generate healthy margins by raising their prices after a successful year of aggressive pricing and promotional discounts in 2010.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 79 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 80 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, current retail value sales of breakfast cereals are set to rise by 3% to reach C$1.4 billion. Growth was largely bolstered by the rising price of corn throughout 2011. Fast-declining world supply of corn caused by robust demand from emerging markets and heavier than anticipated domestic use in the US mainly contributed to the price surge. Volume sales are set to register moderate growth to reach 180,000 tonnes, driven growing consumption of breakfast across Canada, with cereals being one of the top breakfast items for many Canadian households.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg Canada Inc remained the leading manufacturer of breakfast cereals with a value share of 43% in 2010, up by 0.4 of a percentage point from 2009. The company’s growing share in the category is largely due to its investment in reformulation of products through upgrading the nutritional profile of its top cereal brands. Kellogg’s Special K was the leading brand in 2010, accounting for 12% value share of breakfast cereals in Canada, and the company’s well-established Kellogg’s Corn Flakes held a steady 10% share and was ranked fourth overall in sales of breakfast cereals. The company has the strongest presence in flakes, accounting for 90% share of sales in 2010, led by Kellogg’s Special K, Kellogg’s Corn Flakes, and Kellogg’s Raisin Bran. It also carries a well-established portfolio of children’s breakfast cereals, which includes Kellogg’s Froot Loops and Kellogg’s Frosted Flakes. Together, they accounted for 36% share of total sales in this segment in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall retail value sales of breakfast cereals are projected to increase by a 2% constant value CAGR, exceeding C$1.54 billion by 2016. Volume sales are expected to grow by a 1% CAGR to reach 192,000 tonnes. Increasing consumption of breakfast at home will primarily drive sales growth over the forecast period with particular focus on fibre-rich cereals that help Canadians meet their daily fibre requirements.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 88 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 90 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 91 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Canned/preserved food remains a significant category in the Canadian packaged food market and is, for many consumers, a cost-effective way to put food on the table, especially when times are hard. However, many canned products have come under criticism from health professional and nutritionists as well as consumer groups for poor nutritional content, which has prompted many manufacturers to reformulate their products. Additionally, although it is cost-effective for many, in general Canadians have been showing more preference for fresher (if not necessarily cheaper) alternatives, a tendency also fuelled by the growing proportion of older Canadians.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • On the whole, retail sales of canned/preserved food in Canada are quite fragmented. However, there is more consolidation at product subcategory level. Campbell Soup retained its leading position overall due to its continuing strength in canned soup – the largest canned/preserved processed foods category. CanGro Foods Inc and Connors Bros took second and third positions respectively.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, retail sales of canned/preserved foods are expected to see a modest CAGR of 2% in constant value, with volume projections at 1% over 2011-2016 in retail. Established canned/preserved foods will continue to provide a value alternative to consumers to save on grocery bills, and there will always be some demand. Also, expansion of healthier varieties and convenient and high-end packaging will also help to drive value of sales, especially the latter, which usually comes with a premium. On the whole, however, as the economy recovers and consumer spending improves, more Canadians are likely to continue to shift to other alternatives, including chilled and frozen.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 98 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 99 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 100 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 101 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 102 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 24 Other Canned/Preserved Food: Product Types

Cheese in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current value sales of cheese overall are expected to increase by 2% in 2011. This compares to a CAGR of 3% during the review period; however, the retail value growth in 2011 does follow two years when the growth was only 1% (2008 and 2009). Cheese is a staple of the Canadian diet, and the dip in retail value during 2008 and 2009 was due to the tightening of budgets as caused by the global economic recession. It was telling though, that whilst Canadians were tightening their money belts when it came to most food items, that there was a shift away from the relatively cheaper processed cheese (-3% growth in 2010 and a marginal decline in growth in 2011) towards the relatively more expensive unprocessed cheese (3% growth in 2010 and the same growth projected for 2011).

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011 Kraft Canada and Saputo turned to the courts in order to voice their disagreement with new Canadian government standards regarding standards of cheese products. The new standard guidelines – introduced in 2008 – aimed to set parameters for the minimum usage of casein content from liquid milks, instead of the growing practice of using lower-priced casein content from other milk products. The goal of this new standard was to bring Canadian cheese products in line with international standards. Kraft Canada and Saputo argued in the court case that the new standards serve to penalize dairy processors to the benefit of dairy producers by regulating the amount of liquid milk that must be used in cheese production and therefore increasing the production costs of their products. The court found that the usage of non-liquid milk ingredients in cheese will substantially affect, in a detrimental nature, the taste, texture and smell of Canadian cheese products. The result was a dismissal of the case by the federal courts of appeal.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of cheese overall in Canada are projected to increase at a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period which is about the same as the CAGR registered for the review period. There are specific segments in the market that exhibit opportunities for growth. Certain types of cheeses are projected to be more profitable than others, including high value-added dairy products, such as aged or specialty cheeses.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Unprocessed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2009-2010
  • Table 113 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 114 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 115 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 116 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 117 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 118 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 119 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • When the recession hit, grocery retailers saw an increase in sales of chilled food, due to the fact that restaurant visits decreased, and consumers were purchasing more chilled food for consumption at home for much less money than they could by going out to eat. As the recession started to ease, grocery retailers began to struggle to maintain sales as consumers start to go back to restaurants. The cycle with restaurants is inversely proportional with the cycle of sales for chilled food. However, as the recovery is slower than expected, retail value and volume continue to be positive. In terms of current retail value chilled processed food grew in 2011 by 3% over the previous year, totalling C$5.1 billion.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • It is telling that when looking at share data for chilled processed food in Canada, private label offerings, especially from leading grocery retailers such Loblaws, Metro and Sobeys, make appearances within nearly each product category, possessing a significant share. This fact demonstrates that here, Canadian consumers have no problem purchasing private label offerings, alongside the major brand labels marketed by Maple Leaf Foods and others.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, retail sales of chilled processed foods are expected to reach C$5.5 billion in 2016 with a projected CAGR of 1% both in constant value and volume. Foodservice volume is expected to also see a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 120 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 122 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 123 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 124 Chilled Processed Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Chilled Processed Meat: % Share of Chilled Meat Substitute 2006-2011
  • Table 126 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 127 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 128 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 129 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 130 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 131 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 132 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chocolate Confectionery in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales of chocolate confectionery are expected to increase by 3% in current value to exceed C$2.6 billion, while total volume sales will grow by 2%, reaching 119,000 tonnes. Ongoing product innovation in response to the growing demand for more convenient and lighter/healthier, yet flavoursome treats fuelled growth in this category. In particular, shareable formats, either in bite-size pieces or large, family-size bars, gained share during the review period. Health-conscious consumers seeking to maintain a healthy balance between indulgence and weight management favoured the taste and quality of bite-size pieces, while ageing Canadians showed a preference for moulded and/or family-size bars to save an additional shopping trip.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Canada Inc, Cadbury Adams Canada Inc and Hershey Canada Inc led retail sales of chocolate confectionery with a combined value share of 43% in 2010. Nestlé Canada held the highest share at 16%, due to its leading position in countlines and bagged selflines/softlines, in which the company accounted for 25% and 20%, respectively. In countlines, Nestlé Canada’s KitKat and Coffee Crisp remained the leading brands, which together accounted for 15% retail value share of countlines in 2010. Meanwhile, in bagged selflines/softlines chocolate, Nestlé Canada’s Smarties held the highest retail value share at 16%, with its bite-size versions of KitKat and Coffee Crisp brands strengthening the company’s overall share in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of chocolate confectionery are projected to grow by a 2% constant value CAGR to reach C$2.9 billion by 2016. Innovation in format and packaging, particularly in bagged selflines/softlines, is expected to drive overall sales as consumers continue to seek something new and creative. Furthermore, rapidly ageing consumers and their search for a stronger taste, such as dark premium chocolate with high cocoa levels, will likely strengthen sales in some segments.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 133 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 135 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 137 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 138 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 139 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 140 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 141 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 142 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 143 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 144 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, dried processed food grew by 5% in current value and 3% in volume to reach C$1.8 billion. The difference between the value and volume increases is due to the increase in unit prices. As production costs increased, many manufacturers tried to increase sales via price increases, although promotional activity on the part of retailers kept the extent of the increase in check. Foodservice volume growth showed a slight improvement over 2010, as consumers showed an increasing tendency to eat out again.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Although sales of dried processed food were fragmented, Ronzoni Foods and Kraft were the top two with a combined share of 29%. Other prominent companies include Unilever, Mars and Loblaws – the latter the market leader in private label in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of dried processed food are projected to grow by a CAGR of 2%. Foodservice volume will have a stronger increase than retail volume with a forecast CAGR of 3%. This is due to the anticipated recovery of foodservice and the projected healthy demand for Asian-based foods that often include rice and noodles. In retail, however, sales will increase only slightly as most products are mature. While the changing ethnic composition of the Canadian population will support sales of products like rice and noodles, foodservice recovery will likely affect demand in retail.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 145 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 146 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 147 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 148 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 149 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 150 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 151 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 152 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 153 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 155 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 drinking milk is set to see 4% current value growth. Foodservice milk sales volumes are expected to decline marginally due to the fact that restaurant attendance is still not back to normal after the recession. During the recession there was also a slight shift towards larger sizes (including 4-litre plastic pouches and jugs) of milk. However, with the recovery in swing, consumers in retail stores are returning to smaller sizes, such as 2-litre cartons as well as single-serve sizes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Canadian dairy category is highly regulated, resulting in considerable barriers to entry for nondomestic manufacturers, who are required to do business through domestic subsidiaries in order to compete in the Canadian market. Due to this fact the three main competitors Saputo, Agropur Cooperative, and Parmalat Canada enjoy very secure spots at the top of the Canadian dairy market. In 2010, Parmalat completed the migration of all of its premium milk products to the Lactantia brand, supporting this process with extensive advertising. In terms of value share, Parmalat captured 20% of drinking milk product sales in 2010, placing third behind Saputo (40%) and Agropur Cooperative (27%). In drinking milk products it was Saputo’s Dairyland brand that came in first with a 19% value share, followed by another Saputo brand Nielson, which captured 16% of the market. Parmalat's Beatrice brand ranked third in this category with an 11% value share.

PROSPECTS

  • The Canadian dairy category is a mature one and whilst it is projected that in terms of constant value drinking milk products will achieve a CAGR of 2% during the forecast period. In terms of volume, most product categories will see slower pace of growth compared to value growth. This largely reflects the fact that unit prices of milk will increase whilst volumes will remain level. This reflects both the fact that the market is mature as well as the fact that much of the increase to the population comes from immigration, and since Asian and Middle Eastern populations typically consume less milk than the rest of the Canadian population, drinking milk consumption will remain relatively stable. Unit prices of drinking milk are projected to grow during the forecast period, as raw dairy prices are continuously increasing. The use of milk as a loss leader by many large grocery retailers is placing pressure on manufacturers and dairy farmers to keep prices low; however, unit prices must increase year upon year during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 156 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 157 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 158 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 159 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 160 Chilled Vs Ambient Flavoured Milk Drinks: % Volume Analysis 2007-2010
  • Table 161 Milk by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2010
  • Table 162 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 163 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 164 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 165 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 166 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 retail sales of frozen processed food increased by 3% by value and by less than 1% in volume terms, to reach C$5.2 billion. While convenience remains the key factor supporting demand for frozen processed food, most products have reached the point of saturation and already have a high level of household penetration, making it difficult to drive volume of sales. Competition from other food, such as chilled, first and foremost in retail, as well as fresh food and foodservice, especially in view of improved trends in away-from-home meals in post-recessionary Canada, also affect sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Although overall retail sales of frozen processed foods remain fragmented, one manufacturer stands out as leader, namely Nestlé. In 2010 the company’s share of sales increased significantly to a total of 17% in value terms as it acquired the frozen pizza business from Kraft. Other fairly prominent players included McCain Food, Bellissio Foods, Maple Leaf Foods (through its ownership of Schneider), High Liner Foods, General Mills, Oetker-Gruppe, Pinnacle Foods and Europe’s Best (now owned by The JM Smucker Co). Each of these companies had significant share in individual product areas although they had a small overall share.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail sales of frozen processed food will increase by a CAGR of 1% in constant value and less than 1% in retail volume, to reach C$5.5 billion by the end of 2016. Foodservice volume is expected to increase by a 2% CAGR over the forecast period, driven by the recovery of Canadian foodservice.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 169 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 170 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 171 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 172 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 173 Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 174 Frozen Processed Poultry by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Frozen Processed Red Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Frozen Processed Vegetables by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 177 Other Frozen Processed Food by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 178 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 179 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 180 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 184 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 25 Other Frozen Processed Food: Product Types

Gum in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail value sales of gum are set to increase by 3%, reaching C$520 million, while volume sales will rise by 2% to reach 15,600 tonnes in 2011. Category growth was primarily driven by strong product innovation as manufacturers continued to boost their efforts to satisfy consumers’ yearning for new flavours and formats. Innovative promotions, such as Cadbury Canada’s Dentyne Mouth to Mouth programme, also helped to strengthen retail sales of gum during the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury Adams Canada Inc (now part of Kraft Foods Inc) and Wrigley Canada Inc continued to lead retail sales of gum, accounting for a combined value share of 97% in 2010. Both manufacturers are prominent in gum with strong portfolios of sugar free chewing gum as it presents increasing growth opportunities. Cadbury Adams Canada remained in the lead with 55% value share, while Wrigley Canada accounted for 42% share of total sales in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall retail sales of gum are projected to grow by a 2% CAGR in constant value terms over the forecast period, reaching C$576 million in 2016. Growth will largely be driven by product innovation and development in sugar free gum as manufacturers continue to introduce new flavours and packaging designs.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 185 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 186 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 187 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 188 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 189 Leading Flavours for Gum 2006-2011
  • Table 190 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 191 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 192 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 195 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 196 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The biggest trend in ice cream in Canada is that demand as well as manufacturing is shifting towards premium ice cream products. In 2010, the lower-priced end of single-portion dairy ice cream began to be phased out. An example of this shift was the introduction of the Magnum bar (made with imported Belgian chocolate) by Unilever, which by all accounts has been very successful. The marketing effort behind this product – commercials for TV and radio featuring celebrity endorsements from Rachel Billson and Ivanka Trump had much to do with the success. This shift is obvious in the data which shows that current value sales of single-portion dairy ice cream are set to increase by 2% in 2011 as compared to single-portion water ice cream which is expected to decline by 1% in the same year.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 Nestlé Canada captured an 80% value share in single-portion dairy ice cream, 30% of which was due to its Drumstick product. In 2010 Nestlé Canada introduced a new line of “create your own” ice cream snack products called C(rave). The product comes in a single-serve, 325ml cup (at 380 calories each) with packages of Smarties, Coffee Crisp or Kit Kat to add to the ice cream. The strategy is to introduce the product to a target market of health-conscious consumers. A major trend in many areas of snack foods is the “portion control” or “single serve” sized package, which has been extremely popular in the categories of chips, sweets, chocolates, crackers, pretzels etc. Whilst ice cream does not seem to have been adversely affected to a great extent by the health and wellness trend (ice cream is seen as an infrequent luxury snack by most Canadians) it is possible that health-conscious consumers that had previously steered clear of ice cream products may notice the C(rave) packaging and incorporate this product into their more health-conscious lifestyles.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of ice cream overall are projected to grow at a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. Within this category, growth of single-portion ice cream is contingent upon innovations by manufacturers. At the moment the market is shifting towards increased demand for the premium end of the scale as evidenced by the success of the Magnum brand. SKUs of lower-end single-portion ice creams are decreasing in favour of premium ice creams – where the margins are higher. In this category there is competition from foodservice locations such as Dairy Queen (the Blizzard) and McDonalds (the McFlurry). Therefore, the innovators are going to have to become even more innovative to continue to be competitive.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 197 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 198 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 199 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 200 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 201 Leading Flavours for Ice Cream 2006-2011
  • Table 202 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 203 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 204 Impulse Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 205 Impulse Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 206 Take-home Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 207 Take-home Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 208 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 209 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 210 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 211 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 212 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current retail value sales of meal replacement are predicted to rise by 6% in 2011, to reach C$183 million, while volume growth will registered 2% growth. Ongoing consumer effort to maintain a healthy diet amid increasingly busy schedule as well as growing incidence of health issues, such as digestive disorders and diabetes, amongst ageing Canadians fuelled demand for meal replacement products during the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Canada Inc led meal replacement with 60% value share in 2010. Growth of its share continued to expand, due to its very well-established brand, Slim Fast, which led retail sales of slimming products with a 73% value share. The company’s Slim Fast 3-2-1 Plan, introduced in early 2010, continued to gain consumer interest as Canadians increasingly searched for simple and easy ways to manage their weight amid busy lifestyles.

PROSPECTS

  • Meal replacement is projected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 3% to reach C$215 million in 2016. Growth will continue to be fuelled by ongoing consumer effort to maintain a healthy and balanced diet amid increasingly busy lifestyles as well as rising incidence of health complications associated with ageing, requiring additional nutrition supplements among older consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 213 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 214 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 215 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 216 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 217 Meal Replacement Slimming by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 218 Meal Replacement Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 219 Meal Replacement Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 220 Sales of Meal Replacement by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 221 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 222 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Noodles in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales are expected to grow by 6% in current value terms and by 3% in volume terms to reach C$232 million. Foodservice volume sales are also set to record good growth of 3%, as many of these products are sold through fast food restaurants, especially Asian fast food outlets. Immigration trends as well as travel and job mobility by long-term Canadian residents continue to support the interest in and demand for ethnic food, including meals and ingredients from Asia Pacific, the principal source of immigration in Canada. The expansion of ethnic food retailers, including modern Asian supermarket chains like T & T Supermarket, Lucky, and Ocean Foods Market also help to drive sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment is fairly fragmented, with a variety of imported brands and products sold primarily through small ethnic food stores and ethnic supermarkets. These outlets account for over one third of retail value sales. Nonetheless, Anderson Watts, continued to lead noodles with a 21% share of retail value sales in 2010. The company markets the popular Mr Noodles brand, which continued to lead instant noodles with a 34% share of retail value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of noodles are expected to grow by a 3% constant value CAGR and a 2% volume CAGR. Given the growing Asian population in Canada and the greater exposure of Canadians to foreign cuisines through travel and job mobility, the demand for noodles – one of the staples of Asian cuisines – will remain healthy. The forecast also takes into account the growth of other food types, such as rice and ethnic ready meals, which are predicted to draw consumer attention as well compete for “share of stomach”. Thus, the projected growth in noodles sales is not as high as might be anticipated. In 2016, constant value sales of noodles are expected to reach C$271 million.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 225 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 226 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 227 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Leading Instant Noodle Flavours 2006-2011
  • Table 230 Noodles Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 231 Noodles Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 232 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 233 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2011-2016

Oils and Fats in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The slow economic recovery continued to have an effect on sales of oils and fats in Canada, which is best reflected in the overall slower growth of foodservice volume as compared to retail sales. Overall, oils and fats is expected to see current value growth of 5% in retail, whilst retail volume will be up by 2%. Foodservice volume is expected to experience volume growth of 1%. On the whole, foodservice volume is showing a marginally better performance in 2011 compared to 2010 as more consumers have returned to restaurant dining.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Overall, Unilever Canada continues to top the list of oils and fats in Canada. In 2010, the company’s products accounted for a 21% value share of sales. Unilever was followed by Parmalat and Loblaws Cos, with 14% and 12% of value sales, respectively. Loblaws Cos – the largest grocery retailer in Canada and the marketer of the leading private label grocery products. Agropur Cooperative Ltd took close to 8% share of value sales in oils and fats in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, retail constant value sales of oils and fats in Canada are projected to grow at a CAGR of 3% to achieve approximately C$1.7 billion by 2016. Sales to foodservice operators will improve as well throughout the forecast period as the economy and consumer spending recover, leading to the recovery of the foodservice sector.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 235 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 236 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 237 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 238 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 239 Vegetable and Seed Oil by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 241 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 242 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 243 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 244 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current value sales of “other dairy” in Canada are set to increase by 3% in 2011, which compares favourably to a current value CAGR of 2% seen during the review period. Chilled dairy-based desserts and chilled soy-based desserts both are expected to contribute strong current value growth to this category at 5% and 6%, respectively. The results for chilled dairy-based desserts were comparable to its CAGR during the review period, whilst chilled soy-based desserts saw a discrepancy between its growth (6%) and its CAGR during the review period (13%). This shift within chilled soy-based desserts may be influenced by the shift that is being experienced currently within ice cream, where many ice cream manufacturers are increasingly using synthetic, or “non-dairy” ingredients, causing many Canadian consumers to demand more expensive, or premium, ice cream products that are 100% dairy, made from premium ingredients. Ice cream products that are made with 100% dairy ingredients are very aggressively drawing attention to that fact in their labelling, and this trend could be drawing consumers away from soy-based desserts and towards dairy-based desserts.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The section of the dairy market that is influenced by coffee trends – such as cream and coffee whiteners – is being driven in part by what market participants call the “Tim Horton's effect” – ie, frequent trips by consumers to coffee establishments such as Tim Horton's that utilise real cream are developing a real taste and fondness for this product – which is obvious by the fact that retail value sales of cream are set to increase by 4% in 2011 compared to 2% growth for coffee whiteners. The companies that are capitalising upon the benefit of the “Tim Horton's effect” include Saputo – which accounted for 31% of value sales in 2010, followed by Agropur Cooperative which captured 26% of sales and Parmalat Canada with 23% of sales.

PROSPECTS

  • During the recession, which caused most Canadians to tighten their budgets, restaurant attendance decreased, especially at the higher priced end of the scale. Consumers shifted their behaviour away from the finer dining establishments and towards the more budget-conscious foodservice establishments, and in addition many people stayed home to do their cooking. In addition, tourism travel declined, which also meant a decline in restaurant attendance. One of the results of these drivers was to increase demand for cream in retail locations with a corresponding decline in foodservice cream usage. As the economy continues to get better, Canadians and inbound tourists will increase their restaurant attendance once again, and it is projected that foodservice cream use will increase once again. The volume CAGR for foodservice cream is projected to reach 3% during the forecast period whilst the volume CAGR for retail cream is projected to be 2% during the same period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 247 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 248 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 249 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 250 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 251 Cream by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 252 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 253 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 254 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 255 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 256 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales of pasta are expected to grow by 7% in current value terms and by 3% in volume terms to reach C$829 million. On-trade volume sales are set to increase by only 1% as people try to economise by eating at home. Nonetheless, foodservice sales are being supported by the economic recovery which improved conditions for operators.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Ronzoni Foods Canada Corp led pasta with a 34% share of retail value sales in 2010. The company’s principal strength lies in the main category, dried pasta, which it led with a 45% share. Ronzoni Foods markets Catelli pasta – the top-selling brand in Canada – as well as Lancia, a smaller but well-established and well-known brand. The company’s closest competitors remain Loblaws (President’s Choice and No Name private label brands), the Canada-based Italpasta Ltd (Italpasta brand) and Sun-Brite Canning Ltd (Primo brand).

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of pasta are expected to grow by a 3% CAGR in both constant value and volume terms. For a mature category, which is growing against the background of slow population growth and limited opportunities for significant product innovation, these growth rates should be considered good. Pasta remains a popular side dish and a component of main meals, and although ethnic cuisines from Asia Pacific and other regions have been growing in popularity, Italian cuisine still has a solid following in Canada, benefiting the demand for pasta. Foodservice volume sales are projected to grow by a 2% CAGR over the forecast period, with Canadian foodservice operators benefiting from the anticipated economic recovery.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 257 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 258 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 259 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 260 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 261 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 262 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 263 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 264 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 265 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 266 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 267 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 retail sales of ready meals grew by close to 3% in current value but were flat in volume terms. Although ready meals remain a popular quick meal solution for many consumers, and the market size confirms this, the Canadian market has reached a saturation point which slows down the pace of growth. Price increases on existing products as well as new ones (often smaller in portion size), remain one of the principal ways of increasing value of sales in such a mature market. In 2011 retail sales of ready meals reached nearly C$4.6 billion.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Retail sales of ready meals remain fragmented, although there was more consolidation in some product areas. Additionally, in 2010 ready meals marketplace saw a significant change in shares as Nestlé Canada acquired frozen pizza business from Kraft, with the share of former in ready meals jumping to 20% in value terms while the share of latter in ready meals dropped to 4% in value terms.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail sales of ready meals in Canada are expected to grow at a CAGR of 1% in constant value and marginally in retail volume terms between 2011-2016, a slower growth rate than in the review period. Market saturation, competition for share between different ready meals categories, and projected strengthening of foodservice in Canada, after the recession and post-recessionary slump, are the key factors behind the overall modest growth. In 2016 retail sales of ready meals are expected to reach C$4.8 billion.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 268 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 269 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 270 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 271 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 272 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 273 Chilled Ready Meals % Breakdown by Ethnicity 2006-2011
  • Table 274 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 276 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 277 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 278 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Recessionary shopping habits continue to affect sales in 2011. As a result, retail volume sales of sauces, dressings and condiments are expected to grow only marginally faster than foodservice volume sales. In 2011, retail sales are set to increase by 4% in current value terms and by 1% in retail volume terms. In foodservice, some product types fared better, for example ketchup, pickles and tomato pastes and purées. These products have a strong presence in quick service/fast food restaurants, which weathered the recession better. However, others, such as vinaigrettes, did feel the pinch of recessionary foodservice trends, registering a decline in on-trade volume sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Although the overall competitive environment in sauces, dressings and condiments remained fairly fragmented in 2010, a higher degree of consolidation is visible within individual product categories. The top five players, Kraft Canada, HJ Heinz Co of Canada Ltd, McCormick Canada Ltd, Unilever Canada and Frito-Lay Canada, held a combined retail value share of 50% in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail sales of sauces, dressings and condiments are expected to grow by a 2% constant value CAGR and a 1% volume CAGR over the forecast period to reach C$3 billion in 2016. Foodservice volume sales are predicted to grow by a 1% CAGR. This growth will be supported by the anticipated recovery of the Canadian economy, which will encourage more people to dine out more frequently and to spend more when doing so.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 26 Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: Product Types
  • Table 279 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 280 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 281 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 282 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 283 Wet/Cooking Sauces by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 284 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 285 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 286 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 287 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 288 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 289 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 290 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Snack Bars in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, current retail value sales of snack bars are set to increase by 5% to reach C$919 million. Volume sales will grow by 2%, totalling 47,000 tonnes. Growing consumption of snacks across all age groups, combined with increasing innovation in taste, format and health attributes of snack bars, drove the overall consumer demand in this category. Despite growing consumer efforts to lead a healthy lifestyle through more disciplinary diet and greater physical activity, research has shown that snacking remains a key component of Canadians’ daily diet. In 2001, the average Canadian ate less than 270 snack meals per year. Today, the number has risen to more than 300 times annually. Furthermore, rising popularity of ‘on-the-go’ food and beverages has changed the way Canadians snack throughout the day. Industry sources indicate, however, that Canadians remain very much health-conscious with health and weight being factored more into their snack purchases, which has created a fast-growing trend toward healthy and convenient snacks in the past couple of years.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Canadian snack bars is led by three leading global manufacturers – General Mills Canada Corp, Pepsi-QTG Canada Inc, and Kellogg Canada Inc – which combined accounted for 63% share of total snack bars sales in 2010. The combined share increased from 63% in 2009 due to ongoing product innovation and marketing campaigns. General Mills remained in the leading position with a total value share of 23%, closely followed by Pepsi-QTG Canada Inc (21%) and Kellogg Canada Inc (19%).

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of snack bars are anticipated to grow by a constant value CAGR of 3%, reaching nearly C$1.04 billion by 2016. Growing consumption of snacks across all age groups, combined with increasing innovation in taste, format and nutritional profile of snack bars, will continue to drive consumer demand in this category. Given that snacking remains a key component of Canadians’ diet, it is anticipated that manufacturers of snack bars will further invest in research and innovation, enhancing the nutritional value of their products without sacrificing the taste.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 291 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 292 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 293 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 294 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 295 Snack Bars Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 296 Snack Bars Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 297 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 298 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 299 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 300 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 301 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 27 Other Snack Bars: Product Types

Soup in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main trend in soup (as in many other packaged food categories) is the demand for healthier ingredients and recipes. Soup manufacturers have been very good at utilising label space to market every new health benefit offered by their products – especially lower sodium content. This is because Canadian consumers are reading labels more closely than before. For example, Campbell's Tomato Soup’s label highlights its 25% less sodium content, and the new low-sodium version has become its new "original recipe". The low-sodium soup is no longer an option - it is the norm. Overall, soup is expected to post a 2% increase in current value sales in 2011, compared to a 1% CAGR over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Campbell Soup Co launched an all-natural variety of Campbell’s Select Harvest soup. The company also expanded the line with new frozen Campbell’s Select Harvest soup for the foodservice channel. In 2010, it was the leading player with a 61% share retail value sales, including a 74% share in canned/preserved soup.

PROSPECTS

  • In constant value terms, canned/preserved soup is predicted to grow at a slightly slower pace than UHT soup and a much slower rate than chilled soup. Over the forecast period, canned/preserved soup is expected to post a 3% constant value CAGR. Growth is contingent upon manufacturers continuing to cater to the health and wellness trend (eg lower sodium recipes), and offering more products with new flavours and eye-catching labelling. The ageing population trend should contribute to sales growth in canned/preserved format, as soup consumption is highest among older consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 302 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 303 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 304 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 305 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 306 Leading Soup Flavours 2006-2011
  • Table 307 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 308 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 309 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 310 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 311 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 312 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 313 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Spreads is predicted to register a strong value growth rate of 4% to reach C$554 million in 2011. Growth will be largely driven by an increase in the average retail price and higher sales of premium-priced items, including organic and natural varieties. In 2011, the average retail price of spreads rose by 4%, valued at C$8.57 per kilogram, with chocolate spreads and jams and preserves recording the highest growth in unit price of 4.7% and 4.3%, respectively. Despite aggressive price competition among major grocery retailers throughout 2010 and early 2011, the rising cost of commodities, such as sugar and cocoa, and production were eventually passed onto consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Canada’s spreads is led by three leading global manufacturers –Kraft Canada Inc, JM Smucker Canada Inc, and Ferrero Canada Ltd – which together accounted for 43% of total value sales of spreads in 2010. Their combined value share remained the same as the previous year due to limited product innovation and marketing/promotional activities during the review period. Kraft Canada Inc continued to lead retail sales of spreads with a value share of 19%. JM Smucker Canada Inc held the second highest share of 12%, closely followed by Ferrero Canada Ltd with 10.4% in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Spreads is projected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 3% over the forecast period to reach C$639 million by 2016, while volume sales will increase by a 1% CAGR reaching 69, 000 tonnes. Growth is anticipated to be driven primarily by increasing demand for premium spreads, including organic and natural varieties. Concerned about the sugar content and the use of artificial sweeteners in many spreads, consumers will continue to opt for healthier options that are lower in sugar and richer in natural ingredients. Additionally, ongoing consumer preference for locally-produced products will likely drives sales of higher-priced spreads.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 314 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 315 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 316 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 317 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 318 Leading Flavours for Jams and Preserves 2006-2011
  • Table 319 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 320 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 321 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 322 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 323 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 324 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 325 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail value sales of sugar confectionery are predicted to remain flat for 2011 with only marginal growth to reach C$593 million in 2011. Overall lack of product innovation and growing competition from other competing snack categories, such as chocolate and snack bars that offer higher nutrient levels will contribute to the sluggish growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Canada’s sugar confectionery environment is highly fragmented. Cadbury Adams Canada Inc (part of Kraft Foods Inc since February 2010) led total retail sales of sugar confectionery with a 17% value share in 2010. Cadbury remained the dominant player in medicated confectionery, accounting for 68% value share driven by its leading brand Halls. It also held the second highest share in mints, where the company markets Dentyne as well as Certs.

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, constant retail value sales of sugar confectionery are projected to remain relatively flat, recording a marginal decline over the forecast period to reach C$588 million by 2016. Continued lack of product innovation combined with the declining popularity of categories that have traditionally relied on younger consumers will likely drive down sales of sugar confectionery. Growing concern over child obesity and diabetes in Canada will continue to affect demand for such confections as lollipops and boiled sweets as parents become more actively involved in their children’s daily diet, including restriction of high-sugar treats. Over the forecast period, lollipops and boiled sweets are anticipated to incur the biggest loss in constant value sales, declining by CAGRs of 3% and 1%, respectively.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 326 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 327 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 328 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 329 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 330 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 331 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 332 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 333 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 334 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 335 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 336 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 337 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 338 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 28 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is a growing consumer base for snacking in Canada. In 2011, current value sales are expected to grow by 4%, while total volume are to rise by 2%. Snacking in Canada is still very much a habit, but early snacking is taking precedence over later snacking, which is taking sales shares away from salty snacks. The move towards health and wellness is encouraging many manufacturers to introduce recipe and ingredient changes, such as lower sodium content, as well as packaging changes. This is resulting in the growing popularity of single serving or calorie controlled offerings.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Canadian consumers have no problem purchasing private label sweet and savoury snack products - even before the recession. There is a combination of factors at play, such as price sensitivity and the willingness to accept a product that is perceived to be of adequate value at a competitive price. Canadian retailers have been relatively successful in positioning private label offerings as better than or equal to the quality of a national brand. The result is that, in many cases, the private label is perceived as a brand, rather than simply a private label offering. For example, President’s Choice by Loblaws.

PROSPECTS

  • Opportunities for growth exist through the adding of ethnic tastes to snacks. As Canadian society becomes increasingly well-travelled and multi cultural, there is a demand for more exotic or diverse tastes in sweet and savoury snacks snack food. In 2011, for example, Kraft Canada hired the celebrity chef Susur Lee as the company’s Chinese culinary expert. The recession and the resulting tightening of consumers’ budgets slowed down development in this area. However, as Canada recovers from recession many food manufacturers will cater much more to ethnic tastes. An opportunity also exists in sweet and savoury snacks through the marketing of snacks as ‘between meals’ or ‘meal accompaniments’ or ‘meal replacements’ options.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 29 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types
  • Table 339 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 340 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 341 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 342 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 343 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 344 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 345 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 346 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 347 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 348 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 349 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 350 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Current value sales of yoghurt and sour milk are expected to increase by 6% in 2011. Whilst this in itself is an accomplishment, when compared to the 12% current value CAGR this category achieved during the review period it is obvious that it is seeing a slight slowdown in growth. Current value growth in the yoghurt category has been slowing since 2007/2008, and this can be attributed in part to the effects of the economic recession. The biggest growth category within yoghurt in 2011 is pro/pre biotic drinking yoghurt, which is set to see current value sales increase by 20%. This category has done very well due to the fact that there has been a continuing increase in Canadian consumer demand for yoghurt products that claim digestive health benefits, especially probiotics. Manufacturers are benefiting from innovations such as the introduction of new flavours, reduced-fat options, and advertising targeted toward specific age groups where success has been seen in strategies which place emphasis on creative packaging.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In yoghurt and sour milk drinks Danone Canada's Activia brand captured the top spot in 2010 with 16% of value sales, followed by Parmalat Canada's Astro brand with 15%. Both companies have engaged in extensive marketing and advertising to ensure that consumers are aware of the fact that their products claim to strengthen natural immune defences. This is of course a claim that finds favour within a country where the population is aging and suffering from all of the age-related ailments as well as one in which obesity rates in children are high resulting in a high demand for healthier snacks for children.

PROSPECTS

  • The overall yoghurt and sour milk drink category has tempered somewhat – moving from a constant value CAGR of 10% during the review period to a projected CAGR of 6% during the forecast period. Sour milk drinks is the smaller portion of this category with constant value sales projected to grow at a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period whilst constant value sales of yoghurt are expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% during the same timeframe. As the recession passes and consumer confidence slowly returns along with more disposable income Canadians will once again be able to afford products that, while more expensive than the alternative, benefit health and wellness. In addition more discretionary income will also mean that Canadians will demand higher convenience – especially from their yoghurt products. Drinking yoghurt is projected to drive a large part of this market's growth. The overall category of drinking yoghurt is projected to see constant value sales increase at a CAGR of 10% over the forecast period – especially if the yoghurts contain probiotics, prebiotics, or plant sterols. Pro/pre biotic drinking yoghurt is projected to see a constant value CAGR of 14% during that same time period. The predominant market demographic for this type of product is middle-aged women and young athletic men and women – both of which are growing segments of the Canadian population.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 351 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 352 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 353 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 354 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 355 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 356 Leading Flavours for Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt 2006-2011
  • Table 357 Leading Flavours for Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt 2006-2011
  • Table 358 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 359 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 360 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 361 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 362 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 363 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 364 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by ethnicity
  • Analysis by flavour
  • Analysis by format
  • Analysis by type
  • Chilled vs ambient
  • Per cent share of chilled meat substitute
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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